• Title/Summary/Keyword: 태풍 시뮬레이션

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Estimation of Storm Surges on the Coast of Busan (부산연안에서 폭풍해일고의 추정)

  • Hur Dong-Soo;Yeom Gyeong-Seon;Kim Ji-Min;Kim Do-Sam;Bae Ki-Sung
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.3 s.70
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2006
  • Each year, the coast of Busan is badly damaged, due to storm surge. The damages are greatly dependent upon the local peculiarities of the region in which the storm surge occurs. So, in order to prevent/reduce recurrence of the disaster due to the storm surge, it is very important to investigate the fluctuation characteristics of the storm surge height, related to the local peculiarities at each coastal area in which the occurrence of the disaster is expected. In this paper, using the numerical model, the storm surge was simulated to examine its fluctuation characteristics at the coast of Busan Typhoons of Sarah (5914), Thelma (8705) and Maemi (0314), which caused terrible damage to the coastal areas alongthe coast of Busan in the past, were taken as an object of the storm surge simulations. Moreover, the storm surge due to virtual typhoons, which were combined with the characteristics of each proposed typhoon (Maemi, Sarah, Thelma), compared to the travel routes of other typhoons, was predicted. As expected, the results revealed that the storm surge heights are enhanced at the coastal region with the concavity like a long-shaped bay. Also, the storm surge heights, due to each typhoon, were compared and discussed at major points along the coast of Busan, related to the local peculiarities, as well as the characteristics and the travel route of the typhoon.

Storm Surge Characteristics According to the Local Peculiarity in Gyeongnam Coast (경남연안의 지역특성에 따른 폭풍해일고의 변동)

  • Hur Dong-Soo;Yeom Gyeong-Seon;Kim Ji-Min;Kim Do-Sam;Bae Ki-Sung
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.3 s.70
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2006
  • Each year, the south coast of Korea is badly damaged from storm surge. The damages are greatly dependent upon the local peculiarities of the region where the storm surge occurs. So, in order to prevent/reduce recurrence of the disaster, it is very important to investigate the fluctuation characteristics of the storm surge height, related to the local peculiarities at each coastal area where occurrence of the disaster is expected. In this paper, using the numerical model, the storm surge was simulated to examine its fluctuation characteristics at the Gyeongnam coast (southeast coast of Korea). Typhoons of Sarah (5914), Thelma (8705) and Maemi (0314), which caused terrible damage to the coastal area in the southeast coast of Korea in the past, were used forstorm surge simulations. Moreover, the storm surge due to virtual typhoons, which were combined the characteristics of each proposed typhoons (Maemi, Sarah, Thelma)with the travel route of other typhoon, was predicted. As expected, the results revealed that the storm surge heights are enhanced at the coastal regions with the concavity like a long-shaped bay. Also, the storm surge heights, due to each typhoon, were compared and discussed at major points along the Gyeongnam coast, related to the local peculiarities, as well as the characteristics and the travel route of typhoon.

Probability-Based Estimates of Basic Design wind Speeds in Korea (확률에 기초한 한국의 기본 설계풍속 추정)

  • 조효남;차철준;백현식
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1989
  • This study presents rational methods for probability-based estimates of basic design wind speeds in Korea and proposes a risk-based nation-wide map of design wind speeds. The paper examines the fittings of the extreme Type I mode to largest yearly non-typhoon wind data from long-term records, and to largest monthly non-typhoon wind data from short-term records. For the estimation of the extreme typhoon wins speed distribution, an indirect analytical method based on a Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to typhoon-prone regions. The basic desig wind speeds for typhoon and non-typhoon winds at the sites of concern are made to be obtained from the mixed model given as a product of the two distributions. The results of this study show that the proposed models and methods provide a practicable tool for the development of the risk-based basic design wind speed and the design wind map from short-term station records currently available in Korea.

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The Development of a Input Data Automatic Generation System for the Storm Management Simulation based on UIS (UIS기반 홍수관리 시뮬레이션을 위한 입력 데이터 자동 생성 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Ki-Uk;Lee, Jeong-Eun;Hwang, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2008
  • Recently, natural disasters like flooding damages have frequently occurred as to typhoons and local downpours affected by the climate changes. Many researches have actively been studied in analysing runoff models, the verification of their parameters, and the inflow on surfaces in order to lessen the damages. However, much time and effort needs in generating input files of the models in most current researches. Therefore, in this paper we develop a system for generating a simulation input data automatically. This system is connected to the EPA-SWMM based on the spatial data in the UIS systems and consists the simulation module for analysing urban flooding and the SWMM simulator module. Also, we construct a prototype using a range of regular inundation to generate a simulation input file. This system gives advantages showing inundation areas based on the map viewer as well as lessening errors of input data and simulation time.

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Application of the City Modelling using Intelligent Country Information (지능형국토정보를 이용한 도시모델링분야 활용)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jik;Yu, Kang-Min;Lee, Kyu-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.341-345
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    • 2008
  • 지능형국토정보는 소방방재분야의 홍수, 해일, 태풍, 산불 등의 재난 재해 피해의 예측과, 국토개발이나 모니터링의 기반자료로 사용이 되고 있으며 유비쿼터스, U-city, 기업/혁신도시 등의 각종 국책사업 분야에 다목적, 다용도 데이터로써 활용이 증대되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 국토균형발전에 목적을 두고 있는 기업도시의 건설에 지능형국토정보 데이터를 활용하여 친환경 생태학적 설계가 가능토록 하고, 설계데이터를 기반으로 한 개발후의 모습을 3차원 데이터로 구축하여 각각 지역에 대한 개발 전 후의 양상을 분석하고, 문제의 소지가 될 수 있는 설계변경요인들을 사전에 탐색할 수 있도록 대상지 전체에 대한 시뮬레이션 작업을 수행하였다.

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Security Improvement of Crisis Response Manual using Formal Methods (정형기법을 통한 위기대응 매뉴얼 신뢰성 향상)

  • Jeong, Kum-Taek;Lee, Hyuk;Seo, Suk;Choi, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.280-282
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    • 2010
  • 위기대응 매뉴얼은 지진, 태풍 등 상황에 적절하게 적용되며 신뢰성 있게 작동한다는 것이 보장되어야 한다. 따라서 위기대응 매뉴얼의 검증은 필수적이며, 이를 위해 본 논문에서는 정형기법 도구인 Statemate를 이용한 명세, 검증 및 신뢰성 개선방안을 제시한다. 모델체킹을 통해서 매뉴얼 사용자들의 임의적인 판단을 일의킬 수 있는 Non-Determinism과 대응 매뉴얼이 달성하고자 하는 목표의 도달여부에 대해 검증을 수행할 수 있으며, 이외에도 사용자가 원하는 검증 속성을 Temporal Logic으로 작성해서 검증할 수 있다. 또한 도구에서 지원하는 시뮬레이션을 통해 제한적이지만 조치내용의 적절성 여부와 추가적으로 발생 가능한 트리거를 찾음으로써 위기대응 매뉴얼의 신뢰성을 향상시킬 수 있다.

Survey for Awareness for Disaster Safety in South Korean (한국의 재난안전인식에 대한 조사 및 분석)

  • Lee, Min Ji;Chung, Gunhui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.191-191
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    • 2020
  • 현재 전 세계적으로 태풍, 지진, 홍수 등의 재해 피해가 빈번히 일어나고 있고, 4차 산업의 발달로 인한 AI기술을 활용하여 자연재해 전반을 예측 할 수 있는 시스템이 도입될 정도로 과학적으로 발전 되어진 반면에, 재난으로 인한 인명 피해 수를 저감 시키는 방향을 도모 하는 데에는 어려움이 있고, 국민들의 재난피해의식도 심각 하지 않은 추세이다. 이와 같은 문제점을 파악하기 위해 한국 국민 남녀 489명을 대상으로 재난위험인식에 대한 설문을 작성하여 조사를 진행하였다. 본 연구의 목적은 국민들의 재난 안전의 위험도에 대한 인식 수준이 어떠한지 분석하고, 영향 요인을 탐색 하는 데에 있고, 조사결과 안전취약계층은 스스로 대피 하는 데에 있어 큰 어려움이 있으며, 이중 여성은 남성에 비해 안전교육과 훈련의 접근성이 적음에 따라 위험도가 더 큰 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통해 재난 안전교육의 필요성을 가지고 재난 안전 시뮬레이션 프로그램이 구축되는 필요성이 있다고 사료되어지고, 미래에 자연재해 발생 시 문제점을 파악하고 인명피해 감소가 될 전망으로 기대가 된다.

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Development of ensemble method for ultra-shortterm rainfall prediction using radar data (레이더자료를 이용한 초단기 강우 앙상블 예측 기법 개발)

  • Noh, Hui-Seong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Hwang, Suk-Hwan;Kang, Sung-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.193-193
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    • 2020
  • 집중호우로 인한 이재민 발생, 침수 등 많은 인명 및 재산 피해가 지속적으로 발생함에 따라, 홍수재해를 사전에 대응하는 다양한 방법에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 레이더 반사도를 이용하여 강우의 이동방향과 이동속도를 추정하여 초단기 정량강우예측(QPF)이 가능한 기법을 개발하고, 2016년 태풍 차바 사상에 대하여 비슬산 레이더자료를 이용하여 분석을 실시하였다. 개발기법은 1단계 레이더 강우강도 앙상블 멤버 생성, 2단계 레이더 강우강도 이동속도 계산, 3단계 레이더 강우강도 앙상블 초단기 예보, 4단계 초단기 예보 검증의 과정으로 이루어진다. 본 연구결과물인 레이더 기반 초단기 강우예측자료는 수치예보기반 강우예측자료 및 다양한 레이더 기반 초단기예보자료들과 함께 강우예측율 향상에 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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A Case Study of Calculating Flood Inundation Area by HEC-GeoRAS (HEC-GeoRAS 모형에 의한 침수면적산정 사례연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo;Lee, Young-Dai;Lee, Hwan-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • During the past few years, Korea has experienced extraordinary floods, which have caused many damages of lives and properties. Flooding caused by typhoon is the most common disastrous phenomenon of nature among all catastrophes. As the average temperature of the earth has been increasing by global warming, the possibility of typhoon is also increased by abnormal climate changes. Along with the river improvement as a part of flood control, the time of concentration has been decreased, so the pick discharge has been increased. Moreover, with the land development activities, the area of storage has been diminishing, and the damages from inundation have been continuously increasing. There were a lot of damages to farmland in 1960's, industrial and public facilities in 1970's, and a lot of sufferings from the windstorm in 1980's. In 1990's, however, the amount of damages was increased substantially. So, there is need to decrease the number of the victims and loss of properties by applying preventive measures against natural calamities. This study has employed a simulation system to calculate the depth and amounts of inundation areas to forecast and prevent from flood damage by using rainfall-runoff model. In this study, a case study method is adopted to show inundation by using rainfall-runoff model, HEC-GeoRAS and Arcview. It is hoped that, this study would be conducive to professionals and organizations working in the field of disaster management.

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Risk Assessment of Strong Wind over Industrial Facilities in Shipyards (조선소 시설물의 강풍 위험 평가)

  • Lee, Sung-Su;Kim, Hak-Sun;Lee, Young-Kyu;Shim, Kyu-Cheoul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2009
  • Most of domestic shipyards are located at coastal regions which are affected by typhoons nearly every year. For effectiveness of shipbuilding, shipyards contain many facilities which are light-weighted and affected dominantly by wind. In the present paper, we analyze various wind fields over a shipyard including surrounding topology and structures to evaluate the structural safety of the facilities posed in the strong wind. Extreme wind speed for a study region was estimated by typhoon Monte Carlo simulation and then used for inlet wind speed for CFD analysis for wind load on the facilities. Considering geometrical wind effects, we assess the surface pressure of the elements as the pressure factor, the ratio of surface pressure to dynamic pressure. The results show that the simulated wind speed is greater than the design wind speed for the some facilities because of the shipyard's geometry. It also shows that surrounding topography in coastal area is needed to be considered and adjustment for design wind speed at wind load standard application is necessary for mooring ship and industry facilities.