• Title/Summary/Keyword: 해양환경 예측

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Unmanned AerialVehicles Images Based Tidal Flat Surface Sedimentary Facies Mapping Using Regression Kriging (회귀 크리깅을 이용한 무인기 영상 기반의 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분포도 작성)

  • Geun-Ho Kwak;Keunyong Kim;Jingyo Lee;Joo-Hyung Ryu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_1
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    • pp.537-549
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    • 2023
  • The distribution characteristics of tidal flat sediment components are used as an essential data for coastal environment analysis and environmental impact assessment. Therefore, a reliable classification map of surface sedimentary facies is essential. This study evaluated the applicability of regression kriging to generate a classification map of the sedimentary facies of tidal flats. For this aim, various factors such as the number of field survey data and remote sensing-based auxiliary data, the effect of regression models on regression kriging, and the comparison with other prediction methods (univariate kriging and regression analysis) on surface sedimentary facies classification were investigated. To evaluate the applicability of regression kriging, a case study using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data was conducted on the Hwang-do tidal flat located at Anmyeon-do, Taean-gun, Korea. As a result of the case study, it was most important to secure an appropriate amount of field survey data and to use topographic elevation and channel density as auxiliary data to produce a reliable tidal flat surface sediment facies classification map. In addition, regression kriging, which can consider detailed characteristics of the sediment distributions using ultra-high resolution UAV data, had the best prediction performance compared to other prediction methods. It is expected that this result can be used as a guideline to produce the tidal flat surface sedimentary facies classification map.

Prediction of Depth of Concrete Carbonation According to Microenvironmental Conditions (미세 환경조건에 따른 콘크리트 탄산화 깊이 예측)

  • Park, Dong-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.158-159
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    • 2021
  • When the porous concrete is exposed to the external environment, the internal relative humidity changes from time to time due to the inflow and outflow of moisture. This change in moisture is affected by temperature. The temperature and humidity of concrete is dominant in the carbonation rate, the largest cause of deterioration of concrete. In this study, actual weather data were used as boundary conditions. A carbonization model of concrete temperature and humidity and calcium hydroxide was constructed to perform long-term analysis. There is a slight error in the carbonation formula of the Japanese Academy of Architecture applying the Kishtani coefficient, a representative experimental formula related to carbonization, and the analysis result values. However, considering that it behaves very similarly, it is thought that a fairly reliable numerical analysis model has been established. A slight error is believed to be due to the fact that the amount of residual calcium hydroxide in the carbonated site has not yet been clearly identified.

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Modeling for the fate of Organic Chemicals in a Multi-media Environment Using MUSEM (다매체 환경 모델 MUSEM을 이용한 유해화학물질의 환경거동예측 모델링)

  • Roh, Kyong-Joon;Kim, Dong-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2007
  • Pollution by chemical substances such as POPs, EDCs and PBTs in the ecosystem has become more complex and varied, increasing the possibility of irreversible damage to human health or the ecosystem. It is necessary to have a exposure assessment in a multi-media environment for various chemical substances is required for efficient management. This study applied MUSEM(Multi-media Simplebox-systems Environmental Model), a multimedia environmental model that can simultaneously evaluate the possibility of exposure of hundreds of chemical substances in order to efficiently manage chemical substances that can have negative impact on human health or ecological environment through environmental contamination. MUSEM executed the modeling for Japan by setting all 47 prefectures of japan as the regional area for 62 chemical substances and the rest of the territory of japan, excluding regional area, as the continental area and made the estimation of concentration among environment media in each administrative area and made the sensitivity analysis on Tokyo area. The results of simulation for chemical distribution showed that most of the target chemicals located in water region. The result of sensitivity analysis for octanol-water partition rate showed that the concentration change of soil in urban/industrial area and sediment in freshwater was high. In the case of sensitivity analysis for degradation rate showed that the concentration change of freshwater, soil in urban/industrial area, and sediment in freshwater was high.

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Numerical Investigation on Oil Spill from Damaged Riser (손상된 라이저로부터 유출된 기름 확산에 대한 수치해석)

  • Kim, Hyo Ju;Lee, Sang Chul;Park, Sunho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2016
  • When a riser is damaged, the oil spills to sea. Oil spills cause huge economic losses as well as a destruction of the marine environment. To reduce losses, it is needed to predict spilled oil volume from risers and the excursion of the oil. The present paper simulated the oil spill for a damaged riser using open source libraries, called Open-FOAM. To verify numerical methods, jet flow and Rayleigh-Taylor instability were simulated. The oil spill was simulated for various damaged leak size, spilled oil volume rates, damaged vertical locations of a riser, and current speeds. From results, the maximum excursion of the spilled oil at the certain time was predicted, and a forecasting model for various parameters was suggested.

A Forecast Method of Marine Traffic Volume through Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 통한 해상교통량 예측 방안)

  • Yoo, Sang-Rok;Park, Young-Soo;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Chul-Seong;Jeong, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.612-620
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    • 2013
  • In this study, time series analysis was tried, which is widely applied to demand forecast of diverse fields such as finance, economy, trade, and so on, different from previous regression analysis. Future marine traffic volume was forecasted on the basis of data of the number of ships entering Incheon port from January 1996 to June 2013, through courses of stationarity verification, model identification, coefficient estimation, and diagnostic checking. As a result of prediction January 2014 to December 2015, February has less traffic volume than other months, but January has more traffic volume than other months. Also, it was found out that Incheon port was more proper to ARIMA model than exponential smoothing method and there was a difference of monthly traffic volume according to seasons. The study has a meaning in that future traffic volume was forecasted per month with time series model. Also, it is judged that forecast of future marine traffic volume through time series model will be the more suitable model than prediction of marine traffic volume with previous regression analysis.

북극항로 운항 선박의 항해안전지원시스템(KARS) 개발 개요

  • Gang, Guk-Jin;Jeong, Seong-Yeop;Kim, Jeong-Jung;Jeong, Seong-Heon;Yang, Chan-Su;Kim, Hyeon-Su;No, Myeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.170-172
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    • 2018
  • 지구 온난화로 인해 여름철 북극해의 해빙이 점차 감소함에 따라서 북극항로를 이용한 선박의 화물운송이 점차 증가하고 있다. IMO에서는 극지해역운항선박의 안전성과 해양오염방지를 위하여 2014년에 Polar Code를 개정하였으며, 2017년 1월부터 SOLAS협약과 MARPOL73/78협약에 추가되어 시행되고 있다. 본 연구는 해양수산부 해양안전 및 해양교통시설기술개발 사업으로 1) Polar Code 강제화에 따라 '극지해역 운항선박용 항해안전지원시스템의 개발'의 필요성과 2) 북극항로에 대한 국적선의 안전 운항 확보를 위한 '북극권 국가와의 국제협력 및 공조체계 구축'과 '극지 구난, 구조 및 환경보호 관련 국내법 및 규정 제정'을 위한 기반 연구의 필요성에 의거하여 2014년 11월 10일에 시작되었으며 2018년 12월 31일에 종료될 예정이다. 연구내용은 1) 고정밀도 북극항로 빙상정보 수치예측 시스템 개발, 2) 북극항로 안전속도 예측, 평가, DB구축 및 항행 모델 개발, 3) 북극항로 안전운항을 위한 항해계획 기술 개발, 4) 북극항로 운항선박 건조 및 안전항해 가이드라인 개발이다. 본 논문에서는 개발 중인 KRISO Arctic safe Routing System (KARS)에 대한 소개와 활용 결과 및 향후 계획에 대해서 설명하고자 한다. 본 KARS는 향후 지속적인 수정보완 작업을 통해서 완성도를 높여갈 예정이며, 검증단계를 거쳐서 최적하고 안전한 항로와 운항 관련 정보를 선사와 해기사에게 제공함으로서 북극항로 중 단기 운항계획 수립과 안전 운항을 지원할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Prediction of Red Tide Occurrence by using Oceanic and Atmospheric Data by Satellite (인공위성을 통한 해양·기상자료를 이용한 적조발생예보)

  • Oh, Seung-Yeol;Park, Jae-Moon;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2015
  • Red tide occurs every year in the coastal seas of the South Korea, This phenomena has become a national issue of environmental and economic damage. In this study, we analyzed a suitable conditions to occur the red tide by using oceanic and atmospheric data during 10 years, These factors were applied to predict the red tide occurrence from 2012 to 2014. As a result, in 2012 and 2013, it is able to alarm the red tide occurrence before 6~11 days. However, in compared to the normal year and 2014, the prediction of red tide occurrence were less accurate because of more precipitation, short sunshine duration, low temperature waters. Therefore, it is necessary to further investigate the impact of sunshine duration(Solar radiation) on red tide occurrence, it is more necessary to consider the comprehensive analysis using additional oceanic and atmospheric factors.

Battery Failure Prediction using BMS Information of ESS Rooms at Offshore Installation Vessel (해양설치선 ESS Room의 BMS정보를 활용한 Battery 고장예측)

  • Kim, Woo-Young;Cheon, Bong-Won;Kim, Nam-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.59-61
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    • 2021
  • The electric propulsion development is underway to minimize pollutants and greenhous gas emissions during the operation of ships / offshore installation vessels. The importance of the use and efficient management of batteries, which is an ESS system in ships / offshore installation vessels, is increasing. Generally, in ESS where battery is applied, cell balancing and life span are monitored in real time by BMS. Ships / offshore installation vessel are equipped with several ESS rooms, and ESS rooms with ESS systems of the same specification are being constructed due to the recent demand for electric propulsion development. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to additionally predict and diagnose battery pack and cell balancing failures by comparing BMS data for each rooms. The proposed algorithm compares the BMS data of each ESS Room according to the environmental change of the ship / offshore installation vessels, measures accurate status information, and reliably monitors it to prevent accidents in advance.

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A Study on the Feedforward Control Algorithm for Dynamic Positioning System Using Ship Motion Prediction (선체운동 예측을 이용한 Dynamic Positioning System의 피드포워드 제어 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Soon-Seok;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Hee-Su;Jeon, Ma-Ro
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2016
  • In the present study we verified performance of feed-forward control algorithm using short term prediction of ship motion information by taking advantage of developed numerical simulation model of FPSO motion. Up until now, various studies have been conducted about thrust control and allocation for dynamic positioning systems maintaining positions of ships or marine structures in diverse sea environmental conditions. In the existing studies, however, the dynamic positioning systems consist of only feedback control gains using a motion of vessel derived from environmental loads such as current, wind and wave. This study addresses dynamic positioning systems which have feedforward control gain derived from forecasted value of a motion of vessel occurred by current, wind and wave force. In this study, the future motion of vessel is forecasted via Brown's Exponential Smoothing after calculating the vessel motion via a selected mathematical model, and the control force for maintaining the position and heading angle of a vessel is decided by the feedback controller and the feedforward controller using PID theory and forecasted vessel motion respectively. For the allocation of thrusts, the Lagrange Multiplier Method is exploited. By constructing a simulation code for a dynamic positioning system of FPSO, the performance of feedforward control system which has feedback controller and feedforward controller was assessed. According to the result of this study, in case of using feedforward control system, it shows smaller maximum thrust power than using conventional feedback control system.

Numerical Analysis of HAT Tidal Current Rotors (수평축 조류발전로터 성능실험의 수치적 재현과 연구)

  • Jo, Chul-Hee;Yim, Jin-Young;Lee, Kang-Hee;Chae, Kwang-Su;Rho, Yu-Ho;Song, Seung-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.620-623
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    • 2009
  • 여러 해양에너지 중 유체의 빠른 흐름을 이용하는 조류발전은 서해안과 남해안에 적용하기에 적합하며 해양환경의 영향을 최소화 하면서 많은 에너지를 연속적으로 생산할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 조류발전에서 1차적으로 에너지를 변환시키는 로터는 조류발전시스템의 주요한 장치중의 하나로 여러 변수에 의해 그 성능이 결정된다. 블래이드 수, 형상, 단면적, 허브, 직경 등 여러 요소를 고려하여 로터를 설계하며, 설계정보와 실험데이터를 바탕으로 수치모델을 구현하여 실험에서 직접 계측할 수 없는 로터 주변의 유체현상 및 간섭영향 등을 예측할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 변화하는 유속에 따른 HAT 로터의 시동속도, 회전수를 측정하여 로터 형상과 허브-직경비가 다른 로터의 성능을 고찰하고, 이를 수치모델로 구현하여 로터주변 유동변화를 연구하였다.

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