Recently, there are many trials about Artificial neural networks : ANNs structure and studying method of researches for forecasting traffic volume. ANNs have a powerful capabilities of recognizing pattern with a flexible non-linear model. However, ANNs have some overfitting problems in dealing with a lot of parameters because of its non-linear problems. This research deals with the application of a variety of model selection criterion for cancellation of the overfitting problems. Especially, this aims at analyzing which the selecting model cancels the overfitting problems and guarantees the transferability from time measure. Results in this study are as follow. First, the model which is selecting in sample does not guarantees the best capabilities of out-of-sample. So to speak, the best model in sample is no relationship with the capabilities of out-of-sample like many existing researches. Second, in stability of model selecting criterion, AIC3, AICC, BIC are available but AIC4 has a large variation comparing with the best model. In time-series analysis and forecasting, we need more quantitable data analysis and another time-series analysis because uncertainty of a model can have an effect on correlation between in-sample and out-of-sample.
The cycle length design model of the Korean traffic responsive signal control systems is devised to vary a cycle length as a response to changes in traffic demand in real time by utilizing parameters specified by a system operator and such field information as degrees of saturation of through phases. Since no explicit guideline is provided to a system operator, the system tends to include ambiguity in terms of the system optimization. In addition, the cycle lengths produced by the existing model have yet been verified if they are comparable to the ones minimizing delay. This paper presents the studies conducted (1) to find shortcomings embedded in the existing model by comparing the cycle lengths produced by the model against the ones minimizing delay and (2) to propose a new direction to design a cycle length minimizing delay and excluding such operator oriented parameters. It was found from the study that the cycle lengths from the existing model fail to minimize delay and promote intersection operational conditions to be unsatisfied when traffic volume is low, due to the feature of the changed target operational volume-to-capacity ratio embedded in the model. The 64 different neural network based cycle length design models were developed based on simulation data surrogating field data. The CORSIM optimal cycle lengths minimizing delay were found through the COST software developed for the study. COST searches for the CORSIM optimal cycle length minimizing delay with a heuristic searching method, a hybrid genetic algorithm. Among 64 models, the best one producing cycle lengths close enough to the optimal was selected through statistical tests. It was found from the verification test that the best model designs a cycle length as similar pattern to the ones minimizing delay. The cycle lengths from the proposed model are comparable to the ones from TRANSYT-7F.
This paper is designed to report the results of development and validation procedures in relation to the Freeway Incident Management System (FIMS) prototype development as part of Intelligent Transportation Systems Research and Development program. The central core of the FIMS is an integration of the component parts and the modular, but the integrated system for freeway management. The whole approach has been component-orientated, with a secondary emphasis being placed on the traffic characteristics at the sites. The first action taken during the development process was the selection of the required data for each components within the existing infrastructure of Korean freeway system. After through review and analysis of vehicle detection data, the pilot site led to the utilization of different technologies in relation to the specific needs and character of the implementation. This meant that the existing system was tested in a different configuration at different sections of freeway, thereby increasing the validity and scope of the overall findings. The incident detection module has been performed according to predefined system validation specifications. The system validation specifications have identified two component data collection and analysis patterns which were outlined in the validation specifications; the on-line and off-line testing procedural frameworks. The off-line testing was achieved using asynchronous analysis, commonly in conjunction with simulation of device input data to take full advantage of the opportunity to test and calibrate the incident detection algorithms focused on APID, DES, DELOS and McMaster. The simulation was done with the use of synchronous analysis, thereby providing a means for testing the incident detection module.
In this study, eight primers were used to detect genetic variability and phylogenetic relationships among the eighteen Salmonella strains by the arbitrary-primed PCR(AP-PCR) techniques. Five strains of Salmonella typhimurium, four strains of S entertidis, three strains of S choleraeuis, three strains of S gallinarum and three strains of S pullorum were typed by AP-PCR. The number of AP-PCR bands detected per each primer varied from 39 to 52, with an average of 43.6. A total of 349 AP-PCR bands were generated and among them, 185 bands(53.0%) were polymorphic. Among the primers, GEN 703 and GEN 708 primer showed a high level of polymorphism with 0.682 and 0.676, respectively. But GEN 603, GEN 604 and GEN 607 primer showed a low level of polymorphism with 0.404, 0.460 and 0.472, respectively. Therefore, the these primers will be the most effective for AP-PCR analysis of Salmonella strains. The level of polymorphism of S typhimurium CU 2001(0.77) was similar to that of S typhimurium CU 2002(0.77) and lower than those of other strains such as S typhimurium CU 2003(0.63), S typhimurium ATCC 14028(0.50) and S typhimurium CU 2004(0.43). The level of polymorphism of S enteritidis ATCC 13076(0.83) was similar to that of S enteritidis CU 2005(0.83) and lower than those of other strains such as S enteritidis CU 2006(0.63) and S enteritidis CU 2007(0.58). The level of polymorphism of S choleraeuis CU 2009(0.67) was similar to that of S choleraeuis CU 2010(0.67) and higher than those of other strains such as S choleraeuis CU 2008(0.53). The level of polymorphism of S gallinarum CU 2011(0.70) was similar to that of S gallinarum CU 2012(0.70) and higher than those of other strains Such as S gallinarum ATCC 9184(0.60). The level of polymorphism of S pullorum CU 2013(0.80) was similar to that of S pullorum CU 2014(0.80) and higher than those of other strains such as S pullorum No 11(0.53). Therefore, the AP-PCR analysis will be used a powerful tool for estimating genetic variation and phylogenetic relationships among Salmonella strains.
To utilize composts more efficiently, combining composts with fertilizer to meet crop requirements is an appealing alternative. A pot experiment was conducted to study the effect of application rate of composted pig manure blended with fertilizer on the availability and loss of fertilizer-N. Chinese cabbage (Brassica campestris L. cv. Samjin) plants were cultivated for 30 and 60 days. 15N-Labeled urea ($5.24\;^{15}N\;atom\;%$) was added to soil at $450mg\;N\;kg^{-1}$, and unlabeled compost ($0.37\;^{15}N\;atom\;%$) was added at 0, 200, 400, and $600mg\;N\;kg^{-1}$. The amount of plant-N derived from urea was not affected by compost application at rate of $200mg\;N\;kg^{-1}$. However, compost application at 400 and $600mg\;N\;kg^{-1}$ significantly (P<0.05) increased plant assimilation of N from urea irrespective of sampling time, probably because of physicochemical changes in the soil properties allowing urea-N to be assimilated more efficiently. The amount of immobilized urea-N increased with increasing rate of compost application at both growth periods, as the results of increased microbial activities using organic C in the compost. Total recovery of urea-N (as percentage of added N) by Chinese cabbage and soil also increased with increasing rate of compost from 71.5 to 95.6% and from 67.0 to 88.2% at the 30- and 60-days of growth, respectively. These results suggest that increasing rate of compost blending increases plant uptake of fertilizer-N and enhances immobilization of fertilizer-N, which leads to decrease in loss of fertilizer-N. However, information about the fate of immobilized N during future crop cultivation is necessary to verify long-term effect of compost blending.
Park, Jung-Min;Gu, Hyo-Jung;Jeong, Jong-Youn;Chang, Un-Jae;Suh, Hyung-Joo;Kang, Duk-Ho;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Kim, Jin-Man
Food Science of Animal Resources
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v.27
no.2
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pp.185-189
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2007
Animals must be inspected prior to and after slaughter to make certain they are free of diseases and unacceptable defects. Since meats are potentially hazardous foods, they should not be accept if there are any signs of contamination, temperature abuse, or spoilage. This survey was aimed to monitor the current situation of country-of-origin labels and sanitation for the meat markets in Seoul, Korea. The markets were divided into groups as to 25 territories in Seoul and the size of markets (large size, medium size, and small size). In terms of size distribution, small butcher shops occupied the highest percentage. On the itemized suitability test of unpacked and packed beer in Seoul, most butcher shops showed good evaluation. However, labels indicating the grade, storage and cooking instruction for unpacked beef were not properly posted on the products. The results of monitoring sanitation conditions for butcher shops in Seoul showed relatively low suitability. Especially, there were serious lack of knowledge about wearing the sanitation clothings, caps, and shoes. The problem with food safety is so complicated that producers, consumers, merchandisers, the press, the government and the scholar should try to solve the problems altogether. Also, it is important to educate and provide them with correct understanding and information for food hygiene and safety.
Background : Lung carcinogenesis is a multistage process involving alterations in multiple genes and diverse pathway. Mutational activation of oncogenes and inactivation of tumor suppressor genes, and subsequent increased genetic instability are the major genetic events. The p53 gene and FHIT gene as tumor suppressor genes contribute to the pathogenesis of lung cancer, evidenced by mutation, microsatellite instability(MI) and loss of heterozygosity(LOH). Methods : We analysed genetic mutations of p53 and FHIT gene in 29 surgical specimens of nonsmall cell lung cancer using PCR-single strand conformation polymorphism, DNA sequencing and RT-PCR. MI and LOH were analyzed in loci of D3S1285, D9S171, and TP53. Results : In 2 cases, point mutation of p53 gene was observed on exon 5. MI of 3 times and LOH of 14 times were observed in at least one locus. In terms of the location of microsatellite, D3S1285 as a marker of FH1T was observed in 5 cases out of 26 specimens; D9S171 as a marker of p16 in 5 out of 17; and TP53 as a marker of p53 in 7 out of 27. In view of histologic type, squamous cell carcinoma presented higher frequency of microsatellite alteration, compared to others. Mutation of FHIT gene was observed in 11 cases and 6 cases of those were point mutation as a silent substitution on exon 8. FHIT mRNA expression exhibited deletion on exon 6 to 9 in 4 cases among 15 specimens, presenting beta-actin normally. Conclusion : Our results show comparable frequency of genetic alteration in nonsmall cell lung cancer to previous studies of Western countries. Microsatellite analysis might have a role as a tumor marker especially in squamous cell carcinoma. Understanding molecular abnormalities involved in the pathogenesis could potentially lead to prevention, earlier diagnosis and the development of novel investigational approaches to the treatment of lung cancer.
Park, Mi Young;Kim, Shine Young;Hwang, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Min Ki;Lee, Chang-Hun;Lee, Eun-Yup
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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v.66
no.3
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pp.205-210
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2009
Background: CXCL10 and CXCL11, which are family of CXCR3 ligands, are expressed by lymphocytes and even by bronchial epithelial cells if the cellular immunity is activated. This study evaluated the potential utility of CXCL10 and CXCL11 in the serum for active pulmonary tuberculosis in comparison with lung cancer, which activates the cellular immunity, and benign lung diseases. Methods: Patients who newly visited Pusan National University Hospital from January 2007 to December 2007 and were suspected of having lung cancer or tuberculosis were enrolled prospectively. The patients were classified pathologically and clinically into three groups, 47 with lung cancer, 18 with active pulmonary tuberculosis and 38 control patients with benign pulmonary disease. ELISA was used to determine the levels of CXCL10 and CXCL11 were determined in the serum. Results: The level of CXCL10 and CXCL11 were significantly higher in the active pulmonary tuberculosis group than in the lung cancer and benign lung disease groups (p<0.001, Kruskal-Wallis). The level of CXCL11 was significantly higher in the lung cancer group than in the benign pulmonary disease group, but there was no significant difference in level of CXCL10 between the three groups (p<0.001, p=0.655, respectively, Mann-Whitney U). The level of CXCL10 in patients with stage III+IV lung cancer was significantly higher than those with stage I+II, but there was no significant difference in the level of CXCL11 between the groups (p<0.001, p=0.07, respectively, Mann-Whitney U). There was no significant difference in the level of CXCL10 and CXCL11 between those with the presence and absence of lung cancer metastasis. There was a significant correlation between the level of CXCL10 and CXCL11 (r=0.223, p<0.001). Conclusion: CXCL10 and CXCL11 may be a potential useful markers for active pulmonary tuberculosis if used alongside other diagnostic methods.
In this research we diagnosed the actual status of the 7th National science elective curriculum and suggested a way to select and organize the content of the new science elective curriculum. The first science education reform was grounded in the structuralism where the structure of discipline was valued above everything else. On the other hand, the second science education reform suggested alternative interpretations of students' opportunity to learn, putting a brake on the structuralist thinking. According to the survey result, the majority of the science elective courses are in need for revision because the contents are overcrowded, too difficult in light of students' learning readiness, failed to draw students' interest in science, and are overlapped and repeated among the 10th grade science, high school science I and II. In particular, Earth Science II and physics II are the most unfavorable courses among students. Thus, we recommended a fundamental change be made in the new curriculum in addition to the optimization of the content. In this paper, we suggested 'topic-centered content organization' for the science elective course I, i.e., Physics I, Chemistry I, Biology I and Earth Science I that is designed for both science track and non-science track students. Since curriculum provides students with an 'opportunity to learn', a curriculum study should focus on what the 'opportunity to learn' is that students ought to be offered. Based on the result of this study, we recommended one way to select and organize the content of high school elective curriculum.
Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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v.27
no.2
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pp.309-317
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2000
Bisphosphonates inhibit bone resorption in vivo and in vitro. Currently proposed mechanism of action of bisphosphonates involves both direct effect on osteoclasts and indirect effect through the mediation of osteoblasts. Recent understanding of molecular mechanism of osteoclastogenesis indicates that osteoclast differentiation is quite tightly regulated by signaling molecules from differentiating osteoblasts. Therefore this investigation was designed to elucidate the effect of bisphosphonate on osteoblast differentation. For this purpose, in vitro effects of etidronate and alendronate on the expression of Cbfa1 a master control gene of osteoblast differentiation, several bone marker genes, and formation of calcified nodules were evaluated. To evaluate the effect of bisphosphonate on calcified nodule formation, osteoblasts isolated from rat calvaria were cultured in a-MEM containing $10^{-4},\;10^{-5},\;10^{-6}M$ of etidronate or $10^{-6},\;10^{-7},\;10^{-8}M$ of alendronate for 15 days, and then stained by alizarin red to determine mineralization. To evaluate the effect of bisphosphonate on osteoblast differentiation, osteoblast cells were cultured in a-MEM containing $10^{-4},\;10^{-5},\;10^{-6}M$ of etidronate or $10^{-6}$ M of alendronate for 8 days. And then total RNA was extracted and northern blot analysis was done to examine the expression of Cbfa1, type I collagen, alkaline phosphatase, osteopontin and osteocalcin. The results were as follows: 1. Etidronate suppressed the calcification of bone nodule in dose dependent manner, while alendronate didn't. 2. The expression of Cbfa1 was decreased dose dependently by etidronate, but increased by alendronate. 3. Etidronate suppressed the expression of type I collagen, osteopontin and osteocalcin in dose dependent manner however alendronate promote the expression of osteoblast marker gene. 4. The expression of alkaline phosphatase was not affected either etidronate nor alendronate. These results suggest that etidronate suppressed the expression of Cbfa1 in dose dependent manner, and consequently the expression of osteoblast marker genes, such as type I collagen, osteopontin and osteocalcin were also suppressed in similar manner. And finally this decreased expression of osteoblastic marker gene prevent calcined bone nodule formation.
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