• Title/Summary/Keyword: 패널 회귀분석모형

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Test of Homogeneity for Intermittent Panel AR(1) Processes and Application (간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀과정들의 동질성 검정과 적용)

  • Lee, Sung Duck;Kim, Sun Woo;Jo, Na Rae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1163-1170
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    • 2014
  • The concepts and structure of intermittent panel time series data are introduced. We suggest a Wald test statistic for the test of homogeneity for intermittent panel first order autoregressive model and its limit distribution is derived. We consider the fitting the model with pooling data using sample mean at the time point if homogeneity for intermittent panel AR(1) is satisfied. We performed simulations to examine the limit distribution of the homogeneity test statistic for intermittent panel AR(1). In application, we fit the intermittent panel AR(1) for panel Mumps data and investigate the test of homogeneity.

Panel data analysis with regression trees (회귀나무 모형을 이용한 패널데이터 분석)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1253-1262
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    • 2014
  • Regression tree is a tree-structured solution in which a simple regression model is fitted to the data in each node made by recursive partitioning of predictor space. There have been many efforts to apply tree algorithms to various regression problems like logistic regression and quantile regression. Recently, algorithms have been expanded to the panel data analysis such as RE-EM algorithm by Sela and Simonoff (2012), and extension of GUIDE by Loh and Zheng (2013). The algorithms are briefly introduced and prediction accuracy of three methods are compared in this paper. In general, RE-EM shows good prediction accuracy with least MSE's in the simulation study. A RE-EM tree fitted to business survey index (BSI) panel data shows that sales BSI is the main factor which affects business entrepreneurs' economic sentiment. The economic sentiment BSI of non-manufacturing industries is higher than that of manufacturing ones among the relatively high sales group.

Garlic yields estimation using climate data (기상자료를 이용한 마늘 생산량 추정)

  • Choi, Sungchun;Baek, Jangsun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.969-977
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    • 2016
  • Climate change affects the growth of crops which were planted especially in fields, and it becomes more important to use climate data to predict the yields of the major vagetables. The variation of the crop products caused by climate change is one of the significant factors for the discrepancy of the demand and supply, and leads to the price instability. In this paper, using a panel regression model, we predicted the garlic yields with the weather conditions of different regions. More specifically we used the panel data of the several climate variables for 15 main garlic production areas from 2006 to 2015. Seven variables (average temperature, average maximum temperature, average minimum temperature, average surface temperature, cumulative precipitation, average relative humidity, cumulative duration time of sunshine) for each month were considered, and most significant 7 variables were selected from the total 84 variables by the stepwise regression. The random effects model was chosen by the Hausman test. The average maximum temperature (January), the cumulative precipitation (March, October), the cumulative duration time of sunshine (April, October) were chosen among the variables as the significant climate variables of the model

A Study of Generalized Maximum Entropy Estimator for the Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 최대엔트로피 추정량에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Seuck-Heun;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.521-534
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    • 2006
  • This paper considers a panel regression model with ill-posed data and proposes the generalized maximum entropy(GME) estimator of the unknown parameters. These are natural extensions from the biometries, statistics and econometrics literature. The performance of this estimator is investigated by using of Monte Carlo experiments. The results indicate that the GME method performs the best in estimating the unknown parameters.

패널무응답의 가중수정 방법

  • 신민웅;윤연옥
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2002
  • 패널 무응답자(panel nonrespondent)란 처음 조사에서는 응답을 하였으나 나중 조사에서는 응답을 하지 않은 사람을 의미한다. 패널조사에서는 앞 단계에서의 응답으로부터 뒷 단계의 무응답에 대한 정보를 얻을 수 있다. 무응답에 대한 수정 방법은 어떤 보조 변수들을 선택하고, 그 변수들이 수정하는 데 어떻게 사용하는 가를 결정하는 것이다. 우리는 가중 수정을 패널 무응답자에 대해서만 생각한다. 이러한 가중은 패널 무응답자에 대하여 보상하기 위하여 패널 무응답의 가중값을 수정한다. 종속 변수로서 패널응답 상태(status)는 로지스틱 회귀분석으로 패널 무응답에 대한 모형을 선택하는 방법이다. 로지스틱 회귀분석에서 패널무응답과 상관이 있는 변수들은 패널무응답 편향을 감소시키기 위하여 가중 수정에서 사용하기 위한 변수들이다.

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Onion yield estimation using spatial panel regression model (공간 패널 회귀모형을 이용한 양파 생산량 추정)

  • Choi, Sungchun;Baek, Jangsun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.873-885
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    • 2016
  • Onions are grown in a few specific regions of Korea that depend on the climate and the regional characteristic of the production area. Therefore, when onion yields are to be estimated, it is reasonable to use a statistical model in which both the climate and the region are considered simultaneously. In this paper, using a spatial panel regression model, we predicted onion yields with the different weather conditions of the regions. We used the spatial auto regressive (SAR) model that reflects the spatial lag, and panel data of several climate variables for 13 main onion production areas from 2006 to 2015. The spatial weight matrix was considered for the model by the threshold value method and the nearest neighbor method, respectively. Autocorrelation was detected to be significant for the best fitted model using the nearest neighbor method. The random effects model was chosen by the Hausman test, and the significant climate variables of the model were the cumulative duration time of sunshine (January), the average relative humidity (April), the average minimum temperature (June), and the cumulative precipitation (November).

The Long-Run Relationship between House Prices and Economic Fundamentals: Evidence from Korean Panel Data (주택가격과 기초경제여건의 장기 관계: 우리나라의 패널 자료를 이용하여)

  • Sim, Sunghoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2012
  • This paper adopts recently developed panel unit root test that is cross-sectionally robust. Cointegration test is also used to find whether regional house prices are in line with gross regional domestic production (GRDP) in the long run in Korea during 1989-2009. Based on the panel VECM and the panel ARDL models, we examine causal relationships among the variables and estimate the long-run elasticity. We find evidence of cointegration and bidirectional causal relationships between regional house prices and GRDP. The results of long-run estimates, using both fixed effect and ARDL models, show that house prices positively and significantly influence on the GRDP and vice versa. Together with these results, the findings of ARDL-ECM imply that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between house prices and regional economic variables even if there is a possibility of short-run deviation from its long-run path.

The Factor Analysis of Land Surface Temperature(LST) Change using MODIS Imagery and Panel Data (MODIS 영상 자료와 패널 자료를 이용한 지표면온도변화 요인분석)

  • BAE, Da-Hye;KIM, Hong-Myung;HA, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2018
  • This paper aimed to identify main factors of community characters, which have an effect on the land surface temperature(LST) change and estimate the impacting coefficient(ratio) of factors in a significant level of statistics. Chungcheongbuk-do province was selected and then partitioned into city and county areas for the sake of convenience of modeling. LST time series data and the community character data were developed based on Terra Satellite MODIS data and collected from the National Statistical Office, respectively. By the cause and effect relationship between community characters and LST, regression coefficients were estimated using a penal model. In a panel modeling, LST and community characters were used as a dependent variable and explanatory variables, respectively. Panel modeling analysis was carried out using statistical package STATA14 and one-way fixed effect model was selected as the most suitable model to evaluate the regression coefficients in the study area. The impacting ratio of LST change by any explanatory variable derived from the regression coefficients of the panel model fixed. Impacting ratios for industrial areas, elevation ${\times}$ building, energy usage, average window speed, non-urban management area, agricultural, nature and environmental conservation, average precipitation were 3.746, 2.856, 2.742, 0.553, 0.102, 0.071 and 0.003, respectively.

Estimating Price Elasticity of Residential Water Demand in Korea Using Panel Quatile Model (패널 분위수회귀 모형을 사용한 우리나라 지방 상수도 생활용수 수요의 가격탄력성 추정)

  • Kim, Hyung-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.195-214
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    • 2018
  • This study estimates the price elasticity of residential water demand in Korea. For that, annual panel data from the year of 2010 to 2013 for 161 local water services is estimated by using panel quantile model. As a result, the price elasticities of residental water demand in Korea are estimated to be between -0.156 and -0.189 depending on its quantile. In addition, the study finds that the estimated elasticity of residential water demand by traditional conditional mean regression is relatively more influenced by high demand areas because the distribution of residental water demand in Korea is left-skewed.

Analysis of health-related quality of life using Beta regression (베타회귀분석 방법을 이용한 건강 관련 삶의 질 자료 분석)

  • Jang, Eun Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.547-557
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    • 2017
  • The health-related quality of life data are commonly skewed and bounded with spike at the perfect health status, and the variance tended to be heteroscedastic. In this study, we have developed a prediction model for EQ-5D using linear regression model, beta regression model, and extended beta regression model with mean and precision submodel, and also compared the predictive accuracy. The extended beta regression model allows to model skewness and differences in dispersion related to covariates. Although the extended beta regression model has higher prediction accuracy than the linear regression model, the overlapped confidence intervals suggested that the extended beta regression model was superior to the linear regression model. However, the expended beta regression model could explain the heteroscedasticity and predict within the bounded range. Therefore, the expended beta regression model are appropriate for fitting the health-related quality of life data such as EQ-5D.