• Journal of Wind Energy
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.10-22
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• 2024

This research is a comprehensive analysis of wind power prediction sensitivity using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning neural network model, accounting for the inherent uncertainties in wind speed estimation. Utilizing a year's worth of operational data from an operational wind farm, the study forecasts the power output of both individual wind turbines and the farm collectively. Predictions were made daily at intervals of 10 minutes and 1 hour over a span of three months. The model's forecast accuracy was evaluated by comparing the root mean square error (RMSE), normalized RMSE (NRMSE), and correlation coefficients with actual power output data. Moreover, the research investigated how inaccuracies in wind speed inputs affect the power prediction sensitivity of the model. By simulating wind speed errors within a normal distribution range of 1% to 15%, the study analyzed their influence on the accuracy of power predictions. This investigation provided insights into the required wind speed prediction error rate to achieve an 8% power prediction error threshold, meeting the incentive standards for forecasting systems in renewable energy generation.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.19-27
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• 2015

Technologies of wind power generation for development of alternative energy technology have been accumulated over the past 20 years. Wind power generation is environmentally friendly and economical because it uses the wind blowing in nature as energy resource. In order to operate wind power generation efficiently, it is necessary to accurately predict wind speed changing every moment in nature. It is important not only averagely how well to predict wind speed but also to minimize the largest absolute error between real value and prediction value of wind speed. In terms of generation operating plan, minimizing the largest absolute error plays an important role for building flexible generation operating plan because the difference between predicting power and real power causes economic loss. In this paper, we propose a method of wind speed prediction using numeric prediction algorithm-based wind speed forecast model made to analyze the wind speed forecast given by the Meteorological Administration and pattern value for considering seasonal property of wind speed as well as changing trend of past wind speed. The wind speed forecast given by the Meteorological Administration is the forecast in respect to comparatively wide area including wind generation farm. But it contributes considerably to make accuracy of wind speed prediction high. Also, the experimental results demonstrate that as the rate of wind is analyzed in more detail, the greater accuracy will be obtained.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2009.07a
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• pp.121_122
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• 2009

본 논문은 급증하는 제주지역의 풍력발전설비의 증가에 따라 제주계통의 안정적 운영을 위하여 제주EMS 기능의 일부인 경제급전프로그램의 개선된 내용을 소개하였다. 풍력발전기의 출력은 수시로 변하고 그 예측이 곤란하여, 소규모 계통인 제주계통의 불안정성을 야기할 우려가 더욱 커지고 있다. 이에, 계통운영자가 제주지역 풍력발전기 변동특성을 고려하여 계통운영을 할 수 있도록 풍력발전량 대비 연계선 및 발전기 예비력을 설정 또는 계산하여, 경제급전 참여 발전기에 대한 발전량을 배분할 수 있도록 개선된 제주EMS의 경제급전프로그램의 개선된 내용을 제시하였다.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.1 no.2 s.2
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• pp.19-25
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• 2005

This study explains ther procedure that should be taken to develp a successful wind park project. It provides a guideline for the activities and studies to be done as a step by step solution. This study follows a chronological flow throughout the whole development Process. This Paper covers technical consideration, assessment of wind energy resource, wind Park siting and energy yield calculation This presented knowledge h3s been mostly gained by the experience from Youngduk wind park project. The further comparison study will be performed between the theoretical prediction and the actual yield of the Youngduk wind park.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• v.37 no.8
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• pp.977-983
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• 2013

Based on the consideration of the hourly patterns of the electricity power consumption, this study predicted the effectiveness of hybrid power generation system, which is composed with wind power generator and photovoltaic generator. And this case study is performed at Konrido, which is a affiliated island of Kyeongsangnam-do. As the results, it is obvious that it is not efficient to cover the whole electricity power consumption only with any single power generating system, because the hourly patterns of electricity power consumption, wind power generation and photovoltaic generation are quite different. And because the wind is being through almost 24 hours, it is also found out that wind power generating system with storage battery is the most efficient combination for this case study.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.33 no.5
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• pp.179-186
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• 2021

We need measures that can come up with alternative about fishery living zone and enhance local acceptance for responding to the increase in the proportion of renewable energy production and construction of 12GW Offshore wind power according to Korea's Renewable Energy 3020 initiative and Korean-version New Deal. In this study, We suggest that differentiation plans of co-location model in connection with offshore wind power generation suitable for the East Sea. The East Sea is an optimal site for building of a floating offshore wind power generation(FOWPG) field. It is expected that economic effects like energy production, aquatic resource development and tourism industrialization by farming bluefin tuna which is high valued fish and suitable for offshore aquaculture on public waters in FOWPG field. And we can confirm that budget reduction, smart management by sharing operation management technology and increase in fishermen income.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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• v.40 no.4
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• pp.201-212
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• 2016

A Wind resource assessment and optimal micrositing of wind turbines were implemented for the development of an onshore wind farm of 30 MW capacity on Gadeok Island in Busan, Republic of Korea. The wind data measured by the automatic weather system (AWS) that was installed and operated in the candidate area were used, and a reliability investigation was conducted through a data quality check. The AWS data were measured for one year, and were corrected for the long term of 30 years by using the modern era retrospective analysis for research and application (MERRA) reanalysis data and a measure- correlate-predict (MCP) technique; the corrected data were used for the optimal micrositing of the wind turbines. The micrositing of the 3 MW wind turbines was conducted under 25 conditions, then the best-optimized layout was analyzed with a various wake model. When the optimization was complete, the estimated park efficiency and capacity factor were from 97.6 to 98.7 and from 37.9 to 38.3, respectively. Furthermore, the annual energy production (AEP), including wake losses, was estimated to be from 99,598.4 MWh to 100,732.9 MWh, and the area was confirmed as a highly economical location for development of a wind farm.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.348-350
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 태양광-풍력 복합발전시스템의 발전용량 예측을 통한 시스템 시설투자비 및 발전단가와 경제성에 대하여 분석한다. 도시지역의 일사량 및 풍속 데이터를 기초로 하여 복합발전시스템의 일일 발전량을 구하고, 수용가의 일일부하패턴과 수요부하를 고려하여 태양전지 어레이와 풍력발전기의 용량을 산정한다. 그리고 용량 산정에 따른 복합발전시스템의 초기투자비용과 연간 발전량, 연간 소요경비 등의 요소를 고려하여 총 수명가 분석법(Total Life-Cycle Cost Analysis)에 기초한 발전단가를 계산하고 잉여전력을 계통에 판매할 경우의 경제성을 평가한다.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.06a
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• pp.47-50
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• 2005

본 연구의 목적은 차세대 대체에너지로 각광받는 풍력발전 중에서 육상발전보다 여러 가지 이점이 있는 해상에서의 한국형 풍력터빈 블레이드의 최적 형상을 위 한 알고리즘을 구현하는 것이다. 풍력터빈 블레이드에서 깃익형의 공기 역학적 특성은 매우 중요한 사항이다. 이를 위해서 익형 성능예측에 층류에서 난류로의 천이과정을 포함하는 XFOIL을 이용하여 블레이드 익형 단면의 양력과 항력 분포를 해석하였다. 첫 번째 수준의 설계변수는 운용범위내의 바람의 속도와 블레이드 지름, 축 회전수이며, 각 단면에서의 비틀림각과 시위길이는 두 번째 수준의 설계 변수이다. 운용범위 내의 각 설계점에서 익형의 공력 변수들과 최소에 너지손실 조건을 이용하여 시위길이와 피치각 분포를 최적화하였다. 각각의 설계점에서 결과를 바탕으로 풍력발전의 설계 운용범위에서 반응면을 구성하고 구배최적화 기법을 통해 요구동력의 제약함수를 만족하고 효율을 최대로 하는 블레이드 형상을 구현하였다. 최적형상에 대해 탈설계점 해석을 수행하여 그 성능을 구하였다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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• v.34 no.10
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• pp.901-906
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• 2010

A three-dimensional flow simulation was performed to investigate the flow field in a wind farm on a complex terrain. The present study aims to examine the effects of mountainous terrain and turbine arrangement on the performance of wind power generation. A total of 49 wind turbines was modeled in the computational domain; detailed blade shape of the turbines was considered. Frozen rotor method was used to simulate the rotating operation. The torque acting on the turbine blades was calculated to evaluate the performance of the wind turbines. The numerical results showed details of the flow structure in the wind farm including the velocity deficit in the separated flow regions; this velocity deficit was due to the topographical effect. The effect of the wake induced by the upstream turbine on the performance of the downstream wind turbine could also be observed from the results. The methodology of the present study can be used for selecting future wind-farm sites and wind-turbine locations in a selected site to ensure maximum power generation.