• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.71-90
• /
• 2008

Container cargos for import and export of Jeollabukdo are handled at Gunsan port, which just hold 6.60% of the total amount 264,120 TEU. The rest of them, reaching 94.40%, are handled at Gwangyang port(55.90%), Busan port(34.15%) and other(4.45%). Container cargos for import and export handled at Gunsan port are 31,715 TEU that hold only 0.20% of all cargos in Korea. On the other hand, container cargos for import and export handled at Shanghai and Qingdao port are 26,912 TEU which hold 80.15% of the total handling container cargos at Gunsan port. If 50% of container cargos produced in Jeollabukdo are handled at Gunsan port, the total handling container cargos will be 130,000 TEU. And if the container cargos reaching 1,947,069 TEU which are using other ports can be attracted to Gunsan port, it is expected that around 190,000 TEU will be increased in the quantity of goods. The total container cargos of Shanghai and Qingdao port not handled by the nearest ports are 383,184 TEU. If Jeollabukdo attract around 10% of those cargos into Gunsan port, about 38,000 TEU container cargos will be handled at Gunsan port.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.26 no.1
• /
• pp.83-104
• /
• 2010

The purpose of this paper is to prepare container port policy and to contribute to the regional economy by forecasting of the container freight volume for the Donghae Port and Sokcho Port. As a methodology a survey and O/D technique were adopted. O/D technique was applied to the container freight data of Korea Maritime Institute. The main results of this paper are as follows: First, it is adviserable that Gangwondo Province should adopt incentive program of 100,000 won Per TEU rather than 50,000 won per TEU. Secondly, container freight volume for Donghae Port and Sokcho Port is forecast to be 22,388 TEU in 2010, 152,367 TEU in 2015 and 354,217 TEU from 6,653 TEU in 2008. Thirdly, joint port marketing is required for the Donghae Port and Sokcho Port in terms of same region in one hour drive.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.31 no.2
• /
• pp.45-59
• /
• 2013

This study deals with the comparative analysis between two freight demand estimation methods : Unimodal O/D based method and P/C based method. The data of access/egress truck trips has been omitted from the Korean freight unimodal O/D of KTDB. This is because KTDB's unimodal O/D has not marked the series of unlinked trips down as the whole freight intermodal transport and surveyed only the main-haul trips of them. For these reasons, freight intermodal transport mechanism has not been analysed perfectly with Korean unimodal O/D data. This study tries to estimate P/C table of Korean Import/Export container freight and develop the MCC(Multimodal Channel Choice) model. Then, comparing unimodal O/D based method and P/C based method in terms of the switch commodities between production point(the initial point of freight transport) and consumption point(the terminal point of freight transport), unimodal commodities, and commodities on links is conducted. The results show that the P/C based method is able to simulate the freight intermodal transport.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.44 no.1
• /
• pp.44-52
• /
• 2020

More accurate forecasting of port cargo in the global long-term recession is critical for the implementation of port policy. In this study, the Busan Port container volume (export cargo and transshipment cargo) was estimated using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model and the vector error correction (VEC) model considering the causal relationship between the economic scale (GDP) of Korea, China, and the U.S. as well as ARIMA, a single volume model. The measurement data was the monthly volume of container shipments at the Busan port J anuary 2014-August 2019. According to the analysis, the time series of import and export volume was estimated by VAR because it was relatively stable, and transshipment cargo was non-stationary, but it has cointegration relationship (long-term equilibrium) with economic scale, interest rate, and economic fluctuation, so estimated by the VEC model. The estimation results show that ARIMA is superior in the stationary time-series data (local cargo) and transshipment cargo with a trend are more predictable in estimating by the multivariate model, the VEC model. Import-export cargo, in particular, is closely related to the size of our country's economy, and transshipment cargo is closely related to the size of the Chinese and American economies. It also suggests a strategy to increase transshipment cargo as the size of China's economy appears to be closer than that of the U.S.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
• /
• v.23 no.3
• /
• pp.57-65
• /
• 2022

International attempts to smuggle narcotics and explosives using ship or aircraft cargoes are on the rise. With the recent increase in the number of detection cases of narcotics and explosives in Korea, it is important to detect dangerous material (narcotics and explosives) through container searches at ports and airports, which are the main routes. This paper proposes a technique to detect dangerous material in cargo containers using the sampled output signal of ion mobility spectroscopy (IMS). The proposed technique estimates parameters such as a threshold, a window length, and a noise level for ion detection of the target dangerous material by using known materials in the initialization stage. The estimated parameters are used to detect the ions of the dangerous target material inside the containers. The proposed technique can be applied when the peak value of the IMS signal and the ion mobility are varying due to container environments.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
• /
• 2019.11a
• /
• pp.203-205
• /
• 2019

최근 국제 운송에 큰 부분을 차지하는 해상운송에서의 오염물질 배출이 큰 논란이 되고 있다. 이 연구에서는 고속·대형의 컨테이너선, 크루즈, 여객선, 기타선 등이 기항하는 부산북항을 대상으로 선박의 배출물질을 계산하였다. 선박 대기오염물질 산정을 위해서는 선박의 활동 정보와 배출물질 계산에 활용할 선박 마력 정보가 필요하다. 먼저 AIS를 이용하여 선박 활동정보를 수집하고, 선박 마력은 선박 특성이 뚜렷한 컨테이너선과 탱커선의 제원을 DB화하여 추정하였다. 선박의 배출물질을 산정할 수 있는 추정 알고리즘을 개발하고 이를 이용하여 황산화물, 질소산화물, 입자상물질, 휘발성유기화합물의 배출물질을 계산한 결과 각각 48.3%, 42.5%, 5.4%, 3.8%의 비율로 산출되었다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
• /
• v.12 no.3
• /
• pp.348-356
• /
• 2009

The objective of this paper is to estimate the DMT utility function for the transportation mode choice using SP survey. With the freight OD data the estimated utility function can be used as a basic data for forecasting DMT market. 3 alternatives of transportation mode are considered in SP survey; railway, road and DMT. The utility functions are developed according to the freight items, which are container, steel and chemical product. In this study the attribute variable are chosen as time, cost and reliability. The number of level for attribute variables are 3. The high valve is determined as +10% above the standard and the low value -20% below the standard.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.1-17
• /
• 2008

In this paper the cargo transportation were forecasted for the North Port in Busan through time series models. The cargo transportation were classified into three large groups; container, oil, general cargo. The seasonal indexes of existing cargo transportation were firstly calculated, and optimum models were chosen among exponential smoothing models and ARIMA models. The monthly cargo transportation were forecasted with applying the seasonal index in annual cargo transportation expected from the models. Thus, the cargo transportation in 2011 and 2015 were forecasted about 22,900 myriad ton and 24,654 myriad ton respectively. It was estimated that container cargo volume would play the role of locomotive in the increase of the future cargo transportation. On the other hand, the oil and general cargo have little influence upon it.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
• /
• 2009.06a
• /
• pp.133-134
• /
• 2009

선박의 대형화와 함께 해운 항만 시장이 급속히 변화하는 가운데 각 항만들은 항만 경쟁력을 가지기 위해 물동량 예측과 더불어 하역료를 바탕으로 한 부두사용료 수준에 대해 검토를 시행하고 있는 실정이다. 또한 부산북항 재개발과 관련하여 일반부두 폐쇄 및 터미널의 이전이 계획되어지는 가운데, 터미널 임대료 및 물동량 배분에 관한 연구가 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 컨테이너 터미널의 주변여건 변화에 따른 컨테이너화물 물동량을 추정 및 예측하고, 기존 사용료 및 부산북항의 특정 터미널을 대상으로 향후 2020년까지의 사용료를 검토하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.31 no.4
• /
• pp.17-38
• /
• 2015

The purpose of this study is to suggest new methods for evaluating the benefits of a preliminary feasibility study for port construction. For this purpose, this study analyzes the problem of barge loading and unloading systems, and suggests new methods such as using neighboring same kinds of ports first. The study also estimates the benefits for ports that have been evaluated by the existing theory, using the newly suggested methods. The result suggests that there is a possibility to reduce the level of economic feasibility for both general and container-exclusive ports by applying the newly suggested methods.