• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률적 변이

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Attack Surface Expansion through Decoy Trap for Protected Servers in Moving Target Defense

  • Park, Tae-Keun;Park, Kyung-Min;Moon, Dae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a method to apply the attack surface expansion through decoy traps to a protected server network. The network consists of a large number of decoys and protected servers. In the network, each protected server dynamically mutates its IP address and port numbers based on Hidden Tunnel Networking that is a network-based moving target defense scheme. The moving target defense is a new approach to cyber security and continuously changes system's attack surface to prevent attacks. And, the attack surface expansion is an approach that uses decoys and decoy groups to protect attacks. The proposed method modifies the NAT table of the protected server with a custom chain and a RETURN target in order to make attackers waste all their time and effort in the decoy traps. We theoretically analyze the attacker success rate for the protected server network before and after applying the proposed method. The proposed method is expected to significantly reduce the probability that a protected server will be identified and compromised by attackers.

A Non-stationary frequency analysis for annual daily maximum rainfalls(ADMRs) using mixed Gumbel distribution of bayesian approach (Bayesian 기법의 혼합 Gumbel 분포를 활용한 연최대일강우량에 대한 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Choi, Hong-Geun;Yoo, Min-Seok;Han, Young-Cheon;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.312-312
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라의 기후 지형적 특성에 따라 연강수량의 50% 이상이 여름철에 내리며 이러한 짧은 기간에 집중적으로 내리는 강수패턴 조건하에서 수공구조물 설계시 대부분 극치빈도분석을 활용한다. 우리나라의 경우 단일 Gumbel 분포를 활용한 극치빈도분석을 많이 이용한다. 하지만, 최근 이상기후로 인하여 전세계적으로 강수패턴의 특징이 급격히 변하고 있으며, 우리나라의 강수패턴 또한 바뀌어가고 있다. 연강수량의 대부분은 태풍과 장마로 인한 강수량으로 이루어져 있고, 일반적으로 두 개의 모집단으로 이루어진 형태를 보인다. 앞선 연구에서 두 개 이상의 첨두를 가지는 형태의 연최대강수량 자료에 대해 8개의 지속시간별(1, 2, 3, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24hr)로 Bayesian 기법의 단일 Gumbel 분포형과 혼합 Gumbel분포형 기반의 극치빈도분석 결과를 비교하였고, 혼합 Gumbel 분포형이 이중첨두 부분의 거동을 효과적으로 모의하는 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 이상기후로 인한 강수량의 특징의 급격한 변화에 일정한 패턴이 있음을 가정하고 이중첨두의 연 최대일강수량 자료에 대해 혼합 Gumbel 분포형 기반 비정상성 빈도분석을 실시하였다. 정상성 빈도분석과의 비교를 위해 확률분포의 매개변수 산정시 우도함수를 Bayesian 기법을 통해 산정하여 각 분포형의 Bayesian information criterion(BIC) 값을 비교하였다. 비정상성일 경우의 BIC 값이 정상성일 경우 보다 작게 산정되었고, 강수패턴이 경향성을 가지는 것으로 판단할 수 있었다. 비정상성 혼합 Gumbel 분포형 모델은 최근 급격한 강수패턴의 변화에 대한 대응책으로서 활용성이 높을 것으로 기대된다.

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An approach to predict size distribution of suspended sediment - cohesive sediment (유사의 입경분포 모의를 위한 방안 연구 - 점착성 유사의 경우)

  • Son, Minwoo;Byun, Jisun;Park, Byeoung Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.288-288
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    • 2018
  • 점착성 유사는 응집 현상을 겪는 유사로, 응집 현상(Flocculation Process)는 응집 과정(Aggregation Process)와 파괴 과정(Breakup Process)의 경쟁으로 이루어진다고 여겨진다. 응집 현상을 통해 점착성 유사는 물과 점착성을 띠는 작은 입자들의 덩어리인 플럭(Floc)을 형성하여 흐름 내에서는 대부분이 플럭의 형태로 이동한다. 점착성 유사의 응집 모형 중 하나인 플럭 성장모형(Floc Growth Model, FGM)은 상미분 방정식으로 시간에 따른 플럭의 크기를 계산하는 모형이다. 응집과 파괴의 평형 상태에서 평균 입경을 얻는다. 이러한 FGM은 낮은 수치 계산 비용으로 합리적인 계산 결과를 얻을 수 있으며, 유사 이동 모형 혹은 흐름 모형과의 결합이 수월한 장점을 가진다. 또한, 닫힌 계(Closed System)에서 질량이 보존되는 특징이 있다. 반면, 결정론적인 특성을 띠면서 특정 플럭 크기만을 계산하기 때문에 점착성 유사의 입도 분포에 대한 정보를 얻을 수 없다. 결정론적 특성을 띠는 FGM에 추계학적 방법을 적용함으로써 특정 확률 분포형을 가지는 플럭의 입도 분포를 얻을 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기 개발된 추계학적 FGM과 유사 이동 모형의 결합을 통해 변화하는 유수동역학적 조건에서 플럭의 입도 분포를 산정하고자 한다. 이전의 많은 실험실 실험 결과들은 부유가 발생한 상태를 유지하면서 수행되는 것으로, 특정 난류 특성(난류 소산 매개변수)와 특정 유사 농도 조건에서의 입도 분포를 얻는다. 그러나 하구부 및 하천의 하류는 조류의 영향을 받는 구간으로, 점착성 유사의 특성을 분석하기 위해서는 변화하는 유수동역학적 특성에 관한 고려가 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 결합된 점착성 유사 입도 분포 모형은 플럭의 침강과 재부유를 고려할 수 있는 특징을 가지며, 실측자료와의 비교를 통해 입도 분포를 합리적으로 모의하는 것으로 나타난다. 본 연구에서 개발된 점착성 유사 입도 분포 모형은 나아가 비점착성 유사의 입도 분포 모형과의 결합을 통해 두 종류의 유사가 혼재하는 구간에서도 합리적인 입도분포와 유사의 이동을 모의할 수 있을 것으로 예측된다.

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Application and Comparison of Genetic Algorithm and Harmony Search Algorithm for Optimal Cost Design of Water Distribution System (상수도 관망 최적설계에 대한 유전 알고리즘과 하모니써치 알고리즘의 적용 및 비교)

  • Hong, Ari;Lee, Ho Min;Choi, Young Hwan;Choi, Ji Ho;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.521-521
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    • 2016
  • 상수도 관망은 수원에서 수요절점까지 물을 안정적으로 공급하는 것을 목표로 한다. 상수도 관망의 최적설계는 수리학적 제한조건 (절점의 수압, 관로의 유속)을 만족하는 범위에서 비용을 최소화하는 설계안을 얻는 것으로 Savic and Walters (1997)는 유전 알고리즘 (Genetic Algorithms, Holland 1975)을 적용한 상수도 관망 설계 프로그램인 GANET를 제안하였고, Maier et al. (1996)은 개미군집알고리즘 (Ant Colony Optimization Algorithm, Dorigo et al. 1996)을 상수도 관망 최적설계에 적용한 후 그 결과가 유전 알고리즘에 비해 우수함을 증명하는 등 상수도 관망 최적설계에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되어 오고 있다. 유전알고리즘은 선택, 교차, 돌연변이의 반복계산 과정을 통하여 최적해를 찾는 최적화 기법이다. 이 과정에서 결정변수는 유전자 (Gene)의 집합으로 표현되며, 염색체 (Chromosome) 내에서 근접한 유전 인자들은 일종의 Building Block을 형성하게 된다. Building Block은 좋은 해를 갖는 유전 인자를 높은 확률로 보관하여 지역해에 빠질 가능성을 줄이는 반면, 유전형 (Genotype)이 표현형 (Phenotype)을 충분히 모방하여 표현하지 못한 경우 오히려 최적해의 탐색을 방해할 수 있다는 한계점을 갖는다. 유전 알고리즘을 상수도 관망 최적설계에 적용하였을 때에도 이 한계점은 여실히 드러난다. 관로의 관경을 결정변수로 설정한 후 유전형으로 표현하였을 때, 관망도 상에서 근접하지 않은 두 관로가 염색체 내에서 연속으로 나열된다면 두 관로 간의 연관성이 실제보다 크게 고려되기 때문이다. 한편, 하모니써치 (Harmony Search, Geem et al. 2001) 알고리즘은 즉흥 연주 (Improvisation)를 통해 최상의 화음을 만들어내는 현상으로부터 착안하여 만들어진 최적화기법으로 연산 기법은 무작위선택, 기억회상, 피치조정 등으로 구성되어 있으며, 결정변수에 해당하는 연주자가 독립적으로 행동하며 해를 탐색한다는 점에서 유전알고리즘과 큰 차이를 갖는다. 본 연구에서는 유전알고리즘의 Building Block에 의해 발생하는 오류를 개선하고자, 상수도 관망 최적설계 연구에 많이 사용되는 Hanoi 관망 (Fujiwara and Khang 1990) 관로의 정렬 순서를 여러 가지 기준으로 설정하여 관망데이터를 구축한 후 하모니써치와 유전 알고리즘을 적용하여 최적화를 수행하였고 그 결과를 비교하였다. 그 결과 유전 알고리즘과 달리 하모니써치 알고리즘의 경우, 관로의 나열 순서와 상관없이 우수한 최적해 탐색 결과를 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Study on Genetic Evaluation using Genomic Information in Animal Breeding - Simulation Study for Estimation of Marker Effects (가축 유전체정보 활용 종축 유전능력 평가 연구 - 표지인자 효과 추정 모의실험)

  • Cho, Chung-Il;Lee, Deuk-Hwan
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2011
  • This simulation study was performed to investigate the accuracy of the estimated breeding value by using genomic information (GEBV) by way of Bayesian framework. Genomic information by way of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) from a chromosome with length of 100cM were simulated with different marker distance (0.1cM, 0.5cM), heritabilities (0.1, 0.5) and half sibs families (20 heads, 4 heads). For generating the simulated population in which animals were inferred to genomic polymorphism, we assumed that the number of quantitative trait loci (QTL) were equal with the number of no effect markers. The positions of markers and QTLs were located with even and scatter distances, respectively. The accuracies of estimated breeding values by way of indicating correlations between true and estimated breeding values were compared on several cases of marker distances, heritabilities and family sizes. The accuracies of breeding values on animals only having genomic information were 0.87 and 0.81 in marker distances of 0.1cM and 0.5cM, respectively. These accuracies were shown to be influenced by heritabilities (0.87 at $h^2$ =0.10, 0.94 at $h^2$ =0.50). According to half sibs' family size, these accuracies were 0.87 and 0.84 in family size of 20 and 4, respectively. As half sibs family size is high, accuracy of breeding appeared high. Based on the results of this study it is concluded that the amount of marker information, heritability and family size would influence the accuracy of the estimated breeding values in genomic selection methodology for animal breeding.

Significance of p53 as a Prognostic Factor in Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma (비소세포 폐암종에 있어서 p53의 예후 인자로서의 의의)

  • 이상호;한정호;김관민;김진국;심영목;장인석
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.37 no.8
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    • pp.672-683
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    • 2004
  • Background: The treatment results of the advanced lung carcinoma is not satisfactory with the present therapeutic modalities: surgical resection, anti-cancer chemotherapy, and radiotherapy or combination therapy. To predict the prognosis of the non-small-cell lung carcinoma, TNM classification has been was as the basic categorization; however, it has been not satisfactory. It is necessary to consider the causes and the prognosis of the lung carcinoma from another points of view rather the conventional methods. We intended to find out the relationship between the major apoptotic factor, p53 gene and the prognosis of the patient with lung carcinoma. Material and Method: Three hundreds and fifty-nine patients with lung carcinoma who underwent surgery were analysed. We observed p53 protein accumulated in the cellular nuclei. The p53 protein was detected by immuno-histo-chemical method. We collected information of the patient retrospectively. Result: p53 protein densities were observed in 40% in average as a whole. The protein density was 44 percent in man, 25 percent in woman, 49 percent in the squamous cell carcinoma, and 38 percent in the adenocarcinoma. There were significant correlations between the p53 protein density and the mortality in the squamous cell carcinoma (p=0.025), follow-up duration in TNM stage I group (p=0.010), and follow-up duration in the lobectomy patient group (p=0.043), and tumor cell differentiation (p=0.009). p53 protein densities were significantly different between the lobectomy and the pneumonectomy group (p=0.044). Conclusion: The authors found that p53 protein had some correlations with the prognosis of the lung cancer partially in some factors. We suggest the p53 protein density could be used as a marker of prognosis in the non-small-cell lung carcinoma.

A Study on the Effects of Reading Education Using Book-Coding (북코딩의 독서교육 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Ji, Hyoun-Ah;Cho, Miah
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.145-166
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    • 2021
  • The study was aimed at verifying the effectiveness of Book-Coding reading education as a reader activity of older elementary school children at a time when high-dimensional thinking abilities were formed. To this end, 30 fifth-grade children of N Elementary School in N-si, Gyeonggi-do, comprised of 15 students from a reading education program using Book-Coding, and 15 students from a reading comprehension program, and applied the reading education program over a total of 12 sessions. The main results of the study are summarized as follows. First, when the effects of the convergence reading education program using Book-Coding on the logical thinking ability of the students in the upper grades in the elementary school were analyzed, all the six sub-factors of logical thinking ability, that is, conservation logic, proportional logic, variable controlling logic, probabilistic logic, correlational inference logic, and combinational logic, were proved to have statistically more meaningful difference than the group writing a book report. Second, the analysis result of the influence of the convergence reading education program using Book-Coding on the creativity of the students in the upper grades of the elementary school showed that all the 13 elements of curiosity, persistence, effectiveness, independence, adventurousness, openness, knowledge, imagination, originality, sensitivity, fluency, flexibility, and accuracy were statistically meaningfully different compared to the book report group. Third, when it was analyzed how the convergence reading education program using Book-Coding affected the creative personality of the elementary school students, all the six factors of curiosity, task commitment, independence, awareness of risk, and openness of thinking, and aesthetics were found out to have a statistically more meaningful difference than the group that wrote a book report.

Characteristics of Participation in Eco-tourism by Lifestyle: Focused on the Case of University Students in Korea (대학생소비자 라이프스타일 유형에 따른 생태관광 참여특성에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Chang-Hee;Byun, Byung-Seol
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.461-480
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to investigated and differences per lifestyle type according to characteristics of participation in eco-tourism by classifying lifestyle types of university student consumers. Also, the influences exerted on characteristics of participation in eco-tourism by the variables of demographical characteristics, lifestyle types and characteristics of eco-tourism were analyzed. The results indicated by the research can be summarized as follows. First, significant differences were found in terms of sociability inclination factors and leisure inclination factors. In other words, the group of people who had participated in eco-tourism were more of sociability-inclined and leisure-inclined lifestyle types than the group of people who had not participated in eco-tourism. Second, logistic analysis on the types of influences exerted on participation in eco-tourism by demographical characteristics, characteristics of eco-tourism and lifestyle types, it was found that significant influences were exerted by such variables of propensity of learning in eco-tourism, leisure inclination factors and school year. Third, regression analysis on the types of influences exerted on intention to participate in eco-tourism by demographical characteristics, characteristics of eco-tourism and lifestyle types, propensity of awareness on eco-tourism, tendency of preferring eco-tourism, sociability inclination factors and progress inclination factors were selected as significant variables.

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The Differences between Ruptured and Unruptured Mediastinal Teratoma (파열된 종격동 기형종과 단순 기형종과의 차이)

  • Cho, Suk-Ki;Lee, Eung-Bae
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.355-360
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    • 2009
  • Background: Benign teratoma is mostly asymptomatic, but this tumor rarely ruptures into the adjacent structure such as the pleural space, pericardium, lung parenchyma or tracheobronchial tree. Thus, it is important to differentiate ruptured teratoma from unruptured teratoma. This study evaluated the difference between ruptured and unruptured benign teratoma. Material and Method: Twenty-four cases of surgically resected benign teratomas were reviewed retrospectively. The clinical symptoms, chest CT findings and operative findings of the ruptured teratoma were compared with those of the unruptured teratoma. Especially, the tumor size, wall thickness, location of the mass, internal septation, homogeneity, calcification and ancillary findings were evaluated on CT. Result: Of the 24 patients, 7 patients were diagnosed with ruptured teratoma. Severe symptoms were more commonly found for ruptured teratoma than for unruptured teratoma. The ruptured teratoma had a tendency to display calcification and such ancillary findings as collapse or consolidation of the lung parenchyma. For the ruptured teratoma, the resection was performed by sternotomy or thoracotomy, and more lung resection was included. Conclusion: Calcification within the mass and changes in the lung parenchyma on the preoperative CT findings can be diagnostic signs of a ruptured teratoma. The demonstration of ruptured teratoma is important not only for making the early diagnosis, but also for the surgical planning.

A Study on BRCA1/2 Mutations, Hormone Status and HER-2 Status in Korean Women with Early-onset Breast Cancer (젊은 한국인 유방암 환자에서 BRCA1/2 돌연변이와 호르몬 수용체, HER-2 상태에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Doo-Ho;Jin, So-Young;Lee, Dong-Wha;Kim, Eun-Seog;Kim, Yong-Ho
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: Women with breast cancer diagnosed at an age of 40 years or younger have a greater prevalence of germline BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations than the prevalence of women with breast cancer diagnosed at older ages. Several immunohistochemical characteristics have been identified in breast cancers from studies of Caucasian women with BRCA1/2 mutations having familial or early-onset breast cancers. The aim of this study is to determine whether early-onset breast cancer in BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers, who were not selected from a family history, could be distinguished by the use of immunohistochemical methods and could be distinguished from breast cancer in women of a similar age without a germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation. We also analyzed the prognostic difference between BRCA1/2 related and BRCA1/2 non-related patients by the use of univariate and multivariate analysis. Materials and Methods: Breast cancer tissue specimens from Korean women with early-onset breast cancers were studied using a tumor tissue microarray. Immunohistochemical staining of estrogen receptor(ER), progesterone receptor(PR) and HER-2, as well as the histology and grade of these specimens, were compared. The prognostic impact of immunohistochemical and histological factors as well as the BRCA1/2 mutation status was investigated separately. Results: There were 14 cases and 16 deleterious BRCA1/2 mutations among 101 patients tested. A family history(4/14) and bilateral breast cancers(3/9) were high risk factors for BRCA1/2 mutations. BRCA1/2-associated cancers demonstrated more expression of ER-negative(19.4% versus 5.1%, p=0.038) and HER-2 negative than BRCA1/2 negative tumors, especially for tumors with BRCA1 tumors The BRCA1/2 mutation rate for patients with triple negative tumors(negative expression of ER, PR and HER-2) was 24.2%. Tumor size, nodal status, and HER-2 expression status were significantly associated with disease free survival, as determined by univariate and multivariate analysis, but the BRCA1/2 status was not a prognostic factor. Conclusion: Breast cancer that occurs in women with a germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations have recognizable immunohistochemical features, which may be useful in identifying individuals that are more likely to carry germline mutations. Although the BRCA1/2 mutation status was not a prognostic factor in Korean women with early-onset breast cancer, more cases with a longer follow-up period are needed for further study.