• Title/Summary/Keyword: 풍력발전예측

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The Optimal Compensation Scheme for Large-scale Windfarm using Forecasting Algorithm and Energy Storages (예측 알고리즘와 에너지 저장장치를 이용한 풍력발전단지 최적 출력 보상 방안)

  • Lee, Han-Sang;Kim, Ka-Byong;Jung, Se-Yong;Park, Byeong-Cheol;Han, Sang-Chul;Jang, Gil-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.396-397
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    • 2011
  • As moving away from fossil fuel makes rapid progress, new paradigm has arisen in the power industry area. Developing alternative energy source is progressing actively, the proportion of renewable energy in electricity production is expected to be increased. Because the output of wind farm depends on wind characteristic, minimizing the output fluctuation is a key to keep the power system controllable and stable. Various compensation scheme for stabilizing the output of wind farm has been developed. Considering some requirements such as reaction velocity, controllability, scalability and applicability, energy storage system is one of the effective methods for spreading of renewable energy. In this paper, method of compensating method with forecasting algorithm was simulated, and then the results was analyzed.

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Fuzzy Modeling and Robust Stability Analysis of Wind Farm based on Prediction Model for Wind Speed (풍속 예측모델 기반 풍력발전단지의 퍼지 모델링 및 강인 안정도 해석)

  • Lee, Deogyong;Sung, Hwa Chang;Joo, Young Hoon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes the fuzzy modeling and robust stability analysis of wind farm based on prediction model for wind speed. Owing to the sensitivity of wind speed, it is necessary to study the dynamic equation of the variable speed wind turbine. In this paper, based on the least-square method, the wind speed prediction model which is varied by the surrounding environment is proposed so that it is possible to evaluate the practicability of our model. And, we propose the composition of intelligent wind farm and use the fuzzy model which is suitable for the design of fuzzy controller. Finally, simulation results for wind farm which is modeled mathematically are demonstrated to visualize the feasibility of the proposed method.

Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Northeast Region of Jeju Island (제주 북동부지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 예측성능 평가)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seok;Ko, Kyung-Nam;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2009
  • In order to clarify predictive accuracy for the wind resource predicted by running WindPRO(Ver. 2.5) which is software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, an investigation was carried out at the northeast region of Jeju island. The Hangwon, Susan and Hoichun sites of Jeju island were selected for this study. The measurement period of wind at the sites was for one year. As a result, when the sites had different energy roses, though the two Wind Statistics made by STATGEN module were used for the prediction, it was difficult to exactly predict the energy rose at a given site. On the other hand, when the two Wind Statistics were used to predict the average wind speed, the wind power density and the annual energy production, the relative error was under ${\pm}20%$ which improved more than that when using only one Wind Statistics.

Fault prediction of wind turbine and Generation benefit evaluation by using the SVM method (SVM방법을 이용한 풍력발전기 고장 예측 및 발전수익 평가)

  • Shin, Jun-Hyun;Lee, Yun-Seong;Kim, Sung-Yul;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.60-67
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    • 2014
  • Wind power is one of the fastest growing renewable energy sources. The blades length and tower height of wind turbine have been growing steadily in the last 10 years in order to increase the output amount of wind power energy. The amount of wind turbine energy is increased by increasing the capacity of wind turbine, but the costs of preventive, corrective and replacement maintenance are also increased accordingly. Recently, Condition Monitoring System that can repair the fault diagnose and repair of wind turbine in the real-time. However, these system have a problem that cannot predict and diagnose of the fault. In this paper, wind turbine predict methodology is proposed by using the SVM method. In the case study, correlation analysis between wind turbine fault and external environmental factors is performed by using the SVM method.

AEP Prediction of a Wind Farm in Complex Terrain - WindPRO Vs. WindSim (복잡지형에 위치한 풍력발전단지의 연간발전량 예측 비교 연구)

  • Woo, Jae-Kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Kim, Byeong-Min;Gwon, Il-Han;Baek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • The annual energy production of Gangwon wind farm was predicted for three consecutive years of 2007, 2008 and 2009 using commercial programs, WindPRO and WindSim which are known to be used the most for wind resource prediction in the world. The predictions from the linear code, WindPRO, were compared with both the actual energy prediction presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm and also the predictions from the CFD code, WindSim. The results from WindPRO were close to the actual energy productions and the errors were within 11.8% unlike the expectation. The reason for the low prediction errors was found to be due to the fact that although the wind farm is located in highly complex terrain, the terrain steepness was smaller than a critical angle($21.8^{\circ}$) in front of the wind farm in the main wind direction. Therefore no flow separation was found to occur within the wind farm. The flow separation of the main wind was found to occur mostly behind the wind farm.

Stability Analysis of Concrete Plugs Installed in Pilot Tunnels for the Storage of Compressed Air (압축공기 저장용 파일롯 터널에 설치된 콘크리트 플러그의 안정성 해석)

  • Lee, Youn-Kyou;Song, Won-Kyoung;Park, Chul-Whan;Choi, Byung-Hee
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.446-454
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    • 2010
  • CAES-G/T (Compressed Air Energy Storage - Gas Turbine) power generation is a likely option for the buffer facility stabilizing the fluctuation of the renewable powers, such as wind and solar powers. Considering the geological conditions, the underground CAES facility is most probable if the CAES-G/T generation is planed in Korea. In this kind of facility, a concrete plug is installed to seal the compressed air in the container, so that the selection of the shape and dimension of concrete plug could be a critical design factor. The stability evaluation of two types of plug was carried out by investigating the distribution of the factor of safety in the plugs and the distribution of contact pressure over the contact surface. The analysis result shows that the taper-shaped plug is more structurally stable than the wedge-shaped plug for the given geological condition. Possible separation of the rock-concrete interface around the spring line of the wedge-shaped plug is anticipated, which means the possible leakage of compressed air through the side wall and also means the poor mobilization of frictional resistance on that area.

A Study on the Thermal Prediction Model cf the Heat Storage Tank for the Optimal Use of Renewable Energy (신재생 에너지 최적 활용을 위한 축열조 온도 예측 모델 연구)

  • HanByeol Oh;KyeongMin Jang;JeeYoung Oh;MyeongBae Lee;JangWoo Park;YongYun Cho;ChangSun Shin
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2023
  • Recently, energy consumption for heating costs, which is 35% of smart farm energy costs, has increased, requiring energy consumption efficiency, and the importance of new and renewable energy is increasing due to concerns about the realization of electricity bills. Renewable energy belongs to hydropower, wind, and solar power, of which solar energy is a power generation technology that converts it into electrical energy, and this technology has less impact on the environment and is simple to maintain. In this study, based on the greenhouse heat storage tank and heat pump data, the factors that affect the heat storage tank are selected and a heat storage tank supply temperature prediction model is developed. It is predicted using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), which is effective for time series data analysis and prediction, and XGBoost model, which is superior to other ensemble learning techniques. By predicting the temperature of the heat pump heat storage tank, energy consumption may be optimized and system operation may be optimized. In addition, we intend to link it to the smart farm energy integrated operation system, such as reducing heating and cooling costs and improving the energy independence of farmers due to the use of solar power. By managing the supply of waste heat energy through the platform and deriving the maximum heating load and energy values required for crop growth by season and time, an optimal energy management plan is derived based on this.

A Proposal of USN-based DER(Decentralized Energy Resources) Management System (USN 기반의 댁내 분산 전력 관리 시스템 제안)

  • Kim, Bo-Min;Kim, Jeong-Young;Bang, Hyun-Jin;Jang, Min-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.871-874
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    • 2010
  • Needs for Smart Grid development are increasing all over the world as a solution to its problem according to depletion of energy resources, climatic and environmental rapidly change and growing demand for electrical power. Especially decentralized power is attracting world's attention. In this mood a new era for a unit scale of decentralized power environment is on its way in building. However there is a problem to have to be solved in the uniformity of power quality because the amount of power generated from renewable energy resources such as wind power and solar light is very sensitive to climate fluctuation. And thus this paper tries to suggest an energy management method on basis of real time monitoring for meteorological data. In the current situation of lacking in USN-based killer application in Smart Grid field, this paper proposes the USN-based DER management system which collects the meteorological data and control power system througout utilizing wireless sensor network technique this business. This communication technique is regarded to be efficient in aspects of installation cost and tits maintenance cost. The proposed EMS model embodies the method for predicting the power generation by monitoring and analyzing the climatic data and controling the efficient power distribution between the renewable energy and the existing power. The ultimate goal of this paper is to provide the technological basis for achieving zero-energy house.

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A study on the Conceptual Design for the Real-time wind Power Prediction System in Jeju (제주 실시간 풍력발전 출력 예측시스템 개발을 위한 개념설계 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Yoo, Myoung-Suk;Choi, Hong-Seok;Kim, Yong-Jun;Seo, Young-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.12
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    • pp.2202-2211
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    • 2010
  • The wind power prediction system is composed of a meteorological forecasting module, calculation module of wind power output and HMI(Human Machine Interface) visualization system. The final information from this system is a short-term (6hr ahead) and mid-term (48hr ahead) wind power prediction value. The meteorological forecasting module for wind speed and direction forecasting is a combination of physical and statistical model. In this system, the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model, which is a three-dimensional numerical weather model, is used as the physical model and the GFS(Global Forecasting System) models is used for initial condition forecasting. The 100m resolution terrain data is used to improve the accuracy of this system. In addition, optimization of the physical model carried out using historic weather data in Jeju. The mid-term prediction value from the physical model is used in the statistical method for a short-term prediction. The final power prediction is calculated using an optimal adjustment between the currently observed data and data predicted from the power curve model. The final wind power prediction value is provided to customs using a HMI visualization system. The aim of this study is to further improve the accuracy of this prediction system and develop a practical system for power system operation and the energy market in the Smart-Grid.

Aerodynamic Performance Prediction of a Counter-rotating Wind Turbine System with Wake Effect (후류영향을 고려한 상반회전 풍력발전 시스템의 공력성능 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Dong, Kyung-Min;Jung, Sung-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.30 no.7
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, the aerodynamic performance prediction of a 30kW counter-rotating (C/R) wind turbine system has been made by using the momentum theory as well as the two-dimensional quasi-steady strip theory with special care on the wake and the post-stall effects. In order to take into account the wake effects in the performance analysis, the wind tunnel test data obtained for a scaled blade are used. Both the axial and rotational inductions behind the auxiliary rotors are determined through the wake model. In addition, the optimum chord and twist distributions along the blades are obtained from the Glauert's optimum actuator disk model considering the Prandtl's tip loss effect. The performance results of the counter-rotating wind turbine system are compared with those of the conventional single rotor system and demonstrated the effectiveness of the counter-rotating wind turbine system.