• Title/Summary/Keyword: 침수실적자료

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Effectiveness of Radar Rainfall for Use of Flood Inundation Records (침수실적자료 활용에 있어 레이더강우의 효용성 검토)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Jung, Chung Gil;Jang, Sun Sook;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.37-37
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 남강댐 유역($2,293km^2$)을 대상으로 이중편파 레이더 강우자료와 격자기반 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 KIMSTORM(KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model)을 이용하여 홍수추적을 수행하고, 침수실적자료와 비교하여 레이더 강우자료의 효용성을 검토하였다. 2012년 4개의 강우 이벤트(집중호우, 카눈, 볼라벤, 산바)에 대하여 한강홍수통제소로부터 보정된 비슬산 레이더 강우자료를 제공받아 사용하였다. 레이더 강우와 지점 강우를 비교하기 위해 면적평균강우량을 산정하여 분석한 결과, 유출량산정 지점별 면적평균 강우량은 대체적으로 레이더가 지점 강우보다 더 낮은 값으로 예측되었지만, 강우의 패턴은 상당히 일치하는 것으로 나타났으며, 평균 $R^2$는 0.97로 매우 우수하게 분석되었다. 이후 분포형 홍수추적을 위해 KIMSTORM을 이용하였으며, 격자크기 $500{\times}500m$ 해상도의 156행${\times}$137열의 총 21,372개의 셀로 모형을 구축하였다. 분포형 모형의 보정을 위해 지상강우를 적용하여 모형을 보정하고, 보정된 매개변수를 레이더강우에 그대로 적용하여 적용성을 평가하였다. 모형의 보정 결과, $R^2$(coefficient of determination), ME(model efficiency), VCI (volume conservation index)의 평균이 지점강우를 이용한 경우 각각 0.85, 0.78, 1.09%, 레이더 강우를 이용한 경우 각각 0.85, 0.78, 0.96으로 모의유량이 관측유량을 잘 재현하였다. 이후 태풍 산바에 의한 하천범람 침수실적자료의 침수지역(신연, 문대, 신기지구)과 레이더에 의한 침수지역 유출분석 결과를 비교하였다. 침수지역 호우 및 유출의 공간분포를 분석한 결과 레이더 강우가 침수지역 상류유역의 호우와 유출상황을 자세하게 재현하였으며, 침수지역의 침수기간 전 후를 분석한 결과 지점강우 보다 레이더 강우가 실제 첨두유량에 가깝게 우수하게 모의되었다.

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Comparing Methods for Determining Flood Protection Elevation in Urban Area using GIS (GIS를 이용한 도시지역 방어침수위 설정방법 비교분석)

  • Shin, Sang-Young;Lee, Yang-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.471-476
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    • 2008
  • 도시지역의 침수피해를 방지하기 위해서는 침수범위와 침수심을 예측하여 예상 침수심에 대응하기 위한 방어대책을 수립하여야 한다. 한편 이러한 침수범위와 침수심을 예측하는 방법은 대상지역의 특성 및 지리적 여건 등에 따라 달라지며 가용자료에 따라 달라진다. 본 연구에서는 도시지역의 특성에 따른 침수대책의 기준이 되는 방어침수위 설정방법을 GIS 분석을 통하여 비교분석하였다. 방어침수위 설정방법은 과거 침수실적을 이용하는 방법 인근하천의 계획홍수위를 연장하는 방법, 하천의 임계지속기간과 소유역의 임계지속기간에 대한 강우빈도별 시나리오 분석에 의한 내수침수를 모의하는 방법 등의 네가지 방법을 서울시 중랑천 연변의 장안배수분구에 해하여 적용하였다. 분석결과 인접하천의 계획홍수위를 단순연장하는 방법을 제외하고는 다소의 차이는 있으나 대체로 유사한 결과를 보였다. 침수원인이 내수침수에 의한 지역일 경우에는 방어침수위로 침수실적자료를 이용한 과거 최대침수위를 적용하거나, 인근하천의 계획홍수량을 발생시키는 강우사상에 대한 내수침수 모의결과를 적용하는 것이 합리적일 것으로 판단된다.

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A Study on the Effectiveness of Radar Rainfall by Comparing with Flood Inundation Record Map Using KIMSTORM (Grid-based KIneMatic Wave STOrm Runoff Model) (분포형 강우유출모형 KIMSTORM을 이용한 침수실적자료와의 비교를 통한 레이더강우의 효용성 연구)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.11
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    • pp.925-936
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the effectiveness of dual-polarization radar rainfall by comapring with the flood inundation record map through KIMSTORM(Grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model). For Namgang dam ($2,293km^2$) watershed, the Bisl dual-polarization radar data for 3 typhoons (Khanun, Bolaven, Sanba) and 1 heavy rain event in 2012 were prepared. For both 28 ground rainfall data and radar rainfall data, the model was calibrated using observed discharge data at 5 stations with $R^2$, Nash and Sutcliffe Model Efficiency (ME) and Volume Conservation Index (VCI). The calibration results of $R^2$, ME and VCI were 0.85, 0.78 and 1.09 for ground rainfall and 0.85, 0.79, and 1.04 for radar rainfall respectively. The flood inundation record areas (SY and MD/SG district) by typhoon Sanba were compared with the distributed modeling results. The spatial distribution by radar rainfall produced more surface runoff from the watershed and simulated higher stream discharge than the ground rainfall condition in both SY and MD/SG district. In case of MD/SG district, the stream water level by radar rainfall near the flood inundation area showed 0.72 m higher than the water level by ground rainfall.

Techniques of flood damage investigation and flood losses data management (홍수재해조사 및 재해자료관리 기법)

  • 김양수
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2000
  • Almost every year, Korean suffered from the repetitive natural disasters such as typhoons and floods. During last 10 years, Korea experienced annual average of $50 million property damages caused by inundation. To estabilish the flood disaster counter plan, knowledge for flood damage causes based on the field investigations of inundated area is required. The field investigations is focused on technique to document and analyze the meteorological conditions leading to torrential rains, the causes and patterns of flooding, the performance of flood control structures in affected areas, the extent damages and the effectiveness of local emergency response and recovery actions. We did comparative analysis of field investigation techniques. As a major goal of flood hazard map design, one of non structural disaster countermeasures, it was expected to reduce flood damage losses by requiring local governments to implement land-use regulation that would result in safe building practices in flood hazard areas. This requires local governments to develop flood hazard maps to assess how to manage particularly vulnerable floodplain areas. In this study we suggested a design manual and the management system of flood hazard map.

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Comparing Methods for Determining Flood Protection Elevation in Urban Built-up Areas (도시지역 방어침수위 설정방법 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yang Jae;Shin, Sang Young;Lee, Chang Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3B
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2008
  • To determine the flood protection elevation (FPE) in urban built-up areas, this study examines four possible methods: using the highest flood elevation in the past, extending base flood elevations of nearby watercourse to inland, and two simulation methods of inland flood under the same rainfall used in the watercourse planning nearby. According to the case study of the Jang-An Drainage Area, Seoul, the highest flood elevation in the past and simulation results of inland flood under the same rainfall in the watercourse planning nearby tend to get similar results, while extending base flood elevations of nearby watercourse to inland shows much higher elevations than other results. Meanwhile, cost-benefit analysis, when regulating residential/commercial uses below the FPE by each of four methods, suggest that planners need to consider carefully the economic feasibility of FPE used to choose appropriate methods.

Development of an Inundation Risk Evaluation Method Based on a Multi Criteria Decision Making (다기준 의사결정기법을 기반으로 하는 침수위험 평가기법의 개발)

  • Park, Moo-Jong;Choi, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, several factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. For the validation of the suggested method, the results from the suggested method are compared with the historical inundation records occured on 1998 and the relative inundation risk estimated by the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. From the comparison, it is found that the suggested method may generate better results to estimate the relative inundation risk of each subcatchment than the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. Also, it can be applied to establish a rehabilitation order of subcatchments for mitigating the inundation risk.

Analysis of Flood Inundation using WMS and RADARSAT SAR Image (WMS와 RADARSAT SAR 영상을 이용한 유역 침수구역 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tak;Kim, Joo-Hun;Park, Jung-Sool;Byun, In-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2007
  • This study was conducted in order to analyze a flooded area by the overflow of a stream using hydrological and hydraulic models and to estimate the utility of the SAR satellite image by comparing a protected lowland inundation area with a past inundation area map. The research area selected for this study is Sapkyocheon, which was flooded in August 1999. The flood stage was analyzed to select an inundation area by applying flood events in August 1999. By importing analyzed flood stage data into TIN data of WMS, the inundation area of a protected lowland was selected and then compared with an flood hazard map of WAMIS. An inundation area is selected by the SAR satellite image in comparing the image of August 4, 1999 (inundation time) with the image of September 8, 2002 (after inundation). The method of selecting an inundation area with the hydraulic model of HEC-RAS can be used to select an inundation area of external overflow, but it has the limit of selecting an inundation area concerning the internal drainage. The method of using the SAR satellite image can complement the limit of an inundation area of an internal drainage but accuracy of inundation area depends on using SAR satellite image acquired at time of maximum depth.

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Development of water elevation prediction algorithm using unstructured data : Application to Cheongdam Bridge, Korea (비정형화 데이터를 활용한 수위예측 알고리즘 개발 : 청담대교 적용)

  • Lee, Seung Yeon;Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.121-121
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    • 2019
  • 특정 지역에 집중적으로 비가 내리는 현상인 국지성호우가 빈번히 발생함에 따라 하천 주변 사회기반시설의 침수 위험성이 증가하고 있다. 침수 위험성 판단 여부는 주로 수위정보를 이용하며 수위 예측은 대부분 수치모형을 이용한다. 본 연구에서는 빅데이터 기반의 RNN(Recurrent Neural Networks)기법 알고리즘을 활용하여 수위를 예측하였다. 연구대상지는 조위의 영향을 많이 받는 한강 전역을 대상으로 하였다. 2008년~2018년(10개년)의 실제 침수 피해 실적을 조사한 결과 잠수교, 한강대교, 청담대교 등에서 침수 피해 발생률이 높게 나타났고 SNS(Social Network Services)와 같은 비정형화 자료에서는 청담대교가 가장 많이 태그(Tag)되어 청담대교를 연구범위로 설정하였다. 본 연구에서는 Python에서 제공하는 Tensor flow Library를 이용하여 수위예측 알고리즘을 적용하였다. 데이터는 정형화 데이터와 비정형 데이터를 사용하였으며 정형화 데이터는 한강홍수 통제소나 기상청에서 제공하는 최근 10년간의 (2008~2018) 수위 및 강우량 자료를 수집하였다. 비정형화 데이터는 SNS를 이용하여 민간 정보를 수집하여 정형화된 자료와 함께 전체자료를 구축하였다. 민감도 분석을 통하여 모델의 은닉층(5), 학습률(0.02) 및 반복횟수(100)의 최적값을 설정하였고, 24시간 동안의 데이터를 이용하여 3시간 후의 수위를 예측하였다. 2008년~ 2017년 까지의 데이터는 학습 데이터로 사용하였으며 2018년의 수위를 예측 및 평가하였다. 2018년의 관측수위 자료와 비교한 결과 90% 이상의 데이터가 10% 이내의 오차를 나타내었으며, 첨두수위도 비교적 정확하게 예측되는 것을 확인하였다. 향후 수위와 강우량뿐만 아니라 다양한 인자들도 고려한다면 보다 신속하고 정확한 예측 정보를 얻을 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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The Theoretical Study on the GM Inference of the Small Fishing Vessels (소형어선의 GM추정에 관한 이론적 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Keon;Lee, Yong-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.189-192
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    • 2002
  • In Korea, most of small fishing vessels whose lengths are under 24m frequently cause maritime accidents due to flood and capsize. In this situation, however, there are no stability criteria and data for small fishing vessels. In this paper, the authors investigated data of 10 real ships which were built since 1990, and derived equations for evaluating ship's stability using Genetic Programming. Also, the validity of GM estimation using Genetic Programming was shown with comparison of GM value by GM value by foreign standards. More data of real ships are needed for the application of these theory to ship design process.

A Numerical Study on the Selection of Main Specification of the 18.5ft Bass Fishing Boat (18.5ft급 경기용 배스보트의 주요제원 선정에 관한 수치해석 연구)

  • Lim, Jun-Taek;Seo, Kwang-Cheol;Park, Geun-Hong;Kim, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.945-952
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    • 2018
  • Recently, bass fishing has become a marine leisure sport in Korea. There are 4 major fishing associations in Korea, and each association holds 10-15 tournaments each year. However, supply of 17 ft bass boats, which are preferred in leagues, depends 100 % on imports. In this study, we have derived the main specifications to develop the initial hull forms of a 18.5ft bass boat through statistical analysis based on mothership data. In addition, CFD numerical analysis was carried out according to deadrise angle and longitudinal center of gravity, which strongly influenced the resistance and planing performance. For numerical analysis, design speed was set to $Fn=3.284 (Re=9.858{\times}10^7)$, the deadrise angle was set from 12 to $20^{\circ}$, and the longitudinal center of gravity was set in the range of 0 to $8%L_{wL}$ from the center of buoyancy to the stern. Based on the numerical results, we first set the range of these factors by resistance performance and immersion keel length. Furthermore, using a correlation graph of Savitsky's Drag-Lift ratio, we derived the deadrise angle ($14-16^{\circ}$) and longitudinal center of gravity ($4-6%L_{wL}$).