• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률영역

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Exploring the Stability of Predator-Prey Ecosystem in Response to Initial Population Density (초기 개체군 밀도가 포식자-피식자 생태계 안정성에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Jung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2013
  • The ecosystem is the complex system consisting of various biotic and abiotic factors and the factors interact with each other in the hierarchical predator-prey relationship. Since the competitive relation spatiotemporally occurs, the initial state of population density and species distribution are likely to play an important role in the stability of the ecosystem. In the present study, we constructed a lattice model to simulate the three-trophic ecosystem (predatorprey- plant) and using the model, explored how the ecosystem stability is affected by the initial density. The size of lattice space was $L{\times}L$, (L=100) with periodic boundary condition. The initial density of the plant was arbitrarily set as the value of 0.2. The simulation result showed that predator and prey coexist when the density of predator is less than or equal to 0.4 and the density of prey is less than or equal to 0.5. On the other hand, when the predator density is more than or equal to 0.5 and the density of prey is more than or equal to 0.6, both of predator and prey were extinct. In addition, we found that the strong nonlinearity in the interaction between species was observed in the border area between the coexistence and extinction in the species density space.

The Effect of Social Workers' Convergent Job Competence Enhancement Working in a Social Welfare Facility on Quality of Life (사회복지시설 종사자의 융합적 직무역량강화가 삶의 질에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, San-Yong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to examine whether the enhancement of convergent job competence of social worker working in a social welfare facility affects the quality of life. In order to achieve the purpose of the study, we surveyed 20 social welfare workers working in 20 social welfare facilities in Gyeonggi area and used 188 pieces collected. The random sampling method was used for the sampling method. As a result, there was a positive correlation between personal competence and satisfaction, environmental competence and dissatisfaction, relationship competence and satisfaction in social workers' competence enhancement and quality of life. And social competence's individual competence and environmental competence play a positive role in dissatisfaction. Also, it can be seen that the relationship competency plays a negative role in dissatisfaction. The degree of individual competence, the ability to control the mind to turnover, and the relationship capacity play a positive role in satisfaction. Therefore, in order to improve the quality of life of the social welfare workers, it is expected that there will be a positive effect in implementing the job capacity enhancement education program for the social welfare workers.

A Case Study on Stochastic Fracture Network Modeling for Rock Slopes of Busan-Ulsan Highway(Reach 5) (부산-울산 고속국도(5공구)에 위치한 암반사면의 추계론적 절리연결구조 모사에 대한 사례연구)

  • Heo, In-Sill;Um, Jeong-Gi;Kim, Yang-Phil;Kim, Kook-Han;Lee, Young-Kyun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.16 no.4 s.50
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    • pp.337-349
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    • 2006
  • Seven hundred and fifty one fractures of the rhyolitic tuffaceous rock masses were mapped using 6 scanlines placed on rock slope exposures that were within 8.02 km of Busan-Ulsan highway. These data were analyzed to find the number of fracture sets that exist in the rock slopes and the probability distributions of orientation, spacing, trace length and fracture size in 3-D for each of the fracture sets. All the fracture set orientation distributions exhibit high variability. The Fisher distributions were found to be unsuitable to represent the statistical distribution of orientation for most of the fracture sets. The probability distributions, gamma, exponential and lognormal were found to be highly suitable to represent the distribution of spacing and semi-trace length of fracture sets. In obtain-ing these distributions, corrections were applied for sampling biases associated with spacing and trace length. The generated fracture system in 3-D was used to make predictions of fracture traces for each fracture set on 2-D win-dows. Developed stochastic 3-D fracture network for the rock mass was validated by comparing statistical proper-ties of the observed fracture traces on scanlines with the predicted fracture traces on the scanlines. This exercise fumed out to be successful.

A Comparative Study of Mathematics Curriculum among the United States, Singapore, England, Japan, Australia and Korea (수학 교육과정 국제 비교 분석 연구 - 미국, 싱가포르, 영국, 일본, 호주의 중학교와 고등학교 교육과정을 중심으로 -)

  • Chong, Yeong Ok;Chang, Kyung-Yoon;Kim, Gooyeon;Kwon, Na Young;Kim, Jin Ho;Seo, Dong-Yeop;Kang, Hyun-Young;Park, Sunhwa;Ko, Ho Kyoung;Nam, Jin Young;Tak, Byungjoo
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.371-402
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study is to compare mathematics curriculum among the United States, Singapore, England, Japan, Australia and Korea and offer suggestions to improve mathematics curriculum of Korea in the future. In order to attain these purposes, the analysis was conducted in many aspects including mathematics education system, mathematics courses, mathematics contents, assessment syllabus for university entrance examination and the construction principles of mathematics curriculum. In the light of the results of this study, our suggestions for improving mathematics curriculum of Korea are as follows: revising the contents of analysis, geometry, probability and statistics strands; organizing curriculum based on spiral construction principle; providing various opportunities to select mathematics courses according to students'career; reflecting the contents of their courses in university entrance examination.

Seismic Fragility Analysis of Curved Beam with I-Shape Section (I-Shape 단면을 갖는 곡선 보의 지진 취약도 분석)

  • Jeon, Juntai;Ju, Bu-Seog;Son, Hoyoung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study was to the fragility evaluation of I-shape curved beam structure subjected to strong ground motions including Gyeongju and Pohang earthquakes Method: In particular, to conduct the analytical model, ABAQUS and ANSYS platform was used in this study. Furthermore, the analytical model using 3D Finite Element Model (FEM) was validated, in comparison to the theoretical solutions at the location of 025L, 05L, and 0.75L in static loading condition. In addition, in order to evaluate the seismic fragility of the curved beam structure, 20 seismic ground motions were selected and Monte-Carlo Simulation was used for the empirical fragility evaluation from 0.2g to 1.5g. Result: It was interesting to find that the probability of the system failure was found at 0.2g, as using 190 MPa limit state and the probability of the failure using 390 MPa limit state was starting from 0.6g. Conclusion: This study showed the comparison of the theoretical solution with analytical solution on I-shaped curved beam structures and it was interesting to note that the system subjected to strong ground motions was sensitive to high frequency earthquake. Further, the seismic fragility corresponding to the curved beam shapes must be evaluated.

Applicability of the Burr XII distribution through dimensionless L-moment ratio of rainfall data in South Korea (우리나라 강우자료의 무차원 L-moment ratio를 통한 Burr XII 분포의 수문학적 적용성 검토)

  • Seo, Jungho;Shin, Hongjoon;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2017
  • In statistical hydrology, various extreme distributions such as the generalized extreme value (GEV), generalized logistic (GLO) and Gumbel (GUM) models have been widely used to analyze the extreme events. In the case of rainfall events in South Korea, the GEV and Gumbel distributions are known to be appropriate among various extreme distribution models. However, the proper probability distribution model may be different depending on the type of extreme events, rainfall duration, region, and statistical characteristics of extreme events. In this regard, it is necessary to apply a wide range of statistical properties that can be represented by the distribution model because it has two shape parameters. In this study, the statistical applicability of rainfall data is analyzed using the Burr XII distribution and the dimensionless L-moment ratio for 620 stations in South Korea. For this purpose, L-skewness and L-kurtosis of the Burr XII distribution are derived and L-moment ratio diagram is drawn and then the applicability of 620 stations was analyzed. As a result, it is found that the Burr XII distribution for the stations of the Han River basin in which L-skewness is relatively larger than L-kurtosis is appropriate, It is possibility of replacing the distribution of commonly used Gumbel or GEV distributions. Therefore, the Burr XII model can be replaced as an appropriate probability model in this basin.

Improvement of precipitation forecasting skill of ECMWF data using multi-layer perceptron technique (다층퍼셉트론 기법을 이용한 ECMWF 예측자료의 강수예측 정확도 향상)

  • Lee, Seungsoo;Kim, Gayoung;Yoon, Soonjo;An, Hyunuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.475-482
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    • 2019
  • Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction information which have 2 weeks to 2 months lead time are expected to be used through many parts of industry fields, but utilizability is not reached to expectation because of lower predictability than weather forecast and mid- /long-term forecast. In this study, we used multi-layer perceptron (MLP) which is one of machine learning technique that was built for regression training in order to improve predictability of S2S precipitation data at South Korea through post-processing. Hindcast information of ECMWF was used for MLP training and the original data were compared with trained outputs based on dichotomous forecast technique. As a result, Bias score, accuracy, and Critical Success Index (CSI) of trained output were improved on average by 59.7%, 124.3% and 88.5%, respectively. Probability of detection (POD) score was decreased on average by 9.5% and the reason was analyzed that ECMWF's model excessively predicted precipitation days. In this study, we confirmed that predictability of ECMWF's S2S information can be improved by post-processing using MLP even the predictability of original data was low. The results of this study can be used to increase the capability of S2S information in water resource and agricultural fields.

Negative Effect of Abnormal Climate on the Fruits Productivity - Focusing on the Special Weather Report - (이상기후가 과수 생산성에 미치는 악영향 - 기상특보 발효횟수를 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Jae Won;Kim, Seongsup;Lee, In Kyu;So, Namho;Ko, Hyeon Seok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2018
  • The crops cultivated and consumed in Korea require specific climate conditions corresponding to their own growth characteristics. This study aims to analyze the relationship between climate change and agricultural productivity. According to growing concern about climate change internationally, many agricultural studies are developing technology to prevent damage from climate change. Before developing technology, we should figure out what kind of crop gets huge damage and how much caused by climate change. In the context of agricultural economics, we can define the reduction of agricultural product yield as a decline in productivity. As a result, this study analyzes the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity using Stochastic Frontier Analysis model. There are several kinds of climate change phenomena that increase the inefficiency of production. In other words, there are several kinds of crops that get negative influence by climate change. The result of this study can be used as basic guideline for producers to prepare for changing weather prior to developing disaster tolerance technology coping actively with special weather report.

Suggestions for Enhancing Sampling-Based Approach of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (샘플링기반 지진 확률론적 리스크평가 접근법 개선을 위한 제언)

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun;Choi, Eujeong;Ha, Jeong Gon;Hahm, Daegi
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2021
  • A sampling-based approach was devised as a nuclear seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) method to account for the partially correlated relationships between components. However, since this method is based on sampling, there is a limitation that a large number of samples must be extracted to estimate the results accurately. Thus, in this study, we suggest an effective approach to improve the existing sampling method. The main features of this approach are as follows. In place of the existing Monte Carlo sampling (MCS) approach, the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method that enables effective sampling in multiple dimensions is introduced to the SPRA method. In addition, the degree of segmentation of the seismic intensity is determined with respect to the final seismic risk result. By applying the suggested approach to an actual nuclear power plant as an example, the accuracy of the results were observed to be almost similar to those of the existing method, but the efficiency was increased by a factor of two in terms of the total number of samples extracted. In addition, it was confirmed that the LHS-based method improves the accuracy of the solution in a small sampling region.

Study on Three-Dimensional Analysis of Agricultural Plants and Drone-Spray Pesticide (농작물을 위한 드론 분무 농약 살포의 3차원 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, In Sik;Kown, Hyun Jin;Kim, Mi Hyeon;Chang, Se Myong;Ra, In Ho;Kim, Heung Tae
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.176-186
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    • 2020
  • The size and shape of crops are diverse, and the growing environment is also different. Therefore, when one uses a drone to spray pesticides, the characteristics of each crop must be considered, and flight conditions such as the flight height and forwarding velocity of the drone should be changed. The droplet flow of pesticides is affected by various flight conditions, and a large change occurs in the sprayed area. As a result, an uneven distribution of liquid may be formed at the wake, and the transport efficiency will be decreased as well as there would be a risk of toxic scatter. Therefore, this paper analyzes the degree of distribution of pesticides to the crops through numerical analysis when pesticide is sprayed onto the selected three crops with different characteristics by using agricultural drones with different flight conditions. On the purpose of establishing a guideline for spraying pesticides using a drone in accordance with the characteristics of crops, this paper compares the amount of pesticides distributed in the crops at the wake of nozzle flow using the figure of merit, and the sum of transported liquid rate divided by the root mean square of the probability density function.