• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최고기온

Search Result 406, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Performance of Northern Exposure Index in Reducing Estimation Error for Daily Maximum Temperature over a Rugged Terrain (북향개방지수가 복잡지형의 일 최고기온 추정오차 저감에 미치는 영향)

  • Chung, U-Ran;Lee, Kwang-Hoe;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.195-202
    • /
    • 2007
  • The normalized difference in incident solar energy between a target surface and a level surface (overheating index, OHI) is useful in eliminating estimation error of site-specific maximum temperature in complex terrain. Due to the complexity in its calculation, however, an empirical proxy variable called northern exposure index (NEI) which combines slope and aspect has been used to estimate OHI based on empirical relationships between the two. An experiment with real-world landscape and temperature data was carried out to evaluate performance of the NEI - derived OHI (N-OHI) in reduction of spatial interpolation error for daily maximum temperature compared with that by the original OHI. We collected daily maximum temperature data from 7 sites in a mountainous watershed with a $149 km^2$ area and a 795m elevation range ($651{\sim}1,445m$) in Pyongchang, Kangwon province. Northern exposure index was calculated for the entire 166,050 grid cells constituting the watershed based on a 30-m digital elevation model. Daily OHI was calculated for the same watershed ana regressed to the variation of NEI. The regression equations were used to estimate N-OHI for 15th of each month. Deviations in daily maximum temperature at 7 sites from those measured at the nearby synoptic station were calculated from June 2006 to February 2007 and regressed to the N-OHI. The same procedure was repeated with the original OHI values. The ratio sum of square errors contributable by the N-OHI were 0.46 (winter), 0.24 (fall), and 0.01 (summer), while those by the original OHI were 0.52, 0.37 and 0.15, respectively.

A Study on the Change of Non-Working Days of Incheon Metropolitan through BCP Analysis (BCP분석을 통한 인천지역 작업불능일 변화 연구)

  • Ko, Kyujin;Lee, Chansik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.80-88
    • /
    • 2015
  • In the case of those types of work that are performed outdoor construction work, many non-working days occur due to climatic elements such as low temperature, rainfall, and high wind velocity. In particular, damage incurred construction delays hardly decreases because weather forecasting has become difficult due to global warming. In the present study, time points of drastic changes in annual average temperatures, annual average maximum temperatures, and annual average minimum temperatures were identified through BCP analysis and increasing/decreasing trends of non-working days in summer and winter were compared and analyzed on the basis of the change points. According to the results of the study, annual average temperatures drastically changed in 1988 and 1998. After the two time points, non-working days in summer and winter clearly showed increasing trends and decreasing trends respectively.

A Study on the Population Fluctuation of Wintering Waterbirds on Wonju-Stream by the Temperature (원주천 월동 수조류의 기온에 따른 군집 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Yung-Wook;Lee, Hwang-Goo;Choi, Jun-Kil
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.135-151
    • /
    • 2017
  • Waterbirds were surveyed once a week from Oct. 2015 to Apr. 2016 to study the conditions of temperature of staying waterbirds on Wonju-Stream. The population staying on Wonju-Stream was in inverse proportion to the temperature change; birds increased as the temperature went down, and showed the highest peak counts on the 16th(27-Jan) survey, which was the lowest in temperature. decreasing as the temperature rose. The total population of Wonju River water birds increased with increasing freezing rate in proportion to the freezing rate of nearby reservoirs and tributaries. To clarify the relation of the numbers of the birds to temperature fluctuation, the correlation of the first period of wintering (1st~16th) and that of the later period(17th~27th) as well as the whole period was surveyed, based on the 16th which was the lowest in temperature. While most wintering waterbirds showed a negative correlation to the temperature, Egretta garzetta, Phalacrocorax carbo, and Ardea cinerea were positive in temperature relativity. Anas poecilorhyncha was in the highest relation to temperature fluctuation showing (7D/H3A(r=-0.960, P<0.000000001)) at 1-16 correlation(Cor.), with the whole wintering waterbird species showing the maximum correlation at 4D/LA in the every correlation(1~27Cor.(r=-0.942, P<0.01), 1~16Cor.(r=-0.947, P<0.01), 16~27Cor.(r=-0.958, P<0.01)). Each waterbird showed the correlation to the temperature variation(AT, HT, LT) and th duration(1D~7D) depending on the species differently. Most species demonstrated a bigger correlation to the lowest temperature rather than to the highest temperature. During the first half period of the wintering with the temperature falling it showed a high correlation to the temperature at the duration of 4D~7D, While it was for D1~D3 during the next half period.

Water Temperature Variation of a Stream Entering Soyang Reservoir (소양호 유입지천의 수온변화)

  • Yi, Yong-Kon;Kang, Min-Gu;Lee, Hyun-Seok;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2006.05a
    • /
    • pp.1063-1067
    • /
    • 2006
  • 소양호의 유입지천 중의 하나인 인북천의 원통수위관측소에 현장용 수온계를 설치하여 수온변화를 분석하고 수온 추정을 위하여 다중회귀분석을 수행하였다. 인북천 원통수위유량관측소지점의 유량이 작은 경우, 수온은 기온의 최고점부근에서 변화하고, 이슬점은 기온의 최저점부근에서 변화하는 것으로 나타났으며, 일일 주기로 변화하는 양상을 보이고, 일교차는 각각 약 $5^{\circ}C,\;15^{\circ}C$$5^{\circ}C$정도로 나타났다. 최대수온과 최대기온은 차이가 거의 없지만 최저수온은 최저기온보다 약 $10^{\circ}C$정도 높은 것으로 나타났다. 인북천 원통수위유량관측소 지점의 유량이 증가하는 경우에는 수온과 기온이 급감하는 것으로 나타났다. 수온추정시 유량이 작은 구간과 큰 경우구간에 대하여 각각 다중회귀분석을 수행하는 것이 추정오차를 낮추는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

Projections of Future Summer Weather in Seoul and Their Impacts on Urban Agriculture (미래 서울의 여름날씨 전망과 도시농업에의 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.182-189
    • /
    • 2015
  • Climate departure from the past variability was projected to start in 2042 for Seoul. In order to understand the implication of climate departure in Seoul for urban agriculture, we evaluated the daily temperature for the June-September period from 2041 to 2070, which were projected by the RCP8.5 climate scenario. These data were analyzed with respect to climate extremes and their effects on growth of hot pepper (Capsicum annuum), one of the major crops in urban farming. The mean daily maximum and minimum temperatures in 2041-2070 approached to the $90^{th}$ percentile in the past 30 years (1951-1980). However, the frequency of extreme events such as heat waves and tropical nights appeared to exceed the past variability. While the departure of mean temperature might begin in or after 2040, the climate departure in the sense of extreme weather events seems already in progress. When the climate scenario data were applied to the growth and development of hot pepper, the departures of both planting date and harvest date are expected to follow those of temperature. However, the maximum duration for hot pepper cultivation, which is the number of days between the first planting and the last harvest, seems to have already deviated from the past variability.

A Study on Foehn over HongCheon Area of Gangwon Province in South Korea (강원도 홍천 지역의 푄 연구)

  • Kim, Yumi;Kim, Man Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.37-55
    • /
    • 2013
  • Previous studies have shown that Foehn was mainly observed in Young-seo area in Korea. However, they have failed to indicate the area where Foehn can be observed most frequently in Young-seo area and how Foehn is distributed in that area. This study targets HongCheon area in Young-seo province and examines the frequency and extent of Foehn in local scale through documenting a daily maximum air temperature map of Foehn. The period examined in this study is the months between March and June from 2003 to 2012. CoKriging method, which uses temperature and the altitude above sea, generates a higher level of accuracy in making daily maximum air temperature map of Foehn occurring days. We have found that Foehn is observed in certain areas, not all areas of HongCheon region, by compiling the daily maximum air temperature map. In particular, Foehn was found to be frequent and strong in the downstream of HongCheon river. In addition, we surveyed the residents of HongCheon about their perception of Foehn. They did not know whether high temperature and dryness in spring are caused by Foehn. The methods and techniques used to examine Foehn in local climate scale by this study will enhance the understanding of regional climate and contribute towards the research in this area. In particular, they can be applied to high temperature that recently occurred between spring and summer, excessive hotness in summers, agricultural plant growth in springs and etc.

  • PDF

Error Characteristic Analysis and Correction Technique Study for One-month Temperature Forecast Data (1개월 기온 예측자료의 오차 특성 분석 및 보정 기법 연구)

  • Yongseok Kim;Jina Hur;Eung-Sup Kim;Kyo-Moon Shim;Sera Jo;Min-Gu Kang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.368-375
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this study, we examined the error characteristic and bias correction method for one-month temperature forecast data produced through joint development between the Rural Development Administration and the H ong Kong University of Science and Technology. For this purpose, hindcast data from 2013 to 2021, weather observation data, and various environmental information were collected and error characteristics under various environmental conditions were analyzed. In the case of maximum and minimum temperatures, the higher the elevation and latitude, the larger the forecast error. On average, the RMSE of the forecast data corrected by the linear regression model and the XGBoost decreased by 0.203, 0.438 (maximum temperature) and 0.069, 0.390 (minimum temperature), respectively, compared to the uncorrected forecast data. Overall, XGBoost showed better error improvement than the linear regression model. Through this study, it was found that errors in prediction data are affected by topographical conditions, and that machine learning methods such as XGBoost can effectively improve errors by considering various environmental factors.

Changes in Air Temperature and Surface Temperature of Crop Leaf and Soil (기온과 작물 잎 및 토양 표면온도의 변화양상 분석)

  • Lee, Byung-Kook;Jung, Pil-Kyun;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Lim, Chul-Hee;Eom, Ki-Cheol
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.209-221
    • /
    • 2015
  • Temperature is one of the most important factors affecting crop growth. The diurnal cycle of the scale factor [Tsc] for air temperature and the surface temperature of crop leaf and soil could be estimated by the following equation : $[Tsc]=0.5{\times}sin(X+C)+0.5$. The daily air temperature (E[Ti]) according to the E&E time [X] can be estimated by following equation using average (Tavg), maximum (Tm) and minimum (Tn) temperature : $E[Ti]=Tn+(Tm-Tn){\times}[0.5{\times}sin\;\{X+(9.646Tavg+703.65)\}+0.5]$. The crop leaf temperature in 24th June 2014 was high as the order of red pepper without mulching > red pepper with mulching > soybean under drought > soybean with irrigation > Chinese cabbage. The case in estimating crop leaf surface temperature using air temperature and soil surface temperature was lower in the deviation compared to the case using air temperature for Chinese cabbage and red pepper. These results can be utilized for the crop models as input data with estimation.