• 제목/요약/키워드: 확률적 분석

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Evaluation of Air Permeability of Virtual Cement Paste Specimen with Linear Void Ratio Gradient Constructed using Stochastic Optimization (확률적 최적화를 활용한 연속적인 공극비 기울기를 갖는 시멘트 풀 가상 시편 제작 및 투기율 분석)

  • Kim, Se-Yun;Han, Tong-Seok
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.463-469
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    • 2016
  • In this study, a virtual specimen with a linear continuous gradient of void ratio (FGM: Functional Graded Material) is constructed using low-order probability functions of two real cement paste specimens. Two real specimens with difference void ratios are taken from X-ray CT to construct the virtual specimen. A virtual specimen with a gradient void distribution, whose average void ratio is between void ratios of two homogeneous real specimens, is constructed using a stochastic optimization approach. The void ratio distribution is assumed to be linear, and continuously varies in the vertical direction. In this study, a gradient term of void ratio is incorporated into the objective function as well as low-order probability functions from the previous research. To confirm the effect of gradient void distribution on the material response, air permeability is evaluated using finite element analysis. The analysis results are compared with experimental results, and confirm the effect of gradient void distribution on permeability.

Integrated Stochastic Admission Control Policy in Clustered Continuous Media Storage Server (클리스터 기반 연속 미디어 저장 서버에서의 통합형 통계적 승인 제어 기법)

  • Kim, Yeong-Ju;No, Yeong-Uk
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.8A no.3
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, for continuous media access operations performed by Clustered Continuous Media Storage Server (CCMSS) system, we present the analytical model based on the open queueing network, which considers simultaneously two critical delay factors, the disk I/O and the internal network, in the CCMSS system. And we derive by using the analytical model the stochastic model for the total service delay time in the system. Next, we propose the integrated stochastic admission control model for the CCMSS system, which estimate the maximum number of admittable service requests at the allowable service failure rate by using the derived stochastic model and apply the derived number of requests in the admission control operation. For the performance evaluation of the proposed model, we evaluated the deadline miss rates by means of the previous stochastic model considering only the disk I/O and the propose stochastic model considering the disk I/O and the internal network, and compared the values with the results obtained from the simulation under the real cluster-based distributed media server environment. The evaluation showed that the proposed admission control policy reflects more precisely the delay factors in the CCMSS system.

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Calculation of Probability Precipitation using Hydrological climatic indices at Seoul (수문기상인자를 이용한 서울지점의 확률강우량 산정)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Yoon, Hyun-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1393-1396
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    • 2009
  • 일반적으로 확률강우량은 관측된 강우자료의 분석을 통해 산정하게 된다. 관측된 강우자료의 빈도해석을 통해 산정된 확률강우량은 기후변화 등을 반영하기 매우 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 통계적 기법을 이용하여 수문기상인자를 반영하여 서울지점의 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 수문기상인자와 연최대시간강우량사이의 상관관계에 기초하여 확률강우량을 산정할 수 있는 CPPM(Climate Pattern and Precipitation Model)을 구축하고 서울 지점을 대상으로 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과에서 매개변수적 지점빈도해석의 결과와 CPPM 확률강우량은 비슷한 Qunatile을 산정하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 본 연구의 결과를 지구온난화 등에 따른 기후변화에 따라 극한강우인 연최대강우량의 변화를 예측하는데 있어 기초자료로 활용 할 수 있을 것으로 기대 된다.

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토양층 내 Cu, Pb 농도의 평균 및 중앙값을 이용한 지시크리깅의 확률도 비교 분석

  • Yu Hun-Seon;Jeong Sang-Yong;Gang Dong-Gwan;Kim Byeong-U;Kim Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.148-152
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 공단지역 내 토양층(지표면하 1 m 이내)에 존재하는 Cu, Pb 성분의 평균값보다 높은 지역과 중앙값보다 높은 지역을 확률적으로 추정하고자 하였다. 먼저, 연구지역의 Cu, Pb 성분의 농도 분포를 파악하기 위해 일반통계분석을 하였고, 공단지역 내 Cu, Pb 성분의 평균값과 중앙값을 제한값으로 하여 지시크리깅을 수행하여 평균값보다 높은 확률도와 중앙값보다 높은 확률도를 작성하였다 평균값과 중앙값에 의해 작성된 확률도를 비교하여, 지시크리깅의 제한값으로서의 적합성을 분석하였다.

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Extended Information Entropy via Correlation for Autonomous Attribute Reduction of BigData (빅 데이터의 자율 속성 감축을 위한 확장된 정보 엔트로피 기반 상관척도)

  • Park, In-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2018
  • Various data analysis methods used for customer type analysis are very important for game companies to understand their type and characteristics in an attempt to plan customized content for our customers and to provide more convenient services. In this paper, we propose a k-mode cluster analysis algorithm that uses information uncertainty by extending information entropy to reduce information loss. Therefore, the measurement of the similarity of attributes is considered in two aspects. One is to measure the uncertainty between each attribute on the center of each partition and the other is to measure the uncertainty about the probability distribution of the uncertainty of each property. In particular, the uncertainty in attributes is taken into account in the non-probabilistic and probabilistic scales because the entropy of the attribute is transformed into probabilistic information to measure the uncertainty. The accuracy of the algorithm is observable to the result of cluster analysis based on the optimal initial value through extensive performance analysis and various indexes.

Comparison of Delay Estimates for Signalized Intersection (신호교차로 지체 산정 비교)

  • Jo, Jun-Han;Jo, Yong-Chan;Kim, Seong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the primary objective of the research are to review the methods currently avaliable for estimating the delay incurred by vehicles at signalized intersections. The paper compares the delay estimates from a deterministic queueing model, a model based on shock wave theory , the steady-state Webster model, the queue-based models defined in the 1994 and 2001 version of the High way Capacity Manual, in addition to the delays estimated from the TRANSYT-7F macroscopic simulation and NETSIM microscopic simulation. More especially, this paper is to compare the delay estimates obtained using macroscopic and microscopic simulation tools against state-of-the practice analytical models that are derived from deterministic queueing and shock wave analysis theory. The results of the comparisons indicate that all delay models produce relatively similar results for signalized intersections with low traffic demand, but that increasing differences occur as the traffic demand approaches saturation. In particular, when the TRANSYT-7F and NETSIM are compared, it is highly differences as approach for traffic condition to over-saturation. Also, the NETSIM microscopic simulation is the lowest estimates among the various models.

A probabilistic knowledge model for analyzing heart rate variability (심박수변이도 분석을 위한 확률적 지식기반 모형)

  • Son, Chang-Sik;Kang, Won-Seok;Choi, Rock-Hyun;Park, Hyoung-Seob;Han, Seongwook;Kim, Yoon-Nyun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a probabilistic knowledge discovery method to interpret heart rate variability (HRV) based on time and frequency domain indexes, extracted using discrete wavelet transform. The knowledge induction algorithm was composed of two phases: rule generation and rule estimation. Firstly, a rule generation converts numerical attributes to intervals using ROC curve analysis and constructs a reduced ruleset by comparing consistency degree between attribute-value pairs with different decision values. Then, we estimated three measures such as rule support, confidence, and coverage to a probabilistic interpretation for each rule. To show the effectiveness of proposed model, we evaluated the statistical discriminant power of five rules (3 for atrial fibrillation, 1 for normal sinus rhythm, and 1 for both atrial fibrillation and normal sinus rhythm) generated using a data (n=58) collected from 1 channel wireless holter electrocardiogram (ECG), i.e., HeartCall$^{(R)}$, U-Heart Inc. The experimental result showed the performance of approximately 0.93 (93%) in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC measures, respectively.

A Drum Onset Detection Scheme Based on Probabilistic Latent Component Analysis (확률적 은닉 성분 분석에 기반한 드럼 Onset 검출 방법)

  • Han, Byeong-jun;Kim, Yunjoo;Lee, Jangwoo;Kim, Minje;Lee, Kyogu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.762-765
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    • 2010
  • 특정 시간에 동시 연주된 다수 음원의 onset 을 검출하기 위해서는 음원 분리 문제가 선결되어야 한다. 특히, 드럼과 같은 조음(?音) 악기 신호 검출 문제를 해결하기 위해서는 음원 분리 방법의 성능이 중요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 효과적인 음원 분리 방법으로 알려진 확률적 은닉 성분 분석(PLCA) 방법에 기반한 주요 악기 신호의 onset 검출 방법을 제안한다. 효과적인 onset 검출을 위해, 첫째, 확률적 은닉 성분 분석으로 훈련 된 비음수 주파수 성분 중 최적의 성분을 선택하는 방법을 적용하고, 둘째, 드럼 악기 신호의 정확한 onset 검출을 위해 고안된 비음수 시계열 신호 threshold 방법을 적용한다. 실험에서는 제시된 방법을 이용하여 드럼의 주요 악기 신호 onset 검출 성능이 향상됨을 보인다.

Performance Analysis of Spectrum Sensing using CSI with False Alarm Selection (채널상태정보에 따른 False alarm 선택 스펙트럼 센싱 성능 분석)

  • Lee, Mi Sun;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2013
  • CR(Cognitive Radio) technology is maximized frequency reuse using unused frequency band. Conventional cooperative spectrum sensing has fixed false alarms. so all cooperative user has equal threshold. This problem is caused degradation of detection probability. so we propose and analysis the system model that false alarm differential setting through CSI(channel state information) for resonable threshold. Simulation results show improvement of detection probability.

Performance Analysis of Energy Detection Spectrum Sensing Using Adaptive Threshold through Controlling False alarms (오경보 확률 제어를 통한 적응적 임계치 사용 에너지 검출 스펙트럼 센싱의 성능 분석)

  • Seo, SungIl;Lee, MiSun;Kim, Jinyoung
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose system model to solve conventional threshold problem of using fixed false alarm for energy spectrum sensing. Spectrum sensing reliability is ensured when Secondary user have high SNR. Thus, it is not reasonable using fixed optional false alarm without considering CR user's SNR. So, we propose adaptive threshold method. adaptive threshold is decided by controling FA according to CR user's SNR.