• Title/Summary/Keyword: 풍력발전예측

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Prediction of Annual Energy Production of Gangwon Wind Farm using AWS Wind Data (AWS 풍황데이터를 이용한 강원풍력발전단지 연간에너지발전량 예측)

  • Woo, Jae-kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Kim, Byeong-Min;Paek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2011
  • The wind data obtained from an AWS(Automated Weather Station) was used to predict the AEP(annual energy production) of Gangwon wind farm having a total capacity of 98 MWin Korea. A wind energy prediction program based on the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes equation was used. Predictions were made for three consecutive years starting from 2007 and the results were compared with the actual AEPs presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm. The results from the prediction program were close to the actual AEPs and the errors were within 7.8%.

A Study on Development of a Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation for Walryong Site (월령단지 풍력발전 예보모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Lee, Yeong-Seup;Jang, Mun-Seok;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, a forecasting model of wind speed at Walryong Site, Jeju Island is presented, which has been developed and evaluated as a first step toward establishing Korea Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation. The forecasting model is constructed based on neural network and is trained with wind speed data observed at Cosan Weather Station located near by Walryong Site. Due to short period of measurements at Walryong Site for training statistical model Gosan Weather Station's long-term data are substituted and then transplanted to Walryong Site by using Measure-Correlate-Predict technique. One to three-hour advance forecasting of wind speed show good agreements with the monitoring data of Walryong site with the correlation factors 0.96 and 0.88, respectively.

Study on the Load Properties of Main Shaft of Medium Size Wind-turbine Gearbox using Monitoring (모니터링을 이용한 중형 풍력발전기용 증속기 주축의 부하특성 분석 연구)

  • Park, Young-Joon;Lee, Geun-Ho;Lee, Jong-Won;Nam, Yoon-Su;Cha, Jong-Whan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.378-382
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    • 2007
  • To improve the reliability for a wind-turbine gearbox, the mechanical loads acting on the gearbox need to be monitored and analysed exactly. This study was conducted to identify the characteristics of torques and bending moments acting on the main shaft of the gearbox using the rainflow counting method and predict the fatigue life of the main shaft by using the modified Miner's rule. While the mean wind speed became 3.5 m/s, the life of the main shaft by the acting torques was predicted as 4.3${\times}10^6$ years, and it by the bending moments was as 2.3${\times}10^4$ years. If the life of the wind turbine was estimated as 20 years, the fatigue life of the main shaft was regarded as infinite. Also, it was suggested that the life of the main shaft must be predicted by not the torques but the bending moments.

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A Study on Evaluation for the Applicatioin of a CFD Code to Flow Analysis and an Estimate of Performance for HAWT (수평축 풍력발전용 터빈의 유동해석 및 성능예측에 대한 CFD의 적용성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Beom-Seok;Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, You-Taek;Nam, Chung-Do;Lee, Young-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.2192-2197
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this 3-D numerical simulation is evaluate the application of a commercial CFD code to predict 3-D flow and power characteristics of wind turbines. The experimental approach, which has been main method of investigation, appears to be its limits, the cost increasing with the size of the wind turbines, hence mostly limited to observing the phenomena on rotor blades. Therefore, the use of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) techniques and Navier-Stokes solvers are considered a very serious contender. The flow solver CFX-TASCflow is employed in all computations in this paper. The 3-D flow separation and the wake distribution of 2 and 3 bladed Horizontal Axis Wind Turbines (HAWTs) are compared to Heuristic model and smoke-visualized experimental result by NREL(National Renewable Energy Laboratory). Simulated 3-D flow separation structure on the rotor blade is very similar to Heuristic model and the wake structure of the wind turbine is good consistent with smoke-visualized result. The calculated power of the 3 bladed rotor by CFD is compared with BEM results by TV-Delft. The CFD results of which is somewhat consist with BEM results, under an error less than 10%.

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A Study on Flow Analysis and an Estimate of performance for HAWT by CFD (CFD에 의한 수평축 풍력발전용 터빈의 유동해석 및 성능예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김정환;김범석;김진구;남청도;이영호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.906-913
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this 3-D numerical simulation is to evaluate the application of a commercial CFD code to predict 3-D flow and power characteristics of wind turbines. The experimental approach, which has been main method of investigation, appears to be its limits, the cost increasing with the size of the wind turbines, hence mostly limited to observing the phenomena on rotor blades. Therefore. the use of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) techniques and Navier-Stokes solvers are considered a very serious contender. The flow solver CFX-TASCflow is employed in all computations in this paper. The 3-D flow separation and the wake distribution of 2 and 3 bladed Horizontal Axis Wind Turbines (HAWTs) are compared to Heuristic model and smoke-visualized experimental result by NREL(National Renewable Energy Laboratory). Simulated 3-D flow separation structure on the rotor blade is very similar to Heuristic model and the wake structure of the wind turbine is good consistent with smoke-visualized result. The calculated power of the 3 bladed rotor by CFD is compared with BEM results by TU-Delft. The CFD results of which is somewhat consist with BEM results. under an error less than 10%.

A Study on Fatigue Life Design for Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine Composite Blade (수평축 풍력발전 시스템용 복합재 회전날개의 피로수명 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 공창덕;방조혁;정종철;강명훈;정석훈;류지윤;김기범
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 1999
  • Fatigue test is an essential procedure in the dynamic structure design. It is performed to confirm that the structure should safety the required life. In this study, fatigue life for 750㎾ class horizontal axis wind turbine composite blade was investigated. Required fatigue stress was calculated by fan Bond's empirical equation and S-N linear damage method. Fatigue load for FEM analysis was calculated using load spectrum through experiments and Spera's method. Service fatigue stress was obtained by FEM with the calculated fatigue load. From comparison of the fatigue stresses, fatigue life over 20 years was confirmed.

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Prediction of Aerodynamic Performance on Wind Turbines in the Far Wake (후류 영향을 고려한 풍력 발전 단지 성능 예측 연구)

  • Son, Eunkuk;Kim, Hogeon;Lee, Seungmin;Lee, Soogab
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.59.2-59.2
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    • 2011
  • Although there are many activities on the construction of wind farm to produce amount of power from the wind, in practice power productions are not as much as its expected capabilities. This is because a lack of both the prediction of wind resources and the aerodynamic analysis on turbines with far wake effects. In far wake region, there are velocity deficits and increases of the turbulence intensity which lead to the power losses of the next turbine and the increases of dynamic loadings which could reduce system's life. The analysis on power losses and the increases of fatigue loadings in the wind farm is needed to prevent these unwanted consequences. Therefore, in this study velocity deficits have been predicted and aerodynamic analysis on turbines in the far wake is carried out from these velocity profiles. Ainslie's eddy viscosity wake model is adopted to determine a wake velocity and aerodynamic analysis on wind turbines is predicted by the numerical methods such as blade element momentum theory(BEMT) and vortex lattice method(VLM). The results show that velocity recovery is more rapid in the wake region with higher turbulence intensity. Since the velocity deficit is larger when the turbine has higher thrust coefficient, there is a huge aerodynamic power loss at the downstream turbine.

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Effect of Atmospheric Pressure Difference with Altitude on the Induced Airflow Velocity in a Vertical Closed Conduit (수직 공간 내에서 고도변화에 따른 기압차로 인한 기류현상 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Kwang-Seop;Kim, Chul-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.409-416
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    • 2009
  • On 21st century, global warming is the most serious environmental problem threatening the existence of lives on the earth. One of the serious reasons of this nature phenomena was due to the greenhouse effect by carbon dioxide mainly produced with the combustion process of hydro-carbon fuel. and it is mostly produced. In the high oil prices age, intensification of energy efficiency promotion in the building sector is required. Windows are dominating large percentage whole building loads, and are regarding as the primary target of energy efficiency. The purpose of this research is on the obtaining of the renewable energy source in the skyscrape buildings in the metropolitan area. The air movement is happens due to the atmospheric pressure differences in the air. Due to this simple physical theory, it is easily expected to obtain the useful renewable nature energy through the high -raised vertical air stack installed in a tall building. However, there is one problem that should be resolved which is called air-hole effect in the sky -scrape buildings.

Estimation of Annual Energy Production Based on Regression Measure-Correlative-Predict at Handong, the Northeastern Jeju Island (제주도 북동부 한동지역의 MCP 회귀모델식을 적용한 AEP계산에 대한 연구)

  • Ko, Jung-Woo;Moon, Seo-Jeong;Lee, Byung-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2012
  • Wind resource assessment is necessary when designing wind farm. To get the assessment, we must use a long term(20 years) observed wind data but it is so hard. so that we usually measured more than a year on the planned site. From the wind data, we can calculate wind energy related with the wind farm site. However, it calculate wind energy to collect the long term data from Met-mast(Meteorology Mast) station on the site since the Met-mast is unstable from strong wind such as Typhoon or storm surge which is Non-periodic. To solve the lack of the long term data of the site, we usually derive new data from the long term observed data of AWS(Automatic Weather Station) around the wind farm area using mathematical interpolation method. The interpolation method is called MCP(Measure-Correlative-Predict). In this study, based on the MCP Regression Model proposed by us, we estimated the wind energy at Handong site using AEP(Annual Energy Production) from Gujwa AWS data in Jeju. The calculated wind energy at Handong was shown a good agreement between the predicted and the measured results based on the linear regression MCP. Short term AEP was about 7,475MW/year. Long term AEP was about 7,205MW/year. it showed an 3.6% of annual prediction different. It represents difference of 271MW in annual energy production. In comparison with 20years, it shows difference of 5,420MW, and this is about 9 months of energy production. From the results, we found that the proposed linear regression MCP method was very reasonable to estimate the wind resource of wind farm.

Evaluation of IGCC Plant with Load Factor of Plant (플랜트 부하률에 따른 IGCC 플랜트 복합발전시스템 평가)

  • Jung, Su-Yong;Shim, Hyun-Min;Wang, Hong-Yue;Kim, Hyung-Taek
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.816-819
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    • 2007
  • 국내에서 IGCC 플랜트의 복합발전시스템의 평가는 여러 분야별로 진행되어 왔다. 크게 살펴보면 다음과 같다. 첫 번째는 가스터빈 쪽의 기술이다. 즉, 기존 천연가스를 이용하는 가스터빈을 어떻게 하면 석탄가스를 사용하는 IGCC 플랜트에 적합하게 맞출 것인가 하는 문제이다. 두 번째는 효율을 어떻게 하면 높일 수 있는가의 문제로서 석탄의 종류, 가스화 방법을 효율적으로 선택, HRSG(heat recovery steam generator)를 효율적으로 설계, 그리고 정제공정에서의 에너지 소비를 줄이는 분야였다. 세 번째는 어떻게 하면 오염을 줄일까의 문제로서 질소나 스팀 분사를 연계하여 NOx를 감소시키고 정제 공정에 사용되는 촉매를 개발한다던지 공정을 발달시키는 분야였다. 이 외에도 여러 종류의 연구가 이 분야에서 있었으나 주로 설계 분야의 연구가 주되였다. 이것은 발전소의 건설을 위한 초기 단계로서 당연한 결과일 수 있다. 그러나, 지금 IGCC 플랜트가 건설되는 과정에 있으므로 우리나라 전력계통 연계와의 문제도 생각해보아야 한다고 생각한다. 따라서 이번 연구에서는 IGCC 플랜트 운영의 불확실성이 약간이라도 존재하기에 이 플랜트가 기저발전 보다는 첨두발전 쪽이나 태양열/광발전, 풍력발전 등 다른 신재생에너지 자원처럼 독립된 전력 시스템으로 운영될 것이라 생각하고 이렇게 운영될 때는 발전소의 부하률의 변화가 심할 수 있다는 가정하에 플랜트의 부하률에 따른 석탄의 합성가스, 연료가스 전환량 및 전환효율 및 발전량 및 발전효율을 전산모사를 통해 예측해보았다.

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