• Title/Summary/Keyword: 3국 모형

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Determines of Asymmetric Conflict and Cooperation Process between the EU and the DPRK(1948-2007) (유럽연합(EU)과 북한(DPRK) 간 비대칭적 갈등과 협력 과정의 결정요인 모형에 관한 연구(1948-2007))

  • Kim, SungHyoung
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.3-30
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    • 2010
  • The focus of this paper is the determines of asymmetric cooperation between the European Union(and EC) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea(DPRK). By analyzing the varying degree of cooperation and conflict by the EU and the DPRK, it argues that the outcomes of the asymmetric cooperation and conflict can be fully explained by the domestic and international variables.

A study on the imputation solution for missing speed data on UTIS by using adaptive k-NN algorithm (적응형 k-NN 기법을 이용한 UTIS 속도정보 결측값 보정처리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Jeong;Bae, Gwang-Soo;Ahn, Gye-Hyeong;Ki, Yong-Kul;Ahn, Yong-Ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 2014
  • UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System) directly collects link travel time in urban area by using probe vehicles. Therefore it can estimate more accurate link travel speed compared to other traffic detection systems. However, UTIS includes some missing data caused by the lack of probe vehicles and RSEs on road network, system failures, and other factors. In this study, we suggest a new model, based on k-NN algorithm, for imputing missing data to provide more accurate travel time information. New imputation model is an adaptive k-NN which can flexibly adjust the number of nearest neighbors(NN) depending on the distribution of candidate objects. The evaluation result indicates that the new model successfully imputed missing speed data and significantly reduced the imputation error as compared with other models(ARIMA and etc). We have a plan to use the new imputation model improving traffic information service by applying UTIS Central Traffic Information Center.

Verification on the Application of Monitoring for Frame Structures Using the VRS-RTK Method through the Free Vibration Test (자유 진동 실험을 통한 VRS-RTK 기법을 이용한 골조 구조물의 모니터링 적용성 검토)

  • Choi, Se-Woon;Park, Hyo-Seon;Kim, Bub-Ryur;Lee, Hong-Min;Kim, You-Sok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 2014
  • To monitor the wind-induced responses of buildings, conventional real-time kinematic (RTK) methods based on two global positioning system (GPS) receivers (e.g., a reference and a rover) are widely applied. However, these methods can encounter problems such as difficulty in securing and maintaining a space for a reference station. With the recently developed virtual reference station (VRS)-RTK approach, the position of a structure can be measured using only a rover receiver. In this study, to evaluate the applicability of VRS-RTK methods in monitoring the lateral structural responses of frame structures, we performed free vibration tests on a one-story frame model (the first natural frequency of 1 Hz) and a three-story frame model (the first natural frequency of 0.85 Hz). To assess the reliability of the displacement and acceleration responses measured by the GPS, we performed a concurrent measurement using laser displacement sensors and an accelerometer. The accelerometer results were consistent with the GPS measurements in terms of the time history and frequency content. Furthermore, to derive an appropriate sampling rate for the continuous monitoring of buildings, the errors in the displacement responses were evaluated at different GPS sampling rates (5, 10, 20 Hz). The results indicate that as the sampling rate increased, the errors in the displacement responses decreased. In addition, in the three-story model, all modal components (first, second, and third modes) could be recorded at a sampling rate of 20 Hz.

Two Economic Crisis and Dollarization for Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam (양대 경제위기와 달러화 현상: 캄보디아, 라오스, 베트남 사례 연구)

  • Ra, Hee-Ryang
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.125-153
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문에서는 아시아 경제위기(1997-2000)와 글로벌 경제위기(2007-2010)의 양대 경제위기 이후 진행된 동남아시아 지역의 달러화 현상에 대해 후발국이면서 체제전환국 성격이 강한 캄보디아, 라오스, 베트남을 중심으로 분석하였다. 이를 위해 로하스-수아레즈(Rojas-Suarez 1992) 모형을 활용하여 양대 경제위기의 위 3개국의 달러화 현상에 대한 영향을 비교 분석하였다. 동 모델에 의하면 경제위기는 자국화폐에 대한 신뢰를 떨어뜨려 자국 화폐가치에 대한 예상평가절하율(예상환율상승률)이 크면 클수록 자국화폐 대비 달러화에 대한 수요는 증가될 것으로 예상된다. 분석 결과 아시아 경제위기의 경우 모델의 예상대로 자국 화폐의 예상평가절하 시 달러화의 수요를 나타내는 탄력성 계수가 통계적으로 유의하였다. 국가별로는 캄보디아, 라오스, 베트남의 순서로 탄력성이 크게 나타났으며 이는 각 국의 달러화 수준과 비례하는 결과이다. 이에 비해 글로벌 경제위기의 경우에는 캄보디아를 제외하면 탄력성 계수가 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 캄보디아의 경우에도 탄력성 계수가 아시아 경제위기의 경우에 비해 감소된 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 달러화 현상에 있어서 아시아 경제위기에 비해 글로벌 경제위기의 영향이 상대적으로 작다는 것을 의미한다. 이는 동남아시아에 대한 글로벌 경제위기의 부정적 영향이 상대적으로 작았다는 기존의 연구들의 주장과 일치한다.

Runoff Analysis of Urban Drainage Using DR3M-II (DR3M-II를 이용한 도시배수유역의 유출해석)

  • Min, Sang-Gi;Lee, Kil-Choon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.9 s.158
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    • pp.699-711
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    • 2005
  • In this study, the U.S. Geological Survey's DR3M-II(Distributed Routing Rainfall-Runoff Model) was applied for small urban drainage. DR3M-II is a watershed model for routing storm runoff through a branched system of pipes and natural channels using rainfall input. The model was calibrated and verified using short term rainfall-runoff data collected from Sanbon basin. Also, the parameters were optimized using Rosenbrock technic. An estimated simulation error for peak discharge was about 7.4 percent and the result was quite acceptable. Results of the sensitivity analysis indicate that the percent of effective impervious area and ${\alpha}$ defining surface slope and roughness were the most sensitive variables affecting runoff volumes and peak discharge for low and high intensity storm respectively. In most cases, soil moisture accounting and infiltration parameters are the variables that give more effects to runoff volumes than peak discharge. Parameter ${\alpha}$ showed the opposite result.

Impact of extreme annual weather variability on soil moisture and nitrogen age (가뭄과 홍수의 연간 변동성이 토양 수분 및 질소 나이에 미치는 영향)

  • Woo, Dong Kook;Kumar, Praveen
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.70-70
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    • 2021
  • 강수의 변동성 중 특히 가뭄과 홍수의 급격한 연간 변화는 기후변화로 인하여 근래에 많이 발생하고 있다. 가뭄이 발생한 이후 홍수가 발생하거나 그와 반대의 현상이 발생하는 것을 날씨 편달(weather whiplash)라고 한다. 이러한 현상은 토양에 매설되어 수분을 저감하는 배수시설로 인하여 토양 수분 변동 및 무기질소 손실에 지배적은 영향을 준다. 이러한 질소 손실은 부영양화를 일으켜 생태계에 막대한 영향을 미치게 된다. 하지만, 토양 무기질소는 토양에서 체류시간이 길기 때문에 강우 변동성에 의해 발생하는 상호작용을 특정하고 분석하기에는 많은 어려움이 따른다. 이 문제를 해결하고자 이번 연구에서는 생태수문모형과 생물지질모형을 결함한 3차원 모델인 Dhara를 이용하여 토양 배수시설에서 유출되는 무기 질소의 농도 및 나이를 분석하였다. 여기서 나이란 화합물이 발생 하여 다른 형태로 변화하는데 걸리는 시간을 의미한다. 집중적으로 관리되는 경작지에 Dhara 모형을 적용하여 본 연구를 수행하였다. 토양 수분과 질소의 나이를 분석한 결과 반응 화합물인 질소의 경우 토양 수분(비반응 화합물)과 비교하여 이전의 강우상태에 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 분석이 되었다. 가뭄이후 홍수가 발생할 때 배수시설에서 발생하는 질소의 유출이 그 반대 기상 환경인 홍수 이후 가뭄이 발생할 때 보다 더 많이 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 배수 흐름의 경우 질소의 거동과 반대하는 현상을 보였다. 이러한 결과는 질소유출 저감하여 강 및 바다에서 부영양화를 감소하기 위해 강수의 변동성과 연계하여 분석한다면 새로운 질소유출 저감 대책을 수립할 수 있는 가능성을 보여주었다.

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Are Korean Smokers Rational Addicts\ulcorner: An Analysis of Cigarette Consumption by the Rational Addiction Model (한국의 흡연자는 합리적 중독자인가 \ulcorner : 합리적 중독 모형(Rational Addiction Model)에 의한 담배소비 분석)

  • 이종국;공문기;이회경
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 1999
  • In this study. we present a modified rational addiction model which incorporates social-psychological factors. This is done through a utility function which includes social-psychological factors as its component. We apply this model to a cigarette consumption function in Korea using the data from the Korean Household Panel Study(KHPS). The results provide relatively strong support for the rational addiction model. However. the impact of social-psychological factors and the short-run and long-run price elasticities are statistically insignificant.

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Is There a J-Curve Effect in the Trade with China via Korean Ports? (한국의 대중국 항만 무역에서 J-curve 효과는 존재하는가?)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2011
  • The effect of real exchange rate changes on trade balance is called the J-curve effect. That is, after real depreciation, the trade balance will deteriorate in the short run and improve in the long run. Specially, import and export prices respond with little or no decline in volume. Assuming a zero initial trade balance and dominance of the exporter currency in invoicing trade contracts, the trade balance continues to deteriorate in the medium term. Over time, the relative price-induced volume effect comes to dominate the price effect and the trade balance improves. This pattern of the trade balance adjustment is commonly referred to as the J-curve effect. This study examines the effects of changes in the exchange rate on the Korean port trade balance to China. The empirical results indicate that whilst there is J-curve effect in the short-run, but in the long-run, the real depreciation of the Korean won has positive impact on port trade balance to China.

A Study on the Road Safety Analysis Model: Focused on National Highway Areas in Cheonbuk Province (도로 안전성 분석 모형에 관한 연구: 전라북도 국도 권역을 중심으로)

  • Lim, Joonbeom;Kim, Joon-Ki;Lee, Soobeom;Kim, Hyunjin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2014
  • Currently, Korean transportation policies are aiming for increase of safety and environment-friendly and efficient operation, by avoiding construction and expansion of roads, and upgrading road alignments and facilities. This is revealed by that there have been 22 road expansion projects (30%) and 50 road improvement projects (70%) under the 3rd Five-Year Plan for National Highways ('11~'15), while there were 53 road expansion projects (71%) and 22 road improvement projects (29%) under the 2nd Five-Year Plan for National Highways. For more effective road improvement projects, there is a need of choosing projects after an objective and scientific safety assessment of each road, and assessing safety improvement depending on projects. This study is intended to develop a model for this road safety analysis and assessment. The major objective of this study is creating a road safety analysis and assessment model appropriate for Korean society, based on the HSM (Highway Safety Manual) of the U.S. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. The collected data was processed correlation analysis of each road element was implemented to see which factor had a big effect on traffic accidents. On the basis of these results, then, an accident model was established as a negative binomial regression model.Using the developed model, an Crash Modification Factor (CMF) which determines accident frequency changes depending on safety performance function (SPF) predicting the number of accident occurrence through traffic volume and road section expansion, road geometric structure and traffic properties, was extracted.

A Study of the Effects of Trade between North Korea and China on the Conflict between South Korea and North Korea (북한·중국 간 교역이 남한·북한 간 분쟁관계에 미친 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ju, Sung Whan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.361-383
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    • 2009
  • This study extends theoretically the expected utility model of trade-conflict developed by Polacheck if a third country is involved, and analyses empirically how trade between North Korea and China affects to the political conflict between South and North Korea. The results of empirical analysis show that North Korea's exports to South Korea and China do not affect the conflict or cooperative relations between South and North Korea. But North Korea's imports from South Korea and China affect to the conflict between South and North Korea: increasing of North Korea's imports to South Korea reduce conflict between South and North Korea, but increasing of North Korea's imports to China increase conflict between South and North Korea.