• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.763-771
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• 2008

Uncertainties are pervasive in engineering geological problems. Therefore, the presence of uncertainties and their significance in analysis and design of slopes have been recognized. Since the uncertainties cannot be taken into account by the conventional deterministic approaches in slope stability analysis, the probabilistic analysis has been considered as the primary tool for representing uncertainties in mathematical models. However, some uncertainties are caused by incomplete information due to lack of information, and those uncertainties cannot be handled appropriately by the probabilistic approach. For those uncertainties, the theory of fuzzy sets is more appropriate. Therefore, in this study, fuzzy reliability analysis has been proposed in order to deal with the uncertainties which cannot be quantified in the probabilistic analysis due to the limited information. For the practical example, a slope is selected in this study and both the probabilistic analysis and the fuzzy reliability analysis have been carried out for planar failure. In the fuzzy reliability analysis, the dip angle and internal friction angle of discontinuity are considered as triangular fuzzy numbers since the random properties of the variables cannot be obtained completely under the conditions of limited information. In the study, the fuzzy reliability index and the probabilities of failure are evaluated from fuzzy arithmetic and compared to those from the probabilistic approach using Monte Carlo simulation and point estimate method. The analysis results show that the fuzzy reliability analysis is more appropriate for the condition that the uncertainties arise due to incomplete information.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.312-316
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• 2010

현재 국내에서 주로 사용되고 있는 홍수기 다목적 댐의 홍수조절효과에 대한 정량적인 평가지표로는 유량조절률, 저수지 방류율, 저수지 저류율, 저수지 이용률 등이 있다. 이러한 평가지표들은 유입량, 방류량, 저류량 등의 자료를 단순 비교하는 방법을 사용하고 있는데, 홍수조절효과 평가지표 산정식에 사용되는 자료들이 가지는 불확실성이 평가에 고려되지 못하고 있으며, 다목적댐에서 얻을 수 있는 자료만을 사용함으로써 댐 하류 지점에서의 홍수조절효과를 평가하지 못하고 있다. 또한 수자원 시스템의 설계에 있어서 허용 가능한 부분적인 실패를 고려하지 못하는 등의 문제점이 존재하므로, 홍수조절효과를 정량화 할 수 있는 새로운 지표의 개발이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 각종 변수들이 가지는 불확실성, 댐 하류지점에서의 홍수조절효과, 수자원 시스템에서 허용 가능한 부분적 실패를 고려하기 위하여 홍수조절효과 정량화 지표 개발에 퍼지집합 이론을 적용하였고, 충주댐 유역을 시험 유역으로 선정하여 연구를 수행하였다. 대상 홍수사상으로는 2006년도 7월의 홍수사상을 적용하였으며 그에 따른 인자들을 퍼지화하고 시스템의 상태로부터 허용 가능한 부분적인 실패 영역을 구분하였고, 통합 신뢰도-취약도 지수를 적용하여 홍수조절효과 정량화 지표를 개발하였다. 적용 결과, 본 연구를 통하여 개발된 통합 신뢰도-취약도 지수는 저수지의 홍수조절효과를 보다 구체적이고 객관화하여 나타낼 수 있었다.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.177-186
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• 2014

Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) is a systematic approach for identifying potential failures before they occur, with the intent to minimize the risk associated with them. It has been widely used in the various manufacturing industries as a solution to reliability problems. As the importance of the service sector is increasing, however, it has been recently extended to some applications in services. Despite these attempts, FMEA cannot be directly applied to the reliability problems in a service industry. Due to the heterogeneity and customer participation in service process, we cannot perfectly prevent service failures. For this reason, we suggest a new risk priority number with three input parameters that consist of severity, probability of occurrence, and recoverability. In this paper, we propose an approach for assessing service risk and service reliability using the service-oriented risk priority number (S-RPN). An example regarding a hypermarket service process is used to demonstrate the proposed approach.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.31 no.5B
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• pp.415-429
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• 2011

Quantitative evaluation indexes for flood control effect of a multi-purpose reservoir used widely in Korea are the discharge control rate, reservoir release rate, reservoir storage rate, and flood control storage utilization rate. Because these indexes usually use and compare inflow, release, and storage data directly, the uncertainties included in these data are not considered in evaluation process, and the downstream flood control effects are not assessed properly. Also, since the acceptable partial failure in a design of water resources system is not considered, the development of a new flood control effect evaluation index is required. Fuzzy set theory is therefore applied to the development of the index in order to consider the data uncertainty, the downstream flood control effect, and the acceptable partial failure. In this study, the flood control effect of a multi-purpose reservoir is evaluated using the flood control effect index developed by applying fuzzy set theory. The Chungju reservoir basin was selected as a study basin and the storm events of July, 2006 are used to study the applicability of the developed index. The related factors for flood control effect are fuzzified, the acceptable failure region is divided from the system state to evaluate the flood control effect using developed flood control effect index. The flood control effect index were calculated by applying to the study basin and storm events. The results show that the developed index can represent the flood control effect of a reservoir more realistically and objectively than the existing index.

• Review of Culture and Economy
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.63-80
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• 2014

This study evaluates the importance of negotiation agendas and the possibility of reaching the Korea-China FTA agreement. It assesses the current situation of trade barriers in the audiovisual service sector of China and then examines a survey of practitioners and experts to screen important regulations. The results are as follows: First, considering the national economic situation in Korea and the environment of the Chinese trade barrier, an important agenda is to enable the direct service of online games and to reach a co-production agreement in the audiovisual service sector. Second, an agenda regarding the co-production agreement of an audio-visual service sector has high potential to be realized, followed by agendas regarding online game and music services. In the broadcasting and film service sectors, with their high cultural identity, a mutual cooperative approach is needed. Korea bringing up the agenda regarding online service may allow it to gain a net benefit for the next FATs. To realize a mutual cooperative approach, it is necessary to form a frame of mutual interests and cooperation through a co-production agreement of audio-visual service. If both countries agree to acknowledge co-produced content as each country's contents, both would benefit.