• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.57 no.3
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• pp.21-39
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• 2015

유역 내부의 수문과정에 대한 관측치를 이용한 모형의 보정은 분산형 수문수질 모형의 적용성을 높이는 방법으로 권장되지만, 관측치가 충분하지 않은 경우가 많아 적용사례가 드문 실정이다. 본 연구는 경지에서 유역의 출구까지 여러 단계의 수문과정을 고려하여 분산형 수문수질모형을 보정하는 방법을 제시하고, 이와 같은 방법으로 보정된 모형의 적용성을 검토하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 미국 조지아의 South Atlantic Coastal Plain에 있는 한 농업유역의 수문과정을 모의하였다. 또한, 유사와 영양물질의 구체적인 하천운송과정을 모의하기 위해 SWAT모형의 QUAL2E 모듈을 이용하였다. 모형보정은 유역의 유출량 및 유사와 영양물질의 양 뿐만 아니라 경지에서 관측된 바이오매스, 토양 침식량 및 영양물질 발생량, 수변지역 (riparian buffer)에서 발생하는 유사와 영양물질 감소, 하천운송과정 등을 고려하여 수행되었다. 모형의 보정 및 검증기간은 자료기간과 토양보전농법의 시행기간을 고려하여 선정되었으며, 보정된 모형의 적용성은 복수의 통계치 (NSE, RE, RSR 등)를 이용하여 분석되었다. 보정된 모형은 유역의 출구에서 하천유량과 총질소량을 각각 NSE 0.93 및 0.59의 정확도로 모의하였다. 그러나 유사 (NSE: 0.40)와 총인량 (NSE: 0.45)모의에서는 상대적으로 낮은 정확도를 보였다. SWAT의 QUAL2E 모듈을 이용하여 하천에서의 유사 및 영양물질 운송과정을 고려하는 것은 총인과 총질소 모의결과의 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 다단계 수문과정을 고려하여 보정된 SWAT모형은 유역 내부에서 발생하는 수문과정을 모의하는데 적용성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만, 계측방법 및 계측된 자료의 분석방법의 변화에 따른 오차와 토지이용의 시공간적 변화를 모의에서 고려하지 못해서 발생한 오차를 감안하더라도, 보정된 모형은 유역출구에서 관측되는 유사와 영양물질 양을 정확하게 모의하는데 실패 (NSE < 0.5)하였다고 평가할 수 있으며, 이는 SWAT 모형의 보정에서 다단계 또는 유역내부의 수문과정을 고려하는 것이 유역출구에서 높은 모의 정확도를 얻는데 기여하지 못할 수도 있음을 보여주었다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.188-198
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• 2016

In soybeans, responses of high temperature according to shift of sowing dates during the growing season was explored using the crop model, CROPGRO-soybean. In addition, it analyzed impact on change of sowing dates affects yield potential of soybean under future climate scenario (2041-2070). In Jeonju and Miryang during 1981-2010, if sowing at 15 or ten days ahead from 10 June, namely in shorten of the sowing day (i.e. when sown on 25 or 30 May), the yield potential reduced. However, the yield potential increased when sown 5 June. In the case of delay of sowing day (i.e. when sown on 15 or 20 June), reduction of yield potential in the average -5% was higher than increase in the average +2%. In particular, the relative changes for shorten of the sowing day or delay of the sowing day do not be shown in normal years which high temperatures did not abnormally occur during the growing season from 2003 to 2010 except when sown on 25 May. In abnormal years which high temperatures occurred during the critical period, especially R5 to R7, shorten of the sowing day affected to the increase of yield potential in Miryang, while the yield potential decreased in Jeonju except when sown on 5 June. However, delay of the sowing day influenced on the reduction of yield potential both in two sites. In future climate scenario of Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 during from 2041 to 2070, the increase and decrease of yield potential for shorten of the sowing day were +10/-9% for RCP 8.5 of Jeonju, and +14/-9% for RCP 8.5 of Miryang, respectively. Additionally, it showed +10/-17% for RCP 8.5 in Jeonju, and +10/-29% for RCP 8.5 in Miryang, respectively in the increase and decrease of yield potential for delay of the sowing day.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.51-62
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• 2017

For the purpose of the study, of the 76 areas subject to preliminary concentrated management on sediment disaster in the downtown area, 9 areas were selected as research areas. They were classified into three stratified rock areas (Gyeongsan City, Goheung-gun and Daegu Metropolitan City), three igneous rock areas (Daejeon City, Sejong Special Self-Governing City and Wonju City) and three metamorphic rock areas (Namyangju City, Uiwang City and Inje District) according to the characteristics of the bedrock in the research areas. As for the 9 areas, analyses were conducted based on tests required to calculate soil characteristics, a predictive model for root adhesive power, loading of trees and on-the-spot research. As for a rainfall scenario (rainfall intensity), the probability of rainfall was applied as offered by APEC Climate Center (APCC) in Busan. As for the prediction of landslide risks in the 9 areas, TRIGRS and LSMAP were applied. As a result of TRIGRIS prediction, the risk rate was recorded 30.45% in stratified rock areas, 41.03% in igneous rock areas and 45.04% in metamorphic rock areas on average. As a result of LSMAP prediction based on root cohesion and the weight of trees according to crown density, it turned out to a 1.34% risk rate in the stratified rock areas, 2.76% in the igneous rock areas and 1.64% in the metamorphic rock areas. Analysis through LSMAP was considered to be relatively local predictive rather than analysis using TRIGRS.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.4
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• pp.309-319
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• 2015

River characteristics in South Korea has been affected by seasonal climatic variability due to climate change and by remarkable land cover change due to rapid economic growth. In this regard, the roles of river management is getting more important to eco-system and human community in watersheds of South Korea. Understanding river characteristics including direct runoff and baseflow, the first step of river management, can give a significant contribution to sustainable river environment. Therefore, the objective of this study is to quantify the contributions of the direct runoff and baseflow to river streamflow. For this, we used the BFLOW and WHAT programs to conduct baseflow separation for 71 streamflow gauge stations in Han River system, South Korea. The results showed that baseflow index for 71 stations ranges from 0.42 to 0.78. Also, gauge stations which have baseflow index more than 0.5 occupied 76% of a total stations. However, baseflow index can be overestimated due to human impacts such as discharge from dams, reservoirs, and lakes. This study will be used as fundamental information to understand river characteristics in river management at the national level.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.123-137
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• 2013

This study investigated impacts of the two different types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o on summer rainfall (June-September) in the Han River and its sub-basins. The patterns of rainfall anomalies show a remarkable difference between conventional El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and El Ni$\tilde{n}$o Modoki years. During conventional El Ni$\tilde{n}$o years, it was found that the Han River basins show decreases in the seasonal rainfall totals with high variations (CV=0.4). In contrast, during El Ni$\tilde{n}$o Modoki years, distinct positive anomalies appear in the Han River basin with a relatively small variation (CV=0.23). In addition, 11 out of 30 sub-basins show significant above-normal rainfall in southern part of the Han River Basin. For El Ni$\tilde{n}$o Modoki years, the number of heavy rainy days exceeding 30 mm/day and 50 mm/day were 9.9-day and 5.4-day, respectively. Consequently, this diagnostic study confirmed that El Ni$\tilde{n}$o Modoki has significant impacts on the variability of summer rainfall over the Han River Basin. We expect the results presented here provide useful information for the stability of the regional water supply system, especially for basins like the Han River Basin showing relatively high variability in seasonal rainfall.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.1
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• pp.11-18
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• 2018

The climate change impacts on hydrological components and water balance in Jeju Island were evaluated using multiple climate models and watershed model, SWAT-K. To take into account the uncertainty of the future forecast data according to climate models, climate data of 9 GCMs were utilized as weather data of SWAT-K for future period (2010-2099). Using the modeling results of the past (1992-2013) and the future period, the hydrological changes of each year were analyzed and the precipitation, runoff, evapotranspiration and recharge were increasing. Compared with the past, the change in the runoff was the largest (up to 50% increase) and the evapotranspiration was relatively small (up to 11% increase). Monthly results show that the amount of evapotranspiration and the amount of recharge are greatly increased as the amount of precipitation increases in August and September, while the amount of evapotranspiration decreases in the same period. January and December showed the opposite tendency. As a result of analyzing future water balance changes, the ratio of runoff, evapotranspiration, and recharge to rainfall did not change much, but compared to the past, the runoff rate increased up to 4.3% in the RCP 8.5 scenario, while the evapotranspiration rate decreased by up to 3.5%. Based on the results of other researchers and this study, it is expected that rainfall and runoff will increase gradually in the future under the assumption of present climate change scenarios. Especially summer precipitation and runoff are expected to increase. As a result, the amount of groundwater recharge in Jeju Island will increase.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.10
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• pp.661-671
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• 2017

The objective of this study was to analyze the flood stage considering the uncertainty caused by the river roughness coefficients and discharge. The methodology of this study involved the GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) to quantify the uncertainty bounds applying three different storm events. The uncertainty range of the roughness was 0.025~0.040. In case of discharge, the uncertainty stemmed from parameters in stage-discharge rating curve, if h represents stage for discharge Q, which can be written as $Q=A(h-B)^C$. Parameters in rating curve (A, B and C) were estimated by non-linear regression model and assumed by t distribution. The range of parameters in rating curve was 5.138~18.442 for A, -0.524~0.104 for B and 2.427~2.924 for C. By sampling 10,000 parameter sets, Monte Carlo simulations were performed. The simulated stage value was represented by 95% confidence interval. In storm event 1~3, the average bound was 0.39 m, 0.83 m and 0.96 m, respectively. The peak bound was 0.52 m, 1.36 m and 1.75 m, respectively. The recurrence year of each storm event applying the frequency analysis was 1-year, 10-year and 25-year, respectively.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.290-298
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• 2015

Starting in 2012, severe diebacks usually accompanied by abundant gum exudation have occurred on yuzu trees in Goheung-gun, Jeonnam Province, where severely affected trees were occasionally killed. On-farm surveys were conducted at 30 randomly-selected orchards located at Pungyang-myeon, Goheung-gun, and the resulting disease incidences were 18.5% and 39.6% for dieback and gumming symptoms, respectively. Black spots on branches and leaves also appeared on infected trees showing a typical dieback symptom. Morphological and molecular identifications of the isolated fungal organisms from lesions on the symptomatic leaves and branches revealed that they are identical to Phomopsis citri, known to cause gummosis. In order to find the reason for this sudden epidemic, we investigated the weather conditions that are exclusively distinct from previous years, hypothesizing that certain weather extremes might have caused the severe induction of pre-existing disease for yuzu. There were two extreme temperature drops beyond the yuzu's cold hardiness limit right after an abnormally-warm-temperature-rise during the winter of 2011-12, which could cause severe frost damage resulting in mechanical injuries and physiological weakness to the affected trees. Furthermore, there was an increased frequency of strong wind events, seven times in 2012 compared to only a few times in the previous years, that could also lead to extensive injuries on branches. In conclusion, we estimated that the possible damages by severe frost and frequent strong wind events during 2012 could cause the yuzu trees to be vulnerable to subsequent fungal infection by providing physical entries and increasing plant susceptibility to infections.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.545-551
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• 2016

A bacterial pathogen, Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae (Psa), is a causal agent of kiwifruit bacterial canker worldwide. Psa biovar 3 (Psa3) was first detected in 2011 at an orchard in Dodeok-myeon, Goheung-gun, Jeonnam Province in Korea. In this study, we present the results of an epidemiological study regarding Psa3 occurrence on kiwifruit orchards in Korea for the period of 2013 to 2015. Since the first detection of Psa3 in 2011, there was no further case reported by 2013. However, Psa3 was rapidly spreading to 33 orchards in 2014; except for three orchards in Sacheon-si, Gyeongnam Province, most cases were reported in Jeju Island. Entering 2015, bacterial canker by Psa3 became a pandemic in Korea, spreading to 72 orchards in Jeju Island, Jeonnam, and Gyeongnam Provinces. Our epidemiological study indicated that the first Psa3 incidence in 2011 might result from an introduction of Psa3 through imported seedlings from China in 2006. Apart from this, it was estimated that most Psa3 outbreaks from 2014 to 2015 were caused by pollens imported from New Zealand and China for artificial pollination. Most kiwifruit cultivars growing in Korea were infected with Psa3; yellow-fleshed cultivars (Yellow-king, Hort16A, Enza-gold, Zecy-gold, and Haegeum), red-fleshed cultivars (Hongyang and Enza-Red), green-fleshed cultivars (Hayward and Daeheung), and even a kiwiberry (Skinny-green). However, susceptibility to canker differed among cultivars; yellow- and red-fleshed cultivars showed much more severe symptoms compared to the green-fleshed cultivars of kiwifruit and a kiwiberry.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.56 no.5
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• pp.21-27
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• 2014

Sediment-laden water is problematic in aquatic ecosystem and for hydraulic structures in a watershed, and agriculture area in a watershed is one of source areas of nonpoint source (NPS), since soil surface typically exposures due to agricultural activities. Especially, severe sediment might flow into stream when agricultural area is located near stream like the Imha-dam watershed. Soil erosion is affected by precipitation, therefore there is a need to consider precipitation characteristics in soil erosion and best management practices (BMPs) simulation. The Web-based Spreadsheet Tool for the Estimation of Pollutant Load (STEPL WEB) allows estimating long-term sediment loads and the impact of best management practices to reduce sediment loads. STEPL WEB and predicted precipitation data by MIROC-ESM model was used to estimate sediment loads and its reduction by filter strip and conversion of agricultural area to forest in the future 30 years. The result indicates that approximately 70 % of agricultural area requires filter strip installation or that approximately 50 % of agricultural area needs to be converted to forest, for 41 % of sediment load reduction.