• Title/Summary/Keyword: 1982년5

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Explanation of Run Productivity Using Weighted Adjusted OPS in Korean Professional Baseball (한국 프로야구에서 가중수정OPS를 이용한 득점력 설명)

  • Kim, Hyuk Joo;Kim, Yea Hyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.731-741
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    • 2014
  • We suggested an adjusted OPS and weighted adjusted OPS as indices to explain run productivity of teams using the slugging average and adjusted OBP from Korean professional baseball. First, we defined adjusted OBP by modifying currently used OBP. Next, we defined adjusted OPS as the sum of adjusted OBP and slugging average. We also defined weighted adjusted OPS as the weighted average of adjusted OBP and slugging average. Analysis of the data from all games in the regular seasons from 1982~2013 shows that adjusted OPS better explains runs than OPS. For 25 seasons out of 32 seasons, adjusted OPS explains runs better than OPS. Further, weighted adjusted OPS consisting of adjusted OBP (with weight 60%) and slugging average (with weight 40%) gives the best explanation of run productivity. Weighted adjusted OPS has been found to explain run productivity better than weighted OPS proposed in Kim (2012).

Extreme Quantile Estimation of Losses in KRW/USD Exchange Rate (원/달러 환율 투자 손실률에 대한 극단분위수 추정)

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.803-812
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    • 2009
  • The application of extreme value theory to financial data is a fairly recent innovation. The classical annual maximum method is to fit the generalized extreme value distribution to the annual maxima of a data series. An alterative modern method, the so-called threshold method, is to fit the generalized Pareto distribution to the excesses over a high threshold from the data series. A more substantial variant is to take the point-process viewpoint of high-level exceedances. That is, the exceedance times and excess values of a high threshold are viewed as a two-dimensional point process whose limiting form is a non-homogeneous Poisson process. In this paper, we apply the two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson process model to daily losses, daily negative log-returns, in the data series of KBW/USD exchange rate, collected from January 4th, 1982 until December 31 st, 2008. The main question is how to estimate extreme quantiles of losses such as the 10-year or 50-year return level.

Explanation of Runs Lost Using Combined Fielding Indices in Korean Professional Baseball (결합된 수비지표들을 이용한 한국 프로야구의 실점 설명)

  • Kim, Hyuk Joo;Kim, Yea Hyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1003-1011
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    • 2015
  • We studied indices to explain runs lost for Korean professional baseball teams. Kim and Kim (2014) studied batting indices to explain run productivity of teams; subsequently, we studied fielding indices to explain runs lost. We considered several combined indices made by combining fielding indices closely connected with the runs lost of teams. Data analysis from all games in the regular seasons of 1982~2014 show that weighted WPH (defined as weighted average of WHIP and number of home runs allowed per game) best explain runs lost. Weighted WPH consisting of WHIP (with weight 81%) and number of home runs allowed per game (with weight 19%) was found optimal weighted WPH having correlation coefficient 0.95033 with average runs lost per game. Analysis by chronological periods gave results not much different.

Experimental Curvature Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Piers with Lap-Spliced Longitudinal Steels subjected to Seismic Loading (지진하중을 받는 주철근 겹침이음된 철근콘크리트 교각의 곡률분석)

  • Chung, Young-Soo;Park, Chang-Kyu;Song, Hee-Won
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.1 s.47
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2006
  • Through the 1982 Urahawa-ohi and the 1995 Kobe earthquakes, a number of bridge columns were observed to develop a flexural-shear failure due to the bond slip as a consequence of premature termination of the column longitudinal reinforcement. Because the seismic behavior of RC bridge piers is largely dependent on the performance of the plastic hinge legion of RC bridge piers, it is desirable that the seismic capacity of RC bridge pier is to evaluate as a curvature ductility. The provision for the lap splice of longitudinal steel was not specified in KHBDS(Korea Highway Bridge Design Specification) before the implementation of 1992 seismic design code, but the lap splice of not more than 50%, longitudinal reinforcement was newly allowed in the 2005 version of the KHBDS. The objective of this research is to investigate the distribution and ductility of the curvature of RC bridge column with the lap splice of longitudinal reinforcement in the plastic hinge legion. Six (6) specimens were made in 600 mm diameter with an aspect ratio of 2.5 or 3.5. These piers were cyclically subjected to the quasi-static loads with the uniform axial load of $P=0.1f_{ck}A_g$. According to the slip failure of longitudinal steels of the lap spliced specimen by cyclic loads, the curvatures of the lower and upper parts of the lap spliced region were bigger and smaller than the corresponding paris of the specimen without a lap splice, respectively. Therefore, the damage of the lap spliced test column was concentrated almost on the lower part of the lap spliced region, that appeared io be failed in flexure.

Soil Erosion and river-bed change of the Keum river basin using by GIS and RS (GIS와 RS를 이용한 금강유역 토양침식과 하상변화 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Ju-Young;Yang, Dong-Yoon;Nahm, Wook-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Kwan
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • Flooding hazard caused by natural and artificial environmental changes is closely associated with change in river bed configuration. This study is aimed at explaining a river-bed change related to soil erosion in the Keum river basin using GIS and RS. The USLE was used to compute soil erosion rate on the basis of GIS. River-bed profiles stretching from Kongju to Ippo were measured to construct a 3D-geomorphological map. The river-bed change was also detected by remote sensing images using Landsat TM during the period of 1982 to 2000 for the Keum river. The result shows that USLE indicates a mean soil erosion rate of $1.8\;kg/m^2/year$, and a net increase of a river-bed change at a rate of $+5\;cm/m^2$/year in the Kangkyeong area. The change in river-bed is interpreted to have been caused by soil erosion in the downstream of the Keum river basin. In addition river-bed change mainly occurred on the downstream of the confluence where tributaries and the main channel meet. Other possible river-bed change is caused by a removal of fluvial sand aggregates, which might have resulted in a net decrease of exposed area of sediment distribution between 1991 and 1995, while a construction of underwater structures, including a bridge, a reclamation of sand bars for rice fields and dikes, resulted in an increase of the exposed area of river-bed due to sediment accumulation.

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A Statistical Study of Medical Educational Wastage (의학교육 소모에 대한 통계학적 조사 연구)

  • Yang, Sung-Rhim
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 1982
  • A statistical study on medical students who entered certain college of medicine during 10 years ('73 to '82) was performed in order to evaluate medical educational wastage. The obtained results summerized were as follows; 1. The normal promotion rate of 10 cohorts(CI-CX) was 83.4% and 5 cohorts(CI to CV) whose members had already graduated(including dropouts) was 77.5%. 2. The mean repetition rate in 1st grade was 15.5%, in 2nd grade 5.4%, in 3rd grade 1.4% arid in 4th grade 0.6%. 3. The predicted number of repetion(spell base) which are attendance at the college in 1st grade was 31.6, in 2nd grade 28.9, in 3rd grade 18.6 and in 4th grade 22.7; 4. The total wastage of 10 cohorts was 224.8 SY, which corresponded to educational resources of 56.2 out-puts for normal demand. 5. The mean unit cost of 10 cohorts was 4.62 and the mean Input/Output ratio was 1.06.

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Radiotherapy of Locally Recurrent Rectal Carcinoma (수술 후 국소재발된 직장암의 방사선치료 결과)

  • Jeong Hyeon Ju;Shin Young Ju;Mo Yang Kwang;Suh Hyun Suk;Chun Hachung;Lee Myung Za
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.36-41
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    • 1999
  • Purpose : We reviewed the treatment results for the patients with locally recurrent rectal carcinoma. The object was to evaluate the treatment outcome and to identify the prognostic factors influencing the survival. Methods and Materials: Twenty-eight patients with locally recurrent rectal carcinoma treated principally with external-beam radiation therapy between 1982 to 1996 in the Department of Radiation Oncology at Paik and Hanyang Hospital were reviewed retrospectively Of these, 17 patients had initially abdominoperineal resection, 9 had low anterior resection, and 2 had local excision. No patients had received adjuvant radiation therapy for the primary disease. There were 14 men and 14 women whose ages ranged from 31 to 72 years (median age:54.5). Median time from initial surgery to the start of radiation therapy for local recurrence was 11 months (4~47 months). Radiation therapy was given with total doses ranging from 27 to 64.8 Gy (median=51.2 Gy). Results : The median survival was 16.7 months. The 2-year and 5-year survival rates were 20.1%, 4.1% respectively. Upon multivariate analysis, overall survival was positively correlated with duration of intervals from initial surgery to local recurrence (P=0.039). Relief of pelvic symptoms was achieved in 17 of 28 patients (60.7%). Pain and bleeding responded in 40% and 100% of patients, respectively Conclusions : Patients with locally recurrent rectal carcinoma treated with radiotherapy have benefited symptomatically, and might have increased survivals with a small chance of cure. But, patient were rarely cured (median survival : 10 months, 5-year survival : less than 5%). Overall survival was positively correlated with long intervals from initial surgery to local recurrence. Future efforts should be directed to the use of effective therapy for patients with locally recurrent rectal carcinoma and adjuvant therapy for patients with rectal cancer to reduce the incidence of pelvic recurrence.

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Analysis of Contribution of Climate and Cultivation Management Variables Affecting Orchardgrass Production (오차드그라스의 생산량에 영향을 미치는 기후 및 재배관리의 기여도 분석)

  • Moonju Kim;Ji Yung Kim;Mu-Hwan Jo;Kyungil Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to confirm the importance ratio of climate and management variables on production of orchardgrass in Korea (1982-2014). For the climate, the mean temperature in January (MTJ, ℃), lowest temperature in January (LTJ, ℃), growing days 0 to 5 (GD 1, day), growing days 5 to 25 (GD 2, day), Summer depression days (SSD, day), rainfall days (RD, day), accumulated rainfall (AR, mm), and sunshine duration (SD, hr) were considered. For the management, the establishment period (EP, 0-6 years) and number of cutting (NC, 2nd-5th) were measured. The importance ratio on production of orchardgrass was estimated using the neural network model with the perceptron method. It was performed by SPSS 26.0 (IBM Corp., Chicago). As a result, EP was the most important variable (100%), followed by RD (82.0%), AR (79.1%), NC (69.2%), LTJ (66.2%), GD 2 (63.3%), GD 1 (61.6%), SD (58.1%), SSD (50.8%) and MTJ (41.8%). It implies that EP, RD, AR, and NC were more important than others. Since the annual rainfall in Korea is exceed the required amount for the growth and development of orchardgrass, the damage caused by heavy rainfall exceeding the appropriate level could be reduced through drainage management. It means that, when cultivating orchardgrass, factors that can be controlled were relatively important. Although it is difficult to interpret the specific effect of climates on production due to neural networking modeling, in the future, this study is expected to be useful in production prediction and damage estimation by climate change by selecting major factors.

An Assessment of the Protective Efficacy of BCG against Plmounary Tuberculosis (폐결핵 예방에 대한 BCG의 효과 분석)

  • No, Sung-Chan
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 1983
  • The BCG vaccination has been employed as the main control measure for pulmonary tuberculosis in Korea since 1952. However, the protective efficacy of BCG against tuberculosis has been controversial worldwide. This study was conducted to evaluate the protective efficacy of BCG against pulmonary tuberculosis by a case-cotrol study. The study subjects included all the pulmonary tuberculous patients under 20 years of age who were registered in six health centers in Taegu City between May 1 and September 30, 1982. The controls were randomly selected among non-tuberculous out-patients matched by the age, sex and residence of the cases. The history of BCG vaccination was confirmed by the scar of 400 cases and 659 controls. The relative risk of the BCG recipients for pulmonary tuberculosis were 0.5 and the protective efficacy of the BCG was. 51.5%. It appears that the BCG vaccination is an efficient preventive measure in Korea where tuberculosis is prevalent. Thus the routine BCG vaccination should be continued.

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Thermohaline Structure of the Shelf Front in the Korea Strait in Early Winter (초겨울 大韓海峽에서 形成되는 淺海前線의 構造)

  • Lee, Jae Chul;Na, Jung Yul;Chang, Sun-Duck
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 1984
  • Mesoscale thermohaline structures of the meandering front in the Korea Strait during November 1976, 1980 and 1982 are studied by means of closely spaced oceanographic observations and the satellite infrared images. Strong thermal and salinity fronts coincide each other and show a wavelike meander motion with wavelengths of 40-60km and amplitudes of, 15-20km. Salinity minimum band of less than 33.0 is found along the onshore edge of the front. Width of the frontal zone corresponds approximately to the internal radius of deformation (R=5-10km) and the slope of density interface is confined to about 2R. A series of satellite infrared images with the interval of 4-5 days show a noticeable growth of frontal meander over the flat shelf west of the Korea Strait. Possible mechanisms of frontal meander and its growth are discussed.

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