• Title/Summary/Keyword: 해양환경 예측

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Goal, Structure, and Recent Development of the GLOBEC Programme (GLOBEC 프로그램의 목적, 운영체계 및 최근의 동향에 대하여)

  • Kim, Su-Am
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.10-15
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    • 2000
  • Goals, research direction, and operational structure of the Global Ocean Ecosystem Dynamics (GLOBEC), which is co-sponsored by the Scientific Committee on Oceanic Research (SCOR) and the Intergovemmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), are described. Following the Joint Global Ocean Flux Study (JGOFS) activities on the lower trophic level in ecosystem during 1980s-90s, scientists have considered the responses of the mid and higher trophic levels to the environmental or climate change. The scientific steering committee of the GLOBEC published the implementation plan in 1999, and the IGBP will support the GLOBEC as one of its core projects for 10 years. The GLOBEC programme has four major components: the research foci, framework activities, regional programmes, and integrating activity. The core of GLOBEC research is the four research foci: retrospective analyses, process studies, predictive and modelling capabilities, and feedbacks. Currently, four regional programmes have been undergoing in the world ocean: Southern Ocean GLOBEC (SO-GLOBEC), Small Pelagic Fishes and Climate Changes (SPACC), Cod and Climate Change (CCC), and Climate Change and Carrying Capacity (CCCC). Also, national GLOBEC programmes were already established in 9 nations.

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A Development of Marine Observation Buoy Monitoring System Using Trail Camera and AtoN AIS (트레일 카메라 및 AIS를 이용한 해양관측부이용 감시시스템의 개발)

  • Gang, Yong-Soo;Wong, Chii-Lok;Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Kang, Seok-Sun;Kim, Hyen-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.306-307
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문에서는 해양관측부이 보호 및 해상 관측 등을 위해 사용되고 있는 국내외 영상감시 시스템 및 기술 현황을 살펴보고, 차세대 해상용 통신 네트워크 및 인공위성을 통한 해양 공공시설의 안전감시 시스템이 가져야 할 요구사항과 이에 대한 국내외 기술개발 현황을 살펴본다. 또한, 선박 인식 및 추적, 나아가 충돌 예측 등을 수행하여, 해상사고를 예방할 수 있는 해양관측부이용 감시시스템의 개발에 관한 내용을 다룬다. 이를 위해 개발하는 시스템은 해양관측부이에 장착되어 저전력으로 동작하며, 해수에 강한 트레일 감시카메라를 개발하여 적용한다. 추가적으로 AIS정보를 활용한 충돌 예방 경고 모듈이 탑재되고, LTE-M 등과 같은 차세대 해상이동통신 및 위성망 M2M 네트워크를 응용한 통신 모듈을 기반으로 육상 알람 기능을 제공한다. 이를 통해 시스템의 신뢰성을 확보하고, 대형 선박과의 해상사고(선박추돌사고 및 기름유출 등)와 소형선박에 의한 시설물 훼손(Vandalism)의 발생 가능성을 인지할 수 있는 종합적인 데이터를 수집하여 사고의 예방 및 재난 상황 등을 예측함으로써 중요시설의 안전 및 해양환경 보호에 기여하고자 한다.

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Study on Tourism Demand Forecast and Influencing Factors in Busan Metropolitan City (부산 연안도시 관광수요 예측과 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kyu Won Hwang;Sung Mo Nam;Ah Reum Jang;Moon Suk Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.915-929
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    • 2023
  • Improvements in people's quality of life, diversification of leisure activities, and changes in population structure have led to an increase in the demand for tourism and an expansion of the diversification of tourism activities. In particular, for coastal cities where land and marine tourism elements coexist, various factors influence their tourism demands. Tourism requires the construction of infrastructure and content development according to the demand at the tourist destination. This study aims to improve the prediction accuracy and explore influencing factors through time series analysis of tourism scale using agent-based data. Basic local governments in the Busan area were examined, and the data used were the number of tourists and the amount of tourism consumption on a monthly basis. The univariate time series analysis, which is a deterministic model, was used along with the SARIMAX analysis to identify the influencing factor. The tourism consumption propensity, focusing on the consumption amount according to business types and the amount of mentions on SNS, was set as the influencing factor. The difference in accuracy (RMSE standard) between the time series models that did and did not consider COVID-19 was found to be very wide, ranging from 1.8 times to 32.7 times by region. Additionally, considering the influencing factor, the tourism consumption business type and SNS trends were found to significantly impact the number of tourists and the amount of tourism consumption. Therefore, to predict future demand, external influences as well as the tourists' consumption tendencies and interests in terms of local tourism must be considered. This study aimed to predict future tourism demand in a coastal city such as Busan and identify factors affecting tourism scale, thereby contributing to policy decision-making to prepare tourism demand in consideration of government tourism policies and tourism trends.

마도수도 주변에서의 흐름 특성

  • 이문옥;박일흠;윤홍주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Fisheries Technology Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.179-180
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 전라남도 완도군 고금면과 강진군 마량면 사이의 마도수도를 횡단하여 건설될 예정인 고금-마량간의 연육교 가설공사로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 주변해역에 있어서의 환경변화를 사전에 예측하기 위하여 수행되었다. 마도수도는 수로폭이 약 800∼1800 m이고 평균수심이 20 m정도로서 동서방향의 흐름이 탁월한 수로이다. (중략)

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Flow Noise Analysis of Ship Pipes using Lattice Boltzmann Method (격자볼츠만기법을 이용한 선박 파이프내 유동소음해석)

  • Beom-Jin Joe;Suk-Yoon Hong;Jee-Hun Song
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.512-519
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    • 2023
  • Noise pollution poses significant challenges to human well-being and marine ecosystems. It is primarily caused by the flow around ships and marine installations, emphasizing the need for accurate noise evaluation of flow noise to ensure environmental safety. Existing flow noise analysis methods for underwater environments typically use a hybrid method combining computational fluid dynamics and Ffowcs Williams-Hawkings acoustic analogy. However, this approach has limitations, neglecting near-field effects such as reflection, scattering, and diffraction of sound waves. In this study, an alternative using direct method flow noise analysis via the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) is incorporated. The LBM provides a more accurate representation of the underwater structural boundaries and acoustic wave effects. Despite challenges in underwater environments due to numerical instabilities, a novel DM-TS LBM collision operator has been developed for stable implementations for hydroacoustic applications. This expands the LBM's applicability to underwater structures. Validation through flow noise analysis in pipe orifice demonstrates the feasibility of near-field analysis, with experimental comparisons confirming the method's reliability in identifying main pressure peaks from flow noise. This supports the viability of near-field flow noise analysis using the LBM.

Prediction of Broadband Noise for Non-cavitation Hydrofoils using Wall-Pressure Spectrum Models (벽면변동압력을 이용한 비공동 수중익의 광대역소음 예측 연구)

  • Choi, Woen-Sug;Jeong, Seung-Jin;Hong, Suk-Yoon;Song, Jee-Hun;Kwon, Hyun-Wung;Kim, Min-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.765-771
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    • 2019
  • With the increase in the speed of ships and the size of ocean structures, the importance of flow noise has become increasingly critical in meeting regulatory standards. However, unlike active investigations in aeroacoustics fields for airplanes and trains, which are based on acoustic analogy methods for tonal and broadband frequency noise, only the discrete blade passing frequency noise from propellers is considered in marine fields. In this study, prediction methods for broadband noise in marine propellers and underwater appendages are investigated using FW-H Formulation1B, which can consider the mechanism of primary noise generation of trailing edge noise. The original FW-H Formulation 1B is based on the pressure correlation function tolackitsgeneralityandaccuracy. To overcome these limitations, wall-pressure spectrum models are adopted to improve the generality in fluid mediums. The comparison of the experimental results obtained in air reveals that the proposed model exhibits a higher accuracy within 5 dB. Furthermore, the prediction procedures for broadband noise for hydrofoils are established, and the estimation of broadband noise is conducted based on the results of the computational fluid dynamics.

Hydraulic Model Experiments and Performance Analysis of Existing Empirical Formulas for Overtopping Discharge on Tetrapod Armored Rubble Mound Structures with Low Relative Freeboard (상대여유고가 낮은 테트라포드 피복 경사제의 월파량에 대한 수리모형실험 및 기존 경험식의 예측성능 분석)

  • Sang-Woo Yoo;Jae-Young Kim;Do-Sam Kim;Kwang-Ho Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2024
  • In coastal structure design incorporating revetments, the assessment of wave overtopping discharge relies on hydraulic model experiments. Numerous empirical formulas have been developed to predict overtopping discharge based on quantitative data from these experiments. Typically, for revetment structures aimed at mitigating wave overtopping, crest height is determined by considering the maximum amplitude of the design wave, resulting in a relatively high freeboard compared to wave heights. However, achieving complete prevention of all wave overtopping would require the crown wall to have substantial crest heights, rendering it economically impractical. Therefore, the concept of limiting discharge has been introduced in the design of revetment structures, aiming to restrict wave overtopping discharge to an acceptable level. Consequently, many coastal structures in real-world settings feature relatively lower freeboard heights than incident wave heights. This study investigated wave overtopping discharge on rubble-mound breakwaters with relatively low freeboard heights through hydraulic model experiments. Furthermore, it conducted a comparative analysis of the predictive capabilities of existing empirical formulas for estimating overtopping discharge using experimental data.

Evaluation of Hazardous Zones by Evacuation Scenario under Disasters on Training Ships (실습선 재난 시 피난 시나리오 별 위험구역 평가)

  • SangJin Lim;YoonHo Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.200-208
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    • 2024
  • The occurrence a fire on a training ship with a large number of people on board can lead to severe casualties. Hence the Seafarers' Act and Safety Life At Sea(SOLAS) emphasizes the importance of the abandon ship drill. Therefore, in this study, the training ship of Mokpo National Maritime University, Segero, which has a large number of people on board, was selected as the target ship and the likelihood and severity of fire accidents on each deck were predicted through the preliminary hazard analysis(PHA) qualitative risk assessment. Additionally, assuming a fire in a high-risk area, a simulation of evacuation time and population density was performed to quantitatively predict the risk. The the total evacuation time was predicted to be the longest at 501s in the meal time scenario, in which the population distribution was concentrated in one area. Depending on the scenario, some decks had relatively high population densities of over 1.4pers/m2, preventing stagnation in the number of evacuees. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data to develop training scenarios for training ships by quantifying evacuation time and population density according to various evacuation scenarios, and the research can be expanded in the future through comparison of mathematical models and experimental values.

Reliability Evaluation of the Estimation of Suspended Sediment Dispersion (부유사 확산예측 모형의 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Tac, Dae-Ho;Chung, Younjin;Jun, Eun-Ju;Yang, Joon-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.890-898
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    • 2022
  • Dispersion of suspended sediment, caused by coastal and marine development, is a key item in assessing marine environmental impact as it adversely affects marine life by increasing the level of turbidity and decreasing the amount of sunlight in seawater. However, its estimation has not been reliable because of the absence of a standard for the data measurement and divergent approaches to the impact assessment. In this study, we examined the estimation models from 58 Marine Environmental Impact Statements (MEISs, 2012-2014) to identify the gaps in the assessment and devise ways of improving the estimation. We developed four index items-grid system; unit load, particle size, and settling velocit-to evaluate their reliability in the estimation. The mean reliability score of each index was overall low-25 for grid system, 60 for unit load, 34 for particle size, and 17 for settling velocity. To ensure high reliability, it is important to develop a standard guideline that defines precise measurement of suspended sediment for unit load and settling velocity by particle size, followed by a grid system with compatible size for modelling. This can improve the estimation and thus underlie coherent impact assessment of suspended sediment dispersion on marine environment.

Basic Research on the Elements of Maritime Traffic Characteristic Model (해상교통 특성 모델의 요소 식별에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Oh, Jae-Yong;Kim, Hye-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.1-2
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    • 2019
  • 일반적인 해상교통 분석 방법은 대상 항만의 항적 데이터를 기반으로 데이터를 추출한 후 모델을 구축하며, 구축된 모델을 바탕으로 해상교통 현상을 재현하고 있지만, 이러한 방법은 항로 혹은 통항량 변동 등의 변화에 따른 교통류를 예측할 수 없어 그 활용에 제약이 많다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 해상교통 분석 사례를 통해 교통 특성 모델의 요소를 식별하고, 이를 동적인 해상교통 환경을 시뮬레이션 할 수 있는 에이전트 기반의 교통류 생성 기술 개발의 기초 자료로 활용하고자 한다.

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