• Title/Summary/Keyword: Absolute test

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Regional Analysis of Extreme Values by Particulate Matter(PM2.5) Concentration in Seoul, Korea (서울시 초미세먼지(PM2.5) 지역별 극단치 분석)

  • Oh, Jang Wook;Lim, Tae Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This paper aims to investigate the concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in the Seoul area by predicting unhealthy days due to PM2.5 and comparing the regional differences. Methods: The extreme value theory is adopted to model and compare the PM2.5 concentration in each region, and each best model is selected through the goodness of fitness test. The maximum likelihood estimation technique is applied to estimate the parameters of each distribution, and the fitness of each model is measured by the mean absolute deviation. The selected model is used to estimate the number of unhealthy days (above $75{\mu}g/m^3$ PM2.5 concentrations) in each region, with which the actual number of unhealthy days are compared. In addition, the level of PM2.5 concentration in each region is analyzed by calculating the return levels for periods of 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years. Results: The Mapo (MP) area revealed the most unhealthy days, followed by Gwanak (GW) and Yangcheon (YC). On the contrary, the number of unhealthy days was low in Seodaemun (SDM), Songpa (SP) and Gangbuk (GB) areas. The return level of PM2.5 was high in Gangnam (GN), Dongjak (DJ) and YC. It will be necessary to prepare for PM2.5 than other regions. On the contrary, Gangbuk (GB), Nowon (NW) and Seodaemun (SDM) showed relatively low return levels for PM2.5. However, in most of the regions of Seoul, PM25 is generated at a very poor level ($75{\mu}g/m^3$) every 6months period, and more than $100{\mu}g/m^3$ PM2.5 occur every 3 years period. Most areas in Seoul require more systematic management of PM2.5. Conclusion: In this paper, accurate prediction and analysis of high concentration of PM2.5 were attempted. The results of this research could provide the basis for the Seoul Metropolitan Government to establish policies for reducing PM2.5 and measuring its effects.

A Comparative Study on Direct Instrument Methods in Open Channel for Measuring River Water Usage (하천수 사용량 계측을 위한 개수로에서의 직접 계측방법 비교 연구)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Chiyoung;Lee, Kisung;Kang, Hyunwoong;Song, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2020
  • Continuous and accurate instrument of river water usage is needed for sustainable river water management. Although the instrument methods applicable to each point of use of river water are different, more precise direct instrument methods are required at the point of major open channel. Users of river water should select appropriate direct instrument methods to measure usage, but there is a lack of standards and verification research. In this study, the H-Q rating curve method, ultrasonic method, and microwave method were applied directly to the test basin in the upper basin of Mangyeong river, and the accuracy of measurement data was evaluated by comparing absolute error between discharge data calculated by instrument method. When comparing the calculated discharge of point units, the ultrasonic method showed the best results of the actual measurement. Through continuous instrument, the sum of the daily and monthly units was compared, and the ultrasonic and microwave methods were shown to be highly accurate. Based on the results of this study, it is hoped that the appropriate direct measurement method can be selected according to the importance of the river water use facility, considering that the ultrasonic method and the microwave method are relatively costly compared to the water level-flow relationship method.

Analysis of Research Trends Related to Parenting Stresses in Infancy (영아기 부모 양육스트레스 관련 연구 동향 분석)

  • Lee, Jin-Hee;Lim, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.577-586
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the research trends related to parenting stress of parents with infancy. To this end, 82 papers in journals registered in the KCI from 1998 to 2019 were reviewed. The frequency and percentage were calculated and analyzed for each research period, research topic, research type, and research subject. The research results were as follows. First, from 1998 to 2019, there was a continuous increase in each period. Second, regarding the research subject, the themes related to parents were the most researched, followed by the child, parenting environment, and parent-child. Among the topics related to parents, research on the variables related to parenting beliefs and behaviors was the highest. Third, quantitative research was absolute, and no qualitative research was conducted. Among the quantitative studies, the most common test method was through a questionnaire. Fourth, regarding each research subject, the research of mothers was dominant, followed by mother-infant, parent, and parent-infant-teacher. This study is significant because it provides an opportunity to broaden the scope of research and academic interest in the parenting stress of infancy parents.

Utilization Evaluation of Numerical forest Soil Map to Predict the Weather in Upland Crops (밭작물 농업기상을 위한 수치형 산림입지토양도 활용성 평가)

  • Kang, Dayoung;Hwang, Yeongeun;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2021
  • Weather is one of the important factors in the agricultural industry as it affects the price, production, and quality of crops. Upland crops are directly exposed to the natural environment because they are mainly grown in mountainous areas. Therefore, it is necessary to provide accurate weather for upland crops. This study examined the effectiveness of 12 forest soil factors to interpolate the weather in mountainous areas. The daily temperature and precipitation were collected by the Korea Meteorological Administration between January 2009 and December 2018. The Generalized Additive Model (GAM), Kriging, and Random Forest (RF) were considered to interpolate. For evaluating the interpolation performance, automatic weather stations were used as training data and automated synoptic observing systems were used as test data for cross-validation. Unfortunately, the forest soil factors were not significant to interpolate the weather in the mountainous areas. GAM with only geography aspects showed that it can interpolate well in terms of root mean squared error and mean absolute error. The significance of the factors was tested at the 5% significance level in GAM, and the climate zone code (CLZN_CD) and soil water code B (SIBFLR_LAR) were identified as relatively important factors. It has shown that CLZN_CD could help to interpolate the daily average and minimum daily temperature for upland crops.

The Patterns of Conversion to Anti-Tuberculosis Drug Resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis (결핵균의 항결핵제 내성 전환 패턴)

  • Chong, Moo-Sang;Lee, Kyutaeg
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2022
  • The prevalence of multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant TB (XDR-TB) are increasing. We analyzed the patterns of drug resistance and tracking period days of acquiring anti-mycobacterial resistance. From January 2010 to December 2019, drug susceptibility tests (DST) were performed by the absolute concentration method using the Löwenstein-Jensen solid medium and pyrazinamidase activity test (to assess pyrazinamide resistance) in samples from patients who were referred to the Green Cross Laboratories in Yongin. Among the cases that showed resistance to one or more anti-tuberculosis drugs, 55 patients (33.1%) were resistant to isoniazid (INH) at the time of initial referral, and the rates for the development of resistant anti-tuberculosis drugs were ethambutol (EMB) (26.6%), rifampicin (RFP) (21.9%), quinolones (QUI) (21.9%) and pyrazinamide (PZA) (10.9%), in that order. In the cases sensitive to all 10 anti-tuberculosis drugs initially, the development of resistance to INH was the most frequent, seen in 43 patients (7.2%). The average follow-up period was 435.6 days, and the resistance development was observed in the order of INH (7.2%), RFP (3.9%), SM (1.9%), QUI (0.7%), amikacin (AMK) (0.5%), and EMB (0.5%). The conversion of susceptible strains to resistant strains is an important warning sign for the patient, especially in cases of conversion to MDR or XDR. This information would be helpful for improving patient care during TB treatment.

Predictive Analysis of Fire Risk Factors in Gyeonggi-do Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 경기도 화재위험요인 예측분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Castillo Osorio, Ever Enrique;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2021
  • The seriousness of fire is rising because fire causes enormous damage to property and human life. Therefore, this study aims to predict various risk factors affecting fire by fire type. The predictive analysis of fire factors was carried out targeting Gyeonggi-do, which has the highest number of fires in the country. For the analysis, using machine learning methods SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), GBRT (Gradient Boosted Regression Tree) the accuracy of each model was presented with a high fit model through MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), and based on this, predictive analysis of fire factors in Gyeonggi-do was conducted. In addition, using machine learning methods such as SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), and GBRT (Gradient Boosted Regression Tree), the accuracy of each model was presented with a high-fit model through MAE and RMSE. Predictive analysis of occurrence factors was achieved. Based on this, as a result of comparative analysis of three machine learning methods, the RF method showed a MAE = 1.765 and RMSE = 1.876, as well as the MAE and RMSE verification and test data were very similar with a difference between MAE = 0.046 and RMSE = 0.04 showing the best predictive results. The results of this study are expected to be used as useful data for fire safety management allowing decision makers to identify the sequence of dangers related to the factors affecting the occurrence of fire.

Thermal-hydraulic research on rod bundle in the LBE fast reactor with grid spacer

  • Liu, Jie;Song, Ping;Zhang, Dalin;Wang, Shibao;Lin, Chao;Liu, Yapeng;Zhou, Lei;Wang, Chenglong;Tian, Wenxi;Qiu, Suizheng;Su, G.H.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.2728-2735
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    • 2022
  • The research on the flow and heat transfer characteristics of lead bismuth(LBE) is significant for the thermal-hydraulic calculation, safety analysis and practical application of lead-based fast reactors(LFR). In this paper, a new CFD model is proposed to solve the thermal-hydraulic analysis of LBE. The model includes two parts: turbulent model and turbulent Prandtl, which are the important factors for LBE. In order to find the best model, the experiment data and design of 19-pin hexagonal rod bundle with spacer grid, undertaken at the Karlsruhe Liquid Metal Laboratory (KALLA) are used for CFD calculation. Furthermore, the turbulent model includes SST k - 𝜔 and k - 𝜀; the turbulent Prandtl includes Cheng-Tak and constant (Prt =1.5,2.0,2.5,3.0). Among them, the combination between SST k - 𝜔 and Cheng-Tak is more suitable for the experiment. But in the low Pe region, the deviation between the experiment data and CFD result is too much. The reason may be the inlet-effect and when Pe is in a low level, the number of molecular thermal diffusion occupies an absolute advantage, and the buoyancy will enhance. In order to test and verify versatility of the model, the NCCL performed by the Nuclear Thermal-hydraulic Laboratory (Nuthel) of Xi'an Jiao tong University is used for CFD to calculate. This paper provides two verification examples for the new universal model.

Regression model for the preparation of calibration curve in the quantitative LC-MS/MS analysis of urinary methamphetamine, amphetamine and 11-nor-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol-9-carboxylic acid using R (소변 중 메트암페타민, 암페타민 및 대마 대사체 LC-MS/MS 정량분석에서 검량선 작성을 위한 R을 활용한 회귀모델 선택)

  • Kim, Jin Young;Shin, Dong Won
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2021
  • Calibration curves are essential in quantitative methods and for improving the accuracy of analyte measurements in biological samples. In this study, a statistical analysis model built in the R language (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing) was used to identify a set of weighting factors and regression models based on a stepwise selection criteria. An LC-MS/MS method was used to detect the presence of urinary methamphetamine, amphetamine, and 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9 -tetrahydrocannabinol in a sample set. Weighting factors for the calibration curves were derived by calculating the heteroscedasticity of the measurements, where the presence of heteroscedasticity was determined via variance tests. The optimal regression model and weighting factor were chosen according to the sum of the absolute percentage relative error. Subsequently, the order of the regression model was calculated using a partial variance test. The proposed statistical analysis tool facilitated selection of the optimal calibration model and detection of methamphetamine, amphetamine, and 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol in urine. Thus, this study for the selection of weighting and the use of a complex regression equation may provide insights for linear and quadratic regressions in analytical and bioanalytical measurements.

An Implementation of the OTB Extension to Produce RapidEye Surface Reflectance and Its Accuracy Validation Experiment (RapidEye 영상정보의 지표반사도 생성을 위한 OTB Extension 개발과 정확도 검증 실험)

  • Kim, Kwangseob;Lee, Kiwon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.5_1
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    • pp.485-496
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    • 2022
  • This study is for the software implementation to generate atmospheric and surface reflectance products from RapidEye satellite imagery. The software is an extension based on Orfeo Toolbox (OTB) and an open-source remote sensing software including calibration modules which use an absolute atmospheric correction algorithm. In order to verify the performance of the program, the accuracy of the product was validated by a test image on the Radiometric Calibration Network (RadCalNet) site. In addition, the accuracy of the surface reflectance product generated from the KOMPSAT-3A image, the surface reflectance of Landsat Analysis Ready Data (ARD) of the same site, and near acquisition date were compared with RapidEye-based one. At the same time, a comparative study was carried out with the processing results using QUick Atmospheric Correction (QUAC) and Fast Line-of-sight Atmospheric Analysis of Spectral Hypercubes (FLAASH) tool supported by a commercial tool for the same image. Similar to the KOMPSAT-3A-based surface reflectance product, the results obtained from RapidEye Extension showed accuracy of agreement level within 5%, compared with RadCalNet data. They also showed better accuracy in all band images than the results using QUAC or FLAASH tool. As the importance of the Red-Edge band in agriculture, forests, and the environment applications is being emphasized, it is expected that the utilization of the surface reflectance products of RapidEye images produced using this program will also increase.

TLS (Total Least-Squares) within Gauss-Helmert Model: 3D Planar Fitting and Helmert Transformation of Geodetic Reference Frames (가우스-헬머트 모델 전최소제곱: 평면방정식과 측지좌표계 변환)

  • Bae, Tae-Suk;Hong, Chang-Ki;Lim, Soo-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2022
  • The conventional LESS (LEast-Squares Solution) is calculated under the assumption that there is no errors in independent variables. However, the coordinates of a point, either from traditional ground surveying such as slant distances, horizontal and/or vertical angles, or GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) positioning, cannot be determined independently (and the components are correlated each other). Therefore, the TLS (Total Least Squares) adjustment should be applied for all applications related to the coordinates. Many approaches were suggested in order to solve this problem, resulting in equivalent solutions except some restrictions. In this study, we calculated the normal vector of the 3D plane determined by the trace of the VLBI targets based on TLS within GHM (Gauss-Helmert Model). Another numerical test was conducted for the estimation of the Helmert transformation parameters. Since the errors in the horizontal components are very small compared to the radius of the circle, the final estimates are almost identical. However, the estimated variance components are significantly reduced as well as show a different characteristic depending on the target location. The Helmert transformation parameters are estimated more precisely compared to the conventional LESS case. Furthermore, the residuals can be predicted on both reference frames with much smaller magnitude (in absolute sense).