• Title/Summary/Keyword: 5대 강력범죄

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Spatio-temporal analysis with risk factors for five major violent crimes (위험요인이 포함된 시공간 모형을 이용한 5대 강력범죄 분석)

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok;Seo, Jung-In
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.619-629
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    • 2022
  • The five major violent crimes including murder, robbery, rape·forced indecent act, theft, and violence are representative crimes that threaten the safety of members of society and occur frequently in real life. These crimes have negative effects such as lowering the quality of citizens' life. In the case of Seoul, the capital of Korea, the risk for the five major violent crimes is increasing because the population density of Seoul is increasing as a large number of people in the provinces move to Seoul. In this study, to reduce this risk, the relative risk for the occurrence of the five major violent crimes in Seoul is modeled using three spatio-temporal models. In addition, various risk factors are included to identify factors that significantly affect the relative risk of the five major violent crimes. The best model is selected in terms of the deviance information criterion, and the analysis results including various visualizations for the best model are provided. This study will help to establish efficient strategies to sustain people's safe everyday living by analyzing important risk factors affecting the risk of the five major violent crimes and the relative risk of each region.

A study on the violent crime and control factors in Korea (한국의 강력 범죄 발생 추이 및 통제 요인 연구)

  • Kwon, Tae Yeon;Jeon, Saebom
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1511-1523
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    • 2016
  • The increasing trend of the five violent crimes (murder, robbery, rape, violence, theft) in Korea is not independent of social and economic factors. Several social science research have discussed about this issue but most of them do not properly reflect the nature of the time-series data. Based on several time series models, we studied about the endogenous factors (time, seasonal and cycle factors) and exogenous factors (economical, social change and crime control factors) on violent crime occur in Korea. Autocorrelation were also taken into account. Through this study, we want to help to make preventive policy by explaining the cause of violent crime and predicting the future incidence of it.

Analysis of Violent Crime Count Data Based on Bivariate Conditional Auto-Regressive Model (이변량 조건부자기회귀모형을이용한강력범죄자료분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.413-421
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we considered bivariate conditional auto-regressive model taking into account spatial association as well as correlation between the two dependent variables, which are the counts of murder and burglary. We conducted likelihood ratio test for checking over-dispersion issues prior to applying spatial poisson models. For the real application, we used the annual counts of violent crimes at 25 districts of Seoul in 2007. The statistical results are visually illustrated by geographical information system.

A study of improved ways of the predicted probability to criminal types (범죄유형별 범죄발생 예측확률을 높일 수 있는 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Young-Suk;Kim, Jin-Mook;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2012
  • Modern society, various great strength crimes are producing. After all crimes happen, it is most important that prevent crime beforehand than that cope. So, many research studied to prevent various crime. However, existing method of studies are to analyze and prevent by society and psychological factors. Therefore we wishes to achieve research to forecast crime by time using Markov chain method. We embody modelling for crime occurrence estimate by crime type time using crime occurrence number of item data that is collected about 5 great strength offender strength, murder, rape, moderation, violence. And examined propriety of crime occurrence estimate modelling by time that propose in treatise that compare crime occurrence type crime occurrence estimate price and actuality occurrence value. Our proposed crime occurrence estimate techniques studied to apply maximum value by critcal value about great strength crime such as strength, murder, rape etc. actually, and heighten crime occurrence estimate probability by using way to apply mean value about remainder crime in this paper. So, we wish to more study about wide crime case and as the crime occurrence estimate rate and actuality value by time are different in crime type hereafter applied examples investigating.

Application of Crime Prevention Design based on Public Data Analysis: Focusing on Seoul (공공데이터분석 기반 범죄예방환경설계 적용 : 서울시 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sung-Jun
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.60
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    • pp.91-111
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    • 2019
  • Violent crimes have increased continuously due to the development of urban society and have become a threatening factor against the residential safety of citizens. The prevention of these crimes is always a major topic in human society and one of the fundamental elements of the quality of life and safety of citizens. In recent years, much attention has been paid to environmental design through the Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design (CPTED) as a preventive measure. Currently, South Korea is promoting the openness and utilization of public data, and crime prevention is one of the fields that can utilize public data actively. This approach to crime prevention utilizing public data will be helpful for the proposal of policies from new viewpoints departing from the general utilization measures of CPTED that improve streetlights and closed-circuit television (CCTV) installations, whose limitations have been pointed out as they are only mechanical surveillance. Thus, this study sets the research scope based on the statistics of the status of five criminal offenses by administrative district in recent years provided by the data portal in Seoul City, the capital of South Korea, as the utilization data and concentrates on the analysis. Based on the analysis results, this study proposes a method to utilize classical music as a new policy for regions where the improvements are most needed. The open-source Python analysis program was employed as the main data analysis and visualization method.

The Trend of Aviation Terrorism in the 4th Industrial Revolution Period and the Development Direction for Domestic Counter Terrorism of Aviation (제4차 산업혁명 시대의 항공 테러리즘 양상 및 국내 항공테러 대응체계 발전방향)

  • Hwang, Ho-Won;Kim, Seung-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.155-188
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    • 2017
  • On the one hand, the 4th Industrial Revolution provides a positive opportunity to build a new civilization paradigm for mankind. However, on the other hand, due to the 4th Industrial Revolution, artificial intelligence such as 'Goggle Alpha Go' revolutionized and even the human ability was replaced with a 'Silicon Chip' as the opportunity to communicate decreases, the existence of human beings is weakened. And there is a growing concern that the number of violent crimes, such as psychopath, which hunts humans as games, will increase. Moreover, recent international terrorism is being developed in a form similar to 'Psychopathic Violent-Crime' that indiscriminately attacks innocent people. So, the probability that terrorist organizations abuse the positive effects provided by the Fourth Industrial Revolution as means of terrorism is increasing. Therefore, the paradigm of aviation terrorism is expected to change in a way that attacks airport facilities and users rather than aircraft. Because airport facilities are crowded, and psychopathic terrorists are easily accessible. From this point of view, our counter terrorism system of aviation has many weak points in various aspects such as: (1) limitations of counter-terrorism center (2) inefficient on-site command and control system (3) separated organization for aviation security consultation (4) dispersed information collection function in government (5) vulnerable to cyber attack (6) lack of international cooperation network for aviation terrorism. Consequently, it is necessary to improve the domestic counter terrorism system of aviation so as to preemptively respond to the international terrorism. This study propose the following measures to improve the aviation security system by (1) create 'Aviation Special Judicial Police' (2) revise the anti-terrorism law and aviation security law (3) Strengthening the ability respond to terrorism in cyberspace (4) building an international cooperation network for aviation terrorism.

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A Study on the Linkage between Intelligent Security Technology based on Spatial Information and other Technologies for Demonstration of Convergence Technology (융복합 기술 실증을 위한 공간정보 기반 지능형 방범 기술과 타 분야 기술 간 연계 방안 연구)

  • Shin, Young-Seob;Han, Sun-Hee;Yu, In-Jae;Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.622-632
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    • 2018
  • With the recent changes in the social environment, the growth in the so-called 'five major crimes' has been highlighted as one of the causes of anxiety in Koreans' lives. Many attempts have been made to solve this problem; however, it is still difficult to secure the location information of the socially vulnerable in emergency situations and to precisely identify the features and clothing of criminals and track them using current image analysis technology. Therefore, the development of precision positioning technology and support services along with intelligent security service technology based on spatial information has been given a high priority. This study suggested measures that could be continuously applied to link technologies and services with high linkability by analyzing technologies based on spatial information and other fields. To establish measures for linkage between intelligent security technology and other technologies and services, this study analyzed the existing technologies and research trends in intelligent security technology, and reviewed linkable services according to five criteria established to evaluate their linkability. Based on this analysis, three technologies with high linkability were ultimately selected, and measures for linkage were established. It is expected that the linkage measures derived using the objective evaluation criteria will serve as a stepping stone for promoting active technology linkage and commercialization in the future, even after the completion of this study.