• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.22 no.1_2
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• pp.3-55
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• 2000

본 연구는 세입증가율 예측을 위해 사용되는 각종 세수추계모형의 예측능력을 상호비교하는 데 목적이 있다. 본 연구에서 고려하는 세수추계 방식은 네 가지이다. 첫째는 단순 ECM 모형으로서 오차수정모형(error correction model)을 각각의 세목에 적용하여 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 둘째는 SUR-ECM 모형으로서 단순 ECM 모형의 개별 회귀방정식을 통합하여 SUR(Seemingly Unrelated Regression) 방식으로 추정한 후 이를 이용하여 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 셋째와 넷째는 흔히 사용되는 탄성치 방식으로서, 과거의 연도별 탄성치를 5년간 또는 10년간 평균하여 이를 바탕으로 향후의 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 이러한 모형비교를 통해 얻은 결과는 다음과 같이 요약될 수 있다. 첫째, 단순 ECM 모형과 5년 평균 탄성치 모형은 예측력에 있어 큰 차이가 없다. 둘째, SUR-ECM 모형과 10년 평균 탄성치 모형은 예측력에 있어 큰 차이가 없다. 셋째, 단순 ECM 모형보다는 SUR-ECM 모형의 예측력이 높으며, 5년 평균 탄성치 모형보다는 10년 평균 탄성치 모형의 예측력이 높다. 넷째, 어느 경우에든 예측 오차가 상당히 크고 이러한 오차는 예측시계가 넓어질수록 커진다. 예를 들어, 5년 후의 세수에 대한 예측치는 평균적으로 오차의 절대값이 10% 수준에 이른다. 탄성치 모형이 단순 ECM 모형이나 SUR-ECM 모형에 비해 그리 나쁜 예측결과를 낳지 않는다는 것은 새로운 사실이다. 또한 5년 평균 탄성치보다 10년 평균 탄성치를 사용하는 것이 더 나은 예측치를 낳는다는 것은 세수예측에 있어 최근의 자료만을 사용하는 것보다는 과거 꽤 오랜 기간의 자료를 사용하는 것이 바람직하다는 점을 시사한다.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2011.04a
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• pp.587-588
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 강사장교의 극한강도 및 파괴모드를 간략하게 예측할 수 있는 간단하고 빠른 해석법을 제안하였다. 기존의 비탄성 고유치해석의 기본 개념을 바탕으로 기둥 요소에 대한 수렴 기준을 보였고, 사장교 구조 시스템의 거더 및 주탑 요소에서 보-기둥 거동을 고려하기 위한 새로운 수렴 기준을 제시하였다. 제시된 방법의 타당성 검증을 위하여 중앙경간 길이와 거더의 높이를 변화시킨 강사장교 모델에 대하여 제안된 비탄성 고유치 해석과 비선형 탄소성 해석 결과를 비교하였다. 해석 결과, 제안된 수렴 기준을 적용한 비탄성 고유치 해석은 기존에 기둥의 수렴기준을 적용했던 방법에 비하여 강사장교의 극한강도를 보다 정확히 예측할 수 있었다. 또한, 제안된 방법은 강사장교의 파괴모드 역시 근사하게 모사 가능함을 알 수 있었다.

• Composites Research
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.30-37
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• 2002

A stiffness model has been proposed to predict elastic constants of twisted yam composites. The model is based upon the unit cell structure, the coordinate transformation, and the volume averaging of compliance constants for constituent materials. For the correlation of analytic results with experiments, composite samples of various yam twist angles were tested, and strength and Young's modulus under tensile, compressive, and shear loading have been obtained. The sample was fabricated by the RTM process using glass yarns and epoxy resin. The correlations of elastic constants showed relatively good agreements. The model provides the predictions of the three-dimensional engineering constants, which are valuable input data for the analytic characterization of textile composites made of twisted yam.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.347-355
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• 2014

Thermal problems that are directly related to the lifetime of an electronic device are becoming increasingly important owing to the miniaturization of electronic devices. To solve thermal problems, it is essential to study thermal stability through thermal diffusion and insulation. A honeycomb sandwich plate has anisotropic thermal conductivity. To analyze the thermal deformation and temperature distribution of a system that employs a honeycomb sandwich plate, the thermal and elastic properties need to be determined. In this study, the thermal and elastic properties of a honeycomb sandwich plate, such as thermal conductivity, coefficient of thermal expansion, elastic modulus, Poisson's ratio, and shear modulus, are predicted. The properties of a honeycomb sandwich plate vary according to the hexagon size, thickness, and material properties.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.169-179
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• 2005

An improved method for evaluating effective buckling lengths of beam-column members in plane frames is newly proposed based on system inelastic buckling analysis. To this end, the tangent stiffness matrix of be am-column elements is first calculated using stability functions and then the inelastic buckling analysis method is presented. The scheme for determining effective length of individual members is also addressed. Design examples and numerical results ?uc presented to show the validity of the proposed method.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.48-55
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• 2009

In the glulam beam deflection it is necessary to check the reliability of theory formula, because of wood anisotropy and wood qualities (knot, slop of grain). In this experiment, when bending stress occurred on glulam, practice deflection of glulam measuring with AICON DPA-Pro 3D system were compared with prediction deflection calculated as substituting MOE through non-destructive testing and static MOE through bending test in differential equation of deflection curve. MOE using ultrasonic wave tester of laminae, MOE using natural frequencies of longitudinal vibrations ($E_{cu}$, $E_{cf}$), MOE using ultrasonic wave tester of glulam ($E_{gu}$) and MOE using natural frequencies of longitudinal vibrations ($E_{gf}$) were substituted in this experiment. When practice deflection measured by 3D system was compared with prediction deflection calculated with differential equation of deflection curve, within proportional limit the ratio of practice deflection and prediction deflection was similar as 1.12 and 1.14, respectively. Deflection using ultrasonic wave tester was 0.89 and 0.95, Deflection using natural frequencies of longitudinal vibrations was 1.07 and 1.10. The results showed that prediction deflection calculated by substituting using non-destructive MOE of glulam having anisotropy in differential equation of deflection curve was agreed well with practice deflection.

• Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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• v.43 no.2
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• pp.187-191
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• 2016

Early loss of a primary second molar can cause mesial drift or tilting of the permanent first molar. We present a case of the early loss of the mandibular primary molars in a 5-year-old girl. The patient required extraction of the mandibular left primary first and second molars due to folliculitis on the successors. A flexible denture was used for eruption guidance of the permanent first molar and the recovery of masticatory function simultaneously.

• Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.175-178
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• 1984

The effects of the addition of starch, salt and soda ash to the dough for Naengmyon (wheat-sweet potato starch) on the mechanical property of Naengmyon noodle were evaluated by using creep test. The strain measurement was made by taking photograph with VTR system. The creep curve of noodle strand could be fitted to the 4 element Burgers model. The instantaneous elasticity and Newtonian viscosity of the noodle strand decreased by the addition of starch. The instantaneous elasticity decreased by the addition of salt up to 4%. The mechamical parameters of the noodle varied inconsistently by the addition of soda ash.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.12 no.1 s.44
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• pp.29-43
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• 2000

In this study, the computationally efficient inelastic buckling analysis program is developed to be used as the research tool in finding buckling strength of inelastic members. The program can determine buckling loads and buckled shapes of elastic and inelastic members which failed by flexural, lateral-torsional and/or local buckling. It can analyze singly and doubly symmetric I-shape members. In the program, the web of the member is modeled using the plate element and the flanges are modeled by beam elements. Multilinear isotropic hardening rule and the incremental theory of plasticity are used to simulate the inelastic stress-strain relationship from material tests. The program is verified using theoretical solutions and experimental results. The results from the program show good agreement with those from experiments and theory.

• Geotechnical Engineering
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.21-30
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• 1993

To know the importance of soil paramters which are used to estimate the deformation and porepressure of soil, the sensitivity for soil parameters in elastic analysis is analyzed. Using the consolidation teat results of several cohesive soils, soil parameters are estimated by back analysis method, and from the parameters the deformations and porepressures of the soil are estimated by elastic analysis, In elastic analysis for soil-deformation and porepressure, the sensitivity for the Young's modulus is large, and the esimation of Young's modulus is more important in pro- portion to the size of stress. Using the measured results during initial short period in small stress, the soil parameters can be correctly estimated by back analysis method. To decrease the iteration number in back analysis and to get the better paramters, the initial measurements in more nodes are required and the more accurate initial measurements are required.