• Title/Summary/Keyword: 협업적 수요예측

Search Result 8, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

A Study on Collaborative Demand Planning for Effective Supply Chain Management (SCM 구축을 위한 협업적 수요예측 모형 개발 - 통신장비 제조산업의 협업 수요예측 실제 사례 모형 연구 -)

  • Kwon, Jae-Hyun;Park, Sang-Min;Nam, Ho-Ki
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.84-92
    • /
    • 2004
  • We have discussed the importance of collaborative forecasting and the difficulties that can arise during its implementation. We have also proposed the detail process of collaborative forecasting and the system requirement on each step of the process so that the proposed detail process can be easily applied to real life scenario. Lastly, we have talked about a case study of a telecommunication equipment manufacturer that has implemented the proposed collaborative forecasting process that verify the feasibility of the process.

A Study on the Design of Collaboration Agent for Resolution of Exception Items in CPFR System (CPFR 시스템의 예외 사항 해결을 위한 협업 에이전트 시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 김영훈;임상환;엄완섭
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.338-341
    • /
    • 2003
  • CPFR (Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment)은 기존의 공급망 개선에 관한 어플리케이션이 갖는 문제점인 정보의 부정확성, 시스템의 단절, 관련 기업 간 협력의 부족 등과 같은 여러 장해요소들을 극복하기 위한 목적으로 설계된 최신 비즈니스 모델로서, 이는 공급망의 총재고를 최소화하기 위해서 공급망의 모든 구성원들이 최종소비자의 실제 수요정보에 근거하여 계획(Planning), 예측(Forecasting), 그리고 보충(Replenishment)을 시스템 상에서 협력적으로 결정하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 구성원들 간에 발생할 수 있는 예외적인 사항들을 CPFR시스템의 예측단계에서 판별하고, 그러한 예외 사항들을 역동적으로 다루기 위한 지식기반 협업 에이전트 시스템(Knowledge-Based Collaboration Agent System)을 제시한다. 또한 지능적 추론(Reasoning)과 학습(Learning)을 통해 구성원들에게 예외 사항에 대한 최적의 해결안을 제시함으로써 협업 시스템의 자동화를 구현한다.

  • PDF

A User based Collaborative Filtering Recommender System with Recommendation Quantity and Repetitive Recommendation Considerations (추천 수량과 재 추천을 고려한 사용자 기반 협업 필터링 추천 시스템)

  • Jihoi Park;Kihwan Nam
    • Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-94
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recommender systems reduce information overload and enhance choice quality. This technology is used in many services and industry. Previous studies did not consider recommendation quantity and the repetitive recommendations of an item. This study is the first to examine recommender systems by considering recommendation quantity and repetitive recommendations. Only a limited number of items are displayed in offline stores because of their physical limitations. Determining the type and number of items that will be displayed is an important consideration. In this study, I suggest the use of a user-based recommender system that can recommend the most appropriate items for each store. This model is evaluated by MAE, Precision, Recall, and F1 measure, and shows higher performance than the baseline model. I also suggest a new performance evaluation measure that includes Quantity Precision, Quantity Recall, and Quantity F1 measure. This measure considers the penalty for short or excess recommendation quantity. Novelty is defined as the proportion of items in a recommendation list that consumers may not experience. I evaluate the new revenue creation effect of the suggested model using this novelty measure. Previous research focused on recommendations for customer online, but I expand the recommender system to cover stores offline.

Study Level Inference System using Education Video Watching Behaviors (학습동영상 학습행위 기반의 학습레벨 추론시스템)

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Jeonghyeok;Heo, Nojeong;Lee, Jong Sik
    • Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.371-378
    • /
    • 2013
  • Video-demand learning through E-learning continuously increases on these days. However, not all video-demand learning systems can be utilized properly. When students study by education videos not matched to level of their own, it is possible for them to lose interest in learning. It causes to reduce the learning efficiency. In order to solve the problem, we need to develop a recommendation system which recommends customized education videos according the study levels of students. In this paper, we estimate the study level based on the history of students' watching behaviors such as average watching time, skipping and rewinding of videos. In the experimental section, we demonstrate our recommendation system using real students' video watching history to show that our system is feasible in a practical environment.

A Study on Improvement of Collaborative Filtering Based on Implicit User Feedback Using RFM Multidimensional Analysis (RFM 다차원 분석 기법을 활용한 암시적 사용자 피드백 기반 협업 필터링 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Seong;Kim, Jaeyoung;Kang, Byeongwook
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.139-161
    • /
    • 2019
  • The utilization of the e-commerce market has become a common life style in today. It has become important part to know where and how to make reasonable purchases of good quality products for customers. This change in purchase psychology tends to make it difficult for customers to make purchasing decisions in vast amounts of information. In this case, the recommendation system has the effect of reducing the cost of information retrieval and improving the satisfaction by analyzing the purchasing behavior of the customer. Amazon and Netflix are considered to be the well-known examples of sales marketing using the recommendation system. In the case of Amazon, 60% of the recommendation is made by purchasing goods, and 35% of the sales increase was achieved. Netflix, on the other hand, found that 75% of movie recommendations were made using services. This personalization technique is considered to be one of the key strategies for one-to-one marketing that can be useful in online markets where salespeople do not exist. Recommendation techniques that are mainly used in recommendation systems today include collaborative filtering and content-based filtering. Furthermore, hybrid techniques and association rules that use these techniques in combination are also being used in various fields. Of these, collaborative filtering recommendation techniques are the most popular today. Collaborative filtering is a method of recommending products preferred by neighbors who have similar preferences or purchasing behavior, based on the assumption that users who have exhibited similar tendencies in purchasing or evaluating products in the past will have a similar tendency to other products. However, most of the existed systems are recommended only within the same category of products such as books and movies. This is because the recommendation system estimates the purchase satisfaction about new item which have never been bought yet using customer's purchase rating points of a similar commodity based on the transaction data. In addition, there is a problem about the reliability of purchase ratings used in the recommendation system. Reliability of customer purchase ratings is causing serious problems. In particular, 'Compensatory Review' refers to the intentional manipulation of a customer purchase rating by a company intervention. In fact, Amazon has been hard-pressed for these "compassionate reviews" since 2016 and has worked hard to reduce false information and increase credibility. The survey showed that the average rating for products with 'Compensated Review' was higher than those without 'Compensation Review'. And it turns out that 'Compensatory Review' is about 12 times less likely to give the lowest rating, and about 4 times less likely to leave a critical opinion. As such, customer purchase ratings are full of various noises. This problem is directly related to the performance of recommendation systems aimed at maximizing profits by attracting highly satisfied customers in most e-commerce transactions. In this study, we propose the possibility of using new indicators that can objectively substitute existing customer 's purchase ratings by using RFM multi-dimensional analysis technique to solve a series of problems. RFM multi-dimensional analysis technique is the most widely used analytical method in customer relationship management marketing(CRM), and is a data analysis method for selecting customers who are likely to purchase goods. As a result of verifying the actual purchase history data using the relevant index, the accuracy was as high as about 55%. This is a result of recommending a total of 4,386 different types of products that have never been bought before, thus the verification result means relatively high accuracy and utilization value. And this study suggests the possibility of general recommendation system that can be applied to various offline product data. If additional data is acquired in the future, the accuracy of the proposed recommendation system can be improved.

A Study on the Development of Aerobic Exercise Equipment Design for User-Centered -Focusing on Elliptical Cross Trainer- (사용자 중심의 유산소 운동기구 디자인 개발에 관한 연구 -Elliptical Cross Trainer를 중심으로-)

  • Chung, Kyung-Ryul;Song, Bok-Hee;Yoon, Se-Kyun;Park, Il-Woo
    • Archives of design research
    • /
    • v.19 no.5 s.67
    • /
    • pp.129-138
    • /
    • 2006
  • It is expected that the typical lifestyle of the future will be transformed into an opulent and comfortable existence as the quality of life improves due to the increase in household income and reduction in working hours. In the meantime, as the standard of living becomes increasingly more comfortable and plentiful, the toll on physical health becomes magnified as a result of obesity and insufficient exercise caused by super nutrition and change in labor conditions (from physical labor to mental labor). This has instigated a deep awareness in fitness on the part of many people, forcing them to recognize the significance of daily exercise and physical activity. The high annual growth rate in the fitness and athletic apparatus market, which is more than 20%, is attributed to this phenomenon. The Elliptical Cross Trainer(ECT), which has drawn wide attention recently, is a non-impact athletic apparatus that not only promotes exercise of the upper body parts in such sports as skiing but also the exercise of lower parts of the body on a treadmill. It is a type of cross training athletic gear that has been developed for aerobic exercise throughout the entire body. It has already formed a market as big as that of the treadmill in Europe, America, etc. Recently, its demand is growing sharply in the Korean markets as well as those in Northeast Asian countries, Despite such demand increase and expansion, since most of the expensive ECTs are exclusively supplied by suppliers in only a few advanced countries, localization of the ECT is urgently required in order to enhance competitiveness of Korean manufacturers and to expand the market. This paper introduces the process and results of a design-engineering cooperative study that was peformed for the development of the ECT.

  • PDF

An empirical study on RFM-T model for market performance of B2B-based Technology Industry Companies (B2B 중심의 기술 산업 기업의 수익성 성과를 위한 RFM-T 모형 실증 연구)

  • Miyoung Woo;Young-Jun Kim
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.167-175
    • /
    • 2024
  • Due to the Fourth Industrial Revolution, ICT(Information and Communication Technology) industry is becoming more important and sophisticated than ever. In B2B based ICT industry demand forecasting by analyzing the previous customer data is so important. RFM, one of customer relationship management models is a marketing technique that evaluates Recency, Frequency and Monetary value to predict customers behavior. RFM model has been studied focusing on the B2C based industry. On the other hand there is a lack of research on B2B based technology industry. Therefore this study applied it to B2B based high technology industry and considered T(technology collaboration) value, which are identified as important factors in the technology industry. To present an improved model for market performance in B2B technology industry, an empirical study was conducted on comparing the accuracy of the traditional RFM model and the improved RFM-T model. The objective of this study is to contribute to market performance by presenting an improved model in B2B based high technology industry.

A Study on the establishment of IoT management process in terms of business according to Paradigm Shift (패러다임 전환에 의한 기업 측면의 IoT 경영 프로세스 구축방안 연구)

  • Jeong, Min-Eui;Yu, Song-Jin
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.151-171
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study examined the concepts of the Internet of Things(IoT), the major issue and IoT trend in the domestic and international market. also reviewed the advent of IoT era which caused a 'Paradigm Shift'. This study proposed a solution for the appropriate corresponding strategy in terms of Enterprise. Global competition began in the IoT market. So, Businesses to be competitive and responsive, the government's efforts, as well as the efforts of companies themselves is needed. In particular, in order to cope with the dynamic environment appropriately, faster and more efficient strategy is required. In other words, proposed a management strategy that can respond the IoT competitive era on tipping point through the vision of paradigm shift. We forecasted and proposed the emergence of paradigm shift through a comparative analysis of past management paradigm and IoT management paradigm as follow; I) Knowledge & learning oriented management, II) Technology & innovation oriented management, III) Demand driven management, IV) Global collaboration management. The Knowledge & learning oriented management paradigm is expected to be a new management paradigm due to the development of IT technology development and information processing technology. In addition to the rapid development such as IT infrastructure and processing of data, storage, knowledge sharing and learning has become more important. Currently Hardware-oriented management paradigm will be changed to the software-oriented paradigm. In particular, the software and platform market is a key component of the IoT ecosystem, has been estimated to be led by Technology & innovation oriented management. In 2011, Gartner announced the concept of "Demand-Driven Value Networks(DDVN)", DDVN emphasizes value of the whole of the network. Therefore, Demand driven management paradigm is creating demand for advanced process, not the process corresponding to the demand simply. Global collaboration management paradigm create the value creation through the fusion between technology, between countries, between industries. In particular, cooperation between enterprises that has financial resources and brand power and venture companies with creative ideas and technical will generate positive synergies. Through this, The large enterprises and small companies that can be win-win environment would be built. Cope with the a paradigm shift and to establish a management strategy of Enterprise process, this study utilized the 'RTE cyclone model' which proposed by Gartner. RTE concept consists of three stages, Lead, Operate, Manage. The Lead stage is utilizing capital to strengthen the business competitiveness. This stages has the goal of linking to external stimuli strategy development, also Execute the business strategy of the company for capital and investment activities and environmental changes. Manege stage is to respond appropriately to threats and internalize the goals of the enterprise. Operate stage proceeds to action for increasing the efficiency of the services across the enterprise, also achieve the integration and simplification of the process, with real-time data capture. RTE(Real Time Enterprise) concept has the value for practical use with the management strategy. Appropriately applied in this study, we propose a 'IoT-RTE Cyclone model' which emphasizes the agility of the enterprise. In addition, based on the real-time monitoring, analysis, act through IT and IoT technology. 'IoT-RTE Cyclone model' that could integrate the business processes of the enterprise each sector and support the overall service. therefore the model be used as an effective response strategy for Enterprise. In particular, IoT-RTE Cyclone Model is to respond to external events, waste elements are removed according to the process is repeated. Therefore, it is possible to model the operation of the process more efficient and agile. This IoT-RTE Cyclone Model can be used as an effective response strategy of the enterprise in terms of IoT era of rapidly changing because it supports the overall service of the enterprise. When this model leverages a collaborative system among enterprises it expects breakthrough cost savings through competitiveness, global lead time, minimizing duplication.