• Title/Summary/Keyword: 해양환경 예측

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자율운항선박 지원을 위한 실시간 관측 기반의 해양환경 인공지능 예측기술 검증

  • 엄대용;박보슬;이방희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.172-173
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    • 2022
  • 자율운항선박 등 스마트선박에서 항로상의 해양환경 상태를 관측·예측하는 과정은 필수요소이며 선박 통신을 고려했을 때 선박자체에서 취득할 수 있는 정보만을 이용하여 의사결정이 가능하도록 해양환경 정보를 생산하는 기술이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구는 짧은 시간 내에 해상 변화를 예측할 수 있는 인공지능(딥러닝)기반의 예측기법을 개발하였다.

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A Study on Prediction System for Marine Disasters (해양재해 예측 시스템에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sun;Choi, Myung-Su;Lee, Sung-Ho;Meang, Se-Young;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Jeon, Sung-Min;Lee, Yeon-Woo;kim, Gyenong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.322-324
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    • 2012
  • 최근 세계적으로 바다가 자원의 보고로 주목 받으면서 해양 환경 분석 및 예측 기술에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행 되고 있다. 자동화된 해양 환경 자료의 수집과 수집된 자료를 분석하여서 해양재해를 예측하면 기름 유출에 의한 해양오염의 피해, 적조에 의한 수산업의 피해, 해양환경 이변에 의한 수산업 및 재해 피해를 최소화하는데 기여할 수 있다. 그러나 국내 해양 환경에 대한 조사 및 분석 연구는 미흡한 편에 있다. 이에 본 논문은 국내의 원해 및 근 해역에서 수집된 해양 환경 자료를 분석하여 해양 재해를 예측할 수 있는 시스템을 연구한다.

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Marine Disasters Prediction System Model Using Marine Environment Monitoring (해양환경 모니터링을 이용한 해양재해 예측 시스템 모델)

  • Park, Sun;Lee, Seong Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38C no.3
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    • pp.263-270
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the prediction and analysis technology of marine environment are actively being studied since the ocean resources in the world is taken notice. The prediction of marine disaster by automatic collecting marine environment data and analyzing the collected data can contribute to minimized the damages with respect to marine pollution of oil spill and fisheries damage by red tide blooms and marine environment upsets. However the studies of the marine environment monitoring and analysis system are limited in South Korea. In this paper, we study the marine disasters prediction system model to analyze collection marine information of out sea and near sea. This paper proposes the models for the marine disasters prediction system as communication system model, a marine environment data monitoring system model, prediction and analyzing system model, and situations propagation system model. The red tide prediction model and summarizing and analyzing model is proposed for prediction and analyzing system model.

A Study on the Marine Disasters Prediction System using Cloud (클라우드를 이용한 해양재해 예측시스템 연구)

  • Park, Sun;Baek, Jong Sang;Lee, Jae-Yeong;Oh, Seung Chan;Jeong, Hwan-Jong;Kin, Cho Hyun;Kim, Chul Ho;Lee, Sung Ro
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.10a
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    • pp.415-417
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    • 2013
  • 바다는 자원의 보고로서 많은 수산업 활동을 통환 경재활동이 활발히 이루어 지고 있으나 기상 등의 해양환경에 많은 영향을 받고 있다. 이 때문에 자동화된 해양 환경 분석 및 예측 기술에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행 되고 있다. 현재 국내에서 수산업 활동에 영향을 미치는 해양 재해로는 기름 유출에 의한 해양오염의 피해, 적조에 의한 수산업의 피해, 해양환경 이변에 의한 수산업 및 재해 피해 등 이외에 다양한 피해가 있다. 해양 환경 자료의 수집과 수집된 자료를 분석하여서 해양재해를 예측하면 이들의 피해를 최소화하는데 기여할 수 있다. 그러나 국내 해양 환경에 대한 조사 및 분석 연구는 미흡한 편에 있다. 이에 본 논문은 국내의 원해 및 근 해역에서 수집된 해양 환경 자료를 분석하여 해양 재해를 예측할 수 있는 시스템 클라우드 기반의 해양재해 예측 시스템을 연구한다.

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Marine Environment Monitoring and Analysis System Model (해양환경 모니터링 및 분석 시스템의 모델)

  • Park, Sun;Kim, Chul Won;Lee, Seong Ro
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.2113-2120
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    • 2012
  • The study of automatic monitoring and analysis of marine environment in Korea is not enough. Recently, the marine monitoring technology is actively being studied since the sea is a rich repository of natural resources that is taken notice in the world. In particular, the marine environment data should be collected continuously in order to understand and analyze the marine environment, however the marine environment monitoring is limited in many area yet. The prediction of marine disaster by automatic collecting marine environment data and analyzing the collected data can contribute to minimized the damages with respect to marine pollution of oil spill and fisheries damage by red tide blooms and marine environment upsets. In this paper, we proposed the marine environment monitoring and analysis system model. The proposed system automatically collects the marine environment information for monitoring the marine environment intelligently. Also it predicts the marine disaster by analyzing the collected ocean data.

A Method for Improvement of Tide and Tidal Current Prediction Accuracy (조위 및 조류 예측 정확도의 개선 방법)

  • Jung, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.234-240
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    • 2010
  • In order to predict coastal environmental changes caused by coastal development and effectively manage marine environment, the exact information about water level changes and hydrodynamic circulation is essential. However, most of the environmental impact assessment has been using only limited tidal constituents in the numerical tide model to predict the real tide and tidal currents caused by the synthesis of many other tidal constituents, which causes an error in the environmental impact assessment. In this study, a method, which uses the limited tidal constituents at the offshore open boundaries and the observed tide at the inner or nearby point to predict the real tide in the model domain accurately, is suggested. Tidal and tidal currents predicted by the suggested method agreed well with the observations.

Development of decision supporting system for oil spill response (해양오염방제지원시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Moon-Jin;Lee, Han-Jin;Park, Jae-Min;Kim, Du-Ho
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2006
  • 효율적인 방제전략 수립 지원시스템 개발의 일환으로 환경민감정보 기반 실시간 유출유 확산예측 시스템과 피해위험도 예측시스템을 연계한 해양오염 방제지원시스템을 개발하였다. 실시간 유출유 확산예측시스템에서는 실시간 바람과 실시간 해수유동을 기반으로 유출유의 이동을 계산하고, 유출유 특성에 따라 해상 유출유의 풍화작용을 모델링하여 유출유의 잔류량 및 확산분포를 계산한다. 유출유 확산 예측의 실시간 바람은 국립환경연구원의 실시간 기상모델 결과를 FTP를 이용하여 실시간으로 연계하여 활용하며, 실시간 해수유동으로서 조류는 수치모델결과와 검조소 관측결과의 결합을 통해 실시간 조석을 예측하는 CHARRY (Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) 모델을 이용하여 예측하고, 실시간 취송류는 바람과 취송류간의 상관관계와 반응함수를 이용하여 예측한다. 실시간 해수유동을 따라 이동하면서 풍화되는 유출유의 풍화작용은 유출유 특성에 따라 결정된 감소율을 적용하여 모델링한다. 본 시스템은 이와 같은 정보를 ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) 및 방제자원 정보와 통합하여 종합적으로 제공함으로써 방제전략 수립을 지원한다.

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Research on optimal safety ship-route based on artificial intelligence analysis using marine environment prediction (해양환경 예측정보를 활용한 인공지능 분석 기반의 최적 안전항로 연구)

  • Dae-yaoung Eeom;Bang-hee Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.100-103
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    • 2023
  • Recently, development of maritime autonomoust surface ships and eco-friendly ships, production and evaluation research considering various marine environments is needed in the field of optimal routes as the demand for accurate and detailed real-time marine environment prediction information expands. An algorithm that can calculate the optimal route while reducing the risk of the marine environment and uncertainty in energy consumption in smart ships was developed in 2 stages. In the first stage, a profile was created by combining marine environmental information with ship location and status information within the Automatic Ship Identification System(AIS). In the second stage, a model was developed that could define the marine environment energy map using the configured profile results, A regression equation was generated by applying Random Forest among machine learning techniques to reflect about 600,000 data. The Random Forest coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.89, showing very high reliability. The Dijikstra shortest path algorithm was applied to the marine environment prediction at June 1 to 3, 2021, and to calculate the optimal safety route and express it on the map. The route calculated by the random forest regression model was streamlined, and the route was derived considering the state of the marine environment prediction information. The concept of route calculation based on real-time marine environment prediction information in this study is expected to be able to calculate a realistic and safe route that reflects the movement tendency of ships, and to be expanded to a range of economic, safety, and eco-friendliness evaluation models in the future.

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Detection Range of Passive Sonar System in Range-Dependent Ocean Environment (거리의존 해양환경에서 수동소나체계의 표적탐지거리예측)

  • Kim, Tae-Hak;Kim, Jea-Soo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 1997
  • The prediction of detection range of a passive sonar system is essential to estimate the performance and to optimize the operation of a developed sonar system. In this paper, a model for the prediction of detection range in a range-dependent ocean environment based on the sonar equation is developed and tested. The prediction model calculates the transmission loss using PE propagation model, signal excess, and the detection probability at each target depth and range. The detection probability is integrated to give the estimated detection range. In order to validate the developed model, two cases are considered. One is the case when target depth is known. The other is the case when the target depth is unknown. The computational results agree well with the previously published results for the range-independent environment. Also,the developed model is applied to the range-dependent ocean environment where the warm eddy exists. The computational results are shown and discussed. The developed model can be used to find the optimal frequency of detection, as well as the optimal search depth for the given range-dependent ocean environment.

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Development and Assessment of LSTM Model for Correcting Underestimation of Water Temperature in Korean Marine Heatwave Prediction System (한반도 고수온 예측 시스템의 수온 과소모의 보정을 위한 LSTM 모델 구축 및 예측성 평가)

  • NA KYOUNG IM;HYUNKEUN JIN;GYUNDO PAK;YOUNG-GYU PARK;KYEONG OK KIM;YONGHAN CHOI;YOUNG HO KIM
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2024
  • The ocean heatwave is emerging as a major issue due to global warming, posing a direct threat to marine ecosystems and humanity through decreased food resources and reduced carbon absorption capacity of the oceans. Consequently, the prediction of ocean heatwaves in the vicinity of the Korean Peninsula is becoming increasingly important for marine environmental monitoring and management. In this study, an LSTM model was developed to improve the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system of the Korean Peninsula Ocean Prediction System. Based on the results of ocean heatwave predictions for the Korean Peninsula conducted in 2023, as well as those generated by the LSTM model, the performance of heatwave predictions in the East Sea, Yellow Sea, and South Sea areas surrounding the Korean Peninsula was evaluated. The LSTM model developed in this study significantly improved the prediction performance of sea surface temperatures during periods of temperature increase in all three regions. However, its effectiveness in improving prediction performance during periods of temperature decrease or before temperature rise initiation was limited. This demonstrates the potential of the LSTM model to address the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system during periods of enhanced stratification. It is anticipated that the utility of data-driven artificial intelligence models will expand in the future to improve the prediction performance of dynamical models or even replace them.