• Title/Summary/Keyword: 포아송모형

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Zero In ated Poisson Model for Spatial Data (영과잉 공간자료의 분석)

  • Han, Junhee;Kim, Changhoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2015
  • A Poisson model is the first choice for counts data. Quasi Poisson or negative binomial models are usually used in cases of over (or under) dispersed data. However, these models might be unsuitable if the data consist of excessive number of zeros (zero inflated data). For zero inflated counts data, Zero Inflated Poisson (ZIP) or Zero Inflated Negative Binomial (ZINB) models are recommended to address the issue. In this paper, we further considered a situation where zero inflated data are spatially correlated. A mixed effect model with random effects that account for spatial autocorrelation is used to fit the data.

Zero-Inflated Poisson Model with a Change-point (변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1998
  • In case of Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point, likelihood ratio test statistic was used for testing hypothesis for a change-point. A change-point and several interesting parameters were estimated by using the method of moments and maximum likelihood. In order to compare the estimators, empirical mean-square-error was used. Real data for the Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point and Poisson model without a change-point were examined.

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Estimating the Economic Value of Recreation Sea Fishing in the Yellow Sea: An Application of Count Data Model (가산자료모형을 이용한 서해 태안군 유어객의 편익추정)

  • Choi, Jong Du
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.331-347
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the recreational sea fishing in the Yellow Sea using count data model. For estimating consumer surplus, we used several count data model of travel cost recreation demand such as a poisson model(PM), a negative binomial model(NBM), a truncated poisson model(TPM), and a truncated negative binomial model(TNBM). Model results show that there is no exist the over-dispersion problem and a NBM was statistically more suitable than the other models. All parameters estimated are statistically significant and theoretically valid. The NBM was applied to estimate the travel demand and consumer surplus. The consumer surplus pre trip was estimated to be 254,453won, total consumer surplus per person and per year 1,536,896won.

Prediction of K-league soccer scores using bivariate Poisson distributions (이변량 포아송분포를 이용한 K-리그 골 점수의 예측)

  • Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1221-1229
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we choose the best model among several bivariate Poisson models on Korean soccer data. The models considered allow for correlation between the number of goals of two competing teams. We use an R package called bivpois for bivariate Poisson regression models and the data of K-league for season 1983-2012. Finally we conclude that the best fitted model supported by the AIC and BIC is the bivariate Poisson model with constant covariance. The zero and diagonal inflated models did not improve the model fit. The model can be used to examine home-away effect, goodness of fit, attack and defense parameters.

Application of the 2-Poisson Model to Full-Text Information Retrieval System (2-포아송 모형의 전문검색시스템 응용에 관한 연구)

  • 문성빈
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate whether the terms in queries are distributed according to the 2-Poisson model in the documents represented by abstract/title or full-text. In this study, retrieval experiments using Binary independence and 2-Poisson independence model, which are based on the probabilistic theory, were conducted to see if the 2-Poisson distribution of the query terms has an influence on the retrieval effectiveness, particularly of full-text information retrieval system.

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Applicability of Two-Poisson Model to Korean Literature (2-포아송 모형의 한국어 문헌 적용성)

  • 최대식;정영미
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Information Management Conference
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    • 1999.08a
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    • pp.9-12
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    • 1999
  • 통계적 확률이론에 근거한 포아송 모형을 색인어 선정 기반으로 활용하고자 하는 2-포아송 함수와 3-포아송 함수 및 다중 포아송 함수에 대한 단계적 발전 과정을 살펴보았다. 아울러, 2-포아송이 한국어 문헌의 색인어 선정에 유용한지 알아보기 위해 한국어 말뭉치 데이터베이스 내 문헌 50개를 실험 대상으로 단어의 장서빈도와 문헌빈도를 이용하여 z값을 산출해 보았다.

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A Study on Poisson-lognormal Model (포아송-로그정규분포 모형에 관한 연구)

  • 김용철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 2000
  • Conjugate prior density families were motivated by considerations of tractability in implementing the Bayesian paradigm. But we consider problem that the conjugate prior p($\Theta$) cannot be used in restriction of the parameter $\Theta$. This article considers the nonconjugate prior problem of hierarchical Poisson model. We demonstrate the use of latent variables for sampling non-standard densities which arise in the context of the Bayesian analysis of non-conjugate by using a Gibbs sampler.

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A Study on the Applicability of 2-Poisson Model for Selecting Korean Subject Words (2-포아송 모형을 이용한 한글 주제어 선정에 관한 연구)

  • 정영미;최대식
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.129-148
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    • 2000
  • Experiments were performed on three subsets of a Korean test collection in order to determine whether 2-Poisson model's Z value is a good measure for selecting subject words from a document to be indexed. It was found that subject word selection based on the Z value was effective for only one subset with short texts, i.e., the Science and Technology subset. Correlation analyses between 2-Poisson model's Z and TF.IDF weight for the three subsets showed that the correlation was relatively high for two test subsets with short texts, i.e., the Science and Technology subset and the Newspaper subset.

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Likelihood Ratio Test for the Epidemic Alternatives on the Zero-Inflated Poisson Model (변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형에서 돌출대립가설에 대한 우도비검정)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 1998
  • In ease of the epidemic Zero-Inflated Poisson model, likelihood ratio test was used for testing epidemic alternatives. Epidemic changepoints were estimated by the method of least squares. It were used for starting points to estimate the maximum likelihood estimators. And several parameters were compared through the Monte Carlo simulations. As a result, maximum likelihood estimators for the epidemic chaagepoints and several parameters are better than the least squares and moment estimators.

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Subset Selection in the Poisson Models - A Normal Predictors case - (포아송 모형에서의 설명변수 선택문제 - 정규분포 설명변수하에서 -)

  • 박종선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a new subset selection problem in the Poisson model is considered under the normal predictors. It turns out that the subset model has bigger valiance than that of the Poisson model with random predictors and this has been used to derive new subset selection method similar to Mallows'$C_p$.

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