• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률과정근사법

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A Study on the Prediction of the Response of Stochastic Dynamic System (확률적 동적계의 응답 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 남성현;김호룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 1994
  • 본 연구에서는 계의 변수들이 불확실성을 갖고 비정상확률입력을 받는 비선형 동적계를 포함한 일반적인 확률적 선형/비선형 동적계의 해석을 수행하기 위하여 동적계의 확률적 모델과 새로운 확률과정근사법을 이용한 확률해석을 제시하고, 그 타당성을 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션으로 검증하고자 한다.

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A Study on the Analysis of Stochastic Nonlinear Dynamic System (확률적 비선형 동적계의 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 남성현;김호룡
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 1995
  • The dynamic characteristics of a system can be critically influenced by system uncertainty, so the dynamic system must be analyzed stochastically in consideration of system uncertainty. This study presents the stochastic model of a nonlinear dynamic system with uncertain parameters under nonstationary stochastic inputs. And this stochastic system is analyzed by a new stochastic process closure method and moment equation method. The first moment equation is numerically evaluated by Runge-Kutta method and the second moment equation is numerically evaluated by stochastic process closure method, 4th cumulant neglect closure method and Runge-Kutta method. But the first and the second moment equations are coupled each other, so this equations are approximately evaluated by a iterative method. Finally the accuracy of the present method is verified by Monte Carlo simulation.

Mathematical Review on the Local Linearizing Method of Drift Coefficient (추세계수 국소선형근사법의 특성과 해석)

  • Yoon, Min;Choi, Young-Soo;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.801-811
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    • 2008
  • Modeling financial phenomena with diffusion processes is a commonly used methodology in the area of modern finance. Recently, various types of diffusion models have been suggested to explain the specific financial processes, and their related inference methodology have been also developed. In particular, likelihood methods for the efficient and accurate inference have been explored in various ways. In this paper, we review the mathematical properties of an approximated likelihood method, which is obtained by linearizing the drift coefficient of a diffusion process.