• Title/Summary/Keyword: 파산

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Analysis of Baltic Dry Bulk Index with EMD-based ANN (EMD-ANN 모델을 활용한 발틱 건화물 지수 분석)

  • Lim, Sangseop;Kim, Seok-Hun;Kim, Daewon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.01a
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    • pp.329-330
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    • 2021
  • 벌크화물운송은 해상운송시장에서 가장 큰 규모이고 철강 및 에너지 산업을 뒷받침 하는 중요한 시장이다. 또한 운임의 변동성이 가장 큰 시장으로 상당한 수익을 기대할 수 있는 반면에 파산에 이르는 큰 손실이 발생할 수 있기때문에 시장 참여자들은 합리적이고 과학적인 예측을 기반하여 의사결정을 해야 한다. 그러나 해운시장에서는 과학적 의사결정보다는 경험기반의 의사결정에 의존하기 때문에 시황변동성에 취약하다. 본 논문은 벌크운임예측에 신호 분해 방법인 EMD와 인공신경망을 결합한 하이브리드 모델을 적용하여 과학적 예측방법을 제시하고자 한다. 본 논문은 학문적으로 해운시장 운임예측연구에서 거의 시도되지 않았던 시계열분해법과 기계학습기법을 결합한 하이브리드 모델을 제시하였다는데 의미가 있으며 실무적으로는 해운시장에서 빈번이 일어나는 의사결정의 질이 제고되는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Development of Crisis Response System in the Shipping Industry (해운산업 위기대응 체계 구축 방안)

  • Sung-Hwa Park;Hanna Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.367-368
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    • 2022
  • The shipping industry is sensitive to the global economy. Therefore, when events such as the global economic crisis occur, shipping market freight rates react immediately, and the long-term stagnation of the industry has been repeated accordingly. In particular, Hanjin Shipping's bankruptcy is an incident in which the nation has become aware of the chronic problems of the Korean shipping industry. The government is making great efforts to rebuild the collapsed shipping industry and become a global leader country. In order for the Korean shipping industry to grow into a global leader, it is important to appropriately respond to the crisis. To this end, it is necessary to establish and operate a crisis response system for the shipping industry at the national level.

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고령자들이 웰스테크(디지털 자산관리) 자문·일임서비스 사용의도에 영향을 미치는 특성 및 요인에 대한 연구

  • Gwak, Jae-Hyeok;Dong, Hak-Rim
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2021
  • 최근 고령화로 인한 수명연장은 노후생활비용 부담의 가중을 통해 고령자들의 노후파산 가능성을 높이는 핵심 위협요인이 되고 있기 때문에 이를 위한 사적자산의 안정적, 장기적인 관리와 증식이 필수적이다. 자산관리 자문/일임 서비스를 이용하는 것은 이를 해결할 수 있는 좋은 대안이지만 과거에는 서비스 이용가능 대상이 대형 금융기관을 거래하는 거액자산가들로 국한되어 있었다. 그런데 최근 기술혁신과 더불어 플랫폼을 기반으로 하는 웰스테크(디지털 자산관리) 서비스가 빠른 속도로 대중화되고 있어, 이를 활용하면 보다 많은 고령자들이 자산관리에 대한 부담을 경감할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구에서는 이런 이유로 최근 주목받는 웰스테크(디지털 자산관리) 자문/일임 서비스에 대한 고령자들의 사용의도에 영향을 미치는 특성 및 요인들을 파악하고자 한다. 이를 위해 기술수용이론 중 소비자가 얻는 혜택과 희생을 모두 고려하는 '가치기반수용모델(Value Based Model)'을 기본 모형으로 하되 웰스테크(디지털 자산관리) 자문/일임서비스의 특성을 고려하여 '가격효용성'을 혜택 요인에 추가하였다. 또한 고령자의 특성을 고려하여 희생 요인에 '인지된 위험'을, 별도의 요인으로 '사회적 영향'을 각각 추가하였다. 예상되는 연구결과로는 지각된 혜택에 해당하는 유용성, 즐거움, 가격효용성은 모두 인지된 가치에 유의한 (+)의 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되는 반면, 지각된 희생에 해당하는 기술성과 인지된 위험은 모두 인지된 가치에 유의한 (-)의 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상된다. 또한 추가변수인 사회적 영향은 인지된 가치에 유의한 (+)의 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상된다.

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A Study on Issues of Heavy Debtors and Credit Counseling in Japan : Including the Interview of Counselors in the Credit Counseling Service (일본의 다중채무자문제 및 채무자상담에 관한 연구 :채무자상담기관의 상담자 면접조사를 포함하여)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jin
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.25 no.2 s.86
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    • pp.155-172
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    • 2007
  • This study is a qualitative analysis aimed at facilitating a plan of social support for heavy debtors. for this purpose, the status of issues related to heavy debtors in Japan is considered, and more is revealed about the status of operation for non-profit organizations and groups of heavy debtor victims as counseling agencies for heavy debtors. In addition, through interviews conducted with the counselors of these organizations, a survey has been made on whether the credit counseling provides particular functions for and increases the satisfaction of debtors. The root of Japan's large number of heavy debtors lay in that country's excessive growth of consumer financing, the increase of its use, the structural problems on the lending system of consumer financing and legal insufficiency, to name of few fundamental problems. The interviews on debtor counseling in private organizations revealed that the debtors being counseled showed a great change, due primarily to group counseling and activities, in such aspects as psychological stability, learning and understanding about heavy debts and willingness to take action for solving their own problems. In addition, regarding the aspects of time and cost, specialty, mutual exchange of experienced persons, psychological care and educational functions, the importance of the debtor counseling group's role has been established. To improve the problems of heavy debtors in Korea, there is a need to promote the importance of debtor counseling increase the interest and support of the administration, create a sense of solidarity among related organizations and promote public education on consumer credit. The support of the consumer credit industry and the development of human resources are also badly needed.

A study on improvement of Trade Finance under international financial markets regulations (금융시장에 대한 국제적 규제 강화에 따른 무역금융제도의 개선방안)

  • Hong, Gil-Jong;La, Kong-Woo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.289-310
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    • 2013
  • In the past, an policy measures for the promotion of the export has actively used trade finance, but also in its effect there is no doubt. However, in 2008 the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers triggered the global financial crisis. As a result, the need to effectively manage liquidity risk posed, and was a debut for Basel III. Focusing on trade finance banks are being made. Domestic commercial banks have not been able not utilize various trade finance techniques. In these situations, the introduction of Basel III can discourage trade finance. Therefore, responses should be prepared for it. Therefore, this study analyzes the status of trade finance system. And international regulation of the financial market are investigated for changes. Based on this, the development direction of Korea's trade finance is proposed.

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A Study on the Major Revised Contents in Exclusion Clauses of the Institute Cargo Clauses 2009 (2009년 협회적하약관의 면책조항 상 주요 개정내용에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Gun Hoon;Lee, Byung Mun
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.57
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    • pp.137-169
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    • 2013
  • This article intends to analyse some features in Exclusion Clauses of the Institute Cargo Clauses 2009 and the results of analysis are following. First, the insufficiency of packing or preparation exclusion under the revised Clause 4.3 is now more limited than before and the Clause suggest the test of sufficiency or suitability "to withstand the ordinary incidents of the insured transit". Secondly, the word "proximately" was deleted under the revised Clause 4.5 for the insurer to be identified more easily as a cause, but it remains to be seen whether that re-drafting will be successful. Thirdly, The exclusion under the revised Clause 4.6 does not apply unless the insurer can prove that, at the time the subject-matter insured is loaded on board the vessel, the assured was aware, or in the ordinary course of business should have been aware, that the relevant insolvency or financial default could prvent the normal prosecution of the voyage, and to a person who purchase the goods from the assured in good faith under a binding contract. Fourthly, the exclusion in respect of unseaworthiness of vessel under Clause 5.1.1 applies only where the assured is privy to the unseaworthiness, whereas the exclusion in respect of unfitness of container or conveyance under Clause 5.1.2 includes the privity of the employee. Finally, Clause 7 establishes the definition of terrorism, and adds ideological and religious motive to political motive.

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A Study on the Effectual Operating Device for Private Security Service (민간경호업무의 효율적인 운영방안에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sang-Wook;Lee, Min-Hyung
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.9
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    • pp.133-153
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    • 2005
  • The suggestions that follow are about the effectual operating device for private security service. First, in legal and institutional policy, new establishment by law for private security and more support from government is asked. Moreover, the restructuring or M&A between petty companies and the pricing for security service should be performed. Second, in the structural aspect of private security industry, the professional education center for private security guards should be established and the terms of payment and welfare should be improved to the level above standard. In addition, it should be achieved to change the public to have a new and correct understanding of private security and develop the specialized parts suited to the characteristic and ability of each companies. Third, the construction of operating system for private security service should be achieved; recruit system for competent security guards, marketing strategy and enforcement system, widely known confidence to client, normal training system for security guards and post management system for client. This is also to be suited to the characteristic of each companies.

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The Strategy of GM for the Development of Autonomous Driving Technology and Related Policies (GM의 자율주행차 관련 기술개발 전략 및 정책에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Jae Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the strategies employed by GM, who experienced bankruptcy in 2008. Specifically, we explore the autonomous driving-related technologies and execution, which GM began developing later than other car manufacturing companies. This study found that GM implemented aggressive M&A in search of vertical industrial integration for the development and production of autonomous vehicles. GM selected candidate firms to complement its technological gaps for the development and implementation of the autonomous vehicle. Secondly, GM achieved executive capacity by attempting to build a vertical integration in the wider scope of components, solution, service, and sales. Thirdly, the consistent governmental support and policies, such as the connected car project, M-City, and NCHRP Program expedited the development process. This study provides practical and policy implications for Korean companies and policymakers related to the automotive industry.

On sampling algorithms for imbalanced binary data: performance comparison and some caveats (불균형적인 이항 자료 분석을 위한 샘플링 알고리즘들: 성능비교 및 주의점)

  • Kim, HanYong;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2017
  • Various imbalanced binary classification problems exist such as fraud detection in banking operations, detecting spam mail and predicting defective products. Several sampling methods such as over sampling, under sampling, SMOTE have been developed to overcome the poor prediction performance of binary classifiers when the proportion of one group is dominant. In order to overcome this problem, several sampling methods such as over-sampling, under-sampling, SMOTE have been developed. In this study, we investigate prediction performance of logistic regression, Lasso, random forest, boosting and support vector machine in combination with the sampling methods for binary imbalanced data. Four real data sets are analyzed to see if there is a substantial improvement in prediction performance. We also emphasize some precautions when the sampling methods are implemented.

Governance of Urban Regeneration Policies of Newcastle/Gateshead England (영국 뉴카슬/게이츠헤드의 도시재개발사업에 관한 연구 : 정책 거버넌스를 중심으로)

  • Shin, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.131-145
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    • 2012
  • During the 1980s and 1990s, most of the old industrial cities of advanced countries have experienced serious de-industrialisation. This has caused many problems, such as economic decline, increasing unemployment, environmental degradation and social unrests. Since the mid-1980s, some of these cities have started to tackle the problems by urban regeneration programs with cultural and artistic activities, new industries, and implementing housing projects. The cities of Newcastle and Gateshead in Northeastern England were the examples of the ones which have created major development projects, such as building condominiums, renovating old factory building, and promoting cultural and art activities. This paper introduces policies and programs of the cities' urban regeneration, analyses their governance structure, and articulates factors contributing to the success of the policies and programs.

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