• Title/Summary/Keyword: 프로빗 분석

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A Study for cost of road traffic accident taken offender's PTSD in consideration (교통사고 가해자의 외상 후 스트레스 장애를 고려한 도로교통사고 비용 연구)

  • Jang, Seok-Yong;Jeong, Heon-Yeong;Go, Sang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this study is to consider the necessity of introducing owner expenses in estimating the cost of traffic accidents, as is done in some advanced countries. It is known as "owner cost" in the U.S, "enterprise project price" in Japan, and "human cost" in the U.K. To achieve this, the seriousness and present state of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) of traffic accident offenders, which is generally not observed when traffic accidents occur, are evaluated; countermeasures reflecting personal characteristics are prepared according to degree of affliction. The results could be summarized as follows. First, the present condition and seriousness of PTSD from traffic accidents that has been estimated only within the accidents offenders are evaluated through a survey. Second, a distinction analysis model is developed. 'Insomnia caused by accidents' and 'mental daunting in accident situations or similar ones during driving' are chosen as the variables of the discriminant. Third, as a result of the construction of an Ordered Probit Model to comprehend the seriousness of PTSD, the variables turns out in the order of 'seriousness of the most damaged victim, 'nightmare about the accident', 'insomnia experience', 'mental daunting during driving', 'gender', and 'major driving area'. Finally, the cures reflecting characteristics of gender and region are suggested, which are preferred for degree of seriousness of PTSD. The analysis shows that the method to minimize the damage, such as decline of work efficiency, by moving ahead the rehabilitation of the offenders would be suggested and this could minimize the direct and indirect damages that could happen to business owners for whom the drivers work.

Determinants of Residence Intention and Its Policy Implications in Urban-Rural Complex Area : Focusing on the Endogeneity Between Regional Identity and Residence Intention (도농복합시 거주민의 거주의향 결정요인과 그 시사점 : 지역정체성과 거주의향 간의 내생성을 중심으로)

  • Yi, Hyang-Mi
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.610-617
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    • 2019
  • The urban-rural complex area in Korea has a distinctive spatial structure where the urban area and rural area coexist. Therefore, in order to cope with the over-depopulation in the rural region of the urban-rural complex area, it is necessary to explore various policies that can prevent the existing residents from leaving, and in fact support them to remain where they currently reside. In this context, this current study analyzed the factors affecting the existing residents' continuous intention to remain by employing the '2017 Chuncheon City Social Survey' as a countermeasure for the over-depopulation of the rural region in the urban-rural complex area. Especially, since a regional identity is determined endogenously, this study used a simultaneous bivariate ordered probit model with giving consideration to the endogenous relationship between a regional identity and a regional residents' intentions. As a result, it was found on analysis that the regional residential intention was higher as the regional identity was stronger. Furthermore, the regional identity was stronger as a householders' age and residence period were longer, and also as the residents were satisfied with their work leisure and life residence balance. It was also found that the residents' intention was higher as the residents' satisfaction with the local medical service and their work was increased. Thus, supporting policy is needed that can provide appropriate quality-of-life services in a timely manner, but only after identifying the demand for these services by the rural residents in the urban-rural complex area.

A Comparative Study on the Sport-for-all Participation and Life Satisfaction Between Rural and Urban Elderly (농촌 노인과 도시 노인의 생활체육참가와 생활만족도 비교)

  • Nam, Ji Ho
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.867-881
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    • 2009
  • This study's goal is to compare influencing factors to life satisfaction and sport participation of the elderly in the rural and urban area. And it is to provide basic information that is appropriate to the local peculiarity. In the research, we used the 2006 KLoSA, got the following result through the more than 60 years old 502 peoples in the rural area and 1129 in the urban area. There were significant differences of factors related to the life satisfaction between rural and urban elderly, and the most sport participants have higher life satisfaction than non-participants. Through the probit analysis, the result shows that significant factors affecting sport participation for the rural elderly are gender, age, working/retired, and for urban elderly, the education level and income are added. About the participation, there were also significant differences on the participation frequency for the rural elderly and on the participation hours for urban elderly. The significant factors of life satisfaction for rural elderly are the education level, subjective health, and sport participation, and for urban elderly were the education level, income, subjective health, and sport participation. Overall, it shows the urban elderly have higher life satisfaction than the rural elderly. The welfare system to improve the sports participation and life satisfaction needs the differentiated support reflecting the social demographic characteristics.

A Study on the Application of Accident Severity Prediction Model (교통사고 심각도 예측 모형의 활용방안에 관한 연구 (서해안 고속도로를 중심으로))

  • Won, Min-Su;Lee, Gyeo-Ra;O, Cheol;Gang, Gyeong-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2009
  • It is important to study on the traffic accident severity reduction because traffic accident is an issue that is directly related to human life. Therefore, this research developed countermeasure to reduce traffic accident severity considering various factors that affect the accident severity. This research developed the Accident Severity Prediction Model using the collected accident data from Seohaean Expressway in 2004~2006. Through this model, we can find the influence factors and methodology to reduce accident severity. The results show that speed limit violation, vehicle defects, vehicle to vehicle accident, vehicle to person accident, traffic volume, curve radius CV(Coefficient of variation) and vertical slope CV were selected to compose the accident severity model. These are certain causes of the severe accident. The accidents by these certain causes present specific sections of Seohaean Expressway. The results indicate that we can prevent severe accidents by providing selected traffic information and facilities to drivers at specific sections of the Expressway.

A Study on the Effect of Technology Readiness Level and Commercialization Activities on the Success of Technology Commercialization: Focusing on Public Technology (기술사업화 성공에 대한 기술성숙도 및 사업화 활동의 영향에 관한 연구: 공공기술을 중심으로)

  • Shin, Yoonmi;Bong, Kang Ho;Park, Jaemin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2021
  • There is growing interest in the function and role of public research institutes as "entrepreneurial actors" that can contribute to industrial development by commercializing excellent research outputs. On the other hand, their performance in the commercialization phase is insufficient because of the insufficient technological technology readiness level or repeatability. This study conducted probit model analysis to examine the effect of the technology readiness level and commercialization activities on the success of technology commercialization. The results showed that the possibility of success in technology commercialization increased with increasing TRL at the time of acquisition. In addition, the difference between the TRL at the time of acquisition and the current TRL (TRL Gap) does not affect technology commercialization on its own. It generates additional effects in conjunction with the TRL at the time of acquisition. Finally, the results show that technology commercialization is most likely to succeed if technology with a TRL 4-6 level is improved to TRL 9 level through a marginal effect estimation.

A Study on the Measurement and Effect Factors of Productivity of the Korean Ocean Carriers (금융위기 이후 국적 외항선사의 생산성 측정과 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Hyung-Sik;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we first measured the Malmquist productivity index by DEA among the Korean ocean carriers. Second, it was intended to present measures to improve productivity by identifying the influence and discriminating power between productivity and the major financial ratios (profitability, financial stability, liquidity, efficiency and value-added productivity). Compared to 2017, there are 11 more shipping carriers with decline in productivity (MPI) than those with an increase in 2018. The increase in productivity is attributed to an increase in the Technology Change Index (TCI) affected by the external environment. There is strong significant correlation between the productivity (MPI) and the management efficiency (CRS). Additionally, the TECI (TECHI) index of the technological efficiency changes from internal factors of the shipping carrier is significantly higher than that of the efficient shipping carrier. This is because of the differences in scale efficiency. The ratio of charter cost/sales is also lower than that of the carriers with high productivity (0.17) and with low productivity (0.21). With 7% of the shipping carrier with MPI>1, only 1% of MPI <1 is found to have a significant impact on its productivity.

An Empirical Analysis on the Demand for Households with Disabilities (장애인 가구 주택수요 특성에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Go, Ha Hee;Hong, Jea Sung;Shim, Gyo Eon;Kim, Seong Hee
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2017
  • The Korean society is currently at the level of discussing the living environment and the housing welfare as factors for improving the quality of life, in addition to most individuals or households residing in a living environment and housing welfare, according to industrialization and urbanization. However, even though the overall housing welfare of Korea has improved, the number of households with disabilities belonging to the social special class is not as high as that of the non-disabled households. It is a reality that cannot be done. Therefore, this study aims to identify the present condition and demand characteristics of the housing for disabled people whose social importance is currently emphasized among the social special people who can be called the social special class, as well as present the housing welfare policy to them and explain the purpose of the improvement plan. In this study, 4,277 out of 8,004 households with disabilities surveyed by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport in 2015 were analyzed. The result of the analysis showed that the economic characteristics (permanent income indicating the income and the user cost indicating the expenditure) of the housing demand of a household with a handicapped individual are important. This analysis will provide more effective policy formulation and policy direction for the families of the disabled.

The Choice of Self-Employment and Career Interruption Among Females (여성의 자영업 결정요인과 경력단절 가능성)

  • Sung, Jaimie
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.161-182
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    • 2002
  • The self-employment can provide work time flexibility. Work time flexibility would be a critical factor for married females' labor supply considering allocation of their time to market work and household work. This study used the 1998 and 2000 Korea Labor and Income Panel Survey for the empirical analyses. Applying the bivariate probit model with partial observability, this study analyzed factors related to the choice of participation in labor market and choice of self-employment. Also, this study examined the effects of marriage and the presence of younger children on changes in decisions related to labor supply using the multinomial logit model: exit from the labor market, increasing and decreasing work hours. The presence of the younger children showed a significantly negative effect on the participation in labor market while positive, but insignificant, effect on self-employment. Compared with females working for others, self-employers without employees and unpaid family workers are less likely to exit labor market rather than increasing work hours. The self-employment would be a good alternative to evade females' career interruption and therefore to enhance the potential human resources.

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Determination of Key Factors for the Pedestrian LOS Introducing the Accessibility Index (접근성 지표를 도입한 보행로 서비스 수준의 영향요인 규명)

  • CHOI, Sung Taek;CHOO, Sang Ho;JANG, Jin Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.584-597
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    • 2015
  • A considerable amount of literature has been published on pedestrian LOS. So far, however, there is a limitation that LOS analysis methodologies has concentrated on quantitative variables such as pedestrian flow rate, speed and space. This paper intended to suggest the accessibility variable which can not be considered on previous study. The factor was defined and quantified using public transport attributes in particular. This study was carried out in three phases: 1. defined accessibility employing public mode location and service information. 2. investigated the relationship between accessibility and pedestrian flow rate 3. developed the model to establish the factors affected to pedestrian LOS. The results showed that accessibility, walkway attribute and land use type affected the pedestrian LOS. Especially, accessibility and commercial area ratio had negative relationship with LOS. Futhermore, pedestrian LOS declined when obstacle of bus station located on the walkway. On the contrary, LOS was upgraded when sufficient effective width or residential area was secured. These results can receive considerable critical attentions related to determination of pedestrian LOS or effective walkway width.

Development of a Traffic Accident Prediction Model for Urban Signalized Intersections (도시부 신호교차로 안전성 향상을 위한 사고예측모형 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Jang-Wook;Lee, Dong-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2008
  • It is commonly estimated that there is a much higher potential for accidents at a crossroads than along a single road due to its plethora of conflicting points. According to the 2006 figures by the National Police Agency, the number of traffic accidents at crossroads is greatly increasing compared to that along single roads. Among others, crossroads installed with traffic signals have more varied influential factors for traffic accidents and leave much more room for improvement than ones without traffic signals; thus, it is expected that a noticeable effect could be achieved in safety if proper counter-measures against the hazards at a crossroads were taken together with an estimate of causes for accidents This research managed to develop models for accident forecasts and accident intensity by applying data on accident history and site inspection of crossroads, targeting four selected downtown crossroads installed with traffic signals. The research was done by roughly dividing the process into four stages: first, analyze the accident model examined before; second, select variables affecting traffic accidents; third, develop a model for traffic accident forecasting by using a statistics-based methodology; and fourth, carry out the verification process of the models.