• Title/Summary/Keyword: 프로젝트 위험관리

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A Study on Variation of Economic Value of Overseas Carbon Reduction Projects with Risk Factors (해외 탄소저감 사업의 위험요소를 고려한 사업 경제성 변동 분석)

  • Park, Jongyul;Choa, Sunghoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2023
  • Recently, as climate change caused by greenhouse gases is intensifying, the international community has committed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The purpose of this study is to present the methodology and major considerations for investment judgment. Two actual cases of overseas projects were selected as study subjects. As an analysis method, the major risk factors were defined as a probability distribution, and the NPV was stochastically estimated using the Monte Carlo simulation method. In addition, assuming a policy change, the range of NPV change was analyzed. As a result, the average NPV of project A was lowered by 19%, and the probability of showing a negative NPV was 12.2%. The average value of project B was lowered by 12.5%. Considering the policy change, project A can obtain economic benefits only when it obtains 72.9% or more of the total amount of carbon credits generated, and project B is economically feasible when it acquires 49.5% or more. As a result, the average value of project A is lower than the net present value under basic assumptions, so caution is needed in investment decisions depending on changes in major risk factors. Additionally, considering policy changes, the carbon credit distribution ratio should be differentially applied depending on the project size, and this was presented as a specific figure.

A component-based construction process control system for increasing modifiability (변경 용이성 증대를 위한 컴포넌트 기반의 건설공정관리시스템)

  • Kim, Eui-Ryong;Kim, Sin-Ryeong;Kim, Young-Gon
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.303-309
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    • 2015
  • The construction process and safety management are an important means of the total projects for the decision-making. As an important management tool of cost, resources and risks of the project, the analysis and evaluations are recorded as an important asset of company. Also, it has become a safety device that could reduce risk factors repeatedly by the decision-making methods for the future similar projects. Component-based software, by reusing the useful part, which was prepared without newly developing all that, by building a new software product, the long-term continuous/steady through the provision of a component-based software, by securing a sales base, it should be the development and supply a wide range of applications. In this paper, we propose the construction process control systems for increasing modifiability of process creation and modification for business efficiency in accordance with the diverse trends in the construction process as a low-cost niche through a component-based software supplier to solve these problems.

Project Failure Main Factors Analysis using Text Mining in Audit Evaluation (감리결과에 텍스트마이닝 기법을 적용한 프로젝트 실패 주요요인 분석)

  • Jang, Kyoungae;Jang, Seong Yong;Kim, Woo-Je
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.468-474
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    • 2015
  • Corporations should make efforts to recognize the importance of projects, identify their failure factors, prevent risks in advance, and raise the success rates, because the corporations need to make quick responses to rapid external changes. There are some previous studies on success and failure factors of projects, however, most of them have limitations in terms of objectivity and quantitative analysis based on data gathering through surveys, statistical sampling and analysis. This study analyzes the failure factors of projects based on data mining to find problems with projects in an audit report, which is an objective project evaluation report. To do this, we identified the texts in the paragraph of suggestions about improvement. We made use of the superior classification algorithms in this study, which were NaiveBayes, SMO and J48. They were evaluated in terms of data of Recall and Precision after performing 10-fold-cross validation. In the identified texts, the failure factors of projects were analyzed so that they could be utilized in project implementation.

생활습관병 예방 프로젝트 4 실천리스트 - 단맛을 줄이면 건강이 보인다

  • Lee, Yong-Gyu
    • 건강소식
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.14-15
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    • 2013
  • 식도락이라는 말처럼 먹는 것은 즐거움이다. 하지만 단 음식 중독은 즐거움이라 말하기에는 건강에 큰 악영향을 끼친다. 최근 단맛 중독에 걸린 이들을 쉽게 찾아볼 수 있는데, 이들은 성인병의 위험에도 노출되어 있다. 그런 만큼 단맛에서 벗어나 건강한 입맛을 회복하는 습관을 들이는 것이 중요하다.

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Development of the Program Management System for Mega Project in Urban Regeneration (도시재생사업의 메가프로젝트 건설관리시스템 개발)

  • Hyun, Chang-Teak;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Park, Il-Soo;Yu, Jung-Ho;Son, Bo-Sik;Hong, Tae-Hoon;Seo, Yong-Chil;Lee, Sang-Bum;Kim, Hyoung-Kwan;Kim, Chang-Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.176-183
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    • 2008
  • Recently, several large-scale Mega-Projects are being conducted. For these urban revitalization projects which requires many complex functions, the existing project management system based on single project level is limited in application. Therefore, our main objectives of this research are two 1) Develop a brand-new program management system(Prototype Ver 1.0) for mega-projects where various facilities are combined both horizontally and vertically. 2) Develop management strategies(Prototype Ver 1.0) based on the program level that enable the comprehensive management of a multiple various projects. The subtitles of this Research are i-PMIS(Program Management Information System) Development, Standardization & Optimization of Construction Life-Cycle Process, Comprehensive Project Cost & Process Management Technology, Effective and Optimized Integrated Performance Management Technology, and, we suggest to optimize the whole life cycle process, predict and respond to various risks, predict and control the process, the cost and the schedule, achieve maximum return on investment to the participating parties, and provide a brand-new Program-MIS including the visual-based web-portal platform to respond the changing business environments and decision making.

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A Study for Process Improvement by State Analysis of Risk Items (위험요소의 상태분석에 의한 프로세스 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Ser
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.15D no.4
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2008
  • There are many defects that cause the process improvement of lifecycle problems during software development. This paper propose the management method of risk items that removes and manages the lifecycle problems as well. For the similar projects, we can estimate defects and prepare to solve them by using domain expert knowledge and the state analysis of defect items, which can greatly improve the software process. This research provides solution of management of risk items problem and detection of defect transition and its prevention and causes that happen on software development. Also, In this paper propose to making quantity of degree and transition phase.

Default Risk Mitigation Effect of Financial Structure and Characteristic in BOT Project Finance (BOT 프로젝트 파이낸스의 금융구조 및 특성의 채무불이행 위험완화 효과)

  • Jun, Jae-Bum;Lee, Jae-Sue;Lee, Sam-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2011
  • One of the advantages of BOT PF(Project Finance) is the government can be protected from risks involved in projects as the private finances, builds, and operates relevant projects. Moreover, the private may avoid outstanding responsibility in case of default thanks to BOT PF's unique financial structure and characteristics. However, despite increasing attention on risk mitigation effect of financial structure and characteristic of BOT PF to default risk with emerging controversies of capital crunch, introduction of IFRS, and contingent liabilities, valuation of default risk mitigation effect caused by financial structure and characteristics of BOT PF still seems sophisticated due to uncertain cash flows, complexly layered contracts, and their interaction. So, this paper is to show the theoretical frame to assess the default risk mitigation effect of financial structure and characteristic of BOT PF with option pricing and related financial economic theories and to provide some meaningful implications. Finally, this research shows that the financial structure and characteristics of BOT PF help mitigate the default risk and default risk mitigation effect increases as change of relevant variables on financial feasibility gets the BOT project less financially feasible.

Relationships Between Risk Factors and R&D Output: Approach to New Product Development process (위험요인과 R&D성과 간의 관계: 신제품개발단계별 접근)

  • Han, Sang Rog;Cho, Kuen Tae
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.165-198
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of the study is to identify risk factors and analyze risk impacts to increase R&D outcome by taking into consideration the activities undertaken in each phase of New Product Development(NPD) process. The paper builds on survey research that has been developed new IT products within the past 5 years at SAMSUNG and LG subsidiaries in the Republic of Korea. This study identified risk factors in accordance with NPD process and evaluated the identified risk factors with survey questionnaires. To analyze the risk impacts were used to perform a logistic regression analysis based on R&D output. The impact of risk factors were higher for the low-output group. High-output group took a risk into consideration unique undertakings in project management and managed risk factors effectively in order to increase R&D output. Consequently, with the aim of improving output of R&D, a risk management is necessary to identify the risk factors for each phase of NPD and focus on managing risk factors with great effect.

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Proposal of Git's Commit Message Complex Classification Model for Efficient S/W Maintenance (효율적인 S/W 유지관리를 위한 Git의 커밋메시지 복합 분류모델 제안)

  • Choi, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Jae-Woong;Lee, Youn-Yeoul;Chae, Yi-Geun;Kim, Joon-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.123-125
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    • 2022
  • Git의 커밋 메시지는 프로젝트가 진행되면서 발생하는 각종 이슈 및 코드의 변경이력을 저장하고 관리하고 있기 때문에 소프트웨어 유지관리와 프로젝트의 생명주기와 밀접한 연관성을 갖고 있다. 이러한 Git의 커밋 메시지에 대한 정확한 분석 결과는 소프트웨어 개발 및 유지관리 활동 시, 시간과 비용의 효율적인 관리에 많은 영향을 끼치고 있다. 이에 대한 기존 연구로 Git에서 발생하는 커밋 메시지를 소프트웨어 유지관리의 세 가지 형태로 분류하고 매핑하여 정확한 분석을 시도하려는 연구가 진행되었으나, 최대 87%의 정확도를 제시한 연구 결과가 있었다. 이러한 연구들은 정확도가 낮아 실제 프로젝트의 개발 및 유지관리에 적용하기에는 위험성과 어려움이 있는 현실이다. 본 논문에서는 커밋 메시지 분류에 대한 선행 연구 조사를 통해 각 연구들의 프로세스와 특징을 추출하였고, 이를 이용한 분류 정확도를 높일 수 있는 커밋 복합 분류 모델에 대해 제안한다.

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"위험관리 기반 침해사고 조기 대응 체계" 구축 사례

  • Kim, Jin-Seob
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 2010
  • 정신한은행은 '10년 1 월부터 6월까지 약 6개월 동안 "위험관리 기반의 침해사고 조기 대응체계 구축" 프로젝트를 수행하여 침해 시도 조기 탐지 및 대응을 위한 "침해사고 조기 경보 시스템" 및 "침해 사고 대응 프로세스 전산화"와 침해 사고의 사전 예방 강화를 위한 "정보시스템 상시 취약점 점검 체계"를 모두 하나의 프레임웍으로 묶어 통합 구축하였다. 신한은행은 이를 통해 내부망 및 인터넷 서비스망에 대해서 이마 알려진 네트웍 침입 패턴뿐만 아니라 네트웍 트래픽 전반에 대한 모니터링을 대폭 강화하여 기존 침입탐지 시스템이나 디도스 대응 시스템 등에서 탐지가 불가능했던 신종 침입 유형이나 소규모 디도스 공격 트래픽도 자동화된 탐지가 가능하게 되었다. 그리고 탐지된 침입시도의 유행 및 위험 수준에 따라서 사전 정의된 침해사고 대응 프로세스를 통해, 정보보안 담당자가 관련 부서 및 경영진의 요구사항에 각각 최적화된 전용 상황 모니터링 화면을 공유하며 침해사고를 효과적으로 공동 대응할 수 있게 되었다. 또한 정보시스템 전반에 대하여 상시 취약점 점검을 실시하고 그 점검 결과를 데이터베이스로 구축하고 정보시스템의 위험 수준에 따른 체계화된 대응 방안을 수립할 수 있게 되었다. 신한은행은 금번 구축된 시스템을 정보보안 영역 전반으로 확대하여 동일 프레임웍에서 위험관리 기반의 내부 정보 유출 체계를 구축하고, 향후 그룹사에도 확대 적용하여 전체 그룹사의 보안 수준을 제고하는 데 활용할 계획이다. * 금번 구축 사례에서 소개된 침해사고 조기 대응체계는 구축 완료 시점에 사내 명칭 공모를 통해 "Ageis"로 선정되었으며, 본 사례에서도 전체 시스템을 가리킬 때 Ageis로 지칭한다. Aegis는 그라스 신화에서 Zeus 신이 딸 Athena 신에게 주었다는 방패로서 보호, 후원, 지도 등의 뜻을 가지며, 이지스 또는 아이기스 라고 발음된다.