• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계품질관리

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Forecasting Model Design of Fire Occurrences with ARIMA Models (ARIMA모델에 기반한 화재발생 빈도 예측모델의 설계)

  • Ahn, Sanghun;Kang, Hoon;Cho, Jaehoon;Kim, Tae-Ok;Shin, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2015
  • A suitable monitoring method is necessary for successful policy implementation and its evaluation, required for effective prevention of abnormal fire occurrences. To do this, there were studies for applying control charts of quality management to fire occurrence monitoring. As a result, it was proved that more fire occurs in winter and its trend moves yearly-basis with some patterns. Although it has trend, if we apply the same criteria for each time, inefficient overreacting fire prevention policy will be accomplished in winter, and deficient policy will be accomplished in summer. Thus, applying different control limits adaptively for each time would enable better forecasting and monitoring of fire occurrences. In this study, we treat fire occurrences as time series model and propose a method for configuring its coefficients with ARIMA model. Based on this, we expect to carry out advanced analysis of fire occurrences and reasonable implementation of prevention activities.

Construction of integrated DB for domestic water-cycle system and short-term prediction model (생활용수 물순환 계통 통합 DB 및 단기예측모형 구축)

  • Seungyeon Lee;Sangeun Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.362-362
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    • 2023
  • 한정된 수자원의 이용 및 관리로 매년 물 부족과 물 배분 의사결정 문제가 발생하고 있다. 50년간(1965~2014년) 수자원의 총량은 약 1.2배 증가한 반면 인구수 약 1.8배, 생·공·농업용수의 수요는 약 5배가 증가(국회입법조사처, 2018) 했을 뿐 아니라, 기후변화의 영향으로 인한 강수량의 변화와 지역별 편차가 커져 지속가능한 물관리 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 따라서 효율적인 물관리를 위해서는 관리부처가 분절되어 있는 물순환 계통의 데이터를 통합하는 것이 우선시되어야 하고 이를 통해 물순환 모니터링/평가/예측 기술을 개발할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 생활용수 물순환 계통 통합 DB를 정의 및 구축하였다. 도시의 관점에서 물순환 시스템을 순차적으로 물 유입(수원~취수장)/전달(정수장~급수지역)/유출(하(폐)수처리장~방류구)의 개념으로 설정하고 DB정의서를 마련하였다. 연구대상지는 가뭄이 장기화가 되고 있는 전라남도중 물순환 계통이 비교적 단순한 네트워크로 형성되어 있는 함평군 도시지역으로 선정하였다. 연구 기간은 총 5년(2017년 1월 1일~2021년 12월 31일)이고 일 단위 실계측자료 위주의 원자료를 구축하였다. 이를 이상치 탐지, 제거, 대체의 과정을 거쳐 품질 보정하고 정제된 시계열 자료에 대한 특성 분석을 하였다. 그 결과, 물순환 계통 내 주요 지점 간의 상관관계 및 지연시간을 통한 물흐름의 시계열적 특성을 파악할 수 있었으며 모형의 적합도를 판단하는 데 활용되는 통계량과 유의미하지 않은 잔차의 자기상관성을 볼 때 물 유입-전달-유출의 단기 예측을 위한 ARIMA(Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형의 구축도 가능할 것으로 판단되었다. 다만 여름철 발생하는 방류량의 첨두값을 설명하기 위해서는 강우에 의한 불명수 발생으로 증가하는 방류량을 묘사할 수있어야 하므로 향후에는 물순환계통 외 해당 지역의 불명수(강우 효과)도 하수 방류량의 주요 입력 요인으로 추가 검토할 필요가 있다.

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A Study on Improving the License System for Construction Equipment Operators (건설기계 조종사 면허체계 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Keun;Lee, Junbok;Kim, Hong Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.6D
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    • pp.995-1002
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    • 2006
  • Construction equipment plays an important role as one of resources in construction process. It is obvious that the machine intensive construction method achieves productivity and quality improvement as well as safety improvement. The number of registered construction equipment in Korea is over 320,000 in 2005 according to the national statistics safety, but recent crisis of construction equipment industrialist has been deepen by lack of skilled workers, rise in wages, diminution of working and etc. The main objective of this paper is to propose an improved management and application policy for the better construction equipment utilization. A classification method for construction equipment and a licensing system for construction equipment operators are newly suggested to revise the Construction Equipment Management Law. In order to satisfy the objective, this research performs literature reviews on domestic and overseas related laws and regulations for operating license, and conducts surveys and interviews with experts in the field of construction equipment industry. The results of this research can be considered as an important reference to update the Law that can improve construction productivity and equipment operating rate.

In-Store's Servicescapes and Consumer's Responses in Restaurant (레스토랑 내부 서비스환경과 소비자반응)

  • Choi, Chul-Jae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.452-469
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to examine consumer's cognitive, affective and behavioral responses to in-store's servicescapes in restaurant by confirming the effect of service environment factors such as ambient, layout, interior and auditory on perceived service quality and image as cognitive responses, and the effect of perceived service quality and image on affective satisfaction as affective response, and the effect of affective satisfaction on repurchase intention as a behavioral responses. To this end, the research hypothesis was verified by structural equation model analysis using SPSS 21.0 and AMOS 20.0 statistical packages. The results of study are as follows. First, ambient environment, interior environment and auditory environment had significant influence on perceived service quality, but interior environment had no effect. Second, ambient environment and layout environment had a significant influence on the image, while the interior environment and auditory environment had no effect. Third, perceived service quality had a significant effect on emotional satisfaction, but had no effect on image and repurchase intention. Finally, image had a significant effect on emotional satisfaction and repurchase intention. Therefore, the marketing manager of the restaurant will need to plan and implement a service marketing strategy that will increase consumers' visit by enhance the perceived service quality level by improving ambient environment, layout environment and auditory environment, and increase image by improving ambient environment and layout environment.

An Evaluation on Quality of Field Trial Protocol using Pay Factor and Analysis of Fatigue Life (지불계수를 이용한 시험포장구간의 품질평가와 피로수명 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Hack;Rhee, Suk-Keun;Kim, Seong-Min;Hwang, Sang-Min
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2009
  • This research is performed to estimate quality of trial pavement for construction and analyze effect of fatigue life by using the pay factor. Specially, asphalt content which is difficult to control the pavement quality, is selected by pay adjustment standard factors and pay factor is calculated by asphalt content. This research is also analyzed to present relation of fatigue life according to asphalt content, to evaluate quality of the road pavement by calculating pay factor of sampling trial field mixture 2 times. This research confirms that it is different quality of road pavement according to pay factor changes. To analyze the fatigue life of pavement by using asphalt mixture for trial field. As a result, it is conformed that high pay factor could be high fatigue life of trial field. This means that pay factor using probability theory reflects road pavement fatigue life. Also, this study is included that beam fatigue test manufacturing specimen such as mixing type of plant which purvey asphalt mixture to trial field, compared with fatigue life of trial field. As a result, the fatigue life of specimen that is manufactured by mix type is higher than trial field specimen. This means that performance of road pavement can be reduced by gradation or other effects. Therefore, to exactly evaluate the quality of road pavement, pay factor should be calculated appling various pay adjustment standard factors such as gradation, air-void in U.S. states which is adopted pay adjustment.

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Design and Implementation of an HNS Accident Tracking System for Rapid Decision Making (신속한 의사결정을 위한 HNS 사고이력관리시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Jang, Ha-Lyong;Ha, Min-Jae;Jang, Ha-Seek;Yun, Jong-Hwui;Lee, Eun-Bang;Lee, Moon-jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.168-176
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    • 2017
  • HNS accidents involve large-scale fires and explosions, causing numerous human casualties and extreme environmental pollution in the surrounding area. The widespread diffusion of effects should be prevented through rapid decision making. In this study, a high-quality, standardized, and digitized HNS accident databases has been generated based on the HNS standard code proposed. Furthermore, the HNS Accident Tracking System (HATS) was applied and implemented to allow for systematic integration management and sharing. In addition, statistical analysis was performed on 76 cases of domestic HNS accident data collected over 23 years using HATS. In Korea, an average of 3.3 HNS accidents occurred each year and major HNS accident factors were Springs (41 %), Aprons (51 %), Chemical Carriers (49 %), Crew's Fault (45 %) and Xylenes (12 %). (The number in parentheses is the percentage of HNS accident factors for each HNS accident classification)

The Performance Formation Model of Service Quality Factors for Courier Service (택배산업의 서비스품질 성과형성 모델)

  • Song, Jang-Gwen;Kim, Tae-Ryong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2012
  • The popularity of courier services in Korea has made it an essential part of the country's domestic logistics industry, bolstering the growth not only of the national economy, but also the quality of people's daily lives. An effective strategy for courier companies in Korea would be to provide high-quality services to their existing target markets with the goal of maximizing customer loyalty. This study investigates structural relationships between customer loyalty and service quality as a set of factors and between customer trust and customer satisfaction. These antecedent relationships will be used to understand the "performance formation model" through service quality. In this study, service quality, as a set of factors, is considered to be the independent variable, while customer satisfaction and customer trust are both treated as intervening variables. Finally, customer loyalty is the dependent variable. Following a review of the literature, this paper's proffered hypothesis will be investigated in terms of whether the independent and intervening variables significantly affect customer loyalty. A statistical analysis of the empirical research was carried out using both SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 The results of this study's empirical analysis show three conclusions. First, among the intervening variables (customer satisfaction and customer trust), customer satisfaction is significantly correlated with customer loyalty. Customer trust, however, was shown to have little or no relationship to customer loyalty. Second, the quality of service variable seems to influence customer satisfaction, customer trust, and customer loyalty. Third, with respect to the relationship of intervening variables, customer trust affects customer satisfaction. Thus, the companies that have a competitive advantage in Korea have successfully maximized customer loyalty for their existing customers. Courier companies will need to research and study customer needs. Therefore, this research suggests that effective courier service management can be better understood through the application of the service quality performance formation model, which can enhance the quality of service provided by domestic courier services. This research is limited to investigating qualitative variables, such as the service quality factors, customer satisfaction, and customer trust. It would be helpful for future research on courier services to consider quantitative variables, such as price and weight.

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Analysis of Influential Factors on Compressive Strength of Concrete Specimens Obtained from a Drilled Shaft Construction Site (현장타설말뚝 콘크리트 공시체 압축강도 데이터 분석을 통한 강도 영향인자 분석)

  • Lee, Kicheol;Chung, Moonkyung;Kim, So Yeun;Kim, Dongwook
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.31 no.10
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the quality of drilled shafts concrete has been improved significantly due to the improved concrete performance, upgraded concrete materials, and better management of on-site constructions. Despite the development, current conventional quality management on concrete constructions is still used without any criticism. In this study, compressive strength test results of more than 200 concrete specimens after 7 and 28 days of curing were collected from one site at Songdo area of Incheon. The concrete specimens were prepared from the concrete with aggregate maximum dimensions of 25 mm, target compressive strength of 40 MPa, and slump of 180 mm. Influential factors including concrete temperature, air temperature, amount of slump, amount of air, amount of salinity on concrete specimen were also examined. The database was established from collected information and statistical analyses were performed. Analyzed results confirm that "the difference between concrete temperature and air temperature" has the largest impact on the compressive strengths of specimens at the durations of 7 and 28 days.

Design of The Geographic Information Database Structure for Census Mapping (센서스 지도제작을 위한 지리정보데이타베이스 구조연구)

  • 김설희
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 1993
  • In order to minimize vectorizing tasks, which require huge reso¬urces and time and to support the census mapping effectively, the geographic information databases structure has been studied. The steps of the new approach are as follows. : Step 1, Scanning the maps of the whole country and storing the image data in raster format. Step 2, Vectorizing the data of specific items for Census operation such as Enume¬ration District, and then linking to attribute data in the text format. Step 3, Designing the database with a Tile and Multi-layer structure to make a continuous map logically. Step 4, Implement Censlls Mapping System(CMS) for efficient mapping and retrieving. As a consequence of this study, the cost, manpower and time effectiveness was proved and it was confirmed to produce lIseful and high-qual ified maps for the Census. In the future, this system wi II be able to provide many organizations and individuals with the various data based on geographical statistical information.

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Survival analysis for contract maintenance period using life insurance data (생명보험자료를 이용한 계약유지기간에 대한 생존분석)

  • Yang, Dae Geon;Ha, Il Do;Cho, Geon Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.771-783
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    • 2018
  • The life insurance industry is interested in various factors that influence the long-term extensions of insurance contracts such as the necessity for the advisors' long-term management of consumers, product consulting, and improvement of the investment aspects. This paper investigates important factors leading to a long-term contract that forms an important part of the life insurance industry in Korea. For this purpose we used the data of contents (i.e., data from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2016) of the contracts of xxx insurance company. In this paper, we present how to select important variables to influence the duration of the contract maintenance via a penalized Cox's proportional hazards (PH) modelling approach using insurance life data. As the result of analysis, we found that the selected important factors were the advisor's status, the reward type 2 (annuity insurance) and tendency 4 (safety-pursuing type).