• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추론 검증

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Nonstandard Machine Learning Algorithms for Microarray Data Mining

  • Zhang, Byoung-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.165-196
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    • 2001
  • DNA chip 또는 microarray는 다수의 유전자 또는 유전자 조각을 (보통 수천내지 수만 개)칩상에 고정시켜 놓고 DNA hybridization 반응을 이용하여 유전자들의 발현 양상을 분석할 수 있는 기술이다. 이러한 high-throughput기술은 예전에는 생각하지 못했던 여러가지 분자생물학의 문제에 대한 해답을 제시해 줄 수 있을 뿐 만 아니라, 분자수준에서의 질병 진단, 신약 개발, 환경 오염 문제의 해결 등 그 응용 가능성이 무한하다. 이 기술의 실용적인 적용을 위해서는 DNA chip을 제작하기 위한 하드웨어/웻웨어 기술 외에도 이러한 데이터로부터 최대한 유용하고 새로운 지식을 창출하기 위한 bioinformatics 기술이 핵심이라고 할 수 있다. 유전자 발현 패턴을 데이터마이닝하는 문제는 크게 clustering, classification, dependency analysis로 구분할 수 있으며 이러한 기술은 통계학과인공지능 기계학습에 기반을 두고 있다. 주로 사용된 기법으로는 principal component analysis, hierarchical clustering, k-means, self-organizing maps, decision trees, multilayer perceptron neural networks, association rules 등이다. 본 세미나에서는 이러한 기본적인 기계학습 기술 외에 최근에 연구되고 있는 새로운 학습 기술로서 probabilistic graphical model (PGM)을 소개하고 이를 DNA chip 데이터 분석에 응용하는 연구를 살펴본다. PGM은 인공신경망, 그래프 이론, 확률 이론이 결합되어 형성된 기계학습 모델로서 인간 두뇌의 기억과 학습 기작에 기반을 두고 있으며 다른 기계학습 모델과의 큰 차이점 중의 하나는 generative model이라는 것이다. 즉 일단 모델이 만들어지면 이것으로부터 새로운 데이터를 생성할 수 있는 능력이 있어서, 만들어진 모델을 검증하고 이로부터 새로운 사실을 추론해 낼 수 있어 biological data mining 문제에서와 같이 새로운 지식을 발견하는 exploratory analysis에 적합하다. 또한probabilistic graphical model은 기존의 신경망 모델과는 달리 deterministic한의사결정이 아니라 확률에 기반한 soft inference를 하고 학습된 모델로부터 관련된 요인들간의 인과관계(causal relationship) 또는 상호의존관계(dependency)를 분석하기에 적합한 장점이 있다. 군체적인 PGM 모델의 예로서, Bayesian network, nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF), generative topographic mapping (GTM)의 구조와 학습 및 추론알고리즘을소개하고 이를 DNA칩 데이터 분석 평가 대회인 CAMDA-2000과 CAMDA-2001에서 사용된cancer diagnosis 문제와 gene-drug dependency analysis 문제에 적용한 결과를 살펴본다.

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Development of Countermeasure Expert System for Tunneling Failure (터널 붕락특성과 시공 중 보강공법 선정방법 개발)

  • 김창용;박치현;배규진;홍성완;오명렬
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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    • 2000.09a
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2000
  • Many Studies of tunnel and tunnelling safety have been developed continuously based on the increasing social interests in underground space since 1990's in Korea. Because the growth of population in metropolitan has been accelerated at a faster pace than the development of the cities, underground facilities have been created as a great extent in view of less land space available. In this study, a lot of types of tunnel failure were surveyed and the detail causes were studied after many cases of tunnel failure were collected. There were suggested brief countermeasure of tunnel failure through case study. An expert system was developed to predict the safety of tunnel and choose proper tunnel reinforcement system using fuzzy quantification theory and fuzzy inference rule based on tunnel information database. The comparison result between the predicted reinforcement system level and measured ones was very similar. In-situ data were obtained in three tunnel sites including subway tunnel under Han river. This system will be very helpful to make the most of in-situ data and suggest proper applicability of tunnel reinforcement system developing more resonable tunnel support method from dependance of some experienced experts for the absent of guide.

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Development of Countermeasure Expert System for Tunneling Failure (터널 붕락특성과 시공 중 보강공법 선정방법 개발)

  • 김창용;박치현;배규진;홍성완;오명렬
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.418-429
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    • 2000
  • Many Studies of tunnel and tunnelling safety have been developed continuously based on the increasing social interests in underground space since 1990's in Korea. Because the growth of population in metropolitan has been accelerated at a faster pace than the development of the cities, underground facilities have been created as a great extent in view of less land space available. In this study, a lot of types of tunnel failure were surveyed and the detail causes were studied after many cases of tunnel failure were collected. There were suggested brief countermeasure of tunnel failure through case study. An expert system was developed to predict the safety of tunnel and choose proper tunnel reinforcement system using fuzzy quantification theory and fuzzy inference rule based on tunnel information database. The comparison result between the predicted reinforcement system level and measured ones was very similar. In-situ data were obtained in three tunnel sites including subway tunnel under Han river. This system will be very helpful to make the most of in-situ data and suggest proper applicability of tunnel reinforcement system developing more resonable tunnel support method from dependance of some experienced experts for the absent of guide.

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Probabilistic Inference of User's Context for Mobile Social Network Services (모바일 소셜 네트워크 서비스를 위한 사용자 컨텍스트의 확률추론)

  • Min, Jun-Ki;Jang, Su-Hyung;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.361-365
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, social networks come into the spotlight as the important ways to find people or share information. Especially, existing social network services based on the Internet, such as Facebook.com and Cyworld.com, are now extended into the mobile environment. A mobile phone easily collects the personal information since it is carried by the user at all times, and various types of data can be gathered together with the advance of sensor technologies. These features differentiate the mobile social network services from the previous Internet-based services. In this paper, we estimate the user's mobile social contexts like closeness and relationship between the user and surrounding people using Bayesian networks. The mobile social contexts can be employed as important information for providing mobile social network services, and experimental results on real world data have verified their possibilities.

Design and Implementation of personalized recommendation system using Case-based Reasoning Technique (사례기반추론 기법을 이용한 개인화된 추천시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Kim, Young-Ji;Mun, Hyeon-Jeong;Ok, Soo-Ho;Woo, Yong-Tae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.9D no.6
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    • pp.1009-1016
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    • 2002
  • We design and implement a new case-based recommender system using implicit rating information for a digital content site. Our system consists of the User Profile Generation module, the Similarity Evaluation and Recommendation module, and the Personalized Mailing module. In the User Profile Generation Module, we define intra-attribute and inter-attribute weight deriver from own's past interests of a user stored in the access logs to extract individual preferences for a content. A new similarity function is presented in the Similarity Evaluation and Recommendation Module to estimate similarities between new items set and the user profile. The Personalized Mailing Module sends individual recommended mails that are transformed into platform-independent XML document format to users. To verify the efficiency of our system, we have performed experimental comparisons between the proposed model and the collaborative filtering technique by mean absolute error (MAE) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) values. The results show that the proposed model is more efficient than the traditional collaborative filtering technique.

Group Emotion Prediction System based on Modular Bayesian Networks (모듈형 베이지안 네트워크 기반 대중 감성 예측 시스템)

  • Choi, SeulGi;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.11
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    • pp.1149-1155
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    • 2017
  • Recently, with the development of communication technology, it has become possible to collect various sensor data that indicate the environmental stimuli within a space. In this paper, we propose a group emotion prediction system using a modular Bayesian network that was designed considering the psychological impact of environmental stimuli. A Bayesian network can compensate for the uncertain and incomplete characteristics of the sensor data by the probabilistic consideration of the evidence for reasoning. Also, modularizing the Bayesian network has enabled flexible response and efficient reasoning of environmental stimulus fluctuations within the space. To verify the performance of the system, we predict public emotion based on the brightness, volume, temperature, humidity, color temperature, sound, smell, and group emotion data collected in a kindergarten. Experimental results show that the accuracy of the proposed method is 85% greater than that of other classification methods. Using quantitative and qualitative analyses, we explore the possibilities and limitations of probabilistic methodology for predicting group emotion.

A Semantic Similarity Decision Using Ontology Model Base On New N-ary Relation Design (새로운 N-ary 관계 디자인 기반의 온톨로지 모델을 이용한 문장의미결정)

  • Kim, Su-Kyoung;Ahn, Kee-Hong;Choi, Ho-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.43-66
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    • 2008
  • Currently be proceeded a lot of researchers for 'user information demand description' for interface of an information retrieval system or Web search engines, but user information demand description for a natural language form is a difficult situation. These reasons are as they cannot provide the semantic similarity that an information retrieval model can be completely satisfied with variety regarding an information demand expression and semantic relevance for user information description. Therefore, this study using the description logic that is a knowledge representation base of OWL and a vector model-based weight between concept, and to be able to satisfy variety regarding an information demand expression and semantic relevance proposes a decision way for perfect assistances of user information demand description. The experiment results by proposed method, semantic similarity of a polyseme and a synonym showed with excellent performance in decision.

Reconstruction Analysis of Pedestrian Collision Accidents Using Fuzzy Methods (퍼지수법을 활용한 보행자 충돌사고 재구성 해석)

  • Park, Tae-Yeong;Han, In-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2011
  • In order to reconstruct vehicle-pedestrian collision accidents, this paper presents a fuzzy tool to estimate accurately the impact velocity of the vehicle using parameters which could be easily collectable at the accident scene. The fuzzy rules and membership functions were set up using number of over 200 domestic and foreign data from accidents and empirical tests and 700 data from multibody simulation experiments. The developed fuzzy tool deduces the category of pedestrian trajectory and impact speed of the vehicle using 4 membership functions and 2 logic rules. The membership function of throw distance was differently set according to the deduced category of trajectories. The implemented fuzzy program was validated through comparing with the domestic and foreign empirical data. The output results agree very well in impact velocities of vehicle resulting the accuracy and usefulness of the developed tool in the reconstruction analysis of vehicle-pedestrian collision accidents.

Analysis on Types and Roles of Reasoning used in the Mathematical Modeling Process (수학적 모델링 과정에 포함된 추론의 유형 및 역할 분석)

  • 김선희;김기연
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.283-299
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    • 2004
  • It is a very important objective of mathematical education to lead students to apply mathematics to the problem situations and to solve the problems. Assuming that mathematical modeling is appropriate for such mathematical education objectives, we must emphasize mathematical modeling learning. In this research, we focused what mathematical concepts are learned and what reasoning are applied and used through mathematical modeling. In the process of mathematical modeling, the students used several types of reasoning; deduction, induction and abduction. Although we cannot generalize a fact by a single case study, deduction has been used to confirm whether their model is correct to the real situation and to find solutions by leading mathematical conclusion and induction to experimentally verify whether their model is correct. And abduction has been used to abstract a mathematical model from a real model, to provide interpretation to existing a practical ground for mathematical results, and elicit new mathematical model by modifying a present model.

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Statistical Life Prediction of Corroded Pipeline Using Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론법을 이용한 부식된 배관의 통계적 수명예측)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.2401-2406
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    • 2015
  • Pipelines are used by large heavy industries to deliver various types of fluids. Since this is important to maintain the performance of large systems, it is necessary to accurately predict remaining life of the corroded pipeline. However, predicting the remaining life is difficult due to uncertainties in the associated variables, such as geometries, material properties, corrosion rate, etc. In this paper, a statistical method for predicting corrosion remaining life is proposed using Bayesian inference. To accomplish this, pipeline failure probability was calculated using prior information about pipeline failure pressure according to elapsed time, and the given experimental data based on Bayes' rule. The corrosion remaining life was calculated as the elapsed time with 10 % failure probability. Using 10 and 50 samples generated from random variables affecting the corrosion of the pipe, the pipeline failure probability was estimated, after which the estimated remaining useful life was compared with the assumed true remaining useful life.