• Title/Summary/Keyword: AR(1)

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The forecasting evaluation of the high-order mixed frequency time series model to the marine industry (고차원 혼합주기 시계열모형의 해운경기변동 예측력 검정)

  • KIM, Hyun-sok
    • The Journal of shipping and logistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-109
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    • 2019
  • This study applied the statistically significant factors to the short-run model in the existing nonlinear long-run equilibrium relation analysis for the forecasting of maritime economy using the mixed cycle model. The most common univariate AR(1) model and out-of-sample forecasting are compared with the root mean squared forecasting error from the mixed-frequency model, and the prediction power of the mixed-frequency approach is confirmed to be better than the AR(1) model. The empirical results from the analysis suggest that the new approach of high-level mixed frequency model is a useful for forecasting marine industry. It is consistent that the inclusion of more information, such as higher frequency, in the analysis of long-run equilibrium framework is likely to improve the forecasting power of short-run models in multivariate time series analysis.

Effects of Hydrogen Injection by In-Situ and Plasma Post-Treatment on Properties of a ZnO Channel Layer in Transparent Thin Film Transistors (증착시 및 플라즈마 후처리에 의한 수소 주입이 투명 박막 트랜지스터에서 산화아연 채널층의 물성에 미치는 영향)

  • Bang, Jung-Hwan;Kim, Won;Uhm, Hyun-Seok;Park, Jin-Seok
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2010
  • We have investigated the effects of hydrogen injection via in-situ gas addition ($O_2$, $H_2$, or $O_2$ + $H_2$ gas) and plasma post-treatment (Ar or Ar + H plasma) on material properties of ZnO that is considered to be as a channel layer in transparent thin film transistors. The variations in the electrical resistivity, optical transmittance and bandgap energy, and crystal quality of ZnO thin films were characterized in terms of the methods and conditions used in hydrogen injection. The resistivity was significantly decreased by injection of hydrogen; approximately $10^6\;{\Omega}cm$ for as-grown, $1.2\;{\times}\;10^2\;{\Omega}cm$ for in-situ with $O_2/H_2\;=\;2/3$ addition, and $0.1\;{\Omega}cm$ after Ar + H plasma treatment of 90 min. The average transmittance of ZnO films measured at a wavelength of 400-700 nm was gradually increased by increasing the post-treatment time in Ar + H plasma. The optical bandgap energy of ZnO films was almost monotonically increased by decreasing the $O_2/H_2$ ratio in in-situ gas addition or by increasing the post-treatment time in Ar + H plasma, while the post-treatment using Ar plasma hardly affected the bandgap energy. The role of hydrogen in ZnO was discussed by considering the creation and annihilation of oxygen vacancies as well as the formation of shallow donors by hydrogen.

The Effect of Aspect Ratio on the Flow Characteristics of Elliptic Jets (종횡비에 따른 타원제트의 유동특성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • 권영철;이상준
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.1156-1162
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    • 1992
  • The effect of aspect ratio on the flow characteristics of elliptic jets was experimentally investigated. The flow characteristics of sharp-edged elliptic nozzles with aspect ratio of 1 (round nozzle), 2 and 4 were measured by using a 3-D LDV system along the major and minor axis at X/De = 2, 3, 5, 7 and along the centerline up to X/De = 14. At each measurement point mean velocites, turbulent intensities, skewness of three orthogonal velocity components, and Reynolds shear stress were obtained. The Reynolds number based on the nozzle exit velocity and nozzle equivalent diameter(De) was about 4 * 10$^{4}$. Difference in the spreading rate along the major and minor axis was remarkable. The jet half width along the major axis decreased at first and then increased again with going downstream. But the jet width along the minor axis increased steadly. The elliptic jet of AR = 2 had two switching points within the measurement range, while that of AR = 4 had only one. (AAA) : The elliptic jet of AR = 2 showed larger velocity decay rate than that of AR = 1 and AR = 4. The effect of aspect ratio on the flow characteristics of elliptic jets was dominant in the near jet regions of X/De < 7, and the skewness and Reynolds shear stress had quite different distribution depending on the aspect ratio of the elliptic nozzle.

Structure Activity Relationship of ar-Turmerone Analogues

  • Baik, Kyong-Up;Jung, Sang-Hun;Ahn, Byung-Zun
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 1993
  • For the analysis of structure relationship of ar-turmerone analogues, the compounds containing the various substituents on the phenyl ring and 1(or 2)-naphthyl group in the place of phenyl of ar-turmerone were prepared and tested their cytotoxicity against HL-60, K-562, and L1210 leukemia cells in vitro. The substituents at para position are methoxy, phenoxy, methyl, trifluoromethyl, fluoro, and chloro. At meta position methoxy, methyl, trifluoromethyl, or chloro groups at ortho position mathoxy or chloro group were introduced. Against HL-60 and K-562 cells, $ED_{50}$ values of the analogues are ranged from 0.8 to $30.0\;\mu{g/ml}$. Againste L1210 cell, these are located more than $20.0\;\mu{g/ml}$. However, 5-carbone-thoxy-2-methyl-6(1-naphthyl)-2-octen-4-one (5n)possesses $ED_{50}$ valuses 0.8, 2.1, $6.5\;\mu{g/ml}$ against HL-60, L1210 cells, respectively. The electronic nature of the substituents on phenyl ring of ar-tumerone dose not affect the biological activity. Therefore the flat structure of aromatic potion of ar-tumerone analogues is the more important factor for their activity rather than its electronic nature. The potentiation of the cytotoxicity with the enlargement of aromatic ring region also supports the importance of the plane structure of this area. The restriction of the single bond rotation between C-6 and aromatic ring through the introduction of substituents at the ortho position of phenyl ring and the increment of size of alkyl group at C-6 position enhances the activity. Therefore the effective conformation should by the one having the orthogonal arrangement between the aromatic ring and the side chain.

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The Effect of Alismatis Rhizoma Herbal-acupuncture at $KI_{10}$ on LPS-induced Nephritis in Rats (음곡에 시술한 택사 약침이 LPS로 유도된 흰쥐의 신장염에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Je Geun;Kim, Yang Seob;Kim, Byung Soo;Yim, Yun Kyoung
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2014
  • Objectives : This study aimed to evaluate the effects of Alismatis Rhizoma Herbal-acupuncture( AR-HA) at $KI_{10}$(Umgok) on nephritis induced by lipopolysaccharide(LPS) in rat. Methods : Rats were injected with LPS to induce nephritis. The rats in $KI_{10}$-AR-HA group were treated with AR-HA, $KI_{10}$-NP group with needle prick, $KI_{10}$-saline group with normal saline injection respectively at $KI_{10}$ three times for a week. Several experimental items were performed including measurements of the numbers of RBC, WBC, neutrophil in blood, the levels of creatinine, $TNF-{\alpha}$, CINC-1 in serum, creatinine, total protein in urine, MPO in kidney. Results : Needle prick stimulation at $KI_{10}$ significantly reduced WBC in blood of LPS-stimulated rats. Saline injection at $KI_{10}$ significantly reduced WBC in blood, $TNF-{\alpha}$ in serum, total protein in urine of LPS-stimulated rats. AR-HA at $KI_{10}$ significantly reduced WBC, neutrophil in blood, $TNF-{\alpha}$, CINC-1 in serum, creatinine, total protein in urine of LPS-stimulated rats. Conclusion : AR-HA at $KI_{10}$ has a therapeutic effect on nephritis in LPS-stimulated rat. There may be a synergism between $KI_{10}$(Umgok) stimulation and AR-HA solution.

무 수은 면광원에서의 가스 조성 변화에 따른 전기 광학 특성에 관한 연구

  • O, Byeong-Ju;Jeong, Jae-Cheol;Seo, In-U;Hwang, Gi-Ung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2010.02a
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    • pp.431-431
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 기존의 수은 형광 램프와 LED를 대체할 수 있는 무 수은 면광원의 방전 가스 조성 변화(He, Ne, Ar, Xe)에 따른 전기 광학 특성에 관한 연구이다.[1]~[4] 무 수은 면광원의 기본 구조는 그림 1과 같이 방전 공간 내에 유전체에 의해 방전 공간과 분리된 한 쌍의 평행한 전극으로 이루어져 있다. 그리고 방전 공간 내면에는 일정한 두께와 형상을 가지는 형광체가 도포되어 있고 주 전극의 반대 평판유리 외벽에 보조전극을 형성하였다. 방전을 발생시키기 위한 기본적인 구동 방법은 5~25kHz의 주파수와 $0.7{\sim}1.5{\mu}s$의 폭을 가지는 사각 펄스를 사용한다.[4] 그림 2는 Ne-Xe 가스를 기본으로 하여 He 첨가에 따른 전기 광학 특성을 보여준다. He 첨가량이 증가할수록 동작 전압이 높아지면서 방전 개시와 동시에 수축 방전으로 전이되는 형태를 보이며, 효율 또한 감소함을 보였다. 이것은 무 수은 면광원에서는 높은 He의 이차전자 방출 계수보다 He의 높은 이온화 에너지가 더 크게 작용하기 때문이라 생각된다. 그림 3은 Ne-Xe 가스를 기본으로 하여 Ar 첨가에 따른 특성을 보여준다. He과는 다르게 Ar 첨가량이 증가할수록 동작 전압 마진이 넓어진다. 그러나 동작 전압이 상승하고, 효율 역시 감소하는 단점이 있다. 이것은 Ar은 Ne에 비해 이온화 에너지가 낮지만 Ar-Xe 조합은 Penning 효과를 얻을 수 있는 혼합 가스가 아니며, Ar의 2차전자 방출 계수 역시 Ne에 비해 낮기 때문에 결과적으로 방전 전압은 상승하고 효율이 감소하는 결과를 보여준다. 그러므로 무 수은 면광원에서 낮은 구동 전압과 높은 휘도 효율을 얻기 위해서는 Ne-Xe 가스조건이 가장 적합한 가스 조건이다. 효율 개선을 위해서는 Ne-Xe 가스 조건에서 압력을 높이거나 높은 Xe 함량의 가스 조성비를 사용하여 자외선 발광원인 Xe 가스량을 높이는 방법이 가장 유리하다. 그림 4는 Ne-Xe 가스 조건에서 Xe 가스량을 높이면 효율이 증가하는 경향성을 보여준다. 가스 최적화 연구와 더불어 형광체 최적화 연구[5]를 통해서 Ne-Xe25% 100Torr 가스 조건에서 그림 5와 같은 19,000nit의 높은 휘도와 75lm/W의 고 효율 특성을 얻을 수 있었다.

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Associations of dietary vitamin A and C intake with asthma, allergic rhinitis, and allergic respiratory diseases

  • Carolina Garcia-Garcia;Minju Kim;Inkyung Baik
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.997-1006
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Asthma and allergic rhinitis (AR) are closely related and considered as allergic respiratory diseases (ARD), and their prevalence has recently increased. Data on the association of dietary antioxidant vitamin intake with asthma and AR in adults are limited. The present study aimed to investigate the associations of vitamin A and C intake with asthma, AR, and all cases of both diseases in young adults who participated in a cross-sectional national survey, with the use of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) level as an effect modifier. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This study included 6,293 male and female adults aged 20-49 years from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) conducted between 2016 and 2018. The questionnaire-based reports on asthma and AR diagnosis were used to determine outcome variables. Further, 24-h recall data on dietary vitamin A and C, carotene, and retinol intake were acquired. Logistic regression analysis was performed to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Dietary vitamin C intake was inversely associated with asthma prevalence among participants with hs-CRP levels (≥ 1 mg/L); the OR of asthma prevalence was 0.27 (95% CI, 0.08-0.84) for participants with vitamin C consumption ≥ 75 mg/day compared with those consuming < 20 mg/day. Similar association analyses limiting to non-users of dietary supplements were performed to rule out the potential effects of supplement intake on the outcomes; results showed a stronger association. However, the association between vitamin C and asthma was not significant in participants with hs-CRP levels < 1 mg/L; the OR of asthma was 1.44 (95% CI, 0.66-3.16) for participants with vitamin C consumption ≥ 75 mg/day compared with those consuming < 20 mg/day. Vitamin C intake was not associated with AR. Moreover, there was no association between vitamin A intake and neither asthma nor AR. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that higher vitamin C intake may play a potential role in reducing asthma prevalence. Nevertheless, further studies should be conducted to evaluate whether this association is causal.

Preparation of Al electrode with Ar-Kr gas mixture for OLED application (Ar-Kr 혼합가스를 이용한 OLED용 Al 전극 제작)

  • Kim, Sang-Mo;Jang, Kyung-Wook;Lee, Won-Jae;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.11-15
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    • 2007
  • As preparing electrode for the OLED with the sputtering process, in order to be lower damage of the bottom organic layer and increase the life-time of the OLED, we prepared Al electrode for that by using Facing Targets Sputtering (FTS) system. Al electrode directly deposited on the cell (LiF/EML/HTL/Bottom electrode). Deposition condition was the working gas (Ar, Kr and Ar+Kr) and working gas pressure (1 and 6 mTorr). The film thickness and I-V curve of Al/cell were evaluated by a $\acute{a}$-step profiler and a semiconductor parameter (HP4156A) measurement. The thin film surface image was observed by a Atomic Force Microscope (AFM). In result, in comparison with about 11 [V] of the turn-on voltage of Al/cell with using the pure Ar gas, when Al thin film was deposited using the Ar-Kr mixture gas, the surface morphology was improved in some region and the turn-on voltage of Al/cell could be decreased to about 7 [V].

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The therapeutic effect of Achyranthis Radix on the collagen-induced arthritis in mice (우슬(牛膝)의 콜라겐 유도 관절염 생쥐에 대한 개선 효과)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo;Park, Yong-Ki
    • The Korea Journal of Herbology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The present study was undertaken to determine whether the water extract of Achyranthis Radix, which is the roots of Achyranthes japonica (Achyranthis Radix, AR), is efficacious against collagen-induced arthritis (CIA) in DBA/1J mice. Methods : Mice were immunized with bovine type II collagen and orally treated with AR-W (50 and 100 mg/kg/bw) from days 21 to 42 after immunization. Arthritis was evaluated by arthritic score, histological examination of knee joint and serological markers such as TNF-${\alpha}$, $PGE_2$ and anti-type II collagen (C II)IgG. Results : The results showed that comparing with untreated CIA mice, treated with AR-W significantly suppressed the clinical score and joint tissue pathological damages, reduced the serum levels of TNF-${\alpha}$, $PGE_2$ and anti-C II IgG in CIA-mice. These results suggest that AR-W can effectively alleviate inflammatory response on CIA, and anti-inflammatoy of AR-W can be attributed, at least partially, to the inhibition of inflamamtory mediators, $PGE_2$ and TNF-${\alpha}$, in CIA. Conclusions : This study suggests that AR-W has a therapeutic potential in inflammatory joint diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis.

Electron Mean Energy in CF4, CH4, Ar mixtures (CF4, CH4, Ar 혼합기체의 전자 평균에너지)

  • Kim, Sang-Nam
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 2015
  • Energy Distribution Function in pure $CH_4$, $CF_4$ and mixtures of $CF_4$ and Ar, have been analyzed over a range of the reduced electric field strength between 0.1 and 350[Td] by the two-term approximation of the Boltzmann equation (BEq.) method and the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The calculations of electron swarm parameters require the knowledge of several collision cross-sections of electron beam. Thus, published momentum transfer, ionization, vibration, attachment, electronic excitation, and dissociation cross-sections of electrons for $CH_4$, $CF_4$ and Ar, were used. The differences of the transport coefficients of electrons in $CH_4$, mixtures of $CH_4$ and Ar, have been explained by the deduced energy distribution functions for electrons and the complete collision cross-sections for electrons. The results of the Boltzmann equation and the Monte Carlo simulation have been compared with the data presented by several workers. The deduced transport coefficients for electrons agree reasonably well with the experimental and simulation data obtained by Nakamura and Hayashi. The energy distribution function of electrons in $CF_4$-Ar mixtures shows the Maxwellian distribution for energy. That is, $f({\varepsilon})$ has the symmetrical shape whose axis of symmetry is a most probably energy.