• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.81-88
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• 2008

This paper presents the travel demand estimation using interval estimation methods during the trip generation stage, and then followed the other three stages of the four stage trip estimation. We have used real data of Dae-jun City. To estimate travel demand using the interval estimation method, a reliability level was set to 95% by a upper bound value, a middle value and a lower bound value. The four stage traffic demand analysis procedure was equally applied and finally interval traffic was estimated. The result showed a difference between maximum values and middle values depending on the destination during the trip generation stage. It depends on an explanation ability of regression analysis. Most of interval estimation ratio resulted in the traffic assignment stage showed ${\pm}5{\sim}18%$ difference on the average and ${\pm}30{\sim}50%$ at the most.

• Journal of vocational education research
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• 제35권4호
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• pp.1-18
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• 2016

The purposes of this study is to verify additional demand of students for secondary vocational education, and draw political implications. To meet the purposes, firstly we analyzed current policies on the secondary vocational education. Second, we divided additional demand of students for secondary vocational education into practical and potential demand. Practical demand by students who would like to take further vocational education in secondary education system includes students who hoped to enter vocational high school however they failed to go, the first or second year students who transferred from general high school to vocational high school, and the third year students who are in general high school would like to take commissioned vocational courses. Potential demand is an additional demand for secondary vocational education in a society perspective. This includes a student who downgraded employment even though they entered college or university after graduated general high-school. Comparing the result of this study with the entrance quota of vocational high-school, additional demand of students for secondary vocational education showed that accounted for 61.2 percent of the entrance quota year 2015. Specifically, potential demand accounts for 31.7 percent of the entrance quota for vocational high school and practical demand accounts for 29.5 percent.

• The Journal of Information Technology
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.173-183
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• 2002

In this paper, we propose an efficient forecasting methodology of the mid and long-term frequency demand in Korea. The methodology consists of the following three steps: classification of basic service group, calculation of effective traffic, and frequency forecasting. Based on the previous studies, we classify the services into wide area mobile, short range radio, fixed wireless access and digital video broadcasting in the step of the classification of basic service group. For the calculation of effective traffic, we use the measures of erlang and bps. The step of the calculation of effective traffic classifies the user and basic application, and evaluates the effective traffic. Finally, in the step of frequency forecasting, different methodology will be proposed for each service group.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.33-42
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• 2004

지하철역별 수요는 개통 후 경과 연도에 따라서 S자 형태로 증가한다. 즉 개통 초기에는 잠재되어 있던 지하철 수요가 시간의 경과에 따라 계속적으로 증가하다가, 개통 후 10$\sim$13년 정도가 경과하면 최대를 나타낸 후 거의 정체하는 현상을 보인다. 그러나 지금까지 지하철 수요를 추정하기 위해서 이용되었던 4단계 모형은 이러한 지하철 수요의 증가 추세를 반영할 수 없기 때문에 실제 수요와 많은 차이를 보였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제를 해결해 보고자 서울시 지하철 2$\sim$8호선의 실제 수요를 토대로 지하철역별 수요, 특히 순수한 승차인원을 추정하는 모형을 개발하였다. 모형에 적용되는 함수식은 실제 지하철역별 수요와 가장 유사한 형태를 보이고 있는 로지스틱 함수식을 이용하였다. 또한 각각의 지하철역별로 나타나는 상이한 특성은 카테고리로 분류하여 모형에 반영하였다. 카테고리는 토지이용도, 사회경제활동의 규모, 그리고 지하철역의 특성에 따라 분류하였다. 각 카테고리별 특성을 대표하는 독립 변수로 인구 종사자수, 학생수와 개통 후 경과 연도 등을 선정하였다. 그 결과 카테고리별로 추정된 지하철역별 수요는 통계적으로 매우 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 지하철역별로 승차하는 순수한 수요를 보다 정확하게 추정하기 위한 모형을 개발하는 것이 주된 목적이다. 반면에 본 모형을 이용하여 지하철역별 하차 수요 및 횐승 수요를 추정하는 것은 어렵다. 따라서 기존에 지하철 수요를 추정하는 데에 가장 많이 사용된 4단계 모형과 접목하여야 하며, 이에 대한 방안도 본 연구에서 제시하였다.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.383-392
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• 1990

This study found that that dynamics of intensity of use and economic theory of derived demand can both be accommodated through an extensive translog demand model. The basic idea in this recognition is that the skewed life cycle empirical pattern of intensity of use plotted against per capita income is of lognormal form and this lognomal intensity of use model can be mathematically transformed into an eqivalent simple translog intensity of use model. Empirical results showed that this extensive traslog model, which is a flexible function and includes both the classical case of fixed coefficients and the dynamic case of varying coefficients of the explanatory variables, gave better forecasts than the original intensity of use model and other conventional models.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• 제9권8호
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• pp.99-112
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• 2009

The research is to develop U-IT Technology Transfer Re-auction System Model for technology transfer enable transactions of buyer-oriented. The buyer sends condition technology parts and data informations to provider. The First step, The buyer sends condition technology parts and data informations to provider. The Second step, the buyer's technology and conditions in the First step will be transferred to the DB of a provider who can provide that technology. The Third step, a provider can bid after inputting the conditions. The Fourth step, the buyer decides the ranking of successful bids in condition-optimized auction process. The Fifth step, the buyer invites a provider to be a successful bidder. The last step, if there's no successful bid within the period, the sale considered failed. The buyer-oriented re-auction system is that the deal will become extinct automatically when its sale failed more than two times.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.2122-2136
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• 2010

Existing model formula in the 4 phase model is limited in the estimation of the demand for urban railway because the administrative region-based formula reflects no spatial characteristics of station surrounding area(SSA) that urban railway forms. The purpose of this study is both to analyse the behavior in selecting the method regarding spatial range of SSA and to do the basic research for the development of new model through the survey conducted in the stations of the metropolitan area. This study will review the domestic and foreign cases about designation of SSA, study the spatial range of SSA through case studies, analyze the selection of methods by the spatial range and estimate the demand of the station on the basis of social and economic indices regarding SSA. This study focuses on the verification of real results and model estimates, due to the time constraint and lack of resources for collecting and analysing the data. According to this study, 500m,1000m division of SSA shows the closest results of the model estimates to the real demand of the targeted stations.

• 방재와보험
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• 통권124호
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• pp.72-73
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• 2008

인천국제공항이 세계 초일류 메가허브공항으로 도약하기 위해 더 큰 날개를 펼치고 있다. 향후 증가할 항공수요를 감당하기 위해 4단계 건설을 추진하고 있으며, 그 중 2단계 사업으로서 탑승동 A를 건설, 2008년 6월에 선보일 예정이다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.31-48
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• 1993

본 연구에서는 다른 기종점 통행표(Trip Matrices)들을 같은 교통망(Network)에 배정하였을 때 교통분배 결과의 차이점들을 분석하고 교통분배의 민감도를 비교하였다. 전통적인 4단계 교통수요 추정에 의해서 산출된 교통배분을 비교의 기본자료로 이용했다. 또한 본 연구에서는 교통배분의 결과를 평가하기 위해 주로 사용하는 측정효과들과 교통배분의 기법들(Traffic Assignment Techniques)의 민감도도 연구조사하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 총교통량(Total Trips)과 통행길이빈도(Trip Length Frequency)제약에 의해 임의로 선출된 기종점 통행표를 이용한 교통배분의 결과는 전통적인 4단계 교통수요 측정에 의해 산출된 교통배분 및 조사교통량(Counted Traffic Volumes)에 매우 유사한 결과가 나왔다. 결론적으로 죤별 통행발생량에서의 오차는 교통배분의 본성적인 집계특성(Aggregative Nature)에 의하여 그 심각성이 감소되는 경향이 있다. 이것은 즉 앞단계(Trip Generation and Distribution Phases)에서 전통적으로 요구되어지는 정밀도가 없어도 적절한 교통배분기법을 사용함으로써 좋은 결과를 산출할 수 있다는 것을 암시한다.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.467-474
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• 2015

This study is about the demand survey of R&D for preventing disaster and safety accidents. The results are as follows. First, the priorities of technology development is shown in the following order: natural disasters, human and social disaster, and safety accidents. Second, the amount of R&D investment is shown in the following order in respect of disaster management phase: prevention, preparedness, response and recovery. However, investment in the recovery phase was low. Third, it was concentrated on some types the demands of technological development in the public sector. There is a possibility of duplication of technology development in government investment. Suggest that interagency cooperation is required.