• Title/Summary/Keyword: 측정 불확실성

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Design of Overlapped Ultrasonic Sensor Ring and Its Application to Obstacle Detection (중첩 초음파 센서 링의 설계 및 장애물 탐지에의 응용)

  • Kim, Sung-Bok;Lee, Sang-Hyup
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents the optimal design method of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring for reduced positional uncertainty, and its application to the obstacle detection with improved resolution. Basically, it is assumed that a set of ultrasonic sensors are installed to form a circle at regular intervals with their beams overlapped. First, exploiting the overlapped beam pattern, the positional uncertainty inherent to an ultrasonic sensor is shown to be significantly reduced. Second, for an ideal ultrasonic sensor ring of zero radius, the effective beam width is defined to represent the positional uncertainty, and the optimal number of ultrasonic sensors required for minimal effective beam width is obtained. Third, for an actual ultrasonic sensor ring of nonzero radius, the design index is defined to represent the degree of positional uncertainty, and an optimal design of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring consisting of commercial ultrasonic sensors with low directivity is given. Fourth, given measured distances from ultrasonic sensors, the geometric method is described to compute the obstacle position with reference to the center of a mobile robot. Finally, through experiments using our overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring prototype, the validity and performance of the proposed method is demonstrated.

Ontology-based User Intention Recognition for Proactive Planning of Intelligent Robot Behavior (지능형로봇 행동의 능동적 계획수립을 위한 온톨로지 기반 사용자 의도인식)

  • Jeon, Ho-Cheol;Choi, Joong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2011
  • Due to the uncertainty of intention recognition for behaviors of users, the intention is differently recognized according to the situation for the same behavior by the same user, the accuracy of user intention recognition by minimizing the uncertainty is able to be improved. This paper suggests a novel ontology-based method to recognize user intentions, and able to minimize the uncertainties that are the obstacles against the precise recognition of user intention. This approach creates ontology for user intention, makes a hierarchy and relationship among user intentions by using RuleML as well as Dynamic Bayesian Network, and improves the accuracy of user intention recognition by using the defined RuleML as well as the gathered sensor data such as temperature, humidity, vision, and auditory. To evaluate the performance of robot proactive planning mechanism, we developed a simulator, carried out some experiments to measure the accuracy of user intention recognition for all possible situations, and analyzed and detailed described the results. The result of our experiments represented relatively high level the accuracy of user intention recognition. On the other hand, the result of experiments tells us the fact that the actions including the uncertainty get in the way the precise user intention recognition.

Analysis on the Dynamic Characteristics of a Rubber Mount Considering Temperature and Material Uncertainties (온도와 물성의 불확실성을 고려한 고무 마운트의 동특성 해석)

  • Lee, Doo-Ho;Hwang, In-Sung
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, a statistical calibration method is proposed in order to identify the variability of complex modulus for a rubber material due to operational temperature and experimental/model errors. To describe temperature- and frequency-dependent material properties, a fractional derivative model and a shift factor relationship are used. A likelihood function is defined as a product of the probability density functions where experimental values lie on the model. The variation of the fractional derivative model parameters is obtained by maximizing the likelihood function. Using the proposed method, the variability of a synthetic rubber material is estimated and applied to a rubber mount problem. The dynamic characteristics of the rubber mount are calculated using a finite element model of which material properties are sampled from Monte Carlo simulation. The calculated dynamic stiffnesses show very large variation.

Position Uncertainty due to Multi-scattering in the Scintillator Array of Dual Collimation Camera (복합 집속 카메라의 섬광체배열에서 다중산란에 의한 위치 불확실성)

  • Lee, Won-Ho
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.287-292
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    • 2008
  • Position information of radiation interactions in detection material is essential to reconstruct a radiation source image. With most position sensing techniques, the position information of a single interaction inside the detectors can be precisely obtained. Each interaction position of multi-scattering inside scintillators, however, can not be individually measured and only the average of the scattering positions can be obtained, which causes the uncertainty in the measured interaction position. In this paper, the position uncertainties due to the multi-scattering were calculated by Monte Carlo simulation. The simulation model was a 50 by 50 by 5 mm $LaCl_3$(Ce) scintillator(pixel size is 2 by 2 by 5mm) which was utilized for the dual collimation camera. The dual collimation camera uses the information from both photoelectric effect and Compton scattering, and therefore, position uncertainties for both partial and full energy deposition of radiation interactions are calculated. In the case of partial energy deposition(PED), the standard deviations of positions are less than $1{\sim}2mm$, which means the uncertainty caused by multi-scattering is not significant. Because the effect of the multi-scattering with PED is insignificant, the multi-scattering has little effect on the performance of Compton imaging of dual collimation camera. In the case of full energy deposition(FED), however, the standard deviation of the positions is about twice that of the pixel size of the 1stdetector, except for 122keV incident radiations. Therefore, the standard deviations caused by multi-scatterings should be considered in the design of the coded mask of the dual collimation camera to avoid artifact on the reconstructed image. The position uncertainties of the FEDs are much larger than those of the PEDs for all radiation energies and the ratio of PEDs to FEDs increases when the incident radiation energy increases. The position uncertainties of both PEDs and FEDs are dependent on the incident radiation energy.

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Analysis of R&D Time Lag in impacting Firm Value: GMM- PVAR Study (GMM Panel VAR를 이용하여 R&D가 기업 가치에 영향을 미치기까지의 시간 측정 연구)

  • Yang, Insun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2016
  • Most previous studies found a positive relationship between the value of a firm and its R&D investments. This research measures the impact of the timescale of the R&D investment of a firm on its value using panel vector autoregression. By measuring the time required for R&D to impact the value of a firm, this study demonstrates that the lead time is an essential factor in the analysis of the effect of R&D investment on a firm's value. Our study finds that the length of the lead time varies according to the firm's size, industry concentration, and book to market ratio. Firms with a higher industry concentration show a shorter lead time. Also, firms with a larger size and higher book to market ratio generally show a shorter lead time.

Uncertainty of Spacial Variation of Rainfall Measurement by Point Raingauge (지점 강수량계에 의한 강우 공간분포 측정의 불확실성)

  • Kim, Won;Kim, Jong Pil;Kim, Dong Gu;Lee, Chan Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.30-30
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    • 2015
  • 유역에 내린 강우의 총량은 홍수나 갈수 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 점 강우량에 의해 측정된 강우량을 이용하여 유역 총강우량으로 환산하는 과정에 많은 오차가 포함되어 있다. 선행연구에 따르면, 우량계를 통한 강우관측에서 언더캐치(undercatch)에 의한 계통오차는 일반적으로 5~16%, 우연오차는 약 5%가 발생된다고 보고하였으며, 점 우량계 자료를 내삽하여 공간자료로 변환할 경우 0.1km 규모에서 표준오차가 4~14%, 1km 규모에서는 33~45%, 10km 규모에서는 약 65% 정도 발생된다고 한다. 이러한 우량계 관측오차 및 강우자료 처리과정에서 발생되는 오차는 유역의 유출량 계산에 영향을 주어 홍수예보 정확도를 크게 떨어뜨릴 수 있다. 우리나라에서는 지금까지 유역 총강우량 산정 측면에서 지점강우량의 불확실성에 대한 연구가 많이 이루어지지 못하였다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라에서 주로 사용되고 있는 전도형 우량계를 이용하여 소규모 구역에서 관측되는 강우관측의 불확실성을 분석하고자 하였다. 연구에 사용된 우량계는 0.5mm 급 표준 전도형 우량계로 정밀도는 시간당 1~100mm 기준으로 ${\pm}1%$를 기록하여 기상검정규격인 ${\pm}3%$를 만족하고 있다. 이 우량계는 한국건설기술연구원 안동하천실험센터 내에 장애물이 없는 평지에 60m 간격으로 총 6대($2{\times}3$)를 설치하여 2014년 7월 11일부터 9월 2일까지 54일간 관측을 수행하였다. 관측기간 동안 2대의 우량계가 수일동안 강우가 기록되지 않아서 분석에서 제외하였다. 우량계 상호 간의 누적강우량(54일간)을 비교한 결과 2.5~25.5mm의 차이를 나타냈다. 강우강도별 강우량 합계를 비교한 결과 시간당 1mm 이상에서는 약 1%의 차이가 났으며, 시간당 15mm 이상에서는 7.4%의 차이를 나타내어 강도가 큰 강우사상에서 우량계 간의 관측오차가 더 크게 나타났다. 또한 우량계 상호 간의 상관계수를 분석한 결과, 우량계 간의 거리가 가까울수록 그리고 누적시간이 길수록 상관계수는 커지는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 도출된 결과를 토대로 하면 앞서 언급한 바와 같이 점 우량계 자료를 내삽하거나 유역 또는 계산격자의 대푯값으로 사용하여 1시간 이하 단위로 유출모의를 할 경우 심각한 오차를 발생시킬 수 있음을 시사한다. 보다 신뢰성 있는 홍수예보와 효율적인 유역관리를 위해서는 점 중심의 강우 관측이 아닌 면적 우량에 대한 관측이 이루어져야 하며 이를 위한 기술의 개발이 필요하다.

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Bayesian Analysis for Uncertainty of Radiocarbon Dating (방사성탄소연대측정법의 불확실성에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • Lee, Youngseon;Lee, Jaeyong;Kim, Jangsuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.371-383
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    • 2015
  • Use of radiocarbon dating is increasing for chronology; however, its variability and discrepancy with existing chronologies can cause doubts in regards to credibility. In this paper, we explore factors that influence radiocarbon dating variabilities. We obtained estimated radiocarbon ages by sending identical samples to several labs multiple times. A Bayesian method was used to analyze the obtained data. From the analysis, we conclude that some factors (such as type of labs and megasamples) can induce variability when estimating radiocarbon age. We identify the size of variability caused by each factor and analyze the estimated variability in each lab corresponds with the reported variability.

An Empirical Study on the Consumer Satisfaction and Loyalty of Chinese Commercial Banks: Focusing the related Variables of Perceived Service Quality and Uncertainty Avoidance (중국 상업은행 소비자의 만족도/충성도에 관한 연구: 서비스 인식과 불확실성회피를 중심으로)

  • Zhao, Na
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.159-180
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to examine how perceived service quality, value congruence influences uncertainty avoidance, customer satisfaction and customer loyalty, and in turn, provides insight for Korean banks when they penetrate into the Chinese marketplace. In so doing, this study conducts a survey on participants who are using banking services in the Changchun, Jinan, Guangzhou of Jilin Province, Shandong Province and Guangdong Province. The findings are as followed. First, Uncertainty avoidance plays an important mediating role in the relationship between perceived service quality and customer satisfaction, between value congruence and customer satisfaction. Uncertainty avoidance has a direct effect on customer satisfaction, but is significantly negative. Second, value congruence has a direct effect on uncertainty avoidance, but is significantly negative. Third, customer satisfaction has a direct effect on attitudinal loyalty and behavioral loyalty.

A Study on the Nonpoint-Data Quality Assessment In Nackdong River (비점오염 모니터링을 위한 자료관리시스템 연구)

  • Yu, Jae-Jung;Park, Jae-Beom;Kang, Du-Kee;Kal, Byung-Seok;Yoon, Young-Sam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.957-961
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 강우시 발생되는 비점오염원의 모니터링시 측정되는 강우자료와 유출자료, 수질 자료에 대한 효율적이고 신뢰성 있는 자료관리시스템을 제안하고자 한다. 비점오염 모니터링 자료관리시스템(NP-DAQ, Nonpoint-Data Quality Assessment)의 구성요소는 크게 다음과 같은 세가지로 이루어진다. 비점오염원 분석이 요구되는 유역에서의 모니터링 유무 및 실시간 측정 장치의 유무를 확인하는 전처리단계, 선행무강우시간 및 강우지속시간, 강우강도를 평가하고 수질 측정 간격과 유출 수문곡선을 평가하는 품질관리 단계, 측정된 자료의 이상치 분석과 유출모형의 입력자료를 생성하는 후 처리 단계로 나눌수 있다. 본 연구의 적용 대상 자료는 낙동강수계 환경기초조사사업으로 수집된 비점오염원 모니터링에 대한 자료를 사용하였으며 측정된 자료는 지목별 지역별 특성에 따라 분류하여 자료관리시스템에 적용하여 분석하였다. 따라서 비점오염원 모니터링 결과 얻어진 강우 및 유출, 수질 자료를 대상으로 하여 자료의 신뢰성 평가 및 불확실성을 평가하여 보다 정확한 오염물질 유출 특성을 분석하는데 기초가 되는 시스템을 구축하고자 한다.

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Aplication of the Thermodynamic Measurement Method for On-site Performance Evaluation of Hot Water Pumps Used in District Heating (지역난방 중온수 펌프의 현장 성능평가를 위한 열역학적 측정법 적용)

  • Park, Cheol Gyu;Yoo, Hoseon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2021
  • It is very difficult to accurately calculate efficiency of each accessory device constituting the pump system and pump efficiency by the Conventional efficiency measurement method only. Therefore, this study introduced the lastest Thermodynamic pump efficiency measurement method in the district heating pump system for the first time in Korea. As a result, data uncertainty was high by the Conventional method, but the pump and Hydraulic Coupling efficiency values applied the Thermodynamic and Conventional method parallel measurement data were able to derive meaningful results that verified the reliability and adequancy of the pump performance measurement method by performing complementary roles. In additon, as a result of applying the Thermodynamic method to the distirct heating pump system, despite the high temperature environment of up to 120 ℃, it was possible to verify the reliability of the Thermodynamic method, such as high stable data mesurement, and durability of the measurement equipment.