• Title/Summary/Keyword: 편의 오차

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Risk Factor Analysis for Operative Death and Brain Injury after Surgery of Stanford Type A Aortic Dissection (스탠포드 A형 대동맥 박리증 수술 후 수술 사망과 뇌손상의 위험인자 분석)

  • Kim Jae-Hyun;Oh Sam-Sae;Lee Chang-Ha;Baek Man-Jong;Hwang Seong-Wook;Lee Cheul;Lim Hong-Gook;Na Chan-Young
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.39 no.4 s.261
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2006
  • Background: Surgery for Stanford type A aortic dissection shows a high operative mortality rate and frequent postoperative brain injury. This study was designed to find out the risk factors leading to operative mortality and brain injury after surgical repair in patients with type A aortic dissection. Material and Method: One hundred and eleven patients with type A aortic dissection who underwent surgical repair between February, 1995 and January 2005 were reviewed retrospectively. There were 99 acute dissections and 12 chronic dissections. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify risk factors of operative mortality and brain injury. Resuit: Hospital mortality occurred in 6 patients (5.4%). Permanent neurologic deficit occurred in 8 patients (7.2%) and transient neurologic deficit in 4 (3.6%). Overall 1, 5, 7 year survival rate was 94.4, 86.3, and 81.5%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed 4 risk factors to be statistically significant as predictors of mortality: previous chronic type III dissection, emergency operation, intimal tear in aortic arch, and deep hypothemic circulatory arrest (DHCA) for more than 45 minutes. Multivariate analysis revealed previous chronic type III aortic dissection (odds ratio (OR) 52.2), and DHCA for more than 45 minutes (OR 12.0) as risk factors of operative mortality. Pathological obesity (OR 12.9) and total arch replacement (OR 8.5) were statistically significant risk factors of brain injury in multivariate analysis. Conclusion: The result of surgical repair for Stanford type A aortic dissection was good when we took into account the mortality rate, the incidence of neurologic injury, and the long-term survival rate. Surgery of type A aortic dissection in patients with a history of chronic type III dissection may increase the risk of operative mortality. Special care should be taken and efforts to reduce the hypothermic circulatory arrest time should alway: be kept in mind. Surgeons who are planning to operate on patients with pathological obesity, or total arch replacement should be seriously consider for there is a higher risk of brain injury.

The Study of Aliasing and Incidence Angle Dependence of Doppler Image on Humeral Artery (상완동맥 Doppler 영상의 입사각 의존성과 Aliasing에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin;Ji, Tae-Jeong
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.379-387
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    • 2008
  • Among methods to eliminate aliasing effects, the method of increasing velocity scale gradually eliminated the phenomenon in which the direction of the blood flow appeared in reverse. It was done by increasing the velocity scale while maintaining other parameters in the same state. The method of setting the Doppler angle to $0^{\circ}$ did not show significant changes in the wave pattern of the spectrum according to the angle. In actual ultrasonography tests, more accurate tests are expected to be carried out by applying variations to the velocity scale under the considerations of speed, accuracy, and convenience of the examination. The results showed that blood flow velocity increases exponentially according to the Doppler Angle. When the angle goes over $70^{\circ}$, the velocity value increases to an unmeasurable state. This indicates that in blood flow velocity measurements, the blood flow velocity is very dependent on the Doppler Angle. It also shows that the error increases when the incidence angle to the direction of blood flow exceeds $60^{\circ}$, and when the angle exceeds $70^{\circ}$, the error becomes even greater. In addition, he experiment results showed that an angle below $60^{\circ}$ is appropriate and for blood flow velocity measurements in extremity vessels, the most appropriate Doppler Angle is from $45^{\circ}$ to $60^{\circ}$.

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Systematic Bias of Telephone Surveys: Meta Analysis of 2007 Presidential Election Polls (전화조사의 체계적 편향 - 2007년 대통령선거 여론조사들에 대한 메타분석 -)

  • Kim, Se-Yong;Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.375-385
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    • 2009
  • For 2007 Korea presidential election, most polls by telephone surveys indicated Lee Myung-Bak led the second runner-up Jung Dong-Young by certain margin. The margin between two candidates can be estimated accurately by averaging individual poll results, provided there exists no systematic bias in telephone surveys. Most Korean telephone surveys via telephone directory are based on quota samples, with the region, the gender and the age-band as quota variables. Thus the surveys may result in certain systematic bias due to unbalanced factors inherent in quota sampling. The aim of this study is to answer the following questions by the analytic methods adopted in Huh et al. (2004): Question 1. Wasn't there systematic bias in estimates of support rates. Question 2. If yes, what was the source of the bias? To answer the questions, we collected eighteen surveys administered during the election campaign period and applied the iterated proportional weighting (the rim weighting) to the last eleven surveys to obtain the balance in five factors - region, gender, age, occupation and education level. We found that the support rate of Lee Myung-Bak was over-estimated consistently by 1.4%P and that of Jung Dong-Young was underestimated by 0.6%P, resulting in the over-estimation of the margin by 2.0%P. By investigating the Lee Myung-Bak bias with logistic regression models, we conclude that it originated from the under-representation of less educated class and/or the over-representation of house wives in telephone samples.

A joint modeling of longitudinal zero-inflated count data and time to event data (경시적 영과잉 가산자료와 생존자료의 결합모형)

  • Kim, Donguk;Chun, Jihun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1459-1473
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    • 2016
  • Both longitudinal data and survival data are collected simultaneously in longitudinal data which are observed throughout the passage of time. In this case, the effect of the independent variable becomes biased (provided that sole use of longitudinal data analysis does not consider the relation between both data used) if the missing that occurred in the longitudinal data is non-ignorable because it is caused by a correlation with the survival data. A joint model of longitudinal data and survival data was studied as a solution for such problem in order to obtain an unbiased result by considering the survival model for the cause of missing. In this paper, a joint model of the longitudinal zero-inflated count data and survival data is studied by replacing the longitudinal part with zero-inflated count data. A hurdle model and proportional hazards model were used for each longitudinal zero inflated count data and survival data; in addition, both sub-models were linked based on the assumption that the random effect of sub-models follow the multivariate normal distribution. We used the EM algorithm for the maximum likelihood estimator of parameters and estimated standard errors of parameters were calculated using the profile likelihood method. In simulation, we observed a better performance of the joint model in bias and coverage probability compared to the separate model.

Effects of Crack Velocity on Fracture Resistance of Concrete (콘크리트의 파괴저항에 대한 균열속도의 영향)

  • Yon, Jung-Heum
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2003
  • Tests of concrete CLWL-DCB specimens had been conducted with displacement-controlled dynamic loading. The crack velocities for 381mm crack extension were 0.80 mm/sec ~ 215m/sec. The external work and the kinetic and strain energies were derived from the measured external load and load-point displacement. The fracture resistance of a running crack was calculated from the fitted curves of the fracture energy required for the tests. The standard error of the fracture energy was less than 3.2%. The increasing rate of the fracture resistance for 28 mm initial crack extension or micro-cracking was relatively small, and then the slope of the fracture resistance increased to the maximum value at 90∼145 mm crack extension depending on crack velocity. The maximum fracture resistance remained for 185 mm crack extension, and then the faster crack velocity showed the faster decreasing rate of the maximum fracture resistance. The maximum fracture resistance increased proportionally to the logarithm of the crack velocity from 142 N/m to 217 N/m when the crack velocity was faster than 0.273 m/sec. The maximum fracture resistance of the fastest tests was similar to the average fracture energy density of 215 N/m. To measure the fracture resistance of concrete, the stable crack extension should be larger than 90∼145 mm depending on crack velocity.

Design of X-band Core Chip Using 0.25-㎛ GaAs pHEMT Process (0.25 ㎛ GaAs pHEMT 공정을 이용한 X-대역 코아-칩의 설계)

  • Kim, Dong-Seok;Lee, Chang-Dae;Lee, Dong-Hyun;Yeom, Kyung-Whan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.336-343
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    • 2018
  • We herein present the design and fabrication of a Rx core chip operating in the X-band (10.5~13 GHz) using Win's commercial $0.25-{\mu}m$ GaAs pHEMT process technology. The X-band core chip comprises a low-noise amplifier, a four-bit phase shifter, and a serial-to-parallel data converter. The size is $1.75mm{\times}1.75mm$, which is the state-of-the-art size. The gain and noise figure are more than 10 dB but less than 2 dB, and both the input and output return losses are less than 10 dB. The RMS phase error is less than $5^{\circ}$, and the P1dB is 2 dBm at 12.5 GHz, the performance of which is equivalent to other GaAs core chips. The fabricated core chip was packaged in a QFN package type with a size of $3mm{\times}3mm$ for the convenience of assembly. We confirmed that the performance of the packaged core chip was almost the same as that of the chip itself.

Defect Depth Measurement of Straight Pipe Specimen Using Shearography (전단간섭계를 이용한 직관시험편의 결함 깊이 측정)

  • Chang, Ho-Seob;Kim, Kyung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.170-176
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    • 2012
  • In the nuclear industry, wall thinning defect of straight pipe occur the enormous loss in life evaluation and safety evaluation. To use non-destructive technique, we measure deformation, vibration, defect evaluation. But, this techniques are a weak that is the measurement of the wide area is difficult and the time is caught long. In the secondary side of nuclear power plants mostly used steel pipe, artificiality wall thinning defect make in the side and different thickness make to the each other, wall thinning defect part of deformation measure by using shearography. In addition, optical measurement through deformation, vibration, defect evaluation evaluate pipe and thickness defects of pressure vessel is to evaluate quantitatively. By shearography interferometry to measure the pipe's internal wall thinning defect and the variation of pressure use the proposed technique, the quantitative defect is to evaluate the thickness of the surplus. The amount of deformation use thickness of surplus prediction of the actual thickness defect and approximately 7 percent error by ensure reliability. According to pressure the amount of deformation and the thickness of the surplus through DB construction, nuclear power plant pipe use wall thinning part soundness evaluation. In this study, pressure vessel of thickness defect measure proposed nuclear pipe of wall thinning defect prediction and integrity assessment technology development. As a basic research defected theory and experiment, pressure vessel of advanced stability and soundness and maintainability is expected to contribute foundation establishment.

Fretting Wear Test of Inconel 690 Tubes Employing Piezoelectric Actuator (압전 구동기를 이용한 인코넬 690 튜브의 프레팅 마멸시험)

  • Chung, Il-Sup;Lee, Myung-Ho;Park, Ki-Hong;Lee, Jung-Hoon;Kwon, Jae-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2009
  • A fretting wear test rig for dry ambient condition, which employs a piezoelectric actuator, has been developed. It is driven and loaded in a very simple manner with acceptable experimental accuracy. By using the rig, Inconel 690 tube has been tested under the normal load of 10 and 15N with sliding amplitude of less than $100{\mu}m$ during $10^6$cycles. The wear resistance of the material has been characterized in terms of the wear coefficient based on the work rate model. SEM micrographs show the complex structures of the scars, which consist of risen peaks, plate-type thin layers and locally exposed bare surfaces. The cracks spread over the layers give clue to the fretting wear mechanism of the material.

Automatic Discharge Measurement Using the Velocity Index Method (유속지수법을 이용한 자동유량측정)

  • Kim, Chi-Young;Kim, Won;Lee, Chan-Joo;Kim, Dong-Gu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.242-246
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    • 2006
  • 최근 들어 전 세계적으로 유량측정 분야의 큰 변화의 방향은 자동화이다. 전자, 전기 기술과 정보통신 기술의 발달을 유량측정 분야에 적용하여 자동적으로 유량측정을 수행하고 실시간으로 모든 유량자료를 수집하는 시스템을 구성하려는 연구가 활발하게 진행중이다. 최근에 초음파 유량계와 더불어 자동 유량측정 기법으로 각광을 받고 있는 기법이 유속지수법(index velocity method)이다. 유속지수법의 원리는 매우 간단하다. 수위 기록을 통하여 수위-면적 관계로부터 흐름 단면적을 구하고, 임의의 영역에서 측정된 유속이 단면 평균 유속으로 환산될 수 있다면, 흐름 단면적과 평균 유속에 의해 연속적으로 유량을 구할 수 있다. 유속지수법에서 가장 중요한 것이 전체 평균 유속을 대표할 수 있는 유속지수를 정확하고 효율적으로 측정하는 것이다. 유속지수법에 의한 연속 유량측정 목적으로 최근에 ADVM(Acoustic Doppler Velocity Meter)이 개발되어 이용되고 있다. ADVM은 수중에 초음파를 발사해서 산란체에서 반사되어 돌아오는 초음파의 주파수 편이, 즉 도플러 효과를 이용하여 유속을 측정하는 유속계이다. 본 연구에서는 ADVM을 괴산댐 하류에 위치한 시험하천에 설치하여, 유속지수법에 의한 유량측정기법을 적용하고 그 특성을 분석하였다. 유속지수법으로 측정된 유량을 괴산댐 방류량과 비교한 결과 평균 4.0%의 상대오차를 지니고 있어 비교적 정확한 연속 유량측정이 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 유속지수법을 하천 유량측정에 활용하면 보다 정확한 유량을 연속적으로 자동화하여 측정할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.연계모형의 한계로 인하여 두 모형의 통합모형이 필요하다. 즉, 강우 혹은 월류유량으로 발생한 지표유량 중 일부분이 과부하가 발생하지 않는 유입구 지점을 통과할 때 배수시스템으로 유입되는 것을 고려할 수 있고, 유입된 유량은 배수시스템 내의 흐름에 반영되도록 배수시스템과 침수해석모형을 통합한 모형 개발이 필요하다. 그러기 위해서는 지표면과 배수시스템에 대한 수리학적 관계를 정립하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 배수시스템 해석 모형과 도시침수해석 모형을 통합하고, 두 모형간의 유량의 전송과정을 수리학적 관계를 고려한 dual-drainage 도시침수해석모형을 개발하였다. 이를 위해 도시지역 배수시스템 해석 모형으로 널리 이용되고 있는 SWMM모형을 이용하여 지표면으로의 월류량을 산정하고 유입된 지표유량에 대해서 배수시스템에서의 흐름해석을 수행하였다. 그리고, 침수해석을 위해서는 2차원 침수해석을 위한 DEM기반 침수해석모형을 개발하였고, 건물의 영향을 고려할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 본 연구결과 지표류 유출 해석의 물리적 특성을 잘 반영하며, 도시지역의 복잡한 배수시스템 해석모형과 지표범람 모형을 통합한 모형 개발로 인해 더욱 정교한 도시지역에서의 홍수 범람 해석을 실시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 모형의 개발로 침수상황의 시간별 진행과정을 분석함으로써 도시홍수에 대한 침수위험 지점 파악 및 주민대피지도 구축 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 있을 것으로 판단되었다.4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기

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On-site Application of a Vehicle Tunnel Ventilation Simulator (도로터널 환기시뮬레이션 모델 현장적용 연구)

  • 이창우;김효규
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2001
  • Introduction of new design tools has been required to optimally design and operate the ventilation system of long vehicle tunnels.. The demand has led to wide spread use of the simulation technique throughout the would to analysis the dynamic relationship among the variables associated with vehicle tunnel ventilation. This paper aims at performing on-site study at local tunnels to test the applicability of NETVEN, a simulation model vehicle tunnel ventilation. The study was carried out at four urban as well as highway tunnels model of vehicle tunnel ventilation. The study was carried out at four urban as well as highway tunnels employing different ventilation systems as well as traffic methods. There were some discrepancies sound between the simulation output and measurements and the following four factors are considered to mainly cause those disagreement. (1) The real situation shows distinctive transient and retarding characteristics with respect to air flow and contaminant dispersion, while ventilation forces are not steady-state and in particular those traffic and climatic variables show significant instantaneous variation. (3) Near the exit portal, the CO levels show bigger differences. The general trend is that data with higher CO concentrations carry bigger discrepancies. Turbulent diffusion is though to be the main reason for it and also contribute to the fact hat the highest CO concentrations are found at the locations somewhat inward, not at the exit portals. (4) Higher traffic rate results in higher discrepancies of ventilation velocity. Along with the exhaust characteristics, the vehicle aerodynamic characteristics need to be studied continuously in order to reduce the velocity disagreement.

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