• Title/Summary/Keyword: 폭설위험분포도

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Regional Risk Analysis of Heavy Snowfall using Meteorological Data and GIS Technique in South Korea (기상자료와 GIS기법을 이용한 우리나라 폭설의 지역별 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Saet-Byul;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Lee, Ji-Wan;Kim, Kwang-Sub;Yi, Jae-Eung;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.357-357
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    • 2011
  • 폭설은 짧은 시간에 많은 양의 눈이 오는 기상현상으로, 자연재해에 속하며 각종 피해를 유발한다. 우리나라는 주로 산지가 많고 삼면이 바다로 둘러싸인 지형으로 폭설의 발생 및 영향은 국지적으로 차이가 많이난다. 이에 우리나라 폭설의 지역별 위험도를 이해하기 위해서는 체계적인 지역구분과 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구는 우리나라 폭설의 지역별 위험도를 분석하기 위해 지난 39년 겨울철동안(Oct-Apr, 1971-2010) 68개의 지상기상관측소에서 측정한 일별 최심신적설량을 이용하여 우리나라 대설지역을 바탕으로 크게 울릉도, 영동 해안북부(속초와 강릉), 서태백산맥(춘천, 홍천, 양평, 원주 등), 소백산맥북서부(부여, 보은, 대전 등), 남해안 (해남, 완도, 장흥 등)의 폭설지역으로 세분화하였다. 폭설지역을 기상청의 대설특보 기준에 따라 대설주의보(5cm이상)와 대설경보(20cm이상)가 발령됐던 기간으로 빈도분석을 시행하였다. 대설주의보의 발생일수는 총 5,712일로 전체 폭설 발생일의 68%를 차지한다. 이 중 대설경보의 발생일수는 총 1,976일로 전체 폭설 발생일의 23%를 차지한다. 울릉도에서는 대설주의보의 발령일수가 총 602회로 가장 눈이 많은 지역으로 나타났으며, 그 반대로 가장 눈이 적은 지역인 남해안은 3cm이상일 경우에 대설주의보를 발령하며, 이 지역에서의 대설주의보의 발령일수가 지역별 평균 21회였다. 영동북부해안에서는 대설주의보의 발령일수가 지역별 평균 180회, 서태백산맥에서의 대설주의보 발령일수가 지역별 평균 87회, 소백산맥북서부에서의 대설주의보 발령 일수가 지역별 평균 122회로 우리나라의 폭설지역에 속하는 것으로 나타났다. 각 관측소의 39년 겨울철 최심 신적설량을 대설주의보와 대설경보의 빈도수에 따른 지역별 위험 지역을 IDW (Inverse Distance Weighting) 기법을 이용하여 공간 분포도를 작성하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 폭설 위험 지역의 지역별 빈도 분석 결과를 위험 분포도로 도시화하여 매년 반복적으로 발생하는 폭설로 인한 피해 경감 및 사회 경제적 안정에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Ratemaking based on the claim size distribution (손해액 분포 결정에 따른 보험료 산출)

  • 차재형;이재원
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.247-263
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    • 2000
  • Natural catastrophe is defined as all damages caused by natural phenomenon such as typhoon, flood, inundation, windstorm, tidal wave, tremendous snowfall, drought,earthquake and to on It is classified at a huge hazard because of the large severity ofdamage In Korea, Fire Insurance policy includet the coverage clauses and rates of naturalcatastrophe like'Flood , Inundation Coverage Clause'and'Earthquake Coverage Clause'These clauses and rates do not reflect accurate risk of flood, inundation and earthauakein Korea. because those are tariff from other countries Hence, we determine the claimsize distributions and the rates for typhoon coverage and flood-inundation coverage byusing statistical methods which have not been used so far in Korean non-life insurance,and calculate appropriate premium for policyholder's interest

Selecting and Assessing Vulnerable Zones of Snow Damage in Urban Areas - the case of City of Busan (도심의 설해취약지역 선정 및 위험도 평가에 관한 연구 - 부산광역시 지형적 특성을 중심으로 -)

  • Koo, Yoo Seung;Lee, Sung Ho;Jung, Juchul
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.1077-1086
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    • 2013
  • Recent huge losses of both life and property have occurred by unexpected natural disasters. We studied snow damages, an important natural disaster issue because it happens more frequently in recent years. This study tries to select vulnerable areas of snowfall in advance and then establish climate change adaptation policy for minimizing unexpected snowfall damage. Busan, where is our study area, has hilly in downtown areas so that topography characteristics of the roads such as slope, elevation and aspect are vulnerable to snowfall. The sudden snowfall in Busan causes traffic jam and causes some schools in hilly to close some schools. At this moment, the adaptation policy has to be established for infrastructure (such as roads) in advance, because prediction of anomaly climate due to global warming is so difficult beside the damage of natural disaster is huge. Therefore, the purpose of this study is contribute to selecting and assessing vulnerable zones of snow damage focusing topography characteristics of the roads and then evaluating the degree of risk of vulnerable zones.

Statistical Techniques to Derive Heavy Rain Impact Level Criteria Suitable for Use in Korea (통계적 기법을 활용한 한국형 호우영향도 기준 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Seung Woon;Kim, Byung Sik;Jung, Seung Kwon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.563-569
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    • 2020
  • Presenting the impact of meteorological disasters departs from the traditional weather forecasting approach for meteorological phenomena. It is important to provide impact forecasts so that precautions against disruption and damage can be taken. Countries such as the United States, the U.K., and France already conduct impact forecasting for heavy rain, heavy snow, and cold weather. This study improves and applies forecasts of the impact of heavy rain among various weather phenomena in accordance with domestic conditions. A total of 33 impact factors for heavy rain were constructed per 1 km grids, and four impact levels (minimal, minor, significant, and severe) were calculated using standard normal distribution. Estimated criteria were used as indicators to estimate heavy rain risk impacts for 6 categories (residential, commercial, utility, community, agriculture, and transport) centered on people, facilities, and traffic.

Vulnerability Assessment of Cultivation Facility by Abnormal Weather of Climate Change (이상기후에 의한 재배시설의 취약성 평가)

  • Yoon, Seong-Tak;Lee, Yong-Ho;Hong, Sun-Hee;Kim, Myung-Hyun;Kang, Kee-Kyung;Na, Young-Eun;Oh, Young-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2013
  • Climate changes have caused not only changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events, but also temperature and precipitation. The damages on agricultural production system will be increased by heavy rainfall and snow. In this study we assessed vulnerability of crop cultivation facility and animal husbandry facility by heavy rain in 232 agricultural districts. The climate data of 2000 years were used for vulnerability analysis on present status and the data derived from A1B scenario were used for the assessment in the years of 2020, 2050 and 2100, respectively. Vulnerability of local districts was evaluated by three indices such as climate exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity, and each index was determined from selected alternative variables. Collected data were normalized and then multiplied by weight value that was elicited in delphi investigation. Jeonla-do and Gangwon-do showed higher climate exposures than the other provinces. The higher sensitivity to abnormal weather was observed from the regions that have large-scale cultivation facility complex compared to the other regions and vulnerability to abnormal weather also was higher at these provinces. In the projected estimation based on the SRES A1B, the vulnerability of controlled agricultural facility in Korea totally increased, especially was dramatic between 2000's and 2020 year.