• Title/Summary/Keyword: 행태재무

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A Case Study on Building a System Dynamics Model for Strategic Knowledge Management (전략적 지식경영을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델 구축 사례 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Hyun;Yeon, Seung-Jun;Kim, Dong-Ho;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2005
  • IT companies make a lot of effort to share and utilize the experiences of their members and transform them into organizational knowledge as a competitive core. However they face a dilemma in that they have to spend time and financial resources to perform activities around knowledge management for the long-term gains, while carrying at field-work for making short-term profits. As an initial attempt to tackle this managerial problem, this paper tries to investigate the mechanism of knowledge management in a small IT company in Korea with a synthetic view-point using system dynamics simulation model. It depicts the dynamic behaviors of knowledge management and presents some findings of political leverage. Although this model has to be further replenished, the scheme for the dynamism of knowledge management and the findings presented in the paper could be useful for the decision makers, especially of knowledge-intensive organizations.

The Effect of Optimistic Investors' Sentiment on Anomalious Behaviors in the Hot Market IPOs (낙관적 투자자의 기대가 핫마켓상황 IPO 시장의 이상현상에 미치는 영향력 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-A;Jung, Sung-Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.1-33
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    • 2010
  • This study explores if the higher initial returns and the poorer long-run performance observed in the IPOs markets are associated with the firms offered in the 'hot markets,' and then empirically examines the effect of optimistic investors' sentiment on this phenomenon, particularly in the aspects of both pricing mechanism and the opportunistic behavior of offering firms. We analyzed a total of 432 IPO firms for the years between 2001 and 2005. This analysis finds that the initial returns and long-run under-performances of 'IPOs in the hot market' are significantly higher than those of 'IPOs in the cold market.' This study also finds that the proxy variables for the optimistic investors' sentiment have a positive effect on the initial return and negative effect on the long-run performance. Finally, this research finds no difference of ownership structure, venture capital backed, and financial properties between hot market IPOs and cold market IPOs. R&D expenditure rate and financial qualities of IPOs are higher in the hot market than in the cold market. These results do not support the 'windows of opportunity' hypothesis that low quality firms take advantage of hot market condition for successful IPOs.

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Effectiveness of Securities Market Plans, $1980{\sim}2004$ ($1980{\sim}2004$년 동안의 증시부양정책 및 증시규제정책의 실효성)

  • Lee, Jae-Ha;Hahn, Deok-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.143-170
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    • 2006
  • We explore how stock returns and volatility have been impacted by securities market stimulating and controlling plans during the 1980-2004 period, using return analysis, event study, and BFL tests. First, we examine effectiveness of the stimulating plans for a depressed market and the controlling plans for an overheated market with respect to different firm sizes and industries as well as the whole market. KOSPI, large-sized, finance, and manufacturing company stock prices significantly rise following stimulating plans, implying that the plans are quite effective. Controlling plans also seem effective as stock prices stop rising and tend to decline following the plans. Second, we test whether securities market plans have any further impact with respect to fun sizes and industries in addition to the impact on the entire market. Only large-sized stocks show additional response to stimulating plans, while small-sized, electrical-electronic equipment, distribution, and manufacturing industries are further impacted by controlling plans. Third, the results of BFL tests show that volatility does not change around the announcement dates of stimulating and controlling plans. It appears that securities market plans have no impact on volatility. Only stock returns respond to the plans.

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무상증자 실시기업의 장기성과에 관한 연구

  • Kim, Byeong-Gi
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2000
  • 기존연구에 의하면 무상증자의 공시는 공시기간 중 정(+)의 가격효과를 초래하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 무상증자에 대한 이러한 시장의 호의적인 반응을 설명하기 위해 여러 가설이 제기되어 왔으며, 그 중 무상증자는 좋은 내부정보를 외부에 신빙성 있게 전달하는 신호기제가 될 수 있다는 신호가설이 특히 지지를 받고 있다. 그런데 짧은 공시기간 중의 정(+)의 주가반응만을 보고 신호가설이 지지된다고 단정짓는데는 무리가 있다. 본 연구에서는 과연 신호가설이 주장하는 것처럼 무상증자가 사업기회의 확대, 미래현금흐름의 증대, 추후 차입여력의 증대를 가져오는가를 더 면밀히 검증하기 위하여 무상증자 실시기업의 장기성과를 조사하였다. 본 연구의 특징은 (1)공시기간 이후의 1년 이내의 기간에 중점을 둔 대부분의 기존연구와 달리 증자 후 36개월간의 장기성과를 측정하였으며, (2)주가수익률 자료와 회계자료를 동시에 이용하여 장기성과를 조사하였고, (3)장기 초과수익률 측정과 검증에 있어 통계적 오류가 있는 누적초과수익률(CAR)을 보완하기 위해 매입보유초과수익률(BHAR)을 사용했으며, 이를 위해 엄격한 기준을 적용하여 표본기업과 비교기업을 선정하였다는 데 있다. 실증분석 결과 신호가설을 지지하는 증거는 발견하지 못하였으며 오히려 무상증자 실시기업이 시장평균 또는 비교기업인 비증자기업에 비해 장기적으로 주가수익률 및 영업성과에 있어 저성과를 보이는 증거를 상당 수 발견하였다. 구체적으로 동일가중평균수익률로 조정한 보유기간 초과수익률의 경우 증자 후 1개월에서 24개윌까지의 BHAR이 5% 미만 수준에서 부(-)의 값을 보였으며, 비모수통계치를 사용할 경우 $1{\sim}36$개월까지의 전기간에서 유의한 부(-)의 저성과를 보이고 있다. 또한 영업성과면에서도 증자기업이 비증자기업에 비해 증자 후 수익성과 현금흐름이 저조하게 나타나고 있다.해 현물시장의 수익률, 변동성이 높은 것으로 나타났으나, 변경후에는 현물시장에 비해 선물시장의 수익률 변동성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. VAR 분석에 의하면 변경후가 변경전에 비하여 선물이 현물을 선도하는 시차가 다소 커진 것으로 나타나 현물시장과 선물시장이 동시에 가격제한폭 확대후에 비효율적으로 되었다는 의미로 판단된다.기간에서는 선물의 15분 선도효과와 현물의 1분 선도효과가 발견되어 선물의 선도효과가 지배적임을 발견하였다.적 일정하게 하는 소비행동을 목표로 삼고 소비와 투자에 대한 의사결정을 내리고 있음이 실증분석을 통하여 밝혀졌다. 투자자들은 무위험 자산과 위험성 자산을 동시에 고려하여 포트폴리오를 구성하는 투자활동을 행동에 옮기고 있다.서, Loser포트폴리오를 매수보유하는 반전거래전략이 Winner포트폴리오를 매수보유하는 계속거래전략보다 적합한 전략임을 알 수 있었다. 다섯째, Loser포트폴리오와 Winner포트폴리오를 각각 투자대상종목으로써 매수보유한 반전거래전략과 계속거래 전략에 대한 유용성을 비교검증한 Loser포트폴리오와 Winner포트폴리오 각각의 1개월 평균초과수익률에 의하면, 반전거래전략의 Loser포트폴리오가 계속거래전략의 Winner포트폴리오보다 약 5배정도의 높은 1개월 평균초과수익률을 실현하였고, 반전거래전략의 유용성을 충분히 발휘하기 위하여 장단기의 투자기간을 설정할 경우에 6개월에서 36개월로 이동함에 따라 6개월부터 24개월까지는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수 있는 거래전략은 존재하므로 이러한 전략을 개발 및 활용할 수 있으며, 특히, 한국주식시장에 적합한 거래전략은 반전거래전략이고, 이 전략의 유용성은

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The Korean Stock Market Surveillance System : Changes in Volatility Before and After Surveillance Designation (한국의 감리종목 제도 : 감리지정 전.후의 변동성 비교)

  • Lee, You-Tay
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.261-277
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    • 2003
  • The Korean Stock Market Surveillance System is desinged to control the volatility of stocks by drawing investor's attention and suppressing disguised demand, when stocks run up so rapidly in short period of time. Yet the Surveillance System has not been under empirical examination about its role and evolved in line with the Price Limit System. This study looks at the security returns under surveillance designation for 1995 -2001 period. The results indicate that the volatility of stocks has not been affected after surveillance designation. The constraints against the disguised demand, however, seems to limit the security returns rather than volatilities. These findings raises a question about the role of The Korean Stock Market Surveillance System for the control of volatility. The Surveillance System needs to be examined thoroughly about its role, function, and its conditions. Otherwise, the shareholders with less information could be placed at a disadvantage. This paper suggests that the system should be amended in an effort to make the volatility of stocks under control.

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Information Contents of Dividend and Ex-dividend Day Stock Returns (현금배당 사전공시기업의 정보효과 및 배당락일의 주식수익률)

  • Kim, Sung-Min;Kim, Ji-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the stock price and the volume behavior on the ex-dividend day using the December fiscal year firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange from 1998 to 2000. Using the samples of voluntarily preannounced dividend-raying firms prior to the end of fiscal you, this study corrects the major limitations on previous studies -Kim, S. (1997) and Kim, S. (2003)- which were based on the perfect foresight assumption for firms' upcoming dividends. Also, this paper examines the information content of dividend more properly, since the preannounced date for the upcoming dividend payment is employed for the first time as the event date. Empirical results show that the announcement effects of cash and/or stock dividend is significant around the event date. The ex-dividend day stock returns are negative as expected for the samples of voluntarily preannounced cash dividend-paying firms.

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Foreign Stock Investment and Firms's Dividend Policy in Korea (외국인 투자자가 국내 유가증권시장 상장기업의 배당 행태에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구 : 다양한 계량경제모형의 적용)

  • Kim, Young-Hwan;Jung, Sung-Chang;Chun, Sun-Eae
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2009
  • As foreign investors' share holdings in Korean firms have dramatically increased since 1998 following the financial deregulation on the limit of foreign stock investment, the concern over the negative impacts the foreign investors would bring on the firms' financial policy has been growing too. Foreign investors were perceived to require the firms of excessive payments of cash dividends sometimes with threat of hostile takeover trials detering the firm from investing its cash flow in the physical facilities and RandD eroding their potential growth capabilities. We examine the impact of foreign investment on the firms' dividend policy using 234 listed firms' panel data over the sample periods of 1998 to 2005 employing various panel regression methodology. Foreign shareholders are found not to be related or even negatively related to the payout ratio(dividend/net income), but positively and statistically significantly related to the ratio of cash dividends to book of asset, negatively to the dividend yields. Considering the payout ratio is the most appropriate measure for the dividend payment, we can not support the arguments that the foreign investors' holdings have induced the excessive dividend level in Korean firms.

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The Study on Possibility of Strategic Trade using Disclosure Interval (공시시차를 이용한 전략적 매매의 개연성에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Hyuk-Jin;Park, Seong-Ho;Lim, Jun-Kyu;Park, Young-S.
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.165-189
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    • 2009
  • According to disclosure regulation, insider can hide their trading until disclosure day, because there be interval between trading time and disclosure time. To accommodate strategic trade, they have an incentive to be brought disclosure interval as long as possible. This research investigate whether strategical behaviour of informed traders using disclosure intervals exists in domestic stock market.ls xt, we aney he whether they can get abnormal return through stealth strategy after announcement date. We also evaluate the effect of mimicking trading on price impact with the assumption of existence of mimicking trading. Our major research results are as follows: In case of main shareholder without having no prompt disclosure duty, the frequency of trading started at the beginning of month is shown significantly higher than others. This result shows a direct evidence that informed traders buy or sell their equity strategically using disclosure intervals. Also, we find the result that the coefficient of strategic variables has highest value in middle size information. However, the empirical evidence that informed trader get abnormal return through strategic trading was not shown in this study. Meanwhile, stock price over-reacts for selling transaction on trading point and is recovered after disclosure date., so we assume possibility of mimicking trading exists in domestic stock market.

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Capital Structure's Mean-Reversion and Long-Term Equilibrium (자본구조의 평균회귀현상과 장기균형)

  • Son, Pan-Do;Son, Seung-Tae
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.33-78
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    • 2008
  • This paper empirically examines whether firms engage in a dynamic adjustment process toward target capital structure and, whether there is a target capital structure or mean reverting using the partial adjustment model while allowing for costly adjustment. Also we investigate the empirical determinants of optimal target capital structure in long term equilibrium. As a result, our empirical model captures at least several important features of capital structure behavior for Korean listed firms. First, Korean firms pursue target capital structure and also there is mean reverting phenomenon. Second, Non-Chaebol and small firm in adjustment speed is faster than Chaebol and large firm. Third, even capital market restricts the adjustment speed interestingly. Fourth, Korean firms have target behavior according to a degree of observed gap. Fifth, Korean firms close about one-fourth of the gap between their actual and target debt ratios within one year and thence targeting behavior explains far more of the observed changes in capital structure than market timing or pecking order considerations. Sixth, capital market is significant in determining optimal capital structure.

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Study on the Relationship between Capital Structure and Earning Management in the Korean Shipping Companies (해운기업의 자본구조와 이익조정 간의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Yhun;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2017
  • Earnings management is defined as an intentional act during the financial reporting process or a manager's choice of accounting policies to avoid earnings decreases or obtain some private gains. Shipping firms have a highly debt-intensive capital structure and a significant motivation in earnings management to avoid failure of a Debt Covenant. From this point of views, this paper tries to determine the relationship between the capital structure and discretionary accruals estimated using the re-modified Jones model (1995). The sample used to test the research models is made up of 87 Korean shipping firms during the period from 2007 to 2015. A histogram analysis, t-test and FGLS confirm the possibility of using earnings management, and it proved that Korean shipping firms manage their earnings to avoid financial loss. An analysis of the relationship between the capital structure and earning managements, shows it is difficult to support the Debt Covenant, shown as a negative relationship between the debt ratio and debt maturity as shipping firms' capital structure and discretionary accruals as earning management variable. An additional analysis presents a negative relationship between previous debt maturity and discretionary accruals, and the possibility of earning management in a highly increased debt ration group.