• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균수명예측

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Life Prediction of Composite Pressure Vessels Using Multi-Scale Approach (멀티 스케일 접근법을 이용한 복합재 압력용기의 수명 예측)

  • Jin, Kyo-Kook;Ha, Sung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Hyuk;Han, Hoon-Hee;Kim, Seong-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.3176-3183
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    • 2010
  • A multi-scale fatigue life prediction methodology of composite pressure vessels subjected to multi-axial loading has been proposed in this paper. The multi-scale approach starts from the constituents, fiber, matrix and interface, leading to predict behavior of ply, laminates and eventually the composite structures. The multi-scale fatigue life prediction methodology is composed of two steps: macro stress analysis and micro mechanics of failure based on fatigue analysis. In the macro stress analysis, multi-axial fatigue loading acting at laminate is determined from finite element analysis of composite pressure vessel, and ply stresses are computed using a classical laminate theory. The micro stresses are calculated in each constituent from ply stresses using a micromechanical model. Three methods are employed in predicting fatigue life of each constituent, i.e. a maximum stress method for fiber, an equivalent stress method for multi-axially loaded matrix, and a critical plane method for the interface. A modified Goodman diagram is used to take into account the generic mean stresses. Damages from each loading cycle are accumulated using Miner's rule. Monte Carlo simulation has been performed to predict the overall fatigue life of a composite pressure vessel considering statistical distribution of material properties of each constituent, fiber volume fraction and manufacturing winding angle.

Dynamic Traffic Calculation Method Based on Weighted Moving Average for Determining Duty-Cycle in Wireless Sensor Networks (무선센서네트워크에서 합리적인 듀티사이클 선정을 위한 가중이동평균 기반의 동적 트래픽 계산방법)

  • Im, Giyeol;Shon, Min Han;Choo, Hyunseung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2013.11a
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    • pp.320-322
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    • 2013
  • 무선센서네트워크에서 MAC 프로토콜은 듀티사이클을 이용하여 센서노드의 에너지 소비를 줄임으로써 배터리의 수명을 연장한다. 기존에 제안된 TA (Traffic-Adaptive)-MAC 프로토콜은 비동기 방식 기반으로 듀티사이클을 조절하여 센서노드의 에너지 소비를 줄인다. 본 기법은 네트워크의 트래픽 상태를 고려하여 동적으로 센서노드의 듀티사이클을 조정한다. 이러한 방법으로 센서노드의 대기시간을 줄이고 센서노드의 에너지를 효과적으로 사용한다. 하지만 이 기법은 네트워크의 트래픽 변화가 잦은 환경에서는 좋지 못한 효율을 보인다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 TA-MAC 기법에 가중이동평균 방법을 적용하여 합리적인 듀티사이클 선정을 위한 트래픽 계산 방법을 제안한다. 이는 최근 트래픽 값과 현재 감지한 트래픽의 평균을 계산하고 다음 트래픽을 예측하여 네트워크 트래픽이 급격히 변화하는 불안정한 환경에서 더 합리적인 듀티사이클 선정을 돕는다.

Lifetime estimation of multilayer ceramic actuators using Weibull function (Weibull 식을 이용한 적층형 세라믹 액츄에이터의 수명예측)

  • Koh, Jung-Hyuk;Jeong, Soon-Jong;Ha, Mun-Su;Lee, Dae-Su;Choi, Hyeong-Bong;Song, Jae-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.07a
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    • pp.114-116
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    • 2004
  • 적층형 piezoelectric ceramic actuators를 제작하여 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 소자의 신뢰성 측정을 위하여 3kV/mm, 5kV/mm, 7kV/mm의 정류된 교류전압을 인가하였으며, 실험중 온도와 습도를 일정하게 유지하기 위하여 항온항습조안에서 실험을 실시하였다. 각 실험의 경우에 16개의 소자를 동시에 평가하였으며, 평균파괴시간을 Weibull 통계방식을 이용하여 계산하였으며, Arrhenius model, Power law model을 이용하여 사용 조건하에서 예상수명을 예측하였다.

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Mortality Forecasting for Population Projection (장래인구추계를 위한 사망률 예측)

  • Kim, Tai-Hun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.27-51
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, I have tested various kinds of methods for mortality projection and chose Lee-Carter method for projection of Korean mortality by age and sex. I reviewed the trends of life tables and life expectancies by age and sex from 2005 to 2050 projected by Lee-Carter method and found that the method was very applicable for Korean mortality projection. The differences between reported and estimated data for the period of 1971-2003 were small enough for both sexes and for all of the age groups. The projected life expectancies in 2051 were 82.73 years for males and 89.41 for females, and the differences decreased from 7.06 years in 2005 to 6.68 years. Because of the limitation of Korean infant mortality rate, I adopted the Japanese estimated IMR in 2050 as Korean object level in 2051. When the time series of IMR become long enough, we can use Korean IMR directly for the mortality projection. In addition, if we can estimate the changes of the main cause of death correctly in future, the mortality projection will be more correct and reliable. This will be available when we can produce a long series of life tables by cause of deaths.

High-temperature Low-cycle Fatigue Life prediction of a Liquid Rocket Turbopump Turbine (액체로켓 터보펌프 터빈의 고열 저주기 피로수명 예측)

  • Lee, Mu-Hyoung;Jang, Byung-Wook;Jeong, Eun-Hwan;Jeon, Seong-Min;Lee, Soo-Yong;Park, Jung-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.18-21
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    • 2009
  • The life of components under high thermal load is typically shorter than other components. The turbopump turbine of liquid rocket is operated under these environments like high temperature and high centrifugal dorce due to high rotating velocity during operating time. These conditions may often cause low-cycle fatigue problem in the turbopump turbine. First of all, to analyze heat stress, ABAQUS/CAE is used and Coffin-manson's equation is used to consider elasticity and plasticity strain. S.W.T's method is used to consider the mean stress effect, using strain history, low-cycle fatigue analysis is done for turbopump turbine which may have FCL(fracture critical location). In this paper, strain life method is applied to analyze low-cycle fatigue.

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A Study on Weeding of the Literature in the Field of Science and Technology (과학기술분야 자료의 폐기기준에 관한 연구 - 원자력분야 자료를 중심으로-)

  • Chun, Young-Choon;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.62-89
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to propose the efficient and reasonable weeding model of the scientific literature by measuring a life-span of literatures in the field of nuclear engineering through citation analysis, the average life of actually discarded literatures in the KAERI (Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute), and the life of use through the circulation data analysis from 1992 to 1994 of KAERI.

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A Probabilistic Corrosion Rate Estimation Model for Longitudinal Strength Members of Tanker Structures (유조선 종강도부재의 확률론적 부식속도 예측모델의 개발)

  • Jeom-Kee Paik;Young-Eel Park
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 1998
  • The twin aims of the present study are to develop a PC program for the statistical analysis of the measured cohesion data and to suggest a probabilistic corrosion rate estimation model for longitudinal members of tanker structures. A data analysis for the corrosion rate statistics(i.e., mean, standard deviation) as a function of the corrosion parameters is established for various structural member categories/locations of interest. Development of the computer program is focused on possible operation together with future addition of more corrosion data as they become available. To investigate the influence of the corrosion protection scheme a series of the corrosion analysis varying the life of coating are carried out and several different corrosion models as a function of time are suggested depending on the coating life.

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Experimental Study on the Diagnosis and Failure Prediction for Long-term Performance of ESP to Optimize Operation in Oil and Gas Wells (유·가스정 최적 운영을 위한 ESP의 장기 성능 진단 및 고장 예측 실험 연구)

  • Sung-Jea Lee;Jun-Ho Choi;Jeong-Hwan Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2023
  • In general, electric submersible pumps (ESPs), which have an average life of 1.0 to 1.5 years, experience a decrease in performance and a reduction in life of the pump depending on oil and gas reservoir characteristics and operating conditions in wells. As the result, the failure of ESP causes high well workover costs due to retrieval and installation, and additional costs due to shut down. In this study, a flow loop system was designed and established to predict the life of ESP in long­term operation of oil and gas wells, and the life cycle data of ESP from the time of installation to the time of failure was acquired and analyzed. Among the data acquired from the system, flow rate, inlet and outlet temperature and pressure, and the data of the vibrator installed on the outside of ESP were analyzed, and then the performance status according to long-term operation was classified into five stages: normal, advice I, advice II, maintenance, and failed. Through the experiments, it was found that there was a difference in the data trend by stage during the long­term operation of the ESP, and then the condition of the ESP was diagnosed and the failure of the pump was predicted according to the operating time. The results derived from this study can be used to develop a failure prediction program and data analysis algorithm for monitoring the condition of ESPs operated in oil and gas wells.

A Practical Model for the Fatigue Reliability Analysis of Steel Highway Bridges (강도로교의 피로신뢰성 해석을 위한 실용적 모형)

  • 신재철;장동일;이성재;조효남
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 1988
  • A practical model for predicting the risk of fatigue failure of steel highway bridges is developed in this study. The proposed model is derived from fatigue reliability methods by incorporating various factors which may affect the fatigue life of bridges. The fatigue reliability function is assumed to follow the Weibull distribution. The computational form of the Weibull is adopted from Ang-Munse's approach that includes all the statistical uncertainties of the fatigue life of steel members and the stress ranges under variable amplitude loadings. The model accounts for the variation in ADTT, the change in stress history and the effects of inspections, which may occur during the serivce life of bridges. Stress range histograms are collected from the random stress spectra based on the field measurements of an existing bridge, and, thus, the resulting stress range frequency distribution is modelled with a beta distribution. The results of applications of the proposed fatigue analysis methods to an existing bridge show that the proposed models with the computer program developed for numerical computations can be used as a practical tool for the fatigue rating or for the predictions of the remaining fatigue life of deteriorated existing steel bridges.

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A Study on Simulation Analysis of Fatigue Deformation at Automotive Arm (자동차 암에 있어서의 피로 변형의 시뮬레이션 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jae-Ung;Han, Moon-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.427-431
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    • 2007
  • The safety and the durability of the arm as an automotive chassis part under the fatigue can be predicted in this study. The fatigue life is sharply decreased from 0.5 to 0.75 at the change of load which is the amplitude load divided by average load. But its life is slightly decreased at the change of load from 0.75 to 1.5. The influence of fatigue life according to the change of load can be predicted by these results. As the value of maximum damage is 2.2 and the value of maximum compressive strain or stress is $-6.93{\times}10^{-3}$ or 349 Mpa at the connected part of rod end applied by concentrated load respectively, there is the greatest possibility of destruction due to the compression at this part.

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