• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀트리

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A Comparative Study on Game-Score Prediction Models Using Compuational Thinking Education Game Data (컴퓨팅 사고 교육 게임 데이터를 사용한 게임 점수 예측 모델 성능 비교 연구)

  • Yang, Yeongwook
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.529-534
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    • 2021
  • Computing thinking is regarded as one of the important skills required in the 21st century, and many countries have introduced and implemented computing thinking training courses. Among computational thinking education methods, educational game-based methods increase student participation and motivation, and increase access to computational thinking. Autothinking is an educational game developed for the purpose of providing computational thinking education to learners. It is an adaptive system that dynamically provides feedback to learners and automatically adjusts the difficulty according to the learner's computational thinking ability. However, because the game was designed based on rules, it cannot intelligently consider the computational thinking of learners or give feedback. In this study, game data collected through Autothikning is introduced, and game score prediction that reflects computational thinking is performed in order to increase the adaptability of the game by using it. To solve this problem, a comparative study was conducted on linear regression, decision tree, random forest, and support vector machine algorithms, which are most commonly used in regression problems. As a result of the study, the linear regression method showed the best performance in predicting game scores.

The Comparison of OC1 and CART for Prosodic Boundary Index Prediction (운율 경계강도 예측을 위한 OC1의 적용 및 CART와의 비교)

  • 임동식;김진영;김선미
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.60-64
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we apply CART(Classification And Regression tree) and OC1(Oblique Classifier1) which methods are widely used for continuous speech recognition and synthesis. We prediet prosodic boundary index by applying CART and OC1, which combine right depth of tree-structured method and To_Right of link grammar method with tri_gram model. We assigned four prosodic boundary index level from 0 to 3. Experimental results show that OC1 method is superior to CART method. In other words, in spite of OC1's having fewer nodes than CART, it can make more improved prediction than CART.

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Machine Learning Based BLE Indoor Positioning Performance Improvement (머신러닝 기반 BLE 실내측위 성능 개선)

  • Moon, Joon;Pak, Sang-Hyon;Hwang, Jae-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.467-468
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    • 2021
  • In order to improve the performance of the indoor positioning system using BLE beacons, a receiver that measures the angle of arrival among the direction finding technologies supported by BLE5.1 was manufactured and analyzed by machine learning to measure the optimal position. For the creation and testing of machine learning models, k-nearest neighbor classification and regression, logistic regression, support vector machines, decision tree artificial neural networks, and deep neural networks were used to learn and test. As a result, when the test set 4 produced in the study was used, the accuracy was up to 99%.

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Prediction of golf scores on the PGA tour using statistical models (PGA 투어의 골프 스코어 예측 및 분석)

  • Lim, Jungeun;Lim, Youngin;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2017
  • This study predicts the average scores of top 150 PGA golf players on 132 PGA Tour tournaments (2013-2015) using data mining techniques and statistical analysis. This study also aims to predict the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs. Linear and nonlinear regression methods were used to predict average scores. Stepwise regression, all best subset, LASSO, ridge regression and principal component regression were used for the linear regression method. Tree, bagging, gradient boosting, neural network, random forests and KNN were used for nonlinear regression method. We found that the average score increases as fairway firmness or green height or average maximum wind speed increases. We also found that the average score decreases as the number of one-putts or scrambling variable or longest driving distance increases. All 11 different models have low prediction error when predicting the average scores of PGA Tournaments in 2015 which is not included in the training set. However, the performances of Bagging and Random Forest models are the best among all models and these two models have the highest prediction accuracy when predicting the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs.

Evaluation of a Thermal Conductivity Prediction Model for Compacted Clay Based on a Machine Learning Method (기계학습법을 통한 압축 벤토나이트의 열전도도 추정 모델 평가)

  • Yoon, Seok;Bang, Hyun-Tae;Kim, Geon-Young;Jeon, Haemin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2021
  • The buffer is a key component of an engineered barrier system that safeguards the disposal of high-level radioactive waste. Buffers are located between disposal canisters and host rock, and they can restrain the release of radionuclides and protect canisters from the inflow of ground water. Since considerable heat is released from a disposal canister to the surrounding buffer, the thermal conductivity of the buffer is a very important parameter in the entire disposal safety. For this reason, a lot of research has been conducted on thermal conductivity prediction models that consider various factors. In this study, the thermal conductivity of a buffer is estimated using the machine learning methods of: linear regression, decision tree, support vector machine (SVM), ensemble, Gaussian process regression (GPR), neural network, deep belief network, and genetic programming. In the results, the machine learning methods such as ensemble, genetic programming, SVM with cubic parameter, and GPR showed better performance compared with the regression model, with the ensemble with XGBoost and Gaussian process regression models showing best performance.

Crop Yield Estimation Utilizing Feature Selection Based on Graph Classification (그래프 분류 기반 특징 선택을 활용한 작물 수확량 예측)

  • Ohnmar Khin;Sung-Keun Lee
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1269-1276
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    • 2023
  • Crop estimation is essential for the multinational meal and powerful demand due to its numerous aspects like soil, rain, climate, atmosphere, and their relations. The consequence of climate shift impacts the farming yield products. We operate the dataset with temperature, rainfall, humidity, etc. The current research focuses on feature selection with multifarious classifiers to assist farmers and agriculturalists. The crop yield estimation utilizing the feature selection approach is 96% accuracy. Feature selection affects a machine learning model's performance. Additionally, the performance of the current graph classifier accepts 81.5%. Eventually, the random forest regressor without feature selections owns 78% accuracy and the decision tree regressor without feature selections retains 67% accuracy. Our research merit is to reveal the experimental results of with and without feature selection significance for the proposed ten algorithms. These findings support learners and students in choosing the appropriate models for crop classification studies.

차분 프라이버시 기반 비식별화 기술에 대한 연구

  • Jung, Ksngsoo;Park, Seog
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.61-77
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    • 2018
  • 차분 프라이버시는 통계 데이터베이스 상에서 수행되는 질의 결과에 의한 개인정보 추론을 방지하기 위한 수학적 모델로써 2006년 Dwork에 의해 처음 소개된 이후로 통계 데이터에 대한 프라이버 보호의 표준으로 자리잡고 있다. 차분 프라이버시는 데이터의 삽입/삭제 또는 변형에 의한 질의 결과의 변화량을 일정 수준 이하로 유지함으로써 정보 노출을 제한하는 개념이다. 이를 구현하기 위해 메커니즘 상의 연구(라플라스 메커니즘, 익스퍼넨셜 메커니즘)와 다양한 데이터 분석 환경(히스토그램, 회귀 분석, 의사 결정 트리, 연관 관계 추론, 클러스터링, 딥러닝 등)에 차분 프라이버시를 적용하는 연구들이 수행되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 처음 Dwork에 의해 제안되었을 때의 차분 프라이버시 개념에 대한 이해부터 오늘날 애플 및 구글에서 차분 프라이버시가 적용되고 있는 수준에 대한 연구들의 진행 상황과 앞으로의 연구 주제에 대해 소개한다.

Short-Term Prediction of Vehicle Speed on Main City Roads using the k-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm (k-Nearest Neighbor 알고리즘을 이용한 도심 내 주요 도로 구간의 교통속도 단기 예측 방법)

  • Rasyidi, Mohammad Arif;Kim, Jeongmin;Ryu, Kwang Ryel
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2014
  • Traffic speed is an important measure in transportation. It can be employed for various purposes, including traffic congestion detection, travel time estimation, and road design. Consequently, accurate speed prediction is essential in the development of intelligent transportation systems. In this paper, we present an analysis and speed prediction of a certain road section in Busan, South Korea. In previous works, only historical data of the target link are used for prediction. Here, we extract features from real traffic data by considering the neighboring links. After obtaining the candidate features, linear regression, model tree, and k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) are employed for both feature selection and speed prediction. The experiment results show that k-NN outperforms model tree and linear regression for the given dataset. Compared to the other predictors, k-NN significantly reduces the error measures that we use, including mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE).

Variation of Seasonal Groundwater Recharge Analyzed Using Landsat-8 OLI Data and a CART Algorithm (CART알고리즘과 Landsat-8 위성영상 분석을 통한 계절별 지하수함양량 변화)

  • Park, Seunghyuk;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.395-432
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    • 2021
  • Groundwater recharge rates vary widely by location and with time. They are difficult to measure directly and are thus often estimated using simulations. This study employed frequency and regression analysis and a classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm in a machine learning method to estimate groundwater recharge. CART algorithms are considered for the distribution of precipitation by subbasin (PCP), geomorphological data, indices of the relationship between vegetation and landuse, and soil type. The considered geomorphological data were digital elevaion model (DEM), surface slope (SLOP), surface aspect (ASPT), and indices were the perpendicular vegetation index (PVI), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference tillage index (NDTI), normalized difference residue index (NDRI). The spatio-temperal distribution of groundwater recharge in the SWAT-MOD-FLOW program, was classified as group 4, run in R, sampled for random and a model trained its groundwater recharge was predicted by CART condidering modified PVI, NDVI, NDTI, NDRI, PCP, and geomorphological data. To assess inter-rater reliability for group 4 groundwater recharge, the Kappa coefficient and overall accuracy and confusion matrix using K-fold cross-validation were calculated. The model obtained a Kappa coefficient of 0.3-0.6 and an overall accuracy of 0.5-0.7, indicating that the proposed model for estimating groundwater recharge with respect to soil type and vegetation cover is quite reliable.

Research on Financial Distress Prediction Model of Chinese Cultural Industry Enterprises Based on Machine Learning and Traditional Statistical (전통적인 통계와 기계학습 기반 중국 문화산업 기업의 재무적 곤경 예측모형 연구)

  • Yuan, Tao;Wang, Kun;Luan, Xi;Bae, Ki-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.545-558
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore a prediction model for accurately predicting Financial Difficulties of Chinese Cultural Industry Enterprises through Traditional Statistics and Machine Learning. To construct the prediction model, the data of 128 listed Cultural Industry Enterprises in China are used. On the basis of data groups composed of 25 explanatory variables, prediction models using Traditional Statistical such as Discriminant Analysis and logistic as well as Machine Learning such as SVM, Decision Tree and Random Forest were constructed, and Python software was used to evaluate the performance of each model. The results show that the Random Forest model has the best prediction performance, with an accuracy of 95%. The SVM model was followed with 93% accuracy. The Decision Tree model was followed with 92% accuracy.The Discriminant Analysis model was followed with 89% accuracy. The model with the lowest prediction effect was the Logistic model with an accuracy of 88%. This shows that Machine Learning model can achieve better prediction effect than Traditional Statistical model when predicting financial distress of Chinese cultural industry enterprises.