• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.27 no.2
• /
• pp.207-214
• /
• 2009

This study proposed an advanced warning information system based on real-time traffic conflict analysis. An algorithm to detect and analyze unsafe traffic events associated with car-following and lane-changes using individual vehicle trajectories was developed. A positive guidance procedure was adopted to provide warning information to alert drivers to hazardous traffic conditions derived from the outcomes of the algorithm. In addition, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) analyses were conducted to investigate the predictability of warning information for the enhancement of information reliability.