• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.141-152
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• 2007

Considering uncertainties of random input data, it is more reasonable to use probabilistic method than the conventional deterministic method for the design of structures or for the assessment of the responses of structures, which are designed as safe even under extreme loads. Therefore, to assess the quantitative effects of the constructed cable stayed bridge by the input random variables, a sensitivity analysis is studied. Using perturbation method, an analysis program is developed for the iterative probabilistic finite element analyses and sensitivity analyses of the cable stayed bridge, except the initial shape analysis. Monte-Carlo Simulations were used for the verification of the developed program. The results of sensitivity analysis shows the governing effects of external loads. Because the results also provide the sensitive effects of the stiffness of members and the magnitudes of prestressing force of cables, the developed

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.1-6
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• 2018

Reliability based design and assessment (RBDA) methodology is one of the newest directions of natural gas pipeline design method. Reliability targets are used to ensure that safety levels are met relevant limit states in the stage of design and maintenance. The target reliability for ultimate limit states such as large leak and rupture were developed using tolerable risk criteria for individual and societal risk. This paper shows the reliability target can be met through the implementation of periodic maintenance measures during the life cycle of the pipelines. The case study involves the calculation of the failure probability due to equipment impact, the calculation of the failure probability due to corrosion, and the estimation the re-inspection interval for domestic natural gas transmission pipelines.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.97-111
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• 2013

It is very important to understand the condition of the surround rock for the successful construction of underground space. Representative methods of estimating the rock mass condition are RMR method and Q-system, and they are applied on design, construction, and maintenance. However, many problems with the accuracy of the measurement method and the subjective viewpoint are questioned continuously, so many researchers have been studied for estimating rock condition from various methods. Most of them show only the local relation and a tendency between site investigation data and rock conditions. In this paper, the relationship between RMR method and electrical resistivity is deducted using the analytical equation derived theoretically from electric field analysis on jointed rock mass. And also, probabilistic relationship between RMR method and electrical resistivity is deducted for the increase of accuracy. If a suggested method is applied with the conventional method for estimating the rock condition, it will be helpful to estimate RMR values on the field.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.159-167
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• 2007

In this study, the concepts of integrated VE analysis assessment is introduced in order to achieve "Design for Deterioration performance" in design VE phase. For this purpose, a framework for fuzzy reliability based LCC and value analysis model using fuzzy logic based approach for breakwaters Projects is suggested. It is anticipated that the methodology Proposed in this paper can also be utilized in the design and maintenance phase of other facilities where decision making is made for the fuzzy reliability based life cycle cost and value analysis.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.10
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• pp.769-777
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• 2021

This study investigated the change of the achievement rate of the target water quality conditioned on the occurrence of severe drought, to assess the effects of meteorological drought on the water quality management in the Nakdong River basin. Using three drought indices with difference time scales such as 30-, 60-, 90-day, i.e., SPI30, SPI60, SPI90, and three water quality indicators such as biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total organic carbon (TOC), and total phosphorus (T-P), we first analyzed the relationship between severe drought occurrence water quality change in mid-sized watersheds, and identified the watersheds in which water quality was highly affected by severe drought. The Bayesian network models were constructed for the watersheds to probabilistically assess the relationship between severe drought and water quality management. Among 22 mid-sized watersheds in the Nakdong River basin, four watersheds, such as #2005, #2018, #2021, and #2022, had high environmental vulnerability to severe drought. In addition, severe drought affected spring and fall water quality in the watershed #2021, summer water quality in the #2005, and winter water quality in the #2022. The causal relationship between drought and water quality management is usufaul in proactive drought management.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.4 no.4 s.14
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• pp.1-12
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• 2002

Pavement Management System has a special purpose that the rehabilitation strategy applied on pavement should be executable in view of technical and economical point after new pavement open to the traffic. To achieve that purpose, a reliable pavement performance prediction model should be embeded in the system. The object of this study is to develop a probabilistic pavement performance prediction model for evaluating asphalt pavements based on the Markov chain concept. In this paper, methodology of the Markov chain modeling principle is explained, and the application of this model to asphalt pavement is described. As the results, transition matrics for predicting asphalt pavement performance are obtained, and also performance life is estimated quantitatively by this system.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.94-94
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• 2011

배관 구조물에서는 내부 미세 균열에서부터 국부 좌굴, 볼트 풀림, 피로 균열 등과 같이 다양한 형태의 손상이 복합적으로 발생 가능하다. 이러한 복합 손상은 배관 구조물의 누수, 누유 등의 사고를 야기할 수 있다. 하지만 기존의 단일 스케일 계측 시스템으로부터 복합 손상에 의한 실시간 누수를 진단하기는 매우 어렵다. 본 연구 단계에서는 누수를 야기하는 복합 손상을 효율적으로 진단하기 위하여 선행 연구에서 제안된 압전센서를 이용한 자가 계측 회로 기반의 다중 스케일 계측 시스템을 구조물의 복합 손상 진단에 적용하였다. 자가 계측 회로 기반 다중 스케일 계측 시스템은 크게 두 가지 형태의 신호를 계측한다. 첫 번째 스케일은 임피던스 계측으로부터 특정 주파수 대역폭에 대한 구조 응답을 계측하며, 두 번째 스케일은 유도 초음파 계측으로부터 단일 중심 주파수에 해당하는 구조물의 응답을 계측한다. 복합 손상을 손상 유형별로 분류하기 위하여 E/M 임피던스(Electro-mechanical impedance)및 유도 초음파(Guided wave) 계측으로부터 추출한 특성을 이용하여 2차원 손상지수를 계산하고 이를 지도학습 기반 패턴인식 기법(Supervised learning based pattern recognition) 중 확률론적 신경망 기법(Probabilistic Neural Network, PNN)에 적용한다. 제안된 기법의 적용성 검토를 위하여 파이프 구조물에 인위적으로 다중 손상을 생성시켜 시험을 수행하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 기법이 실제 배관 구조물에 성공적으로 적용된다면 손상 부재의 거동 및 구조물 성능의 손상에 대한 영향을 효율적으로 진단하고 평가함으로써 배관 구조물의 효과적인 유지관리가 가능할 것으로 예상된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.45-59
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• 2003

The method in this study, which is more efficiency than the existing method, propose the optimal rehabilitation model based on the deterioration prediction of the laying pipe by using the deterioration survey method of the water distribution system. The deterioration prediction model divides the deterioration degree of each pipe into 5 degree by using the probabilistic neural network. Also, the optimal residual durability is estimated by the calculated deterioration degree in each pipe and pipe diameter. The optimal rehabilitation model by integer programming base on the shortest path can calculate a time and cost of maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement. Also, the model is divided into budget constraint and no budget constraint. Consequently, the model proposed by the study can be utilized as the quantitative method for the management of the water distribution system.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.25-34
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• 2015

Proposed equation is used many time in calculation of concrete compressive strength using the non-destructive testing at precision safety diagnosis. Most of proposed equation is suggested in abroad and have an error to estimate concrete compressive strength in the domestic. Therefor, proposed equation is low reliability to estimate concrete compressive and it has a significant effect in reliability of precision safety diagnosis. Nevertheless, It is possible to increase the reliability through a number of experiments from this problem that occurs in some localized part. This paper is proposed assessment formula of reliability related core compressive strength to increase the reliability. It is verified that reliability of proposed assessment formula is useful by probabilistic techniques. It is compared with each graphs of concrete compressive strength of proposed equation. It has been found that the present methods are very efficient.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.72-79
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• 2015

An efficient and practical reliability evaluation method is proposed for the coastal structures in this paper. It is capable of evaluating reliability of real complicated coastal structures considering uncertainties in various sources of design parameters, such as wave and current loads, resistance-related design variables including Young's modulus and compressive strength of the reinforced concrete, soil parameters, and boundary conditions. It is developed by intelligently integrating the Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and the finite element method (FEM). The LHS-based MCS is used to significantly reduce the computational effort by limiting the number of simulation cycles required for the reliability evaluation. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method were verified using a caisson-type breakwater structure in the numerical example.