• Title/Summary/Keyword: 혼합 이동 포아송분포

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Estimation in Mixture of Shifted Poisson Distributions

  • Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1209-1217
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    • 2006
  • For the mixture of shifted Poisson distributions, a method of parameter estimation is proposed. The range of the shifted parameters are estimated first and for each shifted parameter set EM algorithm is applied to estimate the other parameters of the distribution. Among the estimated parameter sets, one with minimum likelihood for given data is to be set as the final estimate. In simulation experiments, the suggested estimation method shows to have a good performance.

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Estimation in Mixture of Shifted Poisson Distributions with Known Shift Parameters

  • Lee, Hyun-Jung;Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.785-794
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    • 2006
  • Suggested is an EM algorithm for estimation in mixture of shifted Poisson distributions with known shift parameters. For this type of mixture distribution, we have to utilize values of shift parameters to determine whether each of data belongs to some component distribution. We propose a method of estimating values of component information and then follow typical EM methodology. Simulation results show that the algorithm provides reasonable performance for the distribution.

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Mixed-effects zero-inflated Poisson regression for analyzing the spread of COVID-19 in Daejeon (혼합효과 영과잉 포아송 회귀모형을 이용한 대전광역시 코로나 발생 동향 분석)

  • Kim, Gwanghee;Lee, Eunjee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.375-388
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 by analyzing confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Daejeon. A high volume of visitors, downtown areas, and psychological fatigue with prolonged social distancing were considered as risk factors associated with the spread of COVID-19. We considered the weekly confirmed cases in each administrative district as a response variable. Explanatory variables were the number of passengers getting off at a bus station in each administrative district and the elapsed time since the Korean government had imposed distancing in daily life. We employed a mixed-effects zero-inflated Poisson regression model because the number of cases was repeatedly measured with excess zero-count data. We conducted k-means clustering to identify three groups of administrative districts having different characteristics in terms of the number of bars, the population size, and the distance to the closest college. Considering that the number of confirmed cases might vary depending on districts' characteristics, the clustering information was incorporated as a categorical explanatory variable. We found that Covid-19 was more prevalent as population size increased and a district is downtown. As the number of passengers getting off at a downtown district increased, the confirmed cases significantly increased.