• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.121-138
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• 2014

China and Korea have interacted with each other for 20 years since 1992 when China and Korea established diplomatic relations. During this period, the trade and investment between two countries have increased rapidly. In addition to the enhancement of economic cooperation and the expansion of personal exchange, the relationship between two countries was upgraded to mutual strategic cooperative relationship in 2008 from the 1 friendly and cooperative relations and the economic exchange and cooperation were largely expanded. In this paper, the current situation and characteristics of the trade between China and Korea were figured out. In order to find out the development direction of China and Korea trade, through empirical analysis, the correlation of decisive factors that influence the trade amount of these two countries were analyzed. In terms of dependent variables for the empirical analysis, the trade amount between China and Korea was considered. While the GDP of these countries, the direct investment amount of two countries and the openness of external trade of these countries were considered as independent variables. The degree of economic freedom of these countries was set as policy variable. According to the analysis results, when the GDP of China and Korea is getting higher, there is positive influence on the trade amount of China and Korea. It is showed that the direct investment of Korea has positive influence on the trade amount of China and Korea. Meanwhile, there is negative influence of China's direct investment on the trade amount. When the degree of freedom of these countries is getting higher, the influence of trade amount was showed significantly. Furthermore, when the economic freedom of these countries is getting higher, the insignificant things about trade amount of China and Korea were extracted as insignificant.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.139-158
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• 2012

FTA is one of the most important trade policies for the motor car industry. Due to the large amount of employment and production the motor car industry provides in a country, in a lot of cases, the protective trade policies that countries employ are targeted for the motor car industry. In this point of view, it can be said that the Latin American FTA strategy such as the 'Korea-Columbia FTA', 'Korea-Peru FTA' and 'Korea-Chile FTA' has a large influence in the development of Korea's car industry. This paper analyses changes in factors influencing car export before and after the signing of the Korea-Chile FTA to forecast the export of motor cars to Latin America and aims to propose an action plan. Research shows that out of the variables 'exchange rate', 'GDP', and 'oil price, 'GDP' showed a strong corelation with export before and after the FTA. Regression analysis also showed that only 'GDP' has an impact on export rates and that its impact is most highest after the exhibition of FTA's effects. This suggests that FTA has an important effect in motor car export to Latin America but export is also strongly interlocked with the local country's economic condition which highlights the requirement for an action plan such as the establishment of local production systems.

• 해운
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• s.84
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• pp.10-16
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• 2011

2002년 이후 지속되어온 미국의 재정적자가 금융위기 중 확대되면서 미국 국가채무가 2012년에는 GDP를 초과할 것으로 전망된다. 미 의회는 5개월 이상 협상을 지속한 결과 2011년 8월 1일 국가채무 한도 상향조정을 포함한 예산통제법을 통과시켜 국가부도사태는 발발하지 않았다. 이러한 미 의회의 국가채무 한도 상향 조정에도 불구하고, S&P는 지난 8월 3일 미국의 국가신용등급을 AAA에서 AA+로 강등하였으며, 주식시장의 경우도 미국의 재정지출 감축으로 인한 경기회복지연, 신용등급 강등 영향으로 인한 국제금융시장의 위험자산 회피현상으로 급락하였다. 미국 재정지출 감축과 위험자산 회피현상에 따른 우리나라의 국내총생산 감소는 미미할 것으로 분석되지만, 재정긴축 계획으로 향후 5년 동안 미국 경제에 평균 -0.5%정도의 GDP 감소 효과가 있으며, 우리나라 GDP도 평균적으로 -0.02% 정도 감소시킬 것이다. 이에 따라 우리나라 기업들도 미국 재정긴축 및 신용등급 강등으로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 사항들을 다각적으로 분석하여 대처를 할 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 다음은 대외경제정책연구원에서 발표한 "미국 재정긴축 및 신용등급 강등의 효과분석"의 주요 내용을 정리 요약한 것이다.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.13-21
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• 2010

This paper analyzes the factors of renewable energy consumption in Korea, China and Japan. We consider renewable energy consumption per capita as dependent variable, GDP per capita, $CO_2$ emissions per capita and real oil prices as independent variables. To analyze this model, this paper uses three econometric methods such as OLS, fixed effect model and panel GLS, utilizing data from 1990 to 2006 in Korea, China and Japan. According to the results by OLS for each country, an increase in GDP per capita or $CO_2$ emissions per capita or oil prices leads to an increase in renewable energy consumption. According to the results by fixed effect model, an increase in GDP per capita or $CO_2$ emissions per capita leads to an increase in renewable energy consumption. And real oil prices do not have a significant impacts on this model. According to the results by panel GLS, an increase in real GDP per capita as a proxy of income leads to an increase renewable energy consumption. And both $CO_2$ emissions per capita and real oil prices do not correlated closely with renewable energy consumption. Thus oil is not substituted to renewable energy in Northeast asian countries.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.37 no.6
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• pp.719-725
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• 2013

Northeast Asia region is becoming the hub of world trade with China as the center. Integration of this region's economy is now visualized, domestic trade and international division of labor will be more invigorated. Especially on electrical and electronics industry is a large proportion of the trading volume between Korea and China and now, Present condition of electrical and electronics trading industry can effect on whole trading industry. In this study, conducting analysis of the current Korea-China electrical and electronics industry trading and advanced research, and find out the implication to trading volume with the panel analysis. As the results Korean/Chinese GDP, revealed comparative advantage, and foreign direct investment have an effect on the trading volume.

• The Southeast Asian review
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.41-76
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• 2017

This paper analyses the market shares and the export similarity indexes (ESI) of Korea, Japan and China in ASEAN, and then identifies the determinants of Korea's exports to ASEAN countries using single equation cointegration approaches, such as fully modified OLS (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), and canonical cointegration regression (CCR). Various regression results are as follows: As expected, Korea's real exports tend to increase as importing country's GDP grows. The competing third country's currency depreciation affects Korea's exports differently from country to country. Most notably, it doesn't significantly affect Korean exports in Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand. These results suggest that bilateral or third country exchange rates are not that important or decisive factors to determine Korea's exports to ASEAN countries in the long-run while economic growth in ASEAN countries matters most.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.1-21
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• 2013

This study aims at conducting a quantitative assessment of potential economic effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) consisting of 10 Member States of the ASEAN, Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand using a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model. Three different policy scenarios are carried out based on baseline scenarios: China-Japan-Korea FTA (Scenario 1); ASEAN+3 FTA (Scenario 2); and the RCEP (Scenario 3). The impacts of three scenarios are described in terms of real GDP, Equivalent Variation as a measure of welfare, export and import volumes, trade balance, and terms of trade. This study finds that the RCEP is to lead to an increase in real GDP of all members of the RCEP, with Korea as a winner with a highest additional economic growth of 2.43 percent, which implies that Korea is in a better position to play a leading role in promoting the RCEP.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.27-68
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• 2012

This study outlines measures related to fiscal policies aimed at responding to the financial crisis according to the timing of commencement and then examines impacts of expansionary fiscal policies on macro variables so as to extract policy implications. The size of expansionary fiscal policy to respond to the financial crisis is found to total 59.8 trillion won (6.1% of GDP in 2007), among which a total of 30.5 trillion won was the increased fiscal expenditure made by the 2008 supplementary budget, the 2009 revised budget and the 2009 supplementary budget. In addition, tax reductions are found to be a total of 29.3 trillion won, mainly driven by the tax reforms in 2008 and 2009. Examining dynamic changes in macro variables caused by the temporary increase in fiscal expenditure and the tax reductions reveals that the increase effect of the real GDP growth rate brought by a temporary rise in fiscal expenditure excluding tax reduction effects turned out to be 1.1%p in 2009 and 0.3%p in 2010, compared to the period without the increase in fiscal expenditure. Meanwhile, when taking into account the effect of expansionary fiscal policies including tax reduction effects, the increase effect of real GDP turns out to be much higher. In the case of 2009, the real GDP rose additionally by 1.9%p, in which 1.1%p by the increase in fiscal expenditure and 0.8%p by tax reduction. Based on these results, the expansionary fiscal policy conducted during the financial crisis since the second half of 2008 can be seen to have played a significant role in helping the Korean economy post a higher-than-anticipated recovery pace from the economic slowdown triggered by the crisis.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.809-850
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• 2012

A linkage of emissions trading schemes among Korea, China and Japan demonstrates overall increase in gross domestic product (GDP). However, it also demonstrates reductions in household consumption, and the impact of integration could be very unbalanced between the countries. In particular, the reductions in domestic marginal costs are high in both Korea and Japan. Therefore, household consumptions in the two countries decrease despite increases in GDP because Korea and Japan will be purchasers of emissions rights. China, on the other hand, will experience the opposite. The unbalanced impacts on real household consumptions are intensified when emission credits are allocated via paid auctions instead of free allocation. This was demonstrated to be the case because the circumstances of three countries are intensified when using a paid emissions credit allocation scheme, and their differences could potentially hinder the cooperation between the three countries. Under the free allocation scheme, the emission trading schemes' unbalanced impacts on consumption could be mitigated, but unavoidable negative impacts of free allocation schemes are also serious. Based on the analysis results, Korea, China, and Japan will individually face complicated impacts if their carbon markets are integrated. Although the GDP of three countries will increase as a result of carbon market integration, the benefits of integration will surely be unbalanced, and the three countries will experience negative impacts in terms of actual consumption or employment. In particular, increases in income and consumption, reductions in employment, and energy dependence by credit purchasers (Japan and Korea) and production reduction and possibility of offshoring faced by revenue producing countries (China) could serve as a barrier to carbon market integration. To maximize the positive influences of carbon market integration while reducing the risks of negative side effects, the development and application of complimentary policy tools, such as import duties or discounts for emissions credits, are required.

• The monthly packaging world
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• s.240
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• pp.42-61
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• 2013

물류 표준화의 핵심은 수송, 보관, 포장, 상/하역, 정보/보안의 물류활동간의 호환성과 연계성의 확보이다. 국제표준 채택을 의무화하고 있는 WTO/TBT 협정을 차치하더라도 물류표준화의 정도는 국가의 물류경쟁력을 결정짓는 가장 중요한 척도라고 할 수 있다. 특히 한 중 일 3국의 경우 교역랑만 5조 3,236억불로 전 세계 교역량의 17.6%(2010년 기준), GDP 합계 12조3443억 달러로(2010년 기준) 세계전체 GDP 62조 9093억 달러 중 19.6%, 해운물동량은 전 세계 물동량의 60% 이상을 차지하고 있는 상황에서 물류경쟁력은 곧 국가경쟁력으로 보아도 무방하다. 아직도 국내에서는 물류분야 간 연계와 첨단정보기술이 결합된 현장중심의 융 복합 표준이 미비하고 대부분의 경우 해외국가들이 자신들의 입장대로 추진하거나 선점한 표준을 따라가기 바쁜 실정이었다. 스마트물류표준화는 이러한 현실에서 탈피하여 글로벌 물류표준을 선도하고 국내 현실에 적합한 현장물류표준을 반영하자는 취지에서 출발한다. 스마트물류는 i-ULS(Intelligent-Unified Logistics System) 체계, 즉 IT와 각 물류기술을 융합하여 표준화시키는 것은 물론 기존 표준을 산업현실에 맞게 반영해 나가는 것이 국가표준코디네이터로서의 주요한 목표가 되고 있다. 본 고는 전년도 스마트물류 표준화로드업에 작성된 표준화기술 중 산업체 설문을 통하여 10대 주요 표준화 트렌드를 선정하여 정리한 것이다. 10대 표준화 기술로는 순환물류포장시스템, 실시간 위치추적기술, 스마트컨테이너(Smart Freight Containers), 해상용 컨테이너 모니터링 시스템(CTMS), 글로벌 포장 표준모듈, 친환경물류 표준지표, 스마트물류 포장용기, 스마트그린물류센터(Passive Warehouse), 모바일 RFID 물류 적용 기술, Modal Shift(전환교통) 등이 선정되었다. 이번 4월호 특집에서는 10대 표준화 전략트렌드 가운데, 스마트물류에 대해 알아보도록 한다.