• 토지주택연구
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.15-26
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• 2020

This study analyzes the Domestic Economic Ripple Effect (DERE) of the Donghae-Bukpuseon Railway (DBR). Input-Output Analysis and Scenario Analysis are employed. First, the future demand is approximately 6.86 billion people, 1.4 billion tons of logistics, and future forecast production is 1.2 trillion won for passengers, and 0.15 trillion won for logistics. Second, the production inducement (PI) coefficient of the railway industry is 2.080, the value-added inducement (VAI) coefficient is 0.680, the import inducement (II) coefficient is 0.32 and the employment inducement (EI) coefficient is 6.45. Third, for the DERE, PI is 2.846 trillion won, VAI is 0.939 trillion won, II is 0.446 trillion won, and EI is 8,737 people/1 billion won. Fourth, PI is approximately 2.8 trillion won, and the payback period is 35 years. Scenario 1 (a 50% increase in the demand for tourism) takes approximately 27 years, Scenario 2 (an 100% increase), 20 years, and Scenario3 (an 150% increase), 16 years. The successful way of the DBR is to enlarge the linkage effect of trans-railways for which international cooperation and agreements are needed. Also, even if the DBR is isolated due to worsening inter-Korea relations, the development of tourism resources is important for public investment feasibility.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.59-72
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• 1999

The purpose of the study is to propose the concrete and realistic alternative measures for $CO_2$ emission reduction on commercial sector. To achieve the purpose, this study adopted AIM/KOREA simulation model modified from AIM(Asia-Pacific Integrated Model) originally developed by Japan National Environmental Research Institute. The results of simulation demonstrate that the $CO_2$ emission from the commercial sector in 1995 was estimated 864 million TC(tons of carbon); however, according to the base scenario, $CO_2$ emission in 2020 is expected to be increased to 1,872 million TC, which is 2.17 times greater than that in 1995. In order to mitigate the ever-increasing $CO_2$ emission, the results of AIM/KOREA simulations under various scenarios showed that the 30-thousand-won carbon tax scenario does not successfully motivate the selection of advanced technology; however, with the 300-thousand-won carbon tax, a substantial amount of $CO_2$ emission reduction by 1.69 million TC from the BaU((Business-as-Usual)scenario is expected to be achieved by year 2020. Such substantial reduction of $CO_2$ emission under the 300-thoudsand-won carbon tax scenario is due to the introduction of advanced technology, such as use of condensing boilers, forced by heavier carbon tax. Under the scenario that presumes the maximum introduction of gas-burning industrial appliances, an 2.66 million TC of $CO_2$ reduction was expected. The results of this study suggest that the $CO_2$ emission reduction measures can be interpreted in many different views. However, if people and industries are fully aware of the economic benefit of energy saving, a certain level of $CO_2$ reduction by a successful introduction of advanced energy saving technology appears to be achieved without carbon tax or subsidies.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.273-280
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• 2021

Financial behavior and financial well-being are two closely related aspects of an individual's financial decision making. This study attempts to investigate the extent to which financial behavior influences financial well-being in the Indian scenario. The data is collected using a structured questionnaire from a sample of 150 respondents. The study employs Financial Management Behaviour Scale (FMBS) (Dew & Xiao, 2012) to measure financial behavior. Factor analysis and multiple regression are performed to find the influence of financial behavior on financial well-being. The findings of the study suggest that except for credit commitment all the other behavioral factors like future security, savings and investments, credit indiscipline, and financial consciousness have a significant impact on the financial well-being of an individual in the Indian scenario. The regression coefficients of financial well-being are strongly determined by financial consciousness. The study is a contribution to the existing behavioral studies literature and the model used identifies the factors that influence the financial well-being in the Indian scenario. The study is conducted during the year 2020, so the results could have been influenced by the economic scenario of the period. The results of the study can be used by financial advisors to understand the financial well-being in the Indian scenario.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제53권6호
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• pp.75-84
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• 2011

The objective of this study is to evaluate the hydrologic impacts of climate and land use changes in a rural small watershed. HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A2 scenario and LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator) were used to generate future climatic data. Future land use data were also generated by the CA-Markov (Cellular Automata-Markov) method. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to evaluate hydrologic impacts. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated with stream flow measured at the Baran watershed in Korea. The SWAT model simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. In this study, hydrologic impacts were analyzed according to three scenarios: future climate change (Scenario I), future land use change (Scenario II), and both future climate and land use changes (Scenario III). For Scenario I, the comparison results between a 30-year baseline period (1997~2004) and a future 30-year period (2011~2040) indicated that the total runoff, surface runoff, lateral subsurface runoff, groundwater discharge, and evapotranspiration increased as precipitation and temperature for the future 30-year period increased. The monthly variation analysis results showed that the monthly runoff for all months except September increased compared to the baseline period. For Scenario II, both the total and surface runoff increased as the built-up area, including the impervious surface, increased, while the groundwater discharge and evapotranspiration decreased. The monthly variation analysis results indicated that the total runoff increased in the summer season, when the precipitation was concentrated. In Scenario III, the results showed a similar trend to that of Scenario II. The monthly runoff for all months except October increased compared to the baseline period.

• 한국게임학회 논문지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.85-96
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• 2002

게임의 비젼을 콘텐츠개발에 있다. 특히, 수준있는 게임 만들기 위해서는 다양한 시나리오의 창작이 시급한 실정이다. 그러기 위해서는 조속히 게임시나리오창작의 저변화가 이루어져야 한다고 생각한다. 또한 유능한 시나리오작가 및 디자이너의 양성을 위해 학문적인 틀이 어느정도 체계화되어야 한다고 사료된다. 본고에서는 게임시나리오창작과정에서 삽입되어져야 할 인터랙티브요소인 아이템요소, 퍼즐요소, 이벤트요소의 유형을 살펴보았다. 인터랙티브요소들이 스토리 진행을 방해하는 요소로 작용되기보다는 자연스럽게 녹아들어 있어야 게임의 완성도를 높인다는 결론을 내리며, 본 연구가 게임 연구자들에게 조금이나마 보탬이 되었으면 하는 바램이다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.227-234
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• 2011

In the study, CE-QUAL-W2 was used and its examination and correction were conducted targeting 2001 and 2003 when the condition of rainfall was contradicted. Using the proved model in 2003, a scenario was implemented with management of locations for dewatering outlets and actual data for dam management in 1987 when inflow and outflow level were almost same. In case of the scenario which the location of dewatering outlets was 5m higher than usual location, exclusion efficiency for turbid water inflow at the beginning of precipitation was good. In case of the scenario which the location of dewatering outlets was 10m lower than usual location, exclusion efficiency for excluding turbid water remained in a reservoir after the end of precipitation. However, the scenario applying dam management data in 1987, exclusion efficiency was relatively low. In the scenario, power-generating water release spot at EL.57m for first four days after the beginning of precipitation, EL.52m for 5th to 8th and EL.42m from 9th days. An analysis of the scenario reveals that both excessive days exceeded 30 NTU and average turbidity levels were decreased comparing before and after the alteration on outlets. The average turbidity levels were decreased by minimum of 55% to maximum of 70% and 30NTU exceeding days were decreased by 45 days at maximum. Also, since it could exclude most of turbid water in a reservoir before the destatifcation, the risk for turbid water evenly distributed in a reservoir along with turn-over could be decreased as well.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.127-134
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• 2013

In this study we investigated changes in the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC) under the global warming scenario RCP 4.5 by analysing the results from the World Climate Research Program's (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Among the four models that had been employed to analyse the Tsushima Warm Current during the 20th Century, in the CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 and HadGEM2-CC models the transports of the Tsushima Warm Current were 2.8 Sv and 2.1 Sv, respectively, and comparable to observed transport, which is between 2.4 and 2.77 Sv. In the other two models the transports were much greater or smaller than the observed estimates. Using the two models that properly reproduced the transport of the Tsushima Warm Current we investigated the response of the current under the global warming scenario. In both models the volume transports and the temperature were greater in the future climate scenario. Warm advection into the East Sea was intensified to raise the temperature and consequently the heat loss to the air.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.28-35
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to develop a training scenario for KA-32T helicopter simulator. First, the concept of training scenario are classified into training elements and training information. Secondly, the training elements are defined according to the property of each element: flight phase, situation, and environment. The main mission of KA-32T on the operation of KFS(Korea Forest Service) is the forest fire extinguishment mission, and it is divided into the two disciplines: water supply and water discharge. Finally the mission scenario for two disciplines are defined and developed as the combination of the normal procedures of training scenario and the mission procedures.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.153-163
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• 2014

본 연구는 건물부문 에너지기기(조명, 가전기기, 냉난방, 공조, 취사 등) 효율개선 정책방향과 탄소세정책을 시나리오로 구성하여 장기 에너지 계획 및 비용최적화 분석이 가능한 MESSAGE 모형을 통해 에너지 소비량과 온실가스 감축잠재량, 총 비용을 분석하였다. 효율개선 시나리오는 2010년부터 2030년까지 기준시나리오 대비 약 5,600천 TOE(전력 2,303 천TOE)의 에너지 저감 효과가 발생하였고, $104MtCO_2eq$의 온실가스를 감축하는 것으로 나타났다. 그에 따른 총 비용은 2,706,993백 만원으로 전망된다. 탄소세적용 시나리오는 $74MtCO_2eq$의 누적 온실가스 감축효과가 발생하였고, 총 비용은 2,776,473백 만원으로 전망된다. 시나리오별 톤당 온실가스 감축비용 범위는 -475~272원/$tCO_2eq$ 사이로 나타나고, 효율개선 축시나리오가 온실가스 감축정책방향으로 우선순위가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다. 향후 건물부문의 온실가스 감축정책은 에너지 효율개선 정책을 우선적으로 펼쳐야 할 것으로 판단된다.

• Water Engineering Research
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• 제1권4호
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• pp.267-277
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• 2000

This study reports an examination of the sensitivity of water resources in the Keum River basin to climate change. Assuming a doubling in $CO_2$ concentrations, a cooperative study provided four climate change scenarios for this study, which have been translated into temperature and precipitation scenarios on a basin scale. The study utilized these temperature and precipitation data for each climate change scenario as inputs to the NWS-PC model to generate the corresponding streamflow scenario over the Keum River basin. A reservoir simulation model for the Dae-Chung Dam in the Keum River basin has been developed with an object-oriented simulation environment, STELLA. For each streamflow scenario, the performance of the reservoir was assessed in terms of reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability. Although the simulation results are heavily dependent on the choice of the climate change scenarios, the following conclusions can be clearly concluded: (1) the future streamflow over the Dae-Chung Dam tends to decease during the dry period, which seriously increases competitive water use issues and (2) flood control issues predominate under the $2CO_2$-High case.