• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균풍속비

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Prediction of golf scores on the PGA tour using statistical models (PGA 투어의 골프 스코어 예측 및 분석)

  • Lim, Jungeun;Lim, Youngin;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2017
  • This study predicts the average scores of top 150 PGA golf players on 132 PGA Tour tournaments (2013-2015) using data mining techniques and statistical analysis. This study also aims to predict the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs. Linear and nonlinear regression methods were used to predict average scores. Stepwise regression, all best subset, LASSO, ridge regression and principal component regression were used for the linear regression method. Tree, bagging, gradient boosting, neural network, random forests and KNN were used for nonlinear regression method. We found that the average score increases as fairway firmness or green height or average maximum wind speed increases. We also found that the average score decreases as the number of one-putts or scrambling variable or longest driving distance increases. All 11 different models have low prediction error when predicting the average scores of PGA Tournaments in 2015 which is not included in the training set. However, the performances of Bagging and Random Forest models are the best among all models and these two models have the highest prediction accuracy when predicting the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs.

Recent 35 Years' Spatial and Temporal Trend Analysis of Hydrologic Extreme Variation in Korean Peninsula (최근 35년간 한반도지역에서의 시공간적 극치수문변화 추세분석)

  • Kang, Boo-Sik;Kwon, Jin-Wook;Lee, Seung-Chun;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1316-1320
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    • 2009
  • 최근 한반도지역의 시공간적 수문변화 및 지속시간 연최대강우 추세분석을 위하여 기상청에서 제공 되어지는 관측자료를 이용하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석을 위하여 서울, 인천, 속초, 부산, 군산등 전국적인 분포를 보이는 60개소의 일강수량, 일평균기온, 일최고 및 최저기온, 일평균풍속, 일습도 자료를 수집하였다. 더불어 지속시간별 연최대강우 추세분석을 위하여 동일기간에 대한 시간자료를 수집하여 분석을 실시하였다. 일자료를 이용한 분석결과 분석기간의 년평균강수량은 1998년 이전 1342.2mm였으나, 1998년 이후는 1,511.6mm로서 최근의 강수량 증가를 확인할 수 있었다. 계절적으로는 비홍수기에 비하여 홍수기에 강수량 증가가 더욱 두드러졌으며, 수계별로는 낙동강과 섬진강의 경우가 한강과 금강등 기타 수계에 비하여 최근의 강수량 증가추세가 상대적으로 뚜렷한 것으로 분석되었다. 내륙과 해안지역의 분석결과에서는 해안지역의 년강수량이 내륙에 비하여 90mm 정도 높게 나타났으며, 지역별로는 동해안지역이 서해안과 남해안에 비하여 변화경향이 크게 나타났다. 일최고강수량 및 집중호우빈도 분석결과 수계별 분석의 경우 한강수계가 다른 수계에 비하여 상대적으로 큰 증가경향을 보였으며, 한편 섬진강수계는 다소 완만한 경향을 나타내고 있었다. 집중호우빈도 분석결과 역시 년강수량과 마찬가지로 동해안지역에서의 변화경향이 크게 나타나고 있었다. 무강수일수는 전국적으로 감소경향을 보이고 있어, 강수발생일당 강수량은 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있었다. 이러한 수문학적 변화경향을 세부적으로 살펴보기 위하여 수계별 대표지점을 선정하여 지속시간별(1hr, 2hr, 3hr, 4hr, 6hr, 12hr) 강우강도 추세분석을 실시하였다. 분석결과 지속시간에 따른 강우강도 역시 증가하는 경향을 나타내는 것을 확인하였으며 짧은 지속시간이 상대적으로 큰 증가경향을 나타내는 것으로 확인하였다. 하지만 정확한 분석을 위하여 보다 많은 관측소에 대한 추가분석이 필요할 것으로 판단되어 진다.

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The Differences of Rice Growth and Yield at Various Agroclimatic Regions in Chungnam Province (충남지역 농업기후 지대별 벼 생육 및 수량 변이)

  • Choi, N.G.;Park, J.H.
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2018
  • Rice cultivation is immensely affected by many climatic factors including temperature, precipitation, etc, and imbalanced climatic conditions negatively affect the growth of rice. In this study, we investigated the effects of different agroclimatic zones of Chungnam Province on rice quality and examined the correlations between climatic characteristics and rice yield components. Average temperatures and rainfall were higher in 'Western Sobaek Inland' than those in the 'South Western coastal zone, and precipitation records showed a wide variation among counties due to typhoons during the examined periods. The average accumulative temperature affecting the magnitude of production during reproductive growth periods was higher in "Cheon-An", "Gong-Ju", "Yeon-Gi (Se-Jong)", "Bo-Ryeong", and "Dang-Jin" counties than those in other counties. The plant height was higher in 'Western Sobaek Inland' counties such as "Yeon-Gi(Se-Jong)" and "Cheon-An", and 'Southern Charyeong Plain' counties such as "Cheong-Yang", "Dang-Jin", and "A-San", than those in other counties. The number of tillers during the 40 days after rice transplantation in "Seo-Cheon" and "Bo-Ryeong" counties increased compared to other counties. This result was relevant to the fact that the date of rice transplantation in those counties was 3 to 4 days later than those in other counties of Chung-Nam Province. The average yield (milled rice basis) was the highest in 'Western Sobaek Inland' zone, showing 3,756 kg ha-1, followed by 'Southern Charyeong Plain' zone showing 3,621kg ha-1, and was the lowest in 'South Western coastal zone by 3,315kg ha-1. "Yeon-Gi(Se-Jong)" and "Dang-Jin" counties showed the highest yields of 4,100kg ha-1. "Seo-San", "Seo-Cheon", and "Tae-An" counties were relatively lower yields of 3,240~3,280kg ha-1 in comparison of other counties.

The Effects of Pergola Wisteria floribunda's LAI on Thermal Environment (그늘시렁 Wisteria floribunda의 엽면적지수가 온열환경에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu, Nam-Hyong;Lee, Chun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2017
  • This study was to investigate the user's thermal environments under the pergola($L\;7,200{\times}W\;4,200{\times}H\;2,700mn$) covered with Wisteria floribunda(Willd.) DC. according to the variation of leaf area index(LAI). We carried out detailed measurements with two human-biometeorological stations on a popular square Jinju, Korea($N35^{\circ}10^{\prime}59.8^{{\prime}{\prime}}$, $E\;128^{\circ}05^{\prime}32.0^{{\prime}{\prime}}$, elevation: 38m). One of the stations stood under a pergola, while the other in the sun. The measurement spots were instrumented with microclimate monitoring stations to continuously measure air temperature and relative humidity, wind speed, shortwave and longwave radiation from the six cardinal directions at the height of 0.6m so as to calculate the Universal Thermal Climate Index(UTCI) from $9^{th}$ April to $27^{th}$ September 2017. The LAI was measured using the LAI-2200C Plant Canopy Analyzer. The analysis results of 18 day's 1 minute term human-biometeorological data absorbed by a man in sitting position from 10am to 4pm showed the following. During the whole observation period, daily average air temperatures under the pergola were respectively $0.7{\sim}2.3^{\circ}C$ lower compared with those in the sun, daily average wind speed and relative humidity under the pergola were respectively 0.17~0.38m/s and 0.4~3.1% higher compared with those in the sun. There was significant relationship in LAI, Julian day number and were expressed in the equation $y=-0.0004x^2+0.1719x-11.765(R^2=0.9897)$. The average $T_{mrt}$ under the pergola were $11.9{\sim}25.4^{\circ}C$ lower and maximum ${\Delta}T_{mrt}$ under the pergola were $24.1{\sim}30.2^{\circ}C$ when compared with those in the sun. There was significant relationship in LAI, reduction ratio(%) of daily average $T_{mrt}$ compared with those in the sun and was expressed in the equation $y=0.0678{\ln}(x)+0.3036(R^2=0.9454)$. The average UTCI under the pergola were $4.1{\sim}8.3^{\circ}C$ lower and maximum ${\Delta}UTCI$ under the pergola were $7.8{\sim}10.2^{\circ}C$ when compared with those in the sun. There was significant relationship in LAI, reduction ratio(%) of daily average UTCI compared with those in the sun and were expressed in the equation $y=0.0322{\ln}(x)+0.1538(R^2=0.8946)$. The shading by the pergola covered with vines was very effective for reducing daytime UTCI absorbed by a man in sitting position at summer largely through a reduction in mean radiant temperature from sun protection, lowering thermal stress from very strong(UTCI >$38^{\circ}C$) and strong(UTCI >$32^{\circ}C$) down to strong(UTCI >$32^{\circ}C$) and moderate(UTCI >$26^{\circ}C$). Therefore the pergola covered with vines used for shading outdoor spaces is essential to mitigate heat stress and can create better human thermal comfort especially in cities during summer. But the thermal environments under the pergola covered with vines during the heat wave supposed to user "very strong heat stress(UTCI>$38^{\circ}C$)". Therefore users must restrain themselves from outdoor activities during the heat waves.

Analysis of Effect on Pesticide Drift Reduction of Prevention Plants Using Spray Drift Tunnel (비산 챔버를 활용한 차단 식물의 비산 저감 효과 분석)

  • Jinseon Park;Se-Yeon Lee;Lak-Yeong Choi;Se-woon Hong
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.106-114
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    • 2023
  • With rising concerns about pesticide spray drift by aerial application, this study attempt to evaluate aerodynamic property and collection efficiency of spray drift according to the leaf area index (LAI) of crop for preventing undesirable pesticide contamination by the spray-drift tunnel experiment. The collection efficiency of the plant with 'Low' LAI was measured at 16.13% at a wind speed of 1 m·s-1. As the wind speed increased to 2 m·s-1, the collection efficiency of plant with the same LAI level increased 1.80 times higher to 29.06%. For the 'Medium' level LAI, the collection efficiency was 24.42% and 43.06% at wind speed of 1 m·s-1 and 2 m·s-1, respectively. For the 'High' level LAI, it also increased 1.24 times higher as the wind speed increased. The measured results indicated that the collection of spray droplets by leaves were increased with LAI and wind speed. This also implied that dense leaves would have more advantages for preventing the drift of airborne spray droplets. Aerodynamic properties also tended to increase as the LAI increased, and the regression analysis of quadric equation and power law equation showed high explanatory of 0.96-0.99.

Variations of the Wind-generated Wave Characteristics around the Kyung-gi Bay, Korea (경기만 근해에서 풍파의 특성 변화)

  • Kang, Ki-Ryong;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Lee, Sang-Ryong
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2007
  • The wind-wave interaction around the Kyung-gi Bay, Korea, was studied using the observed data from ocean buoy at DeuckJeuck-Do from Jan. to Dec., 2005, and from waverider data at KeuckYeulBee-Do on Mar. 19-26 and May 23-28, 2005. Wind-driven surface waves and wave-driven wind speed decrease were estimated from the ocean buoy data, and the characteristics of wave spectrum response were also investigated from the waverider data for the wave developing and calm stages of sea surface, including the time series of spectrum pattern change, frequency trend of the maximum energy level and spectrum slope for the equilibrium state range. The wind speed difference between before and after considering the wave effect was about $2ms^{-1}$ (wind stress ${\sim}0.1Nm^{-2}$) for the wind speed range $5-10ms^{-1}$ and about $3ms^{-1}$ (wind stress ${\sim}0.4Nm^{-2}$) for the wind speed range $10-15ms^{-1}$. Correlation coefficient between wind and wave height was increased from 0.71 to 0.75 after the wave effect considered on the observed wind speed. When surface waves were generated by wind, the initial waves were short waves about 4-5 sec in period and become in gradual longer period waves about 9-10 sec. For the developed wave, the frequency of maximum energy was showed a constant value taking 6-7 hours to reach at the state. The spectrum slope for the equilibrium state range varied with an amplitude in the initial stage of wave developing, however it finally became a constant value 4.11. Linear correlation between the frictional velocity and wave spectrum for each frequency showed a trend of higher correlation coefficient at the frequency of the maximum energy level. In average, the correlation coefficients were 0.80 and 0.82 for the frequencies 0.30 Hz and 0.35 Hz, respectively.

Local Wind Field Simulation over Coastal Areas Using Windprofiler Data (윈드프로파일러 자료를 이용한 연안 지역 국지 바람장 모의)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Park-Sa;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of windprofiler input data were investigated to generate three dimensional wind field. A logical diagnostic model CALMET with windprofiler data at ten sites and with weather forecasting model WRF output was evaluated by statistically comparing with the radiosonde data at eight sites. The horizontal wind speed from CALMET simulated with hourly windprofiler data is in good agreement with radiosonde observations within 1.5 m/s of the root mean square error, especially local circulation of wind such as sea breeze over the coastal region. The root mean square error of wind direction ranged $50^{\circ}{\sim}70^{\circ}$ is due to the wind direction error from the windprofiler polluted by ground clutters. Since the exact wind can be produced quickly and accurately in most of the altitude with windprofiler data on CALMET, we expect the method presented in this study to be useful for the monitoring of safe environment as well as weather in the coastal zone.

Long term trend for particular matters in Seoul (서울 지역에서 분진에 대한 장기 추세 연구)

  • Park, Hye-Ryun;Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.765-777
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    • 2009
  • Our study aimed to illustrate long term trend in 10 micrometer particular matters excluding confounding effect. Daily 10 micrometer particular matters data were measured in 27 places and meteorological data (maximum temperature, humidity and maximum wind speed, solar radiation) were obtained from the national institute of environmental research for the period from January, 1996 to December 2000. To estimate the increasing and decreasing long term trend in a set of observed data, set up the model. The model included regression spline smooth function on the time and meteorological factors to capture the seasonal time trend and any possible nonlinear relationship. The result was estimated to decrease slightly after adjusting for meteorological factors and seasonal time trend.

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Effect of Shade Net on Reduction of Freezing Damage at a Tea Garden (차밭에 설치된 차광망의 동해경감 효과)

  • Hwang, Jung-Gyu;Kim, Yong-Duck
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.146-154
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    • 2014
  • In the result of effect on freezing damage reduction by the shade net colors and the shade rate to tea trees during wintering period, the high shade ratio decreased tea trees growth and increased freezing damage and 55% of shade ratio based on non treatment developed new leafs and green leaf productivity. By the shade net colors, colorless shade net (55% of shade type) treatment and green shade net treatment increased green leaf productivity and decreased damaged area compare to non treatment shade net and black shade net treatment. Colorless net shade treatment reduced over 50% of freezing damage and increased (10a) 68 kg for green leaf productivity compare to non treatment shade net. The colors of shade net treatments for reduction freezing damaged in order of Black < Green < Colorless but reduction of freezing damage was so high. In the relative microclimates, treatment shade nets were $0.7^{\circ}C$ lower, average relatively humidity 14.9% higher, soil temperature $0.6^{\circ}C$ lower and soil moisture 4.6% higher than non treatment shade net. And treatment shade nets decreased average wind speed 0.7 m/s and it showed us treatment net shades effected to excessive evapotranspiration and soil dry by wind and considered one of good solution for freezing damages.

Monthly-mean sea surface winds over the adjacent seas of the Korea Peninsular (한국근해의 월평균 해상풍)

  • 나정열;서장원
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1992
  • The sea surface winds are computed over the adjacent seas of Korea from the twice-dayily weather maps for the ten-year period 1978-1987 by using the Cardone model. Monthly mean wind-stress and wind0stress curl are also calculated and given as maps. the computed surface winds are compared with observed one at the JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) Buoy. and the results show a good consistency in speed and direction. In particular, the magnitude of mean wind-stress is turned out to be twice bigger than the previous results over the sea of Japan. Monthly distributions of wind-stress curl reveal that over the yellow sea by the longitudinal boundary of $120^{\circ}{\;}~{\;}125^{\circ}{\;}E$, the area of negative cur exists over the western part of the sea except summer season, while the positive sign of the curl prevails over the eastern part of the Yellow Sea. However, over the Sea of Japan, with two positive maxima at the northern part and near the Wonsan Bay, the positive curl in the northern half and the negative curl in the southern of the sea characterize the monthly mean distribution of the wind-stress curl.

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