• Title/Summary/Keyword: 1971-2005

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A Study on Comparison of Generalized Kappa Statistics in Agreement Analysis

  • Kim, Min-Seon;Song, Ki-Jun;Nam, Chung-Mo;Jung, In-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.719-731
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    • 2012
  • Agreement analysis is conducted to assess reliability among rating results performed repeatedly on the same subjects by one or more raters. The kappa statistic is commonly used when rating scales are categorical. The simple and weighted kappa statistics are used to measure the degree of agreement between two raters, and the generalized kappa statistics to measure the degree of agreement among more than two raters. In this paper, we compare the performance of four different generalized kappa statistics proposed by Fleiss (1971), Conger (1980), Randolph (2005), and Gwet (2008a). We also examine how sensitive each of four generalized kappa statistics can be to the marginal probability distribution as to whether marginal balancedness and/or homogeneity hold or not. The performance of the four methods is compared in terms of the relative bias and coverage rate through simulation studies in various scenarios with different numbers of raters, subjects, and categories. A real data example is also presented to illustrate the four methods.

Review of Peak Breach Outflow Predictors in Dam-Failure Modeling (댐붕괴 모델링을 위한 첨두붕괴유출량 예측식 검토)

  • Kim, Keuk-Soo;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1846-1851
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    • 2010
  • 댐붕괴 모델링에 관한 연구가 활성화된 시기는 미국 Baldwin Hills 댐(1964)과 Lower Van Norman(San Fernando) 댐(1971) 붕괴 사고 이후이며 1970년대 발생한 Buffalo Creek 댐(서부 버지니아, 1972), Teton 댐(아이다호, 1976), Laurel Run 댐/Sandy Run 댐(펜실바니아, 1977), Kelly Barnes 댐(조지아, 1977) 붕괴 사고로 인해 미국 댐 안전 관리 프로그램의 포괄적 재검토의 필요성이 제기되었다. 국내에서도 연천댐 붕괴(1996년)와 장현저수지와 동막저수지의 붕괴(2002년)로 하류에 위치한 가옥 및 농경지 침수로 인해 재산피해가 발생한 바 있으며, 2005년 비상대처계획 수립을 의무화하는 제도가 도입되었다. 오늘날 댐 붕괴와 붕괴로 인한 유출 수문곡선을 분석하는데 이용 가능한 수많은 도구들이 존재하고 있다. 가장 잘 알려져 있으며 가장 널리 이용되는 모형은 NWS Dam-Break Flood Forecasting Model(DAMBRK; Fread, 1977)이며 국내 댐 저수지 비상대처계획 수립을 위해 많이 이용되고 있다. DAMBRK 모형의 입력자료는 붕괴지속시간, 결괴부측면경사, 최종결괴부바닥표고, 댐붕괴시작수위 등이 요구되며, 이 중 결괴형성과정에 관련된 매개변수의 선정을 위해서는 댐붕괴 사례연구 자료가 활용되고 있다. 모형으로부터 도출된 붕괴유출수문곡선에 대한 적정성 평가는 과거 경험, 공학적 판단, 첨두유량 예측식에 의해 수행되고 있으며 가장 객관적인 기준이라 판단되는 첨두유출량 예측식은 사례연구 자료의 부족으로 인해 높은 불확실성을 안고 있다. 본 연구는 최근까지 개발된 댐결괴 첨두유출량 예측식을 기반으로 국내 건설된 댐의 대다수를 차지하는 필댐에 대해 댐높이, 댐형식별로 예측식의 적정성을 평가하였다.

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A Settlement Process and Trend of the Two Bathroom Planning of Apartments - Focused on the Apartment Plan in 30s pyung - (서울 지역 아파트 Two Bathroom의 정착과정과 추이 - 30평형대 아파트 평면을 중심으로 -)

  • Hwang, Yun-Jung;Shin, Kyoung-Joo
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.147-150
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    • 2005
  • The oh purpose of this study is to provide a basic study for a desirable bathroom planning of the 30s pyung apartments. This study explores the change of the bathroom planning and analyzes the bathroom plans of the existing apartments. The data are 2053 case of the bathroom plan of the 30s pyung apartments constructed in Seoul and the new town between 1971-2004. In this stud, a settlement process and trend of the two bathroom plan in the 30s pyung apartments are examined. The findings were as follows: 1) The introduction of the two bathroom from 1970 to 1980. 2) The introduction of the two bathroom from 1990 to 2000. For the better planning of the bathroom, factors like family size, life cycle, and manner of bathroom use should be analyzed in the future studies. The analysis of the dweller's consciousness, satisfaction, and the demands on the bathroom in 30s pyung apartments, and to give useful information on the bathroom of 30s pyung apartments.

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Development of process technique of the alumina membrane with nano-sized pore array (나노미터 크기의 미세구조물을 제작하기 위한 공정기술 개발)

  • Lee, J.H.;Lee, B.W.;Kim, C.K.;Lee, K.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07c
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    • pp.1971-1973
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    • 2005
  • We fabricated an alumina membrane with nano-sized pore array by anodic oxidation using the thin film aluminum deposited on silicon wafer. It is important that the sample prepared by metal deposition method has a flat aluminum surface and a good adhesion between the silicon wafer and the thin film aluminum. The oxidation time was controlled by observation of current variation. The nano-sized pores with diameter of $60{\sim}120nm$ was obtained by $40{\sim}80$ voltage. The pore widening process was employed for obtaining the flat surface because the pores of the alumina membrane prepared by the fixed voltage method shows the structure of rough surface. Finally, the sample was immersed to the phosphoric acid with 0.1M concentration to etching the barrier layer. The sample will be applied to electronic sensors, field emission display, and template for nano- structure.

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Measurement Method of the Masseter Muscle Volume Using 3D Computed Tomography (3D CT를 이용한 교근의 부피측정)

  • Baek, Jung Hwan;Choi, Jong Woo;Yoo, Sun Kuk;Kim, Yong Oock;Park, Beyoung Yun
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.589-592
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    • 2005
  • Since G.N. Hounsfield's clinical use of computed tomography in 1971, digital imaging technique using computers has shown an eye opening progress. Progress has made 3-dimensional understanding of not only facial bones but muscles and other connective tissues possible through 3-dimensional reconstruction of preexisting tomographical images. Also, quantitative analysis of density, distance, volume has become possible, allowing objective analysis of preoperative and postoperative states through imaging. The authors measured the masseter muscle volume of 20 normal individuals and 8 female patients through 3-D reconstructive CT imaging and made a statistical analysis of the measurements. The method used in our study may be applied to the diagnosis of disease causing the change of the facial volume and presurgical design as a useful tool to provide objective information on the evaluation of surgery outcome.

Human Taeniasis in the Republic of Korea: Hidden or Gone?

  • Chai, Jong-Yil
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • History and current status of human taeniasis in the Republic of Korea, due to Taenia solium, Taenia asiatica, and Taenia saginata, are briefly reviewed. Until the 1980s, human taeniasis had been quite common in various localities of Korea. A study from 1924 reported 12.0% egg prevalence in fecal examinations. Thereafter, the prevalence of Taenia spp. ranged from 3% to 14% depending on the time and locality. Jeju-do, where pigs were reared in a conventional way, was the highest endemic area of taeniasis. An analysis of internal transcribed spacer 2 and mitochondrial cytochrome c oxidase 1 genes of 68 taeniasis cases reported from 1935 to 2005 in Korea by a research group revealed the relative occurrence of the 3 Taenia spp. as follows: T. solium (4.4%), T. asiatica (75.0%), and T. saginata (20.6%). However, national surveys on intestinal helminths conducted every 5 years on randomly selected people revealed that the Taenia egg prevalence dropped from 1.9% in 1971 to 0.02% in 1997 and finally to 0.0% in 2004. With the exception of 3 egg-positive cases reported in 2008 and 2 worm-proven cases in 2011, no more cases have been officially recorded. Based on these surveys and also on other literature, it can be concluded that taeniasis has virtually disappeared from Korea, although a few sporadic cases may remain hidden. Human cysticercosis is also expected to disappear within a couple of decades in Korea.

Flood Simulation and Estimation of Flood damage Gyeongan River basin using Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 경안천 유역의 홍수범람 모의 및 홍수피해액 산정)

  • Han, Dae Gun;Kim, Duck Hwan;Choi, Chang Hyun;Hong, Seung Jin;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.586-586
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    • 2015
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화가 심화됨에 따라 기상이변으로 인한 홍수, 가뭄, 태풍 등의 기상재해가 급격히 증가하고 있으며, 피해규모는 물론 생명과 재산피해도 증가하는 추세이다. 기후변화에 의한 온도상승은 증기압을 더 증가시켜 홍수를 유발할 수 있는 강우의 잠재력을 증가시키고 있다(IPCC, 2001). 즉, 수문순환 과정을 빠르게 진행시키고 극한 수문사상의 빈도를 증가시키고 있기 때문에 기후변화가 홍수 재해 및 관리에 미치는 영향을 파악하고, 그에 따른 구조적, 비구조적 대책을 수립하는 것은 미래 치수계획에 있어 아주 중요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 IPCC 5차 평가보고서(AR5, 2013)에서 제시한 RCP 시나리오를 이용하여 경안천 유역의 홍수 범람을 모의하고 이에 따른 홍수피해액을 산정하였다. RCP4.5 시나리오와 RCP8.5 시나리오를 사용 하였으며, 목표기간별로(Reference : 1971~2005년, 목표기간I : 2006~2040년, 목표기간II : 2041~2070년, 목표기간III : 2071~2100년) 강우 유출분석 모형에 적용해 미래 기후변화가 경안천 유역의 홍수범람에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, 다차원홍수피해산정법(MD-FDA)을 통해 홍수 피해액을 추정하였다. 이를 통해 끊임없이 발생하는 자연재해로부터 보다 경제적 효과적으로 홍수피해 저감효과를 증대시킬수 있는 기초자료로 활용하고자 한다.

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Anisotropic Patterns of Liver Cancer Prevalence in Guangxi in Southwest China: Is Local Climate a Contributing Factor?

  • Deng, Wei;Long, Long;Tang, Xian-Yan;Huang, Tian-Ren;Li, Ji-Lin;Rong, Min-Hua;Li, Ke-Zhi;Liu, Hai-Zhou
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.3579-3586
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    • 2015
  • Geographic information system (GIS) technology has useful applications for epidemiology, enabling the detection of spatial patterns of disease dispersion and locating geographic areas at increased risk. In this study, we applied GIS technology to characterize the spatial pattern of mortality due to liver cancer in the autonomous region of Guangxi Zhuang in southwest China. A database with liver cancer mortality data for 1971-1973, 1990-1992, and 2004-2005, including geographic locations and climate conditions, was constructed, and the appropriate associations were investigated. It was found that the regions with the highest mortality rates were central Guangxi with Guigang City at the center, and southwest Guangxi centered in Fusui County. Regions with the lowest mortality rates were eastern Guangxi with Pingnan County at the center, and northern Guangxi centered in Sanjiang and Rongshui counties. Regarding climate conditions, in the 1990s the mortality rate of liver cancer positively correlated with average temperature and average minimum temperature, and negatively correlated with average precipitation. In 2004 through 2005, mortality due to liver cancer positively correlated with the average minimum temperature. Regions of high mortality had lower average humidity and higher average barometric pressure than did regions of low mortality. Our results provide information to benefit development of a regional liver cancer prevention program in Guangxi, and provide important information and a reference for exploring causes of liver cancer.

Recruitment and Succession of Riparian Vegetation in Alluvial River Regulated by Upstream Dams - Focused on the Nakdong River Downstream Andong and Imha Dams - (댐 하류 충적하천에서 식생이입 및 천이 - 낙동강 안동/임하 댐 하류하천을 중심으로 -)

  • Woo, Hyo-Seop;Park, Moon-Hyung;Cho, Kang-Hyun;Cho, Hyung-Jin;Chung, Sang-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.455-469
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    • 2010
  • Changes of geomorphology in alluvial river and vegetation recruitment on its floodplain downstream from dams are investigated both qualitatively and quantitatively focusing on the downstream of Andong dam and Imha dam on the Nakdong River. Results of the analyses of river morphology and bed material in the study site show a general trend of riverbed degradation with a max scour of 3 m and bed material coarsening from pre-dam value of 1.5 mm in D50 to post-dam value of 2.5 mm. Decrease in bed shear stress due to the decrease in flood discharge have caused vegetation recruitment on the once-naked sandbars. As result, the ratio of area of vegetated bars over total area of bars has drastically changed from only 7% in 1971 before the Andong dam (constructed in 1976) to 25% after it, and increased to 43% only three year after the Imha dam (constructed in 1992) and eventually to 74% by 2005. Analysis of the vegetation succession at Wicjeol subreach, one of the three subreaches selected in this study for detailed investigation, has clearly shown a succession of vegetation on once-naked sand bars to a pioneering stage, reed and grass stage, willow shrub and eventually to willow tree stages. At the second subreach selected, two large point bars in front of Hahoe Village seem to have maintained their sand surfaces without a signifiant vegetation recruitment until 2005. The sand bars, however, seem to have been invaded by vegetation recently, which warns river managers to have a countermeasure to protect the sand bars from vegetation invasion in order to conserve them for the historical village of Hahoe. On the other hand, recruitment and establishment of vegetation on the sand bars by artificial disturbance of the river, such as damming, can create an unique habitat of backmarsh in the sandy river, as shown in the case of Gudam Wetland, and may increase the biodiversity as compared with relatively monotonous sand bars. Last, the premise in this study that decrease in flood discharge due to upstream dams and decrease in bed shear stress can induce vegetation recruitment on the naked sand bars in the river has been verified with the analyses of the distribution of dimensionless bed shear stress along the selected cross section in each subreach.

Occurrence of Earthworm and Effect of Plant Extracts on Earthworm in Golf Courses (골프장에서 지렁이의 발생과 식물체 추출물이 지렁이에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Dong-Woon;Hong, Yong;Jung, Young-Hack;Choi, Sung-Hwan;Choo, Ho-Yul;Yun, Jae-Su
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • Occurrence of earthworms for turfgrass growing seasons and effect of earthworms by some plant extracts and plant oils in golf courses were investigated at the three locations golf courses in Korea 2005 to 2006. There were no differences in monthly occurrence of earthworm except Anseong Benest Golf Club, namely, Anseong Benest Golf Club was highly occurred in July in 2006. Density of earthworm was not different between fairway and rough in Dongrae Benest Golf Club (opened in 1971) while density was higher in rough than fairway in Anseong Benest Golf Club (opened in 1999) and Gapyeong Benest Golf Club (opened in 2000). In case of Gapyeong Benest Golf Club, earthworm density was higher in old courses than recently opened courses. Effect of plant extracts such as mustard oil, wintergreen oil, Quisqualis indica, Daphne genkwa, Pharbitis nil, Zingiber officinale, Xanthium strumarium, and Camellia sinensis on earthworm, mustard oil, wintergreen oil and tea saponin were highly toxic to earthworm, Eisenia andrei. In the pot experiment, 100% of Eisenia andrei was dead at the treatment of 500-fold of aquatic solution of tea saponin (12.4% a.i.).