• Title/Summary/Keyword: A Real Estate Market

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ANALYZING THE EFFECT OF THE RESIDENCE AND REAL ESTATE POLICIES ON HOUSING PRICE

  • Jin-Ho Noh;Jae-jun Kim;Sun-Sik Kim;Eun-Jin Ahn;Hye-In Lee;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2007
  • Since the foreign currency crisis, Korean economy has suffered recession and the government launches residence and real estate policy in order to increase the demand and trade of real estate and to help the economy revitalization. 1 As a result, the rate of economy growth is shown the high increase with the figure of 10.9% in 1999 and 8.8% in 2000. However, it brings overheating market as a negative effect. Although, the government established the policy for the control of speculation, the policy causes instability of economy. This study is to analyze the effect between the residence policy and the housing cost since the foreign currency crisis through housing sale price estimation and housing lease price estimation and is to apply the basis data of the next residence policy.

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Elasticity of Demand for Urban Housing in Western China Based on Micro-data - A Case Study of Kunming

  • Zhang, Hong;Li, Shaokai;Kong, Yanhua
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Considering the importance of housing needs to real estate market, domestic studies on real estate prices from the perspective of demand are basically based on macro-data, but relatively few are associated with micro-data of urban real estate demand. We try to find a reliable relation of elasticity of demand and commercial housing market. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, we have derived housing demand theoretic method and have utilized micro-data of residential family housing survey of downtown area in Kunming City in October, 2015 to estimate income elasticity and price elasticity of housing demand respectively and make a comparative analysis. Results - The results indicate that income elasticity and price elasticity of families with owner-occupied housing are both larger than those of families with rental housing. Income elasticity of housing demand of urban residential families in Kunming is far below the foreign average and eastern coastal cities level, however, the corresponding price elasticity is far higher. Conclusions - We suggest that housing affordability of urban families in western China are constrained by the level of economic development, and the current housing price level has exceeded the economic affordability and psychological expectation of ordinary residents. Furthermore, noticing the great rigidity of housing demand, the expansion space of housing market for improvement and for commodity is limited.

Analysis and Visualization of Real Estate Market Price using Elasticsearch (Elasticsearch를 이용한 부동산 시장 가격 분석 및 시각화)

  • Seung-Yeon Hwang;Jeong-Joon Kim
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2024
  • In 2022, we can see the real estate market in Korea going down. Corona 19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine are cited as the biggest causes for this. These two problems ignited the economic recession, causing prices to fall and subsequently raising exchange rates and interest rates. Due to the aforementioned problems in the previously active real estate market, the number of actual transactions has decreased, resulting in a decline in the real estate market due to high interest rates. Data provided by the public data portal, KOSIS, and the Seoul Metropolitan Government were collected through Logstash, transferred to Elasticsearch, and visualized inflation, exchange rates, and loan interest rates using the dashboard function provided by Kibana, to analyze causes and derive results. In addition, three specific apartments in Nowon-gu and Jongno-gu, which have the highest number of actual transactions in Seoul, are selected and the actual transaction prices that change every month are displayed in the Data Table.

An Exploratory study on the demand for training programs to improve Real Estate Agents job performance -Focused on Cheonan, Chungnam- (부동산중개인의 직무능력 향상을 위한 교육프로그램 욕구에 관한 탐색적 연구 -충청남도 천안지역을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jae-Beom
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.3856-3868
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    • 2011
  • Until recently, research trend in real estate has been focused on real estate market and the market analysis. But the studies on real estate training program development for real estate agents to improve their job performance are relatively short in numbers. Thus, this study shows empirical analysis of the needs for the training programs for real estate agents in Cheonan to improve their job performance. The results are as follows. First, in the survey of asking what educational contents they need in order to improve real estate agents' job performance, most of the respondents show their needs for the analysis of house's value, legal knowledge, real estate management, accounting, real estate marketing, and understanding of the real estate policy. This is because they are well aware that the best way of responding to the changing clients' needs comes from training programs. Secondly, asked about real estate marketing strategies, most of respondents showed their awareness of new strategies to meet the needs of clients. This is because new forms of marketing strategies including internet ads are needed in the field as the paradigm including Information Technology changes. Thirdly, asked about the need for real estate-related training programs, 92% of the respondents answered they need real estate education programs run by the continuing education centers of the universities. In addition, the survey showed their needs for retraining programs that utilize the resources in the local universities. Other than this, to have effective and efficient training programs, they demanded running a training system by utilizing the human resources of the universities under the name of the department of 'Real Estate Contract' for real estate agents' job performance. Fourthly, the survey revealed real estate management(44.2%) and real estate marketing(42.3%) is the most chosen contents they want to take in the regular course for improving real estate agents' job performance. This shows their will to understand clients' needs through the mind of real estate management and real estate marketing. The survey showed they prefer the training programs as an irregular course to those in the regular one. Despite the above results, this study chose subjects only in Cheanan and thus it needs to research more diverse areas. The needs of programs to improve real estate agents job performance should be analyzed empirically targeting the real estate agents not just in Cheonan but also cities like Pyeongchon, Ilsan and Bundang in which real estate business is booming, as well as undergraduate and graduate students whose major is real estate studies. These studies will be able to provide information to help develop the customized training programs by evaluating elements that real estate agents need in order to meet clients satisfaction and improve their job performance. Many variables of the program development learned through these studies can be incorporated in the curriculum of the real estate studies and used very practically as information for the development of the real estate studies in this fast changing era.

A Study for the Development of a Bid Price Rate Prediction Model (낙찰률 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Bo-Seung;Kang, Hyun-Cheol;Han, Sang-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2011
  • Property auctions have become a new method for real estate investment because the property auction market grows in tandem with the growth of the real estate market. This study focused on the statistical model for predicting bid price rates which is the main index for participants in the real estate auction market. For estimating the monthly bid price rate, we proposed a new method to make up for the mean of regions and terms as well as to reduce the prediction error using a decision tree analysis. We also proposed a linear regression model to predict a bid price rate for individual auction property. We applied the proposed model to apartment auction property and tried to predict the bid price rate as well as categorize individual auction property into an auction grade.

Factors Affecting the Development of Vietnamese Construction and Real Estate Companies

  • PHAN, Giang Lam;NGUYEN, Thuy Dieu;NGUYEN, Chi Thi;NGUYEN, Lan;TRAN, Le Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate the factors that contribute to the sustainable development of 334 Vietnamese construction and real estate companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Vietnam over a 5-year period from 2016 to 2020. By using regression analysis with the support of STATA software through examining the financial statements, which involves looking into crucial ratios including capital structure, profitability, firm size, accounts receivable management, and tangible assets investment, this study sheds light on whether these accounting indicators could help predict the construction and real estate companies growing potential in the future. Nevertheless, these ratios slightly contribute to the explanation of the change in revenue growth ratio, with a result of 1.6%, indicating that the value relevance of accounting information provides a modest and insignificant effect on investment decisions. This is understandable because the Vietnamese construction and real estate market still has many shortcomings in handling unexpected events, as well as the industry's peculiarities related to major capital sources from bank loans. Based on this study, governmental authorities and business executives should plan appropriate risk management policies and measures to contribute to the sustainable development of construction and real estate companies.

Factors Influencing Debt Maturity Structure of Real Estate Companies Listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange

  • NGUYEN, Thanh Nha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2022
  • The debt maturity structure has a significant impact on a company's financial situation. Any debt maturity structure decisions substantially impact investment decisions due to changes in capital cost and dividend decisions due to cash flow consequences. This study used the system generalized method of moment (Sys-GMM) to investigate the debt maturity structure of real estate companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in the duration from 2008 to 20019. It found that the firm size, liquidity, and tangible assets affected the decision on debt maturity structure. The tangible asset had the most significant impact on the possibility for companies to access long-term loans. This finding revealed that the majority of the real estate companies listed on HOSE borrowed money from banks. Such decisions are most likely affected by the collateral. Another finding of the study is that financial institutions had a major impact on loan maturity structure, whereas the effects of the financial market were negligible. Besides, the real estate companies listed on HOSE seemed not to pay attention to changes in inflation, economic growth, and institutional qualities when deciding on the debt maturity structure.

Sentiment Analysis of News Based on Generative AI and Real Estate Price Prediction: Application of LSTM and VAR Models (생성 AI기반 뉴스 감성 분석과 부동산 가격 예측: LSTM과 VAR모델의 적용)

  • Sua Kim;Mi Ju Kwon;Hyon Hee Kim
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2024
  • Real estate market prices are determined by various factors, including macroeconomic variables, as well as the influence of a variety of unstructured text data such as news articles and social media. News articles are a crucial factor in predicting real estate transaction prices as they reflect the economic sentiment of the public. This study utilizes sentiment analysis on news articles to generate a News Sentiment Index score, which is then seamlessly integrated into a real estate price prediction model. To calculate the sentiment index, the content of the articles is first summarized. Then, using AI, the summaries are categorized into positive, negative, and neutral sentiments, and a total score is calculated. This score is then applied to the real estate price prediction model. The models used for real estate price prediction include the Multi-head attention LSTM model and the Vector Auto Regression model. The LSTM prediction model, without applying the News Sentiment Index (NSI), showed Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of 0.60, 0.872, and 1.117 for the 1-month, 2-month, and 3-month forecasts, respectively. With the NSI applied, the RMSE values were reduced to 0.40, 0.724, and 1.03 for the same forecast periods. Similarly, the VAR prediction model without the NSI showed RMSE values of 1.6484, 0.6254, and 0.9220 for the 1-month, 2-month, and 3-month forecasts, respectively, while applying the NSI led to RMSE values of 1.1315, 0.3413, and 1.6227 for these periods. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in predicting apartment transaction price index and its ability to forecast real estate market price fluctuations that reflect socio-economic trends.

Exploring Alternative Real Estate Assessment Systems in Korea (부동산가격공시제도의 문제점과 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Koo Dong-Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.3 s.114
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    • pp.267-282
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    • 2006
  • Korea officially appraises and publicizes three different values of the land and buildings for the same lot. The values are assessed by the Ministry of Construction and Transportation, the Ministry of Government Administration and Home Affairs, and National Tax Service. A fundamental problem of this appraisal system is that the values of land and buildings are separately assessed, even though they are bought and sold as a single entity in the real estate market. In order to solve this problem, an alternative real estate assessment system should be developed by the central government.

Development of Evaluation Criteria for Real Estate Development Projects (부동산 개발사업 평가기준 및 지표 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Il;Bae, Yu-Jin;Chang, Chul-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2015
  • Real estate market has rapidly grown by active use of project financing in the early 2000s. However, many projects have been in trouble due to global economic recession after that period. It is mainly because those projects were pushed forward a business without comprehensive business feasibility analysis. This paper investigated current evaluation system for real estate development projects and then introduced new evaluation system including evaluation factor and criteria for real estate development projects to prevent implementation of the project without business value and to be able to evaluate potential projects in objective manner. This new evaluation system for real estate development projects can be applied to any type of real estate development projects by modifying evaluation items and weighting factor in accordance with the type and characteristics of project. Through the new evaluation system, the evaluation process for real estate development projects will be able to be standardized, be consistent, and the results of evaluation can be accumulated in consistent way.