• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.103-119
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• 1984

복잡다기해지는 도시교통문제를 효율적으로 대처하려면 제도시교통정책에 의한 교 통분담율효과를 사전에 추정할 수 있어야 한다. 단기간의 교통분담율효과를 추정하는데 미 국 및 구라파 등지에서 널리 이용되고 있는 모형이 개별교통모형(Disaggregate Travel Demand Model)이다. 본 연구의 목적은 로짓모형(Multinomial Logit Model)을 서울시의 종 로축을 이용하는 출근통행자를 대상으로 실시한 조사결과에 적용하여 매개함수(Parameters) 를 추정함에 있다. 조사는 1980년7월5일부터 7월15일까지 10일간 종로축을 이용하는 통행자 536명에게 실시되었다. 조사실시전 서울시의 교통체계의 특성과 통행자의 행태를 면밀히 분 석하여 적합한 변수를 선정하였다. 여러 가지로 변수와 표본의 변형을 시도한 결과 교통비 용을 소득으로 나눈 변수와 시기시간(OVTT)을 거리로 나눈 변수를 포함한 모형이 가장 논 리적인 것으로 나타났다. 한편 표본은 고소득층과 저소득층으로 구분하여 추정한 모형이 비 교적 만족스러운 결과를 나타내었다. 이는 우리나라 대도시의 경우 소득계층에 따라 교통수 단선택범위가 한정되기 때문이다. 마지막으로 고소득층과 저소득층의 시간가치를 각각 산정 하였는바, 이는 교통시간의 매개변수와 교통비용의 매개변수를 나눔으로서 구해질 수 있다. 시간가치는 고소득층은 910원 저소득층은 582원으로 각각 산출되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.375-378
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• 2001

현재까지 행해진 주식시장 거품에 관한 연구들은 주가를 형성하는 근본요인으로서 현금배당만을 고려하고 있다. 그러나 현금배당은 경영자에 의해 조정가능하므로 진정한 기업가치를 나타내는 신호로 보기 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기업가치를 더 정확히 반영하기 위하여 기업의 자본상에 나타나는 자금변동을 고려한 '순현금배당'을 도입한다. 상태-공간 모형과 칼만필터링 추정법을 이용하여 KOSPI 시장 자료에 대해 실증분석한 결과, 현금배당만 고려할 때와 '순현금배당'을 고려했을 때 추정된 거품이 매우 다른 양상을 보였다. 특히 한국의 금융위기시점을 고려하여 볼 때 '순현금배당'을 이용한 것이 실제 현상과 더 잘 부합하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 주식시장의 거품을 연구하는데 있어 현금배당과 자금변동을 함께 고려하는 것이 더 정확한 추정결과를 얻을 수 있음을 시사한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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• 2001.04a
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• pp.83-107
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• 2001

The contingent valuation method used survey questions to elicit people's preferences for public goods by finding out what they would be willing to pay for specified improvement in them. The method is thus aimed at eliciting their willingness to pay in money amounts. It circumvents the absence of markets for public goods by presenting consumers with hypothetical markets in which they have the opportunities to buy the good in question. The hypothetical markets may be modeled after either a private goods market or a political market. Respondents are presented with material, often in the course of a personal interview conducted face to face. An on-site survey was conducted to 1107 randomly selected P-mountain users using a dichotomous choice questionnaire for the contingent valuation method. Seventeen different bid sets were chosen ranging from the lowest bid of 300won to the highest bid of 2,100won to elicit a reasonable entrance fee in the suggested bid had been determined, and the expected value of willingness to pay was estimated using binary-logit model. The average public value of P-mountain per individual user was estimated to be 1,055.92won∼1,995.61won according to the binary-logit model. The economic value of this P-mountain which includes both use value and existence value can be determined by aggregating the average value giving total willingness to pay for the entire population, in this case 5.491 billion ∼ 10.377 billion.

• Survey Research
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.83-107
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• 2001

The contingent valuation method uses survey questions to elicit people's preferences for public goods by finding out what they would be willing to pay for specified improvement in them. The method is thus aimed at eliciting their willingness to pay in money amounts. It circumvents the absence of markets for public goods by presenting consumers with hypothetical markets in which they have the opportunities to buy the good In question. The hypothetical markets may be modeled after either a private goods market or a political market. Respondents are presented with material, often in the course of a personal interview conducted face to face. An on-site survey was conducted to 1107 randomly selected P-mountain users using a dichotomous choice questionnaire for the contingent valuation method. Seventeen different bid sets were chosen ranging from the lowest bid of 300won to the highest bid of 2, 100won to elicit a reasonable entrance fee in the hypothetical market. The probability of an individual user's willingness to pay for the suggested bid had been determined, and the expected value of willingness to pay was estimated using binary-1ogit model. The average public value of P-mountain per individual user was estimated to be 1,055.92won ~ 1,995.61won according to the binary-logit model. The economic value of this P-mountain which includes both use value and existence value can be determined by aggregating the average value giving total willingness to pay for the entire population, in this case 5.491 billion ~ 10.377 billion.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.349-379
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• 2008

Otters which are the nearly extinct feral animal as well as indicator species of ecological balance of river have a wide variety of public value. The objective of this paper is to estimate non-market value of preservation of otters' habitats in Cheongju Si and Cheong won Gun. In this research, the one-and-one-half bound dichotomize choice method as a contingent valuation methods is used to derive willingness to pay for the preservation of otters' habitats. 311 residents were surveyed to determine their recognition and willingness to pay for preservation of otters' habitats. The results show that the value of preservation of otters' habitats is 5,904 won per house and month.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.288-298
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• 2017

The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.21-42
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• 2014

Abandoned roads, abandoned expressways included, cause a lot of problems such as contamination and environmental damages to underground water, fragmentation of wildlife habitats yet they are not appropriately maintained or managed because of jurisdictional conflicts and, often more importantly, insufficient budget of governments. The restoration of abandoned roads is known to benefit society and its constituents by providing better environment and higher living standards but the monetary value of the benefit is hard to measure because of non-marketability of the good that the restoration brings about. In this case, the contingent valuation method(CVM) is most powerful in evaluating non-marketable value of goods and hence it is used widely. We also used the CVM to value the benefit of restoration of abandoned expressways to find out: about 40% of total households are willing to contribute positive amount for restoration; better awareness of environmental issues leads to higher willingness-to-pay.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.108-110
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• 2020

본 연구의 목적은 딥러닝 기법의 하나인 인공신경망 모델을 활용하여 선박의 가치평가 모델을 개발하는 것이다. 선박의 가치는 해운시장 변화와 밀접한 관계가 있으며, 경기 변동성이 크고 시장 민감성이 높은 해운시장의 특성상 가치의 불확실성 역시 높게 나타나고 있다. 이러한 선박가치의 중요성에도 불구하고 국내외적으로 선박가치평가의 체계 개선 및 평가모델의 객관성과 신뢰성을 제고시키기 위한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 딥러닝 방법을 통해 선박의 가치를 산출하는 새로운 평가모델을 제시하고자 한다. 가치평가의 대상은 중고 VLCC선이며, 선행연구를 통해 선박의 가치 변화를 유발하는 주요 요인들을 선별하여 변수를 설정하고 2010년 1월부터 현재까지의 해당 데이터를 확보하였다. 교차검증을 통해 파라미터들을 추정하여 인공신경망의 최적 구조를 식별하고 이에 대한 객관성과 신뢰성을 검증한 결과 인공신경망 모델의 가치평가 정확성이 우수함을 확인하였다. 본 연구는 선박가치평가의 전통적 방법론에서 탈피하여 기계학습 기반의 딥러닝 모델을 활용한 측면에서 독창적인 의미가 있다.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.36 no.6
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• pp.676-683
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• 2022

Due to the effects of rapid changes in the living environment since 2000 and the recent unforeseen pandemic, people are refraining from domestic and international traveling and movement, and outdoor activities for health and the public value of forest trails, called Dullegil Trail in Korea, have become more important. This study estimated the environmental value of the tentatively named "East-West Trail," which connects the forest trails crossing Chungcheong and Gyeongsang Provinces using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method). It surveyed visitors to the East-West Trail, and 725 questionnaires were used for analysis. The average characteristics of respondents were those who exercised 2-3 times per week, visited a forest trail not far from their residence with friends or family, and showed a tendency to spend 50 thousand Korean won or more per visit. Visitors to the Dullegil Trail felt that there was a shortage of information boards on the forest trail, and they preferred a shelter in appropriate locations. We used a double-bounded dichotomous choice (BDDC) logit model proposed by Hanemann to measure the conservation value of the East-West Trail. It was estimated that the environmental value that a visitor to the East-West Trail could obtain was 30,087 won per trip. The estimated environmental value of the East-West Trail can be converted to about 94 billion won total visitors annually based on the population belonging to the direct-use zone near the East-West Trail. As there has been no study on the environmental value of forest trails using CVM, the results of this study will be able to suggest the feasibility of the government policies on forest trails.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.221-245
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• 2014

In the era of fierce global competition and short product life cycle, firms have been interested in the technology valuation to improve their competitiveness. As the technology valuation may become a key issue for countries and industries, the development of technology valuation method has become increasingly important. Thus, this study aims to suggest a novel method to assess technology value by applying conjoint analysis to bibilographic information of patent. For this purpose, we firstly identified nine patent indexes categorized in three attributes - technological superiority, marketability and legal rights. Then, we collected actual data on patent transactions including their patent attributes and market prices. Based on the data, we could obtain the patent index values. Finally, we applied conjoint analysis to the prices and patent index values as a basis for technology valuation. The suggested method is expected to be an effective tool for technology valuation by using real transaction data rather than relying heavily on experts assessment.