• Title/Summary/Keyword: 폭풍

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Storm Surge Analysis using Archimedean Copulas (Copulas에 기반한 우리나라 동해안 폭풍해일 분석)

  • Hwang, Jeongwoo;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.421-421
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    • 2017
  • In order to secure the safety of coastal areas from the continuous storm surge in Korea, it is important to predict the wave movement and properties accurately during the storm event. To improve the accuracy of the storm simulation, and to quantify coastal risks from the storm event, the dependencies between wave height, wave period, and storm duration should be analyzed. In this study, therefore, copulas were used to develop multivariate statistical models of sea storms. A case study of the east coast of Korea was conducted, and the dependencies between wave height, wave period, water level, storm duration and storm interarrival time were investigated using Kendall's tau correlation coefficient. As a result of the study, only wave height, wave period, and storm duration appeared to be correlated.

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A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF SOLAR WIND DYNAMIC PRESSURE PULSES DURING GEOMAGNETIC STORMS (지자기폭풍 기간 동안의 태양풍 동압력 펄스에 관한 통계적 분석)

  • Baek, J.H.;Lee, D.Y.;Kim, K.C.;Choi, C.R.;Moon, Y.J.;Cho, K.S.;Park, Y.D.
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2005
  • We have carried out a statistical analysis on solar wind dynamic pressure pulses during geomagnetic storms. The Dst index was used to identify 111 geomagnetic storms that occurred in the time interval from 1997 through 2001. We have selected only the events having the minimum Dst value less than -50 nT. In order to identify the pressure impact precisely, we have used the horizontal component data of the magnetic field H (northward) at low latitudes as well as the solar wind pressure data themselves. Our analysis leads to the following results: (1) The enhancement of H due to a pressure pulse tends to be proportional to the magnitude of minimum Dst value; (2) The occurrence frequency of pressure pulses also increases with storm intensity. (3) For about $30\%$ of our storms, the occurrence frequency of pressure pulses is greater than $0.4\#/hr$, implying that to. those storms the pressure pulses occur more frequently than do periodic substorms with an average substorm duration of 2.5 hrs. In order to understand the origin of these pressure pulses, we have first examined responsible storm drivers. It turns out that $65\%$ of the studied storms we driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) while others are associated with corotating interaction regions $(6.3\%)$ or Type II bursts $(7.2\%)$. Out of the storms that are driven by CMEs, over $70\%$ show that the main phase interval overlaps with the sheath, namely, the region between CME body and the shock, and with the leading region of a CME. This suggests that the origin of the frequent pressure pulses is often due to density fluctuations in the sheath region and the leading edge of the CME body.

Hindcast of Storm Surge in the Southeastern Coast Using a Three-Dimensional Numerical Model (3차원 수치모형을 이용한 남동해안 폭풍해일 산정)

  • Kim, Cha-Kyum;Lee, Jong Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.4B
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2011
  • A three and two dimensional (3D and 2D) numerical models were established to study the storm surge induced by Typoon Maemi in Masan and Pusan Ports. The typhoon landed on the southern coast of Korean Peninsula at 21:00, September 12, 2003 with a central pressure of 950 hPa. The observed maximum storm surge in Masan Port was 230 cm, and the computed peak storm surge using the 3D and the 2D models were 238 cm and 208 cm, respectively. The observed maximum storm surge in Pusan Port was 89 cm, and the peak storm surge of the 3D and the 2D models were 91 cm and 79 cm, respectively. The hindcasted storm surge using 3D model was in good agreement with the observed data, and the 3D model at peak time was more accurate than the 2D. The storm-induced currents were computed using the 3D model. The currents in the surface layer of Masan Bay went into the inner bay with 30~60 cm/sec, while the currents in the bottom layer flowed out with 20~40 cm/sec.

자기 폭풍 시 나타난 상대론적 전자 플럭스 변화와 ULF와 whistler 크기의 변화 사이의 상관관계 관찰

  • 이지나;황정아;이은상;민경욱;이대영
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.83-83
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    • 2003
  • 자기 폭풍 발생시에 지구 자기권 내에서 MeV 에너지대의 전자 플럭스가 증가하는 현상이 나타남이 관측되었다. 이러한 Relativistic Electron Events (REE) 가속 기작의 주요 후보로 Ultra-Low Frequency(ULF)와 whistler 파동의 역할이 제시되어왔다. 본 연구에서는 1997부터 1999년에 발생한 대표적인 자기 폭풍들을 선택하여, 상대론적 전자 플럭스가 증가한 경우, 감소한 경우 그리고 변화가 크게 나타나지 않는 경우의 세 가지로 분류하여 보았다. 각각의 event들에 대해 CANOPUS 지상자기장 관측소에서 얻은 지자기 값을 이용하여 위 각각의 세 경우에 대해 ULF 파동의 크기 변화를 비교해 보았다. 그리고 똑같은 자기 폭풍 현상에서 POLAR 위성의 관측 값을 이용하여 whistler 영역의 파동 강도를 살펴보았다. 또한 자기 폭풍과 REE, 그리고 ULF의 변화가 L-shell값과 어떤 관련이 있는지도 알아본다.

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Analysis of Principal Storm Surge in the Downstream of Nakdong River (낙동강 하류역의 주요 폭풍해일고 검토)

  • Kim, Da-In;Kim, Kang-Min;Lee, Joong-Woo;Kwon, So-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.34-35
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    • 2018
  • 낙동강 하류역은 최근의 퇴적우세 지형변화와 더불어, 기후변화에 따른 태풍강도 강화 등으로 인한 해일고 증가가 우려된다. 따라서, 과거 태풍자료를 수집 분석한 후 연구지역에 가장 큰 영향을 미친 태풍을 모델 태풍으로 선정하여 낙동강 하류역에 위치한 주요지점별 폭풍해일고 변화를 파악하였다. 실험결과, 최대 폭풍해일고는 태풍 매미 내습시에 나타났으며, 하단 매립지 전면에서 1.1~1.5m, 명지주거단지 전면에서 1.2~1.3m, 녹산국가산업단지 전면에서 1.3~1.5m로 하단 매립지 전면이 가장 크게 나타났다. 향후, 과거 지형변화를 고려한 폭풍해일고 검토를 통하여 최근의 급격한 지형변화로 인한 영향을 파악한 대비를 해야 할 것으로 사료된다.

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Storm Surges in West Coast of Korea by Typhoon Bolaven (1215) (태풍 볼라벤 (1215)의 서해안 폭풍해일 분석)

  • Seo, Seung Nam;Kim, Sang Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2014
  • To analyze the surface elevation data of Typhoon Bolaven, simple analytical models are employed to investigate major causes of the storm surges in the west coast of Korea. Although the simple models cannot reproduce the storm surges by Typhoon Bolaven accurately, they are able to provide sufficient evidence of physical processes involved in the storm surges. Surges in islands located at deeper water were mainly driven by typhoon low pressure rather than associated winds. In contrast, bigger storm surge heights more than 1m were recorded in shallow coastal areas during low tide, which were dominantly produced by typhoon winds.

Direct Measurement of Blast Pressure in Near Field with Lead Plate Blast Pressure Meter (Lead Plate Blast Pressure Meter를 이용한 근거리 기폭의 발파압 계측)

  • Ko, Young-Hun;Jang, Hyong-Doo;Yang, Hyung-Sik
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2012
  • Deformation of Lead plate blast pressure meter were measured after they were exposed to surface blasting. Blasting pressure was determined by comparing the data with calibration graph which was drawn from the laboratory experiments with gas gun of Hopkinson bar tester. The results were compared with calculated values from the equations of CONWEP (Conventional Weapons Effects Program) and DDESB (Department of Defence Explosives Safety Board). Measured values were lower than calculated values in near field. Gradual decaying tendency of the pressure was observed. It means that estimated blasting pressure of very near field with theoretical equations can be uncertain.

A Study on the Statistical Characteristics and Numerical Hindcasts of Storm Waves in East Sea (동해 폭풍파랑의 통계적 특성과 파랑 후측모의 실험에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Hwusub;Kang, Tae-Soon;Ahn, Kyungmo;Jeong, Weon Mu;Kim, Tae-Rim;Lee, Dong Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, the statistical analysis on the storm waves in the East Sea have been carried out, and the several storm waves were reproduced by the modified WAM as a first step for the accurate and prompt forecasting and warning against the swell waves in East Sea. According to the present study, the occurrences of the storm waves from the North were the most probable, while the waves from the Northeast were most frequently observed. It was found that the significant wave heights of storm waves from the North and Northern northeast were larger than those of storm waves from the Northeast. But due to long fetch distance, the significant wave periods of storm waves from the Northesast were longer than those of North and Northern northeast. In addition to the wave analysis, the numerical experiments for the storm waves in East Sea were carried out using the modified WAM, and three periods of storm waves in 2013 were calculated. The numerical results were well agreed with wave measurements. However the numerical simulation results in shallow water region showed lower accuracies compared to deep water, which might be due to lower resolution of wind field and bottom topography caused by large grid size, 5 minute, adopted in the present study. Overall computational efficiency of the modified WAM found to be excellent compared to original WAM. It is because the modified WAM adopted the implicit scheme, thereby the present model performed 10 time faster than original WAM in computation time.

Relations Among Sunspots, CMEs and Geomagnetic Storms in Solar Cycle 23 (태양주기 23의 흑점, CME 및 지자기폭풍의 빈도간 상관관계 연구)

  • Rho, Su-Lyun;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2009
  • We compare the relation among the annual distribution of sunspots: coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and geomagnetic storms and North-South asymmetry during solar cycle 23. For this purpose, we calculate correlation coefficients between (i) annual distribution and N-S asymmetry of CMEs - sunspots (ii) distribution of CMEs - occurrence number of geomagnetic storms (iii) distribution of sunspots - occurrence number of geomagnetic storms. We find that (i) the annual distribution of total CMEs has good correlation with distribution of annual average of sunspots but poor correlation with N-S asymmetry of sunspots, N-S asymmetry of CMEs has good correlation with N-S asymmetry of sunspots: (ii) total and N-S asymmetry of CMEs have poor correlation with occurrence number of geomagnetic storms, it's, however, well correlated with the classified groups of CMEs (Ap, Dst and an indices vs. fast CMEs($\upsilon$ > $1000kms^{-1}$), Dst index vs. Halo CMEs), and (iii) sunspot numbers and area are correlated with occurrence number of geomagnetic storms. We conclude that annual distribution of CMEs and sunspots have well correlated with geomagnetic storms, N-S asymmetry of CMEs and sunspots have poor correlated with the geomagnetic storms.

Numerical Simulation of Storm Surge and Wave due to Typhoon Kong-Rey of 2018 (2018년 태풍 콩레이에 대한 폭풍해일과 파랑 수치모의)

  • Kwon, Kab Keun;Jho, Myeong Hwan;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.252-261
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    • 2020
  • Numerical simulations of the storm surge and waves induced by the Typhoon Kong-Rey incident on the south coast of Korea in 2018 are conducted using the JMA-MSM weather field provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency, and the calculated surge heights are compared with the time history observed at harbours along the south-east coast. For the waves occurring coincidentally with the storm surges the calculated significant wave heights are compared with the data measured using the wave buoys operated by the KHOA (Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency) and the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and the data observed at AWAC stations of the KIOST (Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology). Additional simulations are also performed based on the pressure and wind fields obtained using the best track information provided by the JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) of the United States, and the results are compared and analyzed. Based on the results of this study it is found that the reliable weather fields are essential for the accurate simulation of storm surges and waves.