• Title/Summary/Keyword: 3차원 가뭄사상

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Development of Drought Map Based on Three-dimensional Spatio-temporal Analysis of Drought (가뭄사상에 대한 3차원적 시공간 분석을 통한 가뭄지도 개발)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2020
  • A drought event is characterized by duration, severity and affected area. In general, after calculating a drought index using hydro-meteorological time series at a station, a drought event is defined based on the run theory to identify the beginning and end time. However, this one-dimensional analysis has limitations for analyzing the spatio-temporal occurrence characteristics and movement paths of drought. Therefore, this study is to define a three-dimensional drought event using a simple clustering algorithm and to develop a drought map that can be used to understand the drought severity according to the spatio-temporal expansion of drought. As a result, compared with the two-dimensional monitoring information to show spatial distribution of drought index, a proposed drought map is able to show three-dimensional drought characteristics inclusing drought duration, spatial cumulative severity, and centroid of drought. The analysis of drought map indicated that there was a drought event which had the affected area less than 10 % while on occations while there were 11 drought events (44 %) which had the affected area more a than 90 % of the total area. This means that it is important to understand the relationship between spatial variation of drought affected area and severity corresponding to various drought durations. The development of drought map based on three-dimensional drought analysis is useful to analyze the spatio-temporal occurrence characteristics and propagation patterns of regional drought which can be utilized in developing mitigation measures for future extreme droughts.

Characterizing three-dimensional drought events and spatio-temporal migration patterns (3차원적 가뭄사상 특성 분석 및 시공간적 이동 패턴 분석)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Yoo, Do-Guen;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.1025-1031
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    • 2019
  • There are various research works on the spatio-temporal drought analysis because spatio-temporal behaviors of drought are essential for understanding the development and migration patterns of drought events. This study quantified three-dimensional drought events using the 6-month Standard Precipitation Index (SPI6). A total of 45 drought events were found during the analysis period, and the migration patterns of drought event in South Korea were analyzed using the centers of drought events. In South Korea, more droughts were migrated frequently in the north/south direction than in the east/west direction. In addition, droughts moving eastward have decreased since 2000, while droughts moving northward have been found to be longer. The results of spatio-temporal drought analysis may be highly utilized for understanding drought development and migration patterns.

Analysis of Drought Propagation from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Considering Spatio-temporal Moving Pattern of Drought Events (가뭄사상의 시공간적 이동 패턴을 고려한 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로의 전이 분석)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;So, Byung-Jin;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2020
  • Natural drought is a three-dimensional phenomenon that simultaneously evolves in time and space. To evaluate the link between meteorological and hydrological droughts, we defined a drought event from a three-dimensional perspective and analyzed the propagation characteristics in time and spaces. Overall results indicated that 77 % of the total cases of spatio-temporal droughts was propagated based on the single category relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought events, while 23 % was affected by multiple meteorological drought events to the occurrence of hydrological drougts. Especially, it turned out that the hydrological drought was caused by the spatio-temporal effects of the propagation of four meteorological drought events generated due to long-term lack of precipitation in 1994-1995. In addition, the meteorological drought caused by the lack of precipitation in the summer of 2001 lasted for several months, and was propagated to the hydrological drought in April 2002.

Estimation of drought risk through the bivariate drought frequency analysis using copula functions (코플라 함수를 활용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 우리나라 가뭄 위험도 산정)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Yoo, Ji Young;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tea-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2016
  • The drought is generally characterized by duration and severity, thus it is required to conduct the bivariate frequency analysis simultaneously considering the drought duration and severity. However, since a bivariate joint probability distribution function (JPDF) has a 3-dimensional space, it is difficult to interpret the results in practice. In order to suggest the technical solution, this study employed copula functions to estimate an JPDF, then developed conditional JPDFs on various drought durations and estimated the critical severity corresponding to non-exceedance probability. Based on the historical severe drought events, the hydrologic risks were investigated for various extreme droughts with 95% non-exceedance probability. For the drought events with 10-month duration, the most hazardous areas were decided to Gwangju, Inje, and Uljin, which have 1.3-2.0 times higher drought occurrence probabilities compared with the national average. In addition, it was observed that southern regions were much higher drought prone areas than northern and central areas.

Analysis of Changes of Spatio-Temporal Drought Characteristics Using Three-Dimensional Drought Maps (3차원 가뭄지도를 활용한 시공간적 가뭄 특성 변화 분석)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.209-215
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    • 2020
  • In order to understand the characteristics of natural droughts, it is very important to interpret the spatio-temporal relationship between different types of droughts. In this study, meteorological and hydrological drought events were defined to account for the overlap between drought duration and spatial extent in three dimensions (i.e., latitude, longitude, and timing). In other words, the spatio-temporal drought propagation characteristics were analyzed based on the drought characteristic factors (duration, area, depth, center). The drought map considering the characteristics of spatio-temporal drought propagation can be used to find the fundamental cause of the hydrological drought which is expected to frequently occur in the future. In addition, the drought map is expected to be useful in preparing an effective drought response plan.

Recognition of Natural Disasters in the Unified Shilla Dynasty - Focusing on the Natural Thoughts - (통일 신라 왕조의 자연재해 인식-자연사상을 중심으로)

  • KANG, Chul-Sung
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzed and examined the entries of natural disasters recorded in Samguk-sagi in relation to the natural thoughts. In the ancient Korean view of nature thought the Unified Shilla dynasty surveyed their view on nature in terms of terrestrial upheavals. In the first place, I came to know that the important natural disasters such as droughts, floods, hails, locusts, earthquakes, thunderstroke, storms uprooting trees, tornado etc. recorded in Samguk-sagi have something in common with the entries of natural disasters in the ancient Chinese histories. Accordingly, they interpreted natural disasters in terms of good omens and heavenly punishments. The king refrained from luxurious food and drink, released prisoners or reduced their sentence as a sign of his benevolence. They thought that natural disasters were caused by the heavenly instruction due to lack of virtue on the part of the king. I think that these were acts of ritual on the part of the king as a ruler to fulfill his responsibility for a benevolent administration.

A Study on Linking K-DRUM and MODFLOW (강우유출모형(K-DRUM)과 지하수유동모형(MODFLOW) 연계에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Gu Young;Hur, Young Teck;Park, Jin Hyeog;Jang, Su Hyung;Kim, Byung Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화는 물 관리 측면에서 많은 변화를 일으키는 것으로 보고되고 있다. 주로 강우의 패턴을 변화시키며, 가용수자원의 지역적 편중을 심화시킨다. 기후변화에 적응하며 안정적이고 균등한 용수확보를 위해서는 홍수와 가뭄을 고려한 연속적인 물 순환 해석기술이 필요하다. 강우유출분석은 강우사상에 대한 수문순환과정을 통해 유출량을 산출하는 것으로, 주로 직접유출과 중간유출이 이에 해당된다. 강우발생 이후 무강우기간에 대해서는 기저시간 이후에 발생되는 유출량의 정량적 산출이 필요하다. 기저유출은 강우 발생 시점에 급격히 발생하기보다는 선행강우에 따른 유역 내 지하수위 분포와 대수층의 특성, 하천수위에 따라 다양한 패턴으로 나타나기 때문에 지하수대의 수리학적 성분들을 반영할 수 있어야 한다. 이를 위해서는 강우유출모의 시 지표유출량 산정과 지하수유동해석을 통한 기저유출량 산정이 동시에 이루어져야 한다. 최근 국내외에서는 다양한 형태의 수문모형과 MODFLOW를 연계한 장기유출분석에 대한 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서 활용한 K-DRUM(K-water Distribution Runoff Model)은 K-water에서 자체 개발한 물리적 기반의 분포형 강우유출모형으로 강우유출, 유사, 기초수질항목에 대한 3차원 분석이 가능하다. 본 모형의 A층(표층)은 지표유출을 고려한 운동파법이 적용되었고, B층과 C층(중간층), D층(지하수층)은 선형저류법이 적용되었다. MODFLOW(A Modular Three-Dimensional Finite-Difference Ground Water Flow Model)는 1980년대 USGS(United State Geolog ical Survey)에서 개발된 가장 범용적으로 사용되는 지하수유동모형이며, 모듈화 된 구조를 갖고 있어 다양한 패키지 중 필요로 하는 기능을 독립적으로 모의할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 향후 기후변화에 따른 강우의 불확실성에 대비한 유역의 장기 물순환 해석을 위해 강우유출모형인 K-DRUM과 지하수유동모형인 MODFLOW를 연계하고자한다. 연계방법은 K-DRUM에서 계산된 D층으로 침루되는 양을 MODFLOW의 함양량으로 적용하고, MODFLOW에서 산출된 기저유량을 K-DRUM의 하천유출에 적용하는 것이다. 본 연구의 성과를 갈수기 유출해석에 적용하면 정확성을 크게 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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