• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.243-243
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• 2020

본 연구는 장래 유입수질 변화로 해수담수화(Desalination) 역삼투압(Seawater Reverse Osmosis) 공정의 전력비 예측 모델을 개발하고 별도의 해수담수화 추가공정이 필요한지 검토하였다. 플랜트 시설은 한번 설치되면 오랜 기간 운영이 되고, 주요 공정의 시설물 변경이 어려우며, 특히 해수담수화 시설의 경우에는 생활용수 및 공업용수를 수요자에 상시 공급함으로서 중간에 추가 시설물을 증설하거나 변경하기가 쉽지 않다. 따라서 해수담수화 시설의 계획 초기부터 현재의 유입수질 및 장래의 수질 변화를 예측하여 해수담수화 공정을 계획하는 것이 필요하다. 금회 검토는 해수온도 및 염분도 변화를 고려하여 서해에 위치한 대산산업단지 해수담수화 시설의 해수담수화 공정 전력비를 예측하였고, 입력 자료(온도 및 염분도)는 국가해양환경정보통합시스템(MEIS, Marine Environment Information System) 22년 과거자료(1997~2018년)를 이용하였다. 개발된 모형에 적용하여, 해수담수화에 필요한 전력비의 변화를 예측할 수 있으며, 이를 바탕으로 해수담수화 시설물 공정계획을 검토할 수 있었다. 금회 연구에서는 장래 수질변화 예측모형의 결과를 기반으로 해수담수화 시설물 공정을 제시하였다는데 의의가 있다.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.37 no.6
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• pp.451-456
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• 2018

UAComm (Underwater Acoustic Communication) is an active research area, and many experiment has been performed to develop UAComm system. In this paper, we investigate the possibility of modifying and applying VirTEX (Virtual Time series EXperiment) to medium long range MIMO (Multiple-Input Multiple-Output) UAComm of about 20 km range for the analysis and performance prediction of UAComm system. Since VirTEX is a time-domain simulator, the generated time series can be used in HILS (Hardware In the Loop Simulation) to develop UAComm system. The developed package is verified through comparing with the sea-going FAF05 (Focused Acoustic Field 2005) experimental data. The developed simulator can be used to predict the performance of UAComm system, and even replace the expensive sea-going experiment.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.574-583
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• 2021

Predicting shipping markets is an important issue. Such predictions form the basis for decisions on investment methods, fleet formation methods, freight rates, etc., which greatly affect the profits and survival of a company. To this end, in this study, we propose a shipping freight rate prediction model for container ships using gated recurrent units (GRUs) and long short-term memory structure. The target of our freight rate prediction is the China Container Freight Index (CCFI), and CCFI data from March 2003 to May 2020 were used for training. The CCFI after June 2020 was first predicted according to each model and then compared and analyzed with the actual CCFI. For the experimental model, a total of six models were designed according to the hyperparameter settings. Additionally, the ARIMA model was included in the experiment for performance comparison with the traditional analysis method. The optimal model was selected based on two evaluation methods. The first evaluation method selects the model with the smallest average value of the root mean square error (RMSE) obtained by repeating each model 10 times. The second method selects the model with the lowest RMSE in all experiments. The experimental results revealed not only the improved accuracy of the deep learning model compared to the traditional time series prediction model, ARIMA, but also the contribution in enhancing the risk management ability of freight fluctuations through deep learning models. On the contrary, in the event of sudden changes in freight owing to the effects of external factors such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the accuracy of the forecasting model reduced. The GRU1 model recorded the lowest RMSE (69.55, 49.35) in both evaluation methods, and it was selected as the optimal model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2011.11a
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• pp.111-112
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• 2011

지구환경문제에 대응하기 위한 탄소배출량 저감 기술 개발과 같은 대응기술 개발이 시급한 가운데 수 해양 공간에 대한 수요의 증가로 플로팅 건축물에 대한 관심 또한 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 플로팅 건축물 주변에 존재하는 신재생에너지 중 해수 열 이용을 위한 수중 열교환기의 성능을 FLUENT를 이용하여 예측 분석하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Fisheries Technology Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.259-261
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• 2003

멸치, Engraulis japonica는 우리나라 전 해역에 분포하고 있는 난류성 연안성 어류로서 남해안 기선권현망어업의 어획량이 가장 많다. 멸치는 남해안 외해역의 난수역에서 겨울을 보낸 후 봄철이 되면 남해안 연안역을 중심으로 동해안과 서해안을 따라 회유하는데, 주 분포 해역인 남해안에서 연중 산란과 성숙이 이루어짐으로서 어장이 형성되며 주 어기는 7-9월이다. 또 멸치는 해양환경 변화에 따라 어황 변동이 심한것으로 알려져 있어 어황예측에 어려움이 많다. (중략)

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.394-395
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• 2022

급변하는 환경변화에 따라 해상화물 네트워크의 구조에 대한 정밀한 분석과 발전방향에 대한 예측의 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 사회연결망 분석인 SNA 분석을 통해 글로벌 해상 물류네트워크의 변화 특성을 분석하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.118-125
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• 2012

World population has increased rapidly following the industrial revolution, reaching 7 billion in 2012. Several forecasts estimate that this number will rise to about 8 billion in 2025. Improvements of living standards in developing nations have also raised resource and energy demands worldwide. In consequences, human beings have faced many global and urgent problems, such as global warming, water and food shortages, resource and energy crises, and so on. Many ocean utilization technologies for avoiding or reducing such big problems have been developed, for examples $CO_2$ ocean sequestration, seawater desalination, artificial upwelling, deepwater mining, and ocean energies. It is important, however, to assess such technologies from the viewpoints of sustainability and public acceptancy, since the aims of those technologies are to develop sustainable social systems rather than conventional ones based on fossil resources. Inclusive Marine Pressure Assessment and Classification Technology Research Committee (generally called IMPACT Research Committee) of Japan Society of Naval Architects and Ocean Engineers, has proposed Inclusive Impact Index "Triple I" as an indicator, which can predict both environmental sustainability and economical feasibility, in order to assess the ocean utilization technologies from the viewpoints of sustainability and public acceptancy. This index was considered by combining Ecological Footprint and Environmental Risk Assessment. The Ecological Footprint and the Environmental Risk Assessment are introduced in the first part of this paper. Then the concept and the structure of the Triple I are explained in the second part of this paper. Finally, the economy-ecology conversion factor in Triple I accounting is considered.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.1-8
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• 1995

해난사고의 발생으로 표류중인 조난선박을 구조하는데 있어서 가장 중요한 작업은 조난선박의 현재 표류위치를 정확하게 추정하는 것이다. 표류지점을 예측하는데 현재 사용되고 있는 방법들은 기본적으로 해류와 바람의 영향을 벡터적으로 합성하여 수색범위를 결정한다. 여기서 해류보다 바람의 영향에 의한 표류(leeway)를 예측하기가 어려운데 leeway는 주로 실물을 이용한 현장실험을 통하여 결정한다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 연안용 소형선박을 대상으로 제주 북방해역에서 실제 표류실험을 하였는데, leeway 산출에는 지금까지의 기법과는 달리 표류선박에서 측정된 상대유속과 유향 그리고 상대풍속과 풍향을 사용하였다. 실험자료로부터 산출된 leeway는 풍속의 약3% 부근이며 leeway angle은 자료중 80%가 -65˚에서 -15˚사이였다.

• Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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• 2017.04a
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• pp.131-131
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• 2017

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.43 no.3
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• pp.285-292
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• 2024

When calculating sonar detection probability, underwater acoustic uncertainty is assumed to be normal distributed with a standard deviation of 8 dB to 9 dB. However, due to the variability in experimental areas and ocean environmental conditions, predicting detection performance requires accounting for underwater acoustic uncertainty based on ocean experimental data. In this study, underwater acoustic uncertainty was determined using measured mid-frequency (2.3 kHz, 3 kHz) noise level and transmission loss data collected in the shallow water of the East Sea. After calculating the predictable probability of detection reflecting underwater acoustic uncertainty based on ocean experimental data, we compared it with the conventional detection probability results, as well as the predictable probability of detection results considering the uncertainty of the Rayleigh distribution and a negatively skewed distribution. As a result, we confirmed that differences in the detection area occur depending on each underwater acoustic uncertainty.